FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Jacksonville St. def. Southern U. 3–0

Jacksonville St. beat Southern U. 3-0 (25-19, 25-23, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Claire Evans led Jacksonville St. with 11 kills; Southern U.'s Sereniti Johnson had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
SOUTHR1923230
JAX ST2525253

Win probability

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Southern U. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.3% JAX STrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.3% to Jacksonville St. — set 2, SOUTHR 23-24 JAX ST. Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Addison Stone). JAX ST win probability 83% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SOUTHR 25.4%74.6% JAX ST

Southern U. wins

3-0
4.5%
3-1
8.7%
3-2
12.2%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
26.7%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
19.4%
SOUTHR break %
42.8% vs this opp
JAX ST break %
47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Sophia Schweikert (set by Addison Stone)

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-24 JAX ST · JAX ST 83% → 89%

  2. 02
    Claire EvansKill+5.6%

    Kill by Claire Evans (set by Addison Stone)

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-25 JAX ST · JAX ST 89% → 95%

  3. 03
    Mariah MottAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Mariah Mott

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-23 JAX ST · JAX ST 78% → 83%

  4. 04

    Azavia Thomas stuffed by Norielle Battle & Sereniti Johnson

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 22-20 JAX ST · SOUTHR 19% → 24%

  5. 05
    Mariah MottKill+3.9%

    Kill by Mariah Mott (set by Penina Vito)

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-21 JAX ST · SOUTHR 21% → 25%

  6. 06
    Alayah WilsonKill+3.5%

    Kill by Alayah Wilson (set by Sereniti Johnson)

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 20-19 JAX ST · SOUTHR 15% → 19%

  7. 07

    Sophia Schweikert stuffed by Norielle Battle & Mariah Mott

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 21-20 JAX ST · SOUTHR 16% → 19%

  8. 08
    Southern U.Service error+2.8%

    Southern U. service error

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-22 JAX ST · JAX ST 75% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316537.29711070010.517.5
313835.143102100031.514.5
3428.25000010031.55.5
3228.00000200010.52.5
3105.2003511700002
3003.000102810000
34521-.048000010004
3012-.5001111900001
2000–001100000
1012-.500000001011
Team totals4024121.132393953218565
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310521.23800161010.510.5
3519.44400150132.57.5
35221.143001700005
34214.143000100004
33010.300000100003
3000–1711500001
311030.3670002002112
3001.00018111100001
3000–2011010000
1000–001000000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3810106.264372749316475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern U. vs Jacksonville St.

Season series · Jacksonville St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SOUTHR · JAX ST 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 SOUTHRJAX ST 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 SOUTHRJAX ST 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 SOUTHRJAX ST 5

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Southern U. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern U.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
36%4/11
2
78%7/9
40%6/15
3
40%6/15
42%5/12
4
38%6/16
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
25%2/8
6
67%6/9
45%5/11
All
54%40/74
38%25/66

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
38%5/13
2
54%7/13
30%3/10
3
78%7/9
36%4/11
4
60%6/10
70%14/20
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
62%41/66
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#SOUTHR-JAX STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.7
21-1SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.6
31-2JAX STJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+1.8
42-2JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Reagan Robinson+1.6
52-3SOUTHRJAX STAttack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.5
62-4JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.8
73-4JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.5
83-5SOUTHRJAX ST×3KillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.5
93-6JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.7
103-7JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.aced Reagan Robinson+1.5
114-7JAX STSOUTHRAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.2
124-8SOUTHRJAX STAttack errMariah Mott+1.2
135-8JAX STSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+1.2
145-9SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.3
156-9JAX STSOUTHR×3Serve errJacksonville St.+1.2
167-9SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errLauren Buchanan+1.7
178-9SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillAlayah Wilsonset Najah Harris+2.0
188-10SOUTHRJAX ST×4Attack errNorielle Battle+1.7
198-11JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.aced Alayah Wilson+1.9
208-12JAX STJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.7
218-13JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.4
229-13JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.0
239-14SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.1
2410-14JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.0
2510-15SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.1
2610-16JAX STJAX STBlockedMariah Mottblk Taya Nordmann, Sophia Schweikert+1.1
2711-16JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.7
2811-17SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.9
2912-17JAX STSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.6
3013-17SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.aced Sophia Schweikert+1.1
3114-17SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+1.6
3214-18SOUTHRJAX ST×3BlockedAlayah Wilsonblk Claire Evans, Taya Nordmann+1.6
3314-19JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errAlayah Wilson+1.4
3414-20JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.9
3515-20JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.5
3616-20SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errTaya Nordmann+1.0
3716-21SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.1
3816-22JAX STJAX STAttack errAlayah Wilson+0.8
3917-22JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.3
4017-23SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.5
4117-24JAX STJAX STAttack errNorielle Battle+0.2
4218-24JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito·
4319-24SOUTHRSOUTHRBad setSofia Varela+0.1
4419-25SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Sofia Varela+0.2
Set 2
10-1SOUTHRJAX STKillAnna Rayset Sofia Varela+1.2
21-1JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.2
31-2SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.2
42-2JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.3
53-2SOUTHRSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.6
63-3SOUTHRJAX STAttack errNajah Harris+1.3
74-3JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.4
85-3SOUTHRSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.8
95-4SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.4
106-4JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.5
116-5SOUTHRJAX ST×3KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.4
126-6JAX STJAX ST×3KillAnna Rayset Addison Stone+1.7
136-7JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.7
147-7JAX STSOUTHRAttack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.4
157-8SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.4
167-9JAX STJAX STAttack errPenina Vito+1.6
178-9JAX STSOUTHRBad setAnna Ray+1.4
189-9SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.+1.8
199-10SOUTHRJAX STAttack errAlayah Wilson+1.5
209-11JAX STJAX STBad setPenina Vito+1.7
2110-11JAX STSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.4
2211-11SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Mariah Mott, Norielle Battle+2.0
2311-12SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.6
2412-12JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.7
2512-13SOUTHRJAX ST×3Attack errMariah Mott+1.7
2612-14JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errMariah Mott+1.9
2712-15JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.7
2813-15JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.3
2914-15SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errLauren Buchanan+2.0
3014-16SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.8
3114-17JAX STJAX STAttack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.9
3215-17JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.4
3315-18SOUTHRJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+1.6
3416-18JAX STSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.4
3517-18SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillNorielle Battleset Penina Vito+2.3
3618-18SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillNorielle Battle+2.8
3718-19SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+2.4
3819-19JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.5
3920-19SOUTHRSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Sereniti Johnson+3.5
4020-20SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+2.8
4121-20JAX STSOUTHRBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Norielle Battle, Mariah Mott+3.3
4222-20SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedAzavia Thomasblk Norielle Battle, Sereniti Johnson+4.1
4322-21SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+2.7
4423-21JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+3.9
4523-22SOUTHRJAX ST×4Serve errSouthern U.+2.8
4623-23JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMariah Mott+5.1
4723-24JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+6.3
4823-25JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+5.6
Set 3
11-0JAX STSOUTHR×3KillNorielle Battleset Penina Vito+0.7
22-0SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.9
33-0SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.9
43-1SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.7
53-2JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Delaney Moon+0.8
64-2JAX STSOUTHR×4KillNorielle Battleset Penina Vito+0.8
75-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×4AceSouthern U.aced Delaney Moon+1.0
86-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedSophia Schweikertblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Mariah Mott+1.0
97-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Serve errSouthern U.+0.9
107-3SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.6
117-4JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.8
128-4JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.8
138-5SOUTHRJAX ST×4KillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+0.7
148-6JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.9
158-7JAX STJAX ST×4BlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Claire Evans, Taya Nordmann+1.0
168-8JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.0
179-8JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.9
189-9SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.8
1910-9JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.9
2011-9SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.1
2111-10SOUTHRJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+0.9
2211-11JAX STJAX STAttack errSereniti Johnson+1.1
2312-11JAX STSOUTHRKillPenina Vitoset Mariah Mott+1.0
2412-12SOUTHRJAX STKillAnna Rayset Najah Harris+0.9
2513-12JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.0
2614-12SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errAzavia Thomas+1.3
2714-13SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.0
2815-13JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.1
2916-13SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.3
3016-14SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Delaney Moon+0.9
3116-15JAX STJAX STAttack errMariah Mott+1.3
3217-15JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.2
3318-15SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Braelynn Reese+1.5
3418-16SOUTHRJAX ST×5Serve errSouthern U.+1.0
3518-17JAX STJAX ST×5Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.4
3618-18JAX STJAX ST×5Attack errMariah Mott+1.5
3718-19JAX STJAX ST×5KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.6
3818-20JAX STJAX ST×5BlockedBraelynn Reeseblk Taya Nordmann+1.5
3919-20JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.1
4019-21SOUTHRJAX STAttack errAlayah Wilson+1.3
4119-22JAX STJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+1.3
4220-22JAX STSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+0.8
4321-22SOUTHRSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.5
4421-23SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.6
4522-23JAX STSOUTHRBad setLauren Buchanan+1.3
4622-24SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.9
4723-24JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.2
4823-25SOUTHRJAX STAttack errMariah Mott+2.5

Score shown after each rally, Southern U. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).