Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Jacksonville St. def. Southern U. 3–1

Jacksonville St. beat visiting Southern U. 3-1 (25-20, 16-25, 25-16, 25-17) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Jacksonville St.'s Claire Evans led with 16 kills, and Gemma Morris added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
SOUTHR202516171
JAX ST251625253

Win probability

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Southern U. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.8% SOUTHRrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Southern U. — set 4, SOUTHR 10-9 JAX ST. Southern U. ace on Claire Evans. JAX ST win probability 88% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SOUTHR 19.7%80.3% JAX ST

Southern U. wins

3-0
3.2%
3-1
6.5%
3-2
10.0%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0
31.8%
3-1
30.3%
3-2
18.2%
SOUTHR break %
42.1% vs this opp
JAX ST break %
48.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Southern U.Ace+2.8%

    Southern U. ace on Claire Evans

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 10-9 JAX ST · SOUTHR 12% → 15%

  2. 02
    Azavia ThomasKill+2.6%

    Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 10-11 JAX ST · JAX ST 87% → 90%

  3. 03
    Taya NordmannAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Taya Nordmann

    Set 1 · SOUTHR 12-11 JAX ST · SOUTHR 21% → 23%

  4. 04
    Claire EvansKill+2.4%

    Kill by Claire Evans (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 3 · SOUTHR 1-2 JAX ST · JAX ST 74% → 77%

  5. 05
    Azavia ThomasKill+2.4%

    Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 10-12 JAX ST · JAX ST 90% → 92%

  6. 06
    Claire EvansKill+2.3%

    Kill by Claire Evans (set by Sofia Varela)

    Set 1 · SOUTHR 12-13 JAX ST · JAX ST 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    Azavia ThomasKill+2.2%

    Kill by Azavia Thomas (set by Sophia Schweikert)

    Set 3 · SOUTHR 1-3 JAX ST · JAX ST 77% → 79%

  8. 08
    Lauren BuchananAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Lauren Buchanan

    Set 3 · SOUTHR 1-0 JAX ST · SOUTHR 25% → 28%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410432.1880004300010
49426.1920011002110
46314.214013001229
4226.000311050010.53.5
3208.250011120003
3046-.66710000010.50.5
4217.143223300004
4011-1.0001221600002
37113.462000010007
3000–011110001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3820113.1593581131816478
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416326.50002293010.518.5
412418.4440000002113
411832.0942066100011
43110.20004020111.58.5
4000–2521400002
2001.000100100000
48117.41200030010.58.5
4001.000004200000
4000–1700500000
4000–5001220000
3000–001010000
11011.00000000010.51.5
1012-.500000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals5118109.3035081444816491

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern U. vs Jacksonville St.

Season series · Jacksonville St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SOUTHR · JAX ST 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 SOUTHRJAX ST 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 SOUTHRJAX ST 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 SOUTHRJAX ST 7

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 4 SOUTHRJAX ST 4

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Southern U. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern U.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
33%4/12
2
32%8/25
40%6/15
3
53%8/15
38%5/13
4
67%8/12
43%6/14
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
50%7/14
20%2/10
All
53%48/90
38%30/79

Jacksonville St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
38%5/13
2
67%8/12
65%15/23
3
57%8/14
38%5/13
4
57%8/14
50%8/16
5
53%8/15
11%1/9
6
89%8/9
50%8/16
All
62%49/79
47%42/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#SOUTHR-JAX STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1JAX STJAX STAttack errNajah Harris+1.5
21-1JAX STSOUTHRKillElizabeth Lualemagaset Penina Vito+1.3
31-2SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.3
42-2JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.4
53-2SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Gemma Morris+1.8
63-3SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.4
74-3JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.6
85-3SOUTHRSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+2.0
95-4SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.5
105-5JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset D'Yanna Spicer+1.8
116-5JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.7
126-6SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+1.5
137-6JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.7
148-6SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Claire Evans+2.2
158-7SOUTHRJAX ST×4Serve errSouthern U.+1.7
168-8JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errMariah Mott+2.0
178-9JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.9
188-10JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errBraelynn Reese+1.8
199-10JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.5
209-11SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Gemma Morris+1.5
2110-11JAX STSOUTHR×3Serve errJacksonville St.+1.6
2211-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+2.2
2312-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errTaya Nordmann+2.4
2412-12SOUTHRJAX ST×5Attack errMariah Mott+1.9
2512-13JAX STJAX ST×5KillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+2.3
2612-14JAX STJAX ST×5AceJacksonville St.aced Sereniti Johnson+2.1
2712-15JAX STJAX ST×5BlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Taya Nordmann, Azavia Thomas+1.8
2812-16JAX STJAX ST×5AceJacksonville St.aced Elizabeth Lualemaga+1.5
2913-16JAX STSOUTHRAttack errAzavia Thomas+1.1
3013-17SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.3
3113-18JAX STJAX STAttack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.2
3214-18JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.7
3315-18SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Sophia Schweikert+1.3
3415-19SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.3
3516-19JAX STSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+1.1
3616-20SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.4
3717-20JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.1
3817-21SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.4
3917-22JAX STJAX STAttack errReagan Robinson+1.1
4018-22JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.5
4118-23SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.8
4219-23JAX STSOUTHRKillElizabeth Lualemagaset Penina Vito+0.4
4320-23SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Mia Duong+0.9
4420-24SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.2
4520-25JAX STJAX STAttack errMariah Mott+0.5
Set 2
10-1SOUTHRJAX STBlockedBraelynn Reeseblk Taya Nordmann+0.9
20-2JAX STJAX STKillTaya Nordmannset Sofia Varela+1.1
31-2JAX STSOUTHR×3KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.9
42-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedClaire Evansblk Braelynn Reese, Mariah Mott+1.2
53-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.4
63-3SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+1.1
74-3JAX STSOUTHRAttack errSophia Schweikert+1.2
84-4SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+1.1
95-4JAX STSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+1.2
106-4SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Penina Vito, Paulina Agudelo Marin+1.6
116-5SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.2
127-5JAX STSOUTHRBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Paulina Agudelo Marin+1.4
137-6SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.2
147-7JAX STJAX STKillClaire Evansset Gemma Morris+1.5
158-7JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+1.3
168-8SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.2
179-8JAX STSOUTHR×4KillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.4
1810-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.8
1911-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errClaire Evans+1.8
2012-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×4AceSouthern U.+1.8
2112-9SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+1.2
2213-9JAX STSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.6
2313-10SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.3
2414-10JAX STSOUTHR×4KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.6
2515-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.8
2616-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errSophia Schweikert+1.5
2717-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×4AceSouthern U.aced Claire Evans+1.2
2817-11SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.7
2918-11JAX STSOUTHR×3KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.0
3019-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAzavia Thomas+0.8
3120-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.aced Gemma Morris+0.5
3220-12SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+0.2
3321-12JAX STSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+0.4
3422-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.2
3523-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillAlayah Wilson+0.1
3623-13SOUTHRJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela·
3723-14JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errAlayah Wilson·
3823-15JAX STJAX ST×3KillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+0.1
3924-15JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.1
4024-16SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela·
4125-16JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.·
Set 3
11-0JAX STSOUTHRAttack errLauren Buchanan+2.2
21-1SOUTHRJAX ST×7KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+2.1
31-2JAX STJAX ST×7KillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+2.4
41-3JAX STJAX ST×7KillAzavia Thomasset Sophia Schweikert+2.2
51-4JAX STJAX ST×7KillTaya Nordmann+2.0
61-5JAX STJAX ST×7BlockedMariah Mottblk Lauren Buchanan, Azavia Thomas+1.8
71-6JAX STJAX ST×7AceJacksonville St.aced Alayah Wilson+1.5
81-7JAX STJAX ST×7Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.2
92-7JAX STSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+0.9
102-8SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.0
112-9JAX STJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.0
123-9JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.7
133-10SOUTHRJAX ST×3Serve errSouthern U.+0.8
143-11JAX STJAX ST×3AceJacksonville St.aced Sereniti Johnson+0.7
153-12JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+0.5
164-12JAX STSOUTHRBlockedSophia Schweikertblk Mariah Mott, Paulina Agudelo Marin+0.3
174-13SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+0.4
185-13JAX STSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+0.3
195-14SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.4
206-14JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.3
216-15SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+0.4
227-15JAX STSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Braelynn Reese+0.3
237-16SOUTHRJAX ST×4KillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+0.4
247-17JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errBraelynn Reese+0.3
257-18JAX STJAX ST×4Attack errBraelynn Reese+0.1
267-19JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.aced Elizabeth Lualemaga+0.1
278-19JAX STSOUTHRAttack errAzavia Thomas·
288-20SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela·
299-20JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.·
309-21SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela·
3110-21JAX STSOUTHR×3Attack errSophia Schweikert·
3211-21SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAzavia Thomas·
3312-21SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAnna Ray+0.1
3412-22SOUTHRJAX STAttack errSereniti Johnson+0.1
3513-22JAX STSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito·
3614-22SOUTHRSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marin+0.1
3714-23SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Gemma Morris+0.1
3815-23JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.·
3916-23SOUTHRSOUTHRKillPenina Vitoset Reagan Robinson+0.1
4016-24SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.1
4116-25JAX STJAX STAttack errSereniti Johnson·
Set 4
10-1SOUTHRJAX STKillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+1.5
21-1JAX STSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.6
31-2SOUTHRJAX STKillClaire Evansset Sofia Varela+1.6
42-2JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.7
53-2SOUTHRSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+2.2
63-3SOUTHRJAX ST×3KillAzavia Thomasset Gemma Morris+1.7
73-4JAX STJAX ST×3Bad setPenina Vito+2.0
83-5JAX STJAX ST×3Attack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.9
94-5JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.6
105-5SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errSophia Schweikert+2.2
115-6SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.8
126-6JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.9
136-7SOUTHRJAX STAttack errPenina Vito+1.8
147-7JAX STSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.9
157-8SOUTHRJAX STServe errSouthern U.+1.9
168-8JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+2.0
178-9SOUTHRJAX STKillLauren Buchananset Addison Stone+1.9
189-9JAX STSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+2.1
1910-9SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Claire Evans+2.8
2010-10SOUTHRJAX ST×4Serve errSouthern U.+2.2
2110-11JAX STJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.6
2210-12JAX STJAX ST×4KillAzavia Thomasset Sofia Varela+2.4
2310-13JAX STJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+2.1
2411-13JAX STSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.7
2511-14SOUTHRJAX ST×4KillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+1.8
2611-15JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.aced Sereniti Johnson+1.8
2711-16JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.aced Ayana Johnson+1.4
2811-17JAX STJAX ST×4AceJacksonville St.+1.0
2912-17JAX STSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+0.6
3012-18SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Sofia Varela+0.8
3112-19JAX STJAX STKillRiley Huffset Addison Stone+0.6
3213-19JAX STSOUTHR×4Attack errClaire Evans+0.3
3314-19SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillPenina Vitoset Addison Stone+0.7
3415-19SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errSophia Schweikert+1.0
3516-19SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillSereniti Johnsonset Reagan Robinson+1.6
3616-20SOUTHRJAX STKillSophia Schweikertset Addison Stone+1.7
3716-21JAX STJAX STBlockedPenina Vitoblk Riley Huff, Claire Evans+1.4
3817-21JAX STSOUTHRServe errJacksonville St.+0.7
3917-22SOUTHRJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Gemma Morris+1.1
4017-23JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Addison Stone+0.6
4117-24JAX STJAX ST×4KillTaya Nordmannset Addison Stone+0.2
4217-25JAX STJAX ST×4KillClaire Evansset Sophia Schweikert·

Score shown after each rally, Southern U. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).