FinalSun, Sep 27, 2026

Grambling def. Southern U. 3–0

Grambling won at Southern U. 3-0 (25-15, 25-19, 25-22) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. Angelique Pena led Grambling with 8 kills; Southern U.'s Sereniti Johnson had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set123Sets
GRAMB2525253
SOUTHR1519220

Win probability

Southern U. above 50 · Grambling below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.2% GRAMBrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Grambling — set 2, GRAMB 16-15 SOUTHR. Kill by Angelique Pena (set by Alayna Howard). SOUTHR win probability 24% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GRAMB 61.4%38.6% SOUTHR

Grambling wins

3-0
18.0%
3-1
23.5%
3-2
20.0%

Southern U. wins

3-0
8.3%
3-1
14.0%
3-2
16.3%
GRAMB break %
46.7% vs this opp
SOUTHR break %
44.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Angelique Pena (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 2 · GRAMB 16-15 SOUTHR · GRAMB 76% → 80%

  2. 02

    Lyric Jordan stuffed by Norielle Battle & Mariah Mott

    Set 2 · GRAMB 14-15 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 23% → 26%

  3. 03
    Lyric JordanKill+3.1%

    Kill by Lyric Jordan (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 2 · GRAMB 17-15 SOUTHR · GRAMB 80% → 83%

  4. 04
    Norielle BattleAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Norielle Battle

    Set 2 · GRAMB 19-16 SOUTHR · GRAMB 83% → 86%

  5. 05

    Kill by Rihianna Brown (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 2 · GRAMB 14-13 SOUTHR · GRAMB 76% → 79%

  6. 06

    Kill by Rihianna Brown (set by Alayna Howard)

    Set 2 · GRAMB 13-13 SOUTHR · GRAMB 74% → 76%

  7. 07

    Sereniti Johnson stuffed by Angelique Pena & Lainy Evans

    Set 1 · GRAMB 12-10 SOUTHR · GRAMB 63% → 66%

  8. 08
    Mariah MottAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Mariah Mott

    Set 1 · GRAMB 10-9 SOUTHR · GRAMB 61% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36114.35700040153.59.5
38012.66700000031.59.5
37223.217000400218
35520.000012820217
35219.15800020010.55.5
3000–2100900000
37116.37500010132.59.5
3002.0001101400000
3001.0004011540000
2000–001100000
Team totals3811107.25236154862161075
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311432.219010110010.512.5
35318.111010600006
35413.077000000005
34622-.09100140010.54.5
3016-.167221230010.51.5
22610-.40001000031.54.5
3116.00002120010.53.5
3000–2002100000
23311.000000200003
2105.20000000010.51.5
2000–601000000
1011-1.000000200000
1000–000000000
Team totals3229124.024306551108456

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Grambling vs Southern U.

Season series · Grambling leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 GRAMB · SOUTHR 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 8 GRAMBSOUTHR 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 5 GRAMBSOUTHR 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 GRAMBSOUTHR 4

Bars above the line = Southern U. leads, below = Grambling leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Grambling

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
44%4/9
2
60%6/10
57%8/14
3
86%6/7
50%6/12
4
60%6/10
45%5/11
5
46%6/13
40%4/10
6
71%5/7
71%12/17
All
62%36/58
53%39/73

Southern U.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
14%1/7
2
40%6/15
45%5/11
3
60%6/10
33%3/9
4
46%6/13
40%4/10
5
38%6/16
40%4/10
6
50%4/8
45%5/11
All
47%34/73
38%22/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#GRAMB-SOUTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Asialin Powell+2.3
21-1SOUTHRGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+1.9
31-2GRAMBSOUTHRServe errGrambling+2.0
42-2SOUTHRGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+1.9
52-3GRAMBSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+2.0
63-3SOUTHRGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+2.0
73-4GRAMBSOUTHRServe errGrambling+2.1
84-4SOUTHRGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Reece Cook+2.0
95-4GRAMBGRAMBAttack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+2.4
105-5GRAMBSOUTHR×3KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.1
115-6SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedAmaris Marksblk Penina Vito, Paulina Agudelo Marin+2.6
125-7SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Bad setReece Cook+2.6
136-7SOUTHRGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+2.1
146-8GRAMBSOUTHRKillZaria Nelsonset Penina Vito+2.3
157-8SOUTHRGRAMBAttack errZaria Nelson+2.1
167-9GRAMBSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+2.3
178-9SOUTHRGRAMB×3Attack errMariah Mott+2.2
189-9GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedMariah Mottblk Lyric Jordan, Rihianna Brown+2.8
1910-9GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errMariah Mott+2.8
2010-10GRAMBSOUTHRAttack errLainy Evans+2.4
2111-10SOUTHRGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+2.4
2212-10GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Angelique Pena, Lainy Evans+2.8
2313-10GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedMariah Mottblk Lyric Jordan, Angelique Pena+2.6
2413-11GRAMBSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.0
2514-11SOUTHRGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+2.2
2615-11GRAMBGRAMBBad setPenina Vito+2.4
2715-12GRAMBSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+1.7
2816-12SOUTHRGRAMBServe errSouthern U.+2.0
2916-13GRAMBSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+1.7
3016-14SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.6
3117-14SOUTHRGRAMB×8KillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.5
3218-14GRAMBGRAMB×8KillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+2.5
3319-14GRAMBGRAMB×8BlockedPaulina Agudelo Marinblk Amaris Marks, Rihianna Brown+1.9
3420-14GRAMBGRAMB×8Attack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.3
3521-14GRAMBGRAMB×8BlockedZaria Nelsonblk Rihianna Brown, Kenya Lucas+0.8
3622-14GRAMBGRAMB×8Attack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+0.4
3723-14GRAMBGRAMB×8BlockedZaria Nelsonblk Rihianna Brown, Kenya Lucas+0.2
3824-14GRAMBGRAMB×8Attack errMariah Mott·
3924-15GRAMBSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito·
4025-15SOUTHRGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook·
Set 2
10-1GRAMBSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+1.7
21-1SOUTHRGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+1.7
32-1GRAMBGRAMBAttack errBraelynn Reese+2.0
42-2GRAMBSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.7
52-3SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errLainy Evans+2.1
63-3SOUTHRGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.8
73-4GRAMBSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.8
84-4SOUTHRGRAMBAttack errAyana Johnson+1.8
94-5GRAMBSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.9
105-5SOUTHRGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.8
115-6GRAMBSOUTHR×3KillNorielle Battleset Penina Vito+1.9
125-7SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.aced Asialin Powell+2.4
135-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAmaris Marks+2.3
146-8SOUTHRGRAMBServe errSouthern U.+1.8
156-9GRAMBSOUTHRBad setReece Cook+2.0
167-9SOUTHRGRAMB×3Serve errSouthern U.+1.8
178-9GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+2.4
189-9GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+2.5
199-10GRAMBSOUTHR×4KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+2.2
209-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+2.7
219-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillSereniti Johnson+2.6
229-13SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.4
2310-13SOUTHRGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+1.7
2411-13GRAMBGRAMB×5Attack errSereniti Johnson+2.4
2512-13GRAMBGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.7
2613-13GRAMBGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.8
2714-13GRAMBGRAMB×5KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.9
2814-14GRAMBSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+2.5
2914-15SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedLyric Jordanblk Norielle Battle, Mariah Mott+3.2
3015-15SOUTHRGRAMB×3KillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.6
3116-15GRAMBGRAMB×3KillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+3.2
3217-15GRAMBGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+3.1
3317-16GRAMBSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+2.4
3418-16SOUTHRGRAMB×4KillAngelique Penaset Alayna Howard+2.7
3519-16GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errNorielle Battle+2.9
3620-16GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errSereniti Johnson+2.4
3721-16GRAMBGRAMB×4BlockedPenina Vitoblk Kenya Lucas+1.7
3821-17GRAMBSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Maleah Faust+0.9
3922-17SOUTHRGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+1.3
4022-18GRAMBSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+0.7
4122-19SOUTHRSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+1.5
4223-19SOUTHRGRAMB×3Attack errReagan Robinson+1.9
4324-19GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Rihianna Brown+1.1
4425-19GRAMBGRAMB×3BlockedReagan Robinsonblk Amaris Marks, Rihianna Brown+0.3
Set 3
11-0SOUTHRGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Alayna Howard+1.0
22-0GRAMBGRAMBAceAmaris Marks+1.2
32-1GRAMBSOUTHRServe errAmaris Marks+1.0
43-1SOUTHRGRAMBAttack errMariah Mott+1.0
53-2GRAMBSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.0
63-3SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+1.3
74-3SOUTHRGRAMBKillLainy Evansset Asialin Powell+1.1
84-4GRAMBSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+1.1
94-5SOUTHRSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+1.4
105-5SOUTHRGRAMBServe errSouthern U.+1.1
115-6GRAMBSOUTHRBlockedAmaris Marksblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Alayah Wilson+1.2
126-6SOUTHRGRAMB×4Attack errReagan Robinson+1.1
137-6GRAMBGRAMB×4Bad setMaleah Faust+1.4
148-6GRAMBGRAMB×4Attack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.3
159-6GRAMBGRAMB×4KillAmaris Marks+1.3
169-7GRAMBSOUTHRServe errGrambling+1.0
179-8SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Amaris Marks+1.4
1810-8SOUTHRGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.2
1911-8GRAMBGRAMBAttack errBraelynn Reese+1.3
2011-9GRAMBSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+1.0
2112-9SOUTHRGRAMBKillAmaris Marksset Alayna Howard+1.1
2212-10GRAMBSOUTHR×3KillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+1.1
2312-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errRihianna Brown+1.5
2412-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.aced Asialin Powell+1.6
2513-12SOUTHRGRAMB×3KillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.4
2614-12GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errBraelynn Reese+1.6
2715-12GRAMBGRAMB×3Attack errBraelynn Reese+1.5
2815-13GRAMBSOUTHRKillZaria Nelsonset Penina Vito+1.1
2916-13SOUTHRGRAMBKillLyric Jordanset Alayna Howard+1.3
3017-13GRAMBGRAMBKillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+1.3
3117-14GRAMBSOUTHR×4KillZaria Nelsonset Penina Vito+0.9
3217-15SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errKenya Lucas+1.4
3317-16SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedLyric Jordanblk Sereniti Johnson, Paulina Agudelo Marin+1.8
3417-17SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errAmaris Marks+2.1
3518-17SOUTHRGRAMB×4KillLyric Jordanset Reece Cook+1.8
3619-17GRAMBGRAMB×4BlockedPaulina Agudelo Marinblk Kenya Lucas, Angelique Pena+2.1
3720-17GRAMBGRAMB×4KillKenya Lucasset Asialin Powell+1.9
3821-17GRAMBGRAMB×4KillAngelique Penaset Reece Cook+1.4
3921-18GRAMBSOUTHRServe errGrambling+0.8
4021-19SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Asialin Powell+1.5
4122-19SOUTHRGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+1.7
4222-20GRAMBSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+1.2
4322-21SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Amaris Marks+2.3
4423-21SOUTHRGRAMBKillKenya Lucasset Reece Cook+2.6
4524-21GRAMBGRAMBKillRihianna Brownset Alayna Howard+2.3
4624-22GRAMBSOUTHRAttack errAmaris Marks+0.8
4725-22SOUTHRGRAMBServe errSouthern U.+1.8

Score shown after each rally, Grambling first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).