Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on YouTube

Southern U. def. Texas Southern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas Southern 69.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern U. won at Texas Southern 3-1 (25-17, 25-23, 15-25, 25-21) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Southern U.'s Sereniti Johnson led with 10 kills, and Najah Harris added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set1234Sets
SOUTHR252515253
TX SOU172325211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Southern U. 31%. Southern U. won anyway.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Southern U.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Texas Southern at 69% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Southern U. 7–5 Texas Southern

    Southern U. scored 6 straight to stretch a 7–5 lead to 13–5.

    Southern U. 59% → 74%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Southern U. 20–18 Texas Southern

    3 straight Southern U. points stretched a 20–18 lead to 23–18.

    Southern U. 83% → 98%

Texas Southern above 50Southern U. belowMax swing 12.6%

Southern U.Texas Southern

Sideout %
Southern U. 55.2·Texas Southern 52.8
Break %
Southern U. 47.2·Texas Southern 44.8
Hitting
Southern U. .114·Texas Southern .105
Longest run
Southern U. 6·Texas Southern 7

Reagan Robinson
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 7 K, .107, 8.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas Southern above 50 · Southern U. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.6% SOUTHRrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.6% to Southern U. — set 2, SOUTHR 25-23 TX SOU. Attack error by Emory Harper. TX SOU win probability 34% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SOUTHR 28.1%71.9% TX SOU

Southern U. wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.1%

Texas Southern wins

3-0
24.7%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%
SOUTHR break %
43.5% vs this opp
TX SOU break %
47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emory HarperAttack error+12.6%

    Attack error by Emory Harper

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 25-23 TX SOU · SOUTHR 66% → 78%

  2. 02
    Lacey KusnierBad set+9.9%

    Bad set by Lacey Kusnier

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 24-23 TX SOU · SOUTHR 56% → 66%

  3. 03
    Mariah MottAttack error+8.6%

    Attack error by Mariah Mott

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-23 TX SOU · TX SOU 36% → 44%

  4. 04
    Reagan RobinsonBlock+6.7%

    Emory Harper stuffed by Reagan Robinson

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 20-17 TX SOU · SOUTHR 80% → 87%

  5. 05

    Kill by Norielle Battle (set by Penina Vito)

    Set 2 · SOUTHR 23-21 TX SOU · SOUTHR 62% → 69%

  6. 06
    Alayah WilsonKill+6.0%

    Kill by Alayah Wilson (set by Penina Vito)

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 21-18 TX SOU · SOUTHR 83% → 89%

  7. 07
    Texas SouthernService error+6.0%

    Texas Southern service error

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 19-17 TX SOU · SOUTHR 74% → 80%

  8. 08
    Keldri YoungKill+5.9%

    Kill by Keldri Young (set by Kennedi Walker)

    Set 4 · SOUTHR 18-17 TX SOU · TX SOU 20% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410741.07303080010.513.5
48218.3330001004210
47428.107001182111.58.5
45414.071011400428
4103.3332201600001
32313-.077200010213
4012-.5004002400000
37121.286000100007
33211.091000000214
3000–012110001
3000–1410600001
2114.000000000212
2123-.333000000001
Team totals4527158.1144265694116990
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47315.26700020233.510.5
48531.0970002012210
47523.0870101000008
4438.125121201017
45316.12500093010.55.5
4012-.5002201900000
45315.133000000005
4102.5002010900002
4000–2011800000
34215.1330001000004
3000–000100000
25317.118001111016
2139-.222000100001
1000–000000000
1000–000200000
Team totals4731153.105454476656886

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern U. vs Texas Southern

Season series · Southern U. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 SOUTHR · TX SOU 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 SOUTHRTX SOU 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 6 SOUTHRTX SOU 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 SOUTHRTX SOU 7

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 SOUTHRTX SOU 4

Bars above the line = Texas Southern leads, below = Southern U. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern U.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
33%4/12
2
82%9/11
47%8/17
3
62%8/13
27%3/11
4
50%8/16
50%8/16
5
30%7/23
43%6/14
6
67%6/9
68%13/19
All
55%48/87
47%42/89

Texas Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
47%7/15
2
64%9/14
17%2/12
3
67%8/12
36%5/14
4
42%8/19
33%4/12
5
50%6/12
68%15/22
6
38%6/16
50%6/12
All
53%47/89
45%39/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#SOUTHR-TX SOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillReagan Robinsonset Mariah Mott+1.8
22-0SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAliyah Spencer+2.2
33-0SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+2.3
43-1SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+1.7
53-2TX SOUTX SOUAttack errMariah Mott+2.1
64-2TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Maleah Faust+2.0
75-2SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedLauren Battleblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Mariah Mott+2.4
85-3SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+1.8
95-4TX SOUTX SOUAceTexas Southernaced Reagan Robinson+2.2
106-4TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+2.1
117-4SOUTHRSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+2.5
127-5SOUTHRTX SOUBlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Ava Houston, Morgynne McQueen+1.9
138-5TX SOUSOUTHR×4Attack errKeldri Young+2.2
149-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Bad setGracie Lee+2.5
1510-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedGracie Leeblk Reagan Robinson, Paulina Agudelo Marin+2.3
1611-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errMorgynne McQueen+2.1
1711-6SOUTHRTX SOU×3Attack errSereniti Johnson+1.4
1811-7TX SOUTX SOU×3BlockedPaulina Agudelo Marinblk Morgynne McQueen+1.9
1911-8TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errReagan Robinson+2.2
2012-8TX SOUSOUTHR×5Attack errLacey Kusnier+2.2
2113-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×5Attack errGracie Lee+2.4
2214-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×5BlockedLacey Kusnierblk Braelynn Reese, Nyla Hoult+2.1
2315-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×5KillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+1.7
2416-8SOUTHRSOUTHR×5KillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+1.3
2516-9SOUTHRTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+0.7
2617-9TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Penina Vito+1.1
2718-9SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errGracie Lee+0.8
2818-10SOUTHRTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+0.4
2919-10TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+0.6
3019-11SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+0.3
3120-11TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+0.6
3220-12SOUTHRTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kennedi Walker+0.3
3321-12TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+0.5
3422-12SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errLauren Battle+0.2
3522-13SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+0.1
3622-14TX SOUTX SOUAttack errSereniti Johnson+0.2
3723-14TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+0.2
3823-15SOUTHRTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+0.1
3923-16TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Kennedi Walker+0.1
4023-17TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Kadence Davison+0.3
4124-17TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errLauren Battle+0.5
4225-17SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errMorgynne McQueen+0.1
Set 2
10-1SOUTHRTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+2.1
21-1TX SOUSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+2.2
32-1SOUTHRSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+2.7
42-2SOUTHRTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+2.2
53-2TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+2.4
64-2SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errLauren Battle+2.9
74-3SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+2.3
85-3TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Mariah Mott+2.6
96-3SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Keldri Young+3.0
106-4SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.3
117-4TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+2.7
127-5SOUTHRTX SOUBad setPenina Vito+2.4
138-5TX SOUSOUTHR×6KillAlyssa Williamsset Penina Vito+2.7
149-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×6Attack errKeldri Young+3.1
1510-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×6AceSouthern U.+2.9
1611-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×6KillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+2.6
1712-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×6Attack errKennedi Walker+2.3
1813-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×6Attack errSelana Morales+1.8
1913-6SOUTHRTX SOU×4Serve errSouthern U.+1.1
2013-7TX SOUTX SOU×4KillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+1.7
2113-8TX SOUTX SOU×4Bad setPenina Vito+2.1
2213-9TX SOUTX SOU×4KillSelana Moralesset Kadence Davison+2.5
2314-9TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errEmory Harper+2.6
2414-10SOUTHRTX SOUKillKadence Davison+2.1
2515-10TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Maleah Faust+2.7
2615-11SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errBraelynn Reese+2.1
2716-11TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+2.7
2816-12SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errSereniti Johnson+2.0
2916-13TX SOUTX SOUBlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Ava Houston, Morgynne McQueen+3.0
3017-13TX SOUSOUTHR×3Serve errTexas Southern+3.2
3118-13SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillNyla Houltset Penina Vito+3.2
3219-13SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedMorgynne McQueenblk Nyla Hoult, Paulina Agudelo Marin+2.5
3319-14SOUTHRTX SOU×3KillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+1.4
3419-15TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errNyla Hoult+2.2
3519-16TX SOUTX SOU×3KillSelana Moralesset Kennedi Walker+3.0
3620-16TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errSelana Morales+3.5
3721-16SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Selana Morales+3.1
3821-17SOUTHRTX SOU×4KillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+1.6
3921-18TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.8
4021-19TX SOUTX SOU×4KillSelana Moralesset Kennedi Walker+3.9
4121-20TX SOUTX SOU×4BlockedNorielle Battleblk Selana Morales+5.2
4222-20TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errSelana Morales+5.8
4322-21SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+4.6
4423-21TX SOUSOUTHRKillNorielle Battleset Penina Vito+6.6
4523-22SOUTHRTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Kadence Davison+4.9
4623-23TX SOUTX SOUAttack errMariah Mott+8.6
4724-23TX SOUSOUTHRBad setLacey Kusnier+9.9
4825-23SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errEmory Harper+12.6
Set 3
11-0TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+1.9
22-0SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errAva Houston+2.3
32-1SOUTHRTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kadence Davison+1.9
43-1TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+2.0
53-2SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kadence Davison+1.9
63-3TX SOUTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Aliyah Spencer+2.3
74-3TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+2.0
84-4SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.0
95-4TX SOUSOUTHRBad setLauren Battle+2.1
106-4SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Keldri Young+2.6
116-5SOUTHRTX SOU×7KillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+2.0
126-6TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errReagan Robinson+2.5
136-7TX SOUTX SOU×7KillEmory Harperset Keagan St. Junious+2.4
146-8TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errSereniti Johnson+2.3
156-9TX SOUTX SOU×7BlockedPaulina Agudelo Marinblk Keldri Young, Morgynne McQueen+2.1
166-10TX SOUTX SOU×7AceTexas Southernaced Ayana Johnson+1.9
176-11TX SOUTX SOU×7Attack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.6
187-11TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+1.2
197-12SOUTHRTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kennedi Walker+1.4
208-12TX SOUSOUTHRKillMaleah Faustset Kennedi Walker+1.2
219-12SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errAliyah Spencer+1.8
229-13SOUTHRTX SOU×5KillAliyah Spencerset Kennedi Walker+1.7
239-14TX SOUTX SOU×5AceTexas Southernaced Mariah Mott+1.7
249-15TX SOUTX SOU×5KillKeldri Youngset Keagan St. Junious+1.3
259-16TX SOUTX SOU×5KillKeldri Youngset Najah Harris+1.0
269-17TX SOUTX SOU×5Attack errMariah Mott+0.7
2710-17TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+0.4
2811-17SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedAva Houstonblk Mariah Mott, Braelynn Reese+0.7
2911-18SOUTHRTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kadence Davison+0.8
3012-18TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Maleah Faust+0.5
3112-19SOUTHRTX SOU×3KillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+0.7
3212-20TX SOUTX SOU×3AceTexas Southernaced Reagan Robinson+0.5
3312-21TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+0.3
3413-21TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+0.1
3513-22SOUTHRTX SOU×3Serve errSouthern U.+0.2
3613-23TX SOUTX SOU×3KillEmory Harperset Kennedi Walker+0.1
3713-24TX SOUTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker·
3814-24TX SOUSOUTHRBad setKennedi Walker·
3915-24SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Keldri Young·
4015-25SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errNorielle Battle·
Set 4
10-1SOUTHRTX SOUServe errSouthern U.+2.9
21-1TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillReagan Robinsonset Najah Harris+3.0
32-1SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAva Houston+3.7
43-1SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedAliyah Spencerblk Braelynn Reese, Sereniti Johnson+3.9
53-2SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kadence Davison+3.1
64-2TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+3.4
74-3SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+3.2
85-3TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+3.5
95-4SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+3.2
106-4TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Penina Vito+3.6
116-5SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+3.3
126-6TX SOUTX SOUBad setPenina Vito+4.0
137-6TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+3.6
148-6SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedKeldri Youngblk Braelynn Reese, Alayah Wilson+4.4
159-6SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.+4.4
169-7SOUTHRTX SOUServe errSouthern U.+3.4
1710-7TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+3.9
1810-8SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kadence Davison+3.5
1911-8TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+4.0
2011-9SOUTHRTX SOUBlockedSereniti Johnsonblk Ava Houston+3.5
2112-9TX SOUSOUTHRKillSereniti Johnsonset Najah Harris+4.1
2213-9SOUTHRSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Kadence Davison+4.6
2313-10SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+3.3
2414-10TX SOUSOUTHR×4KillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+4.0
2515-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillAlayah Wilsonset Najah Harris+4.2
2616-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedLauren Battleblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Alayah Wilson+3.6
2717-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+2.8
2817-11SOUTHRTX SOU×4KillSelana Moralesset Kennedi Walker+1.6
2917-12TX SOUTX SOU×4KillEmory Harperset Kennedi Walker+2.5
3017-13TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errAlayah Wilson+3.2
3117-14TX SOUTX SOU×4BlockedAlayah Wilsonblk Morgynne McQueen+4.1
3218-14TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+4.5
3318-15SOUTHRTX SOU×3Attack errNajah Harris+3.4
3418-16TX SOUTX SOU×3BlockedPaulina Agudelo Marinblk Aliyah Spencer+5.0
3518-17TX SOUTX SOU×3KillKeldri Youngset Kennedi Walker+5.9
3619-17TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+6.0
3720-17SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedEmory Harperblk Reagan Robinson+6.7
3820-18SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+4.4
3921-18TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+6.0
4022-18SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAva Houston+5.7
4123-18SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+3.7
4223-19SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errAlyssa Williams+1.3
4324-19TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errAva Houston+2.6
4424-20SOUTHRTX SOUServe errSouthern U.+0.7
4524-21TX SOUTX SOUAttack errBraelynn Reese+1.7
4625-21TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+3.3

Score shown after each rally, Southern U. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).