Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026

Southern U. def. Texas Southern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas Southern 57.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern U. beat visiting Texas Southern 3-1 (19-25, 25-21, 25-19, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Alayah Wilson led Southern U. with 11 kills; Texas Southern's Morgynne McQueen had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
TX SOU252119211
SOUTHR192525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Penina Vito, and Southern U. needed each of them.

The match turned twice; each line shows Southern U.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had Texas Southern at 57% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Texas Southern 7–7 Southern U.

    5 straight Southern U. points broke a 7–7 tie and made it 12–7.

    Southern U. 72% → 90%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Texas Southern 19–19 Southern U.

    Southern U. scored 3 straight to go from 19–19 to a 22–19 lead.

    Southern U. 73% → 92%

Southern U. above 50Texas Southern belowMax swing 7.2%

Texas SouthernSouthern U.

Sideout %
Texas Southern 55.9·Southern U. 60.9
Break %
Texas Southern 39.1·Southern U. 44.1
Hitting
Texas Southern .164·Southern U. .179
Longest run
Texas Southern 4·Southern U. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern U. above 50 · Texas Southern below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.2% SOUTHRrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.2% to Southern U. — set 4, TX SOU 19-21 SOUTHR. Attack error by Ava Houston. SOUTHR win probability 79% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX SOU 57.9%42.1% SOUTHR

Texas Southern wins

3-0
16.1%
3-1
22.1%
3-2
19.7%

Southern U. wins

3-0
9.5%
3-1
15.4%
3-2
17.2%
TX SOU break %
46.5% vs this opp
SOUTHR break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava HoustonAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Ava Houston

    Set 4 · TX SOU 19-21 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 79% → 86%

  2. 02
    Ava HoustonAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Ava Houston

    Set 4 · TX SOU 19-22 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 86% → 92%

  3. 03

    Kill by Alyssa Williams (set by Maleah Faust)

    Set 4 · TX SOU 19-20 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 73% → 79%

  4. 04
    Reagan RobinsonAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Reagan Robinson

    Set 4 · TX SOU 18-18 SOUTHR · TX SOU 21% → 27%

  5. 05

    Kill by Alyssa Williams (set by Maleah Faust)

    Set 4 · TX SOU 20-23 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 89% → 94%

  6. 06
    Mariah MottKill+5.6%

    Kill by Mariah Mott (set by Penina Vito)

    Set 4 · TX SOU 18-19 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 73% → 78%

  7. 07
    Ava HoustonKill+5.5%

    Kill by Ava Houston (set by Kennedi Walker)

    Set 4 · TX SOU 19-19 SOUTHR · TX SOU 22% → 27%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alyssa Williams (set by Najah Harris)

    Set 3 · TX SOU 16-19 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 56% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413020.6500002012215
45424.04201092010.56.5
46525.040000500006
45314.1430121430006
4339.00002210010.55.5
4001.0002211500001
411421.33300010031.512.5
4015-.2002021350000
4002.0002201400000
34517-.05900000010.54.5
2205.400000000002
2003.000000100211
Team totals4925146.16446585511110686
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411433.21201071031.513.5
410325.2800003002111
47216.3131010008411
46114.3570210004210
4000–2462900006
1114.000000110001
48420.2002001006311
47623.04300191010.57.5
4001.0001820800002
4011-1.0002002200000
2022-1.000000000000
2011-1.000100200000
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5025140.179481166250241294

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Texas Southern vs Southern U.

Season series · Southern U. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TX SOU · SOUTHR 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 TX SOUSOUTHR 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 TX SOUSOUTHR 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 TX SOUSOUTHR 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUSOUTHR 5

Bars above the line = Southern U. leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
41%7/17
2
64%9/14
42%8/19
3
62%8/13
27%3/11
4
62%8/13
38%5/13
5
53%8/15
47%7/15
6
62%8/13
33%4/12
All
56%52/93
39%34/87

Southern U.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
50%10/20
2
60%9/15
50%10/20
3
62%8/13
27%3/11
4
53%8/15
50%8/16
5
80%8/10
20%2/10
6
47%8/17
50%8/16
All
61%53/87
44%41/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#TX SOU-SOUTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SOUTHRTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+1.9
21-1TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.9
32-1SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Keagan St. Junious+2.0
42-2TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+2.0
53-2SOUTHRTX SOU×4KillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.0
64-2TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.3
75-2TX SOUTX SOU×4BlockedMariah Mottblk Selana Morales, Aliyah Spencer+2.2
86-2TX SOUTX SOU×4AceTexas Southernaced Norielle Battle+2.1
96-3TX SOUSOUTHR×4Attack errSelana Morales+1.6
106-4SOUTHRSOUTHR×4AceSouthern U.+2.1
116-5SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedKeagan St. Juniousblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Alyssa Williams+2.4
126-6SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Alyssa Williams+2.6
137-6SOUTHRTX SOU×3KillSelana Moralesset Keagan St. Junious+2.2
148-6TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errNorielle Battle+2.6
159-6TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAlyssa Williams+2.4
169-7TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+1.9
1710-7SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.1
1810-8TX SOUSOUTHRBlockedSelana Moralesblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Alyssa Williams+2.0
1910-9SOUTHRSOUTHRAceSouthern U.aced Lauren Battle+2.6
2011-9SOUTHRTX SOU×3Serve errSouthern U.+2.4
2112-9TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAlyssa Williams+2.6
2213-9TX SOUTX SOU×3KillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+2.4
2313-10TX SOUSOUTHRBlockedLauren Battleblk Braelynn Reese, Alyssa Williams+1.8
2413-11SOUTHRSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+2.5
2514-11SOUTHRTX SOU×3Serve errSouthern U.+2.4
2615-11TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errBraelynn Reese+2.5
2716-11TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAlayah Wilson+2.1
2816-12TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+1.4
2917-12SOUTHRTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Najah Harris+1.8
3018-12TX SOUTX SOUAttack errAyana Johnson+1.6
3118-13TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Ayana Johnson+0.9
3219-13SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+1.3
3319-14TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.9
3420-14SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+1.2
3521-14TX SOUTX SOUAceTexas Southern+0.9
3621-15TX SOUSOUTHRKillNorielle Battleset Maleah Faust+0.4
3721-16SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedSelana Moralesblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Alyssa Williams+0.8
3822-16SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+1.0
3922-17TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Maleah Faust+0.5
4023-17SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+0.9
4123-18TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+0.3
4224-18SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+0.6
4324-19TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+0.2
4425-19SOUTHRTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+0.3
Set 2
11-0TX SOUTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.1
21-1TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+1.8
32-1SOUTHRTX SOU×3KillKeldri Youngset Kadence Davison+1.8
43-1TX SOUTX SOU×3KillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+2.1
54-1TX SOUTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.0
64-2TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.6
74-3SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedLauren Battleblk Braelynn Reese, Mariah Mott+2.1
85-3SOUTHRTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+1.9
95-4TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.8
105-5SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errAliyah Spencer+2.3
116-5SOUTHRTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+2.0
127-5TX SOUTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.3
137-6TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+1.9
148-6SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+2.0
158-7TX SOUSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Maleah Faust+2.0
169-7SOUTHRTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kennedi Walker+2.1
179-8TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+2.0
1810-8SOUTHRTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kennedi Walker+2.1
1910-9TX SOUSOUTHR×5KillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+2.1
2010-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×5BlockedGracie Leeblk Braelynn Reese, Alayah Wilson+2.7
2110-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×5AceSouthern U.aced Keagan St. Junious+2.8
2210-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×5AceSouthern U.aced Keagan St. Junious+2.9
2310-13SOUTHRSOUTHR×5BlockedKeldri Youngblk Braelynn Reese, Alayah Wilson+2.8
2411-13SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.1
2511-14TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+2.4
2612-14SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+2.2
2712-15TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+2.5
2812-16SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errGracie Lee+2.7
2912-17SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAliyah Spencer+2.3
3013-17SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errPaulina Agudelo Marin+1.5
3113-18TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errAva Houston+1.9
3213-19SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errLauren Battle+1.7
3314-19SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+0.9
3415-19TX SOUTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+1.6
3515-20TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+1.9
3616-20SOUTHRTX SOU×4Serve errSouthern U.+1.3
3717-20TX SOUTX SOU×4BlockedAlyssa Williamsblk Morgynne McQueen, Lauren Battle+2.1
3818-20TX SOUTX SOU×4BlockedAlayah Wilsonblk Ava Houston, Morgynne McQueen+2.9
3919-20TX SOUTX SOU×4AceTexas Southernaced Reagan Robinson+3.8
4019-21TX SOUSOUTHR×3Serve errTexas Southern+4.0
4119-22SOUTHRSOUTHR×3AceSouthern U.aced Lauren Battle+4.1
4219-23SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedSelana Moralesblk Braelynn Reese, Alyssa Williams+2.9
4320-23SOUTHRTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Kennedi Walker+1.3
4420-24TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+2.3
4521-24SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+0.8
4621-25TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+1.7
Set 3
10-1SOUTHRSOUTHR×4AceSouthern U.aced Keagan St. Junious+3.1
20-2SOUTHRSOUTHR×4Attack errGracie Lee+3.2
30-3SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+3.1
40-4SOUTHRSOUTHR×4AceSouthern U.aced Keldri Young+3.0
51-4SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.3
61-5TX SOUSOUTHRAttack errLauren Battle+2.6
72-5SOUTHRTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kadence Davison+2.4
82-6TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+2.7
92-7SOUTHRSOUTHRAttack errAliyah Spencer+2.9
103-7SOUTHRTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+2.1
113-8TX SOUSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+2.5
124-8SOUTHRTX SOU×3KillEmory Harperset Kennedi Walker+2.1
135-8TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAlyssa Williams+2.9
146-8TX SOUTX SOU×3KillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+3.2
156-9TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+3.0
167-9SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+2.8
177-10TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+3.1
188-10SOUTHRTX SOU×4KillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.8
199-10TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAva Houstonset Kadence Davison+3.7
2010-10TX SOUTX SOU×4AceTexas Southern+3.9
2111-10TX SOUTX SOU×4Bad setMaleah Faust+4.0
2211-11TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Maleah Faust+3.4
2311-12SOUTHRSOUTHRBlockedGracie Leeblk Alayah Wilson, Braelynn Reese+4.2
2412-12SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kadence Davison+3.5
2512-13TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+3.7
2613-13SOUTHRTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+3.7
2713-14TX SOUSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+3.9
2814-14SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errZaria Nelson+3.8
2914-15TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+4.1
3014-16SOUTHRSOUTHRAceMaleah Faustaced Keagan St. Junious+4.9
3115-16SOUTHRTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kennedi Walker+3.8
3215-17TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+4.3
3316-17SOUTHRTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kennedi Walker+4.0
3416-18TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+4.6
3516-19SOUTHRSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Najah Harris+5.0
3617-19SOUTHRTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kadence Davison+3.5
3717-20TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+4.5
3817-21SOUTHRSOUTHRAcePenina Vitoaced Keldri Young+4.3
3918-21SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+2.5
4019-21TX SOUTX SOUBlockedAlayah Wilsonblk Aaliyah Brown, Ava Houston+4.2
4119-22TX SOUSOUTHR×4KillBraelynn Reeseset Penina Vito+5.0
4219-23SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+4.2
4319-24SOUTHRSOUTHR×4KillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+2.2
4419-25SOUTHRSOUTHR×4BlockedGracie Leeblk Reagan Robinson, Braelynn Reese+0.6
Set 4
10-1TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlayah Wilsonset Penina Vito+2.8
20-2SOUTHRSOUTHRAcePenina Vitoaced Keagan St. Junious+3.4
31-2SOUTHRTX SOUKillKeldri Youngset Kadence Davison+2.8
42-2TX SOUTX SOUAttack errMariah Mott+3.4
52-3TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Kadence Davison+3.0
62-4SOUTHRSOUTHRAceAlayah Wilsonaced Keldri Young+3.5
73-4SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Penina Vito+2.9
84-4TX SOUTX SOUAttack errZaria Nelson+3.5
94-5TX SOUSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Penina Vito+3.1
104-6SOUTHRSOUTHRKillReagan Robinsonset Braelynn Reese+3.7
115-6SOUTHRTX SOUServe errBraelynn Reese+3.0
125-7TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Penina Vito+3.2
136-7SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+3.1
147-7TX SOUTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+3.8
157-8TX SOUSOUTHR×5KillReagan Robinsonset Alyssa Williams+3.4
167-9SOUTHRSOUTHR×5KillAlayah Wilsonset Maleah Faust+4.0
177-10SOUTHRSOUTHR×5Attack errAva Houston+3.9
187-11SOUTHRSOUTHR×5BlockedKeldri Youngblk Paulina Agudelo Marin, Alyssa Williams+3.7
197-12SOUTHRSOUTHR×5Attack errKeldri Young+3.3
208-12SOUTHRTX SOUKillSelana Moralesset Kennedi Walker+2.3
219-12TX SOUTX SOUBlockedAlayah Wilsonblk Ava Houston, Aaliyah Brown+3.3
229-13TX SOUSOUTHRKillPaulina Agudelo Marinset Maleah Faust+3.3
2310-13SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+2.8
2411-13TX SOUTX SOUAceKadence Davisonaced Alayah Wilson+3.8
2511-14TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+3.8
2611-15SOUTHRSOUTHR×3KillAlayah Wilsonset Najah Harris+4.0
2711-16SOUTHRSOUTHR×3BlockedSelana Moralesblk Braelynn Reese, Mariah Mott+3.5
2812-16SOUTHRTX SOU×3Serve errPenina Vito+2.3
2913-16TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errMariah Mott+3.4
3014-16TX SOUTX SOU×3BlockedBraelynn Reeseblk Morgynne McQueen+4.1
3114-17TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+4.2
3215-17SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kadence Davison+3.6
3316-17TX SOUTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+5.0
3416-18TX SOUSOUTHRServe errTexas Southern+4.9
3517-18SOUTHRTX SOUServe errElizabeth Lualemaga+4.4
3618-18TX SOUTX SOUAttack errReagan Robinson+6.0
3718-19TX SOUSOUTHRKillMariah Mottset Penina Vito+5.6
3819-19SOUTHRTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+5.5
3919-20TX SOUSOUTHR×3KillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+6.1
4019-21SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAva Houston+7.2
4119-22SOUTHRSOUTHR×3Attack errAva Houston+6.3
4220-22SOUTHRTX SOUAttack errNajah Harris+3.7
4320-23TX SOUSOUTHRKillAlyssa Williamsset Maleah Faust+5.7
4420-24SOUTHRSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+4.2
4521-24SOUTHRTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+1.2
4621-25TX SOUSOUTHRKillBraelynn Reeseset Maleah Faust+2.7

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).