Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Radford def. USC Upstate 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Radford 63.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Radford beat visiting USC Upstate 3-1 (25-22, 16-25, 25-14, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Radford's Addison Cunnagin led with 14 kills, and Mia Jannazzo added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
SC UPS222514201
RADFRD251625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Radford won 6 of the last 8 rallies to close out USC Upstate.

The match turned twice; each line shows Radford's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Radford went in as RallyIQ's 63% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · USC Upstate 15–13 Radford

    Radford scored 4 straight to turn a 13–15 deficit into a 17–15 lead.

    Radford 72% → 88%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · USC Upstate 20–20 Radford

    5 straight Radford points broke a 20–20 tie and made it 25–20.

    Radford 80% → >99%

Radford above 50USC Upstate belowMax swing 6.3%

USC UpstateRadford

Sideout %
USC Upstate 55.6·Radford 62.2
Break %
USC Upstate 37.8·Radford 44.4
Hitting
USC Upstate .182·Radford .276
Longest run
USC Upstate 4·Radford 6

Ela Shepherd
2 kills inside the turning points, 5 K and .125 for the match (6.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Radford above 50 · USC Upstate below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.3% RADFRDrally 172 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.3% to Radford — set 4, SC UPS 20-22 RADFRD. Kill by Ela Shepherd (set by Maja Bochenek). RADFRD win probability 85% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SC UPS 32.4%67.6% RADFRD

USC Upstate wins

3-0
6.4%
3-1
11.5%
3-2
14.5%

Radford wins

3-0
21.7%
3-1
26.0%
3-2
20.0%
SC UPS break %
40.6% vs this opp
RADFRD break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ela ShepherdKill+6.3%

    Kill by Ela Shepherd (set by Maja Bochenek)

    Set 4 · SC UPS 20-22 RADFRD · RADFRD 85% → 92%

  2. 02

    Sophia Spivey stuffed by Aubrey Hatch & Maja Bochenek

    Set 1 · SC UPS 21-22 RADFRD · RADFRD 61% → 67%

  3. 03
    Savannah PageAttack error+5.8%

    Attack error by Savannah Page

    Set 1 · SC UPS 21-23 RADFRD · RADFRD 67% → 73%

  4. 04
    Tien MurrayKill+5.7%

    Kill by Tien Murray (set by Kamyla Vega David)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 21-20 RADFRD · SC UPS 37% → 43%

  5. 05
    Ela ShepherdKill+5.0%

    Kill by Ela Shepherd (set by Lea Gage)

    Set 1 · SC UPS 22-24 RADFRD · RADFRD 70% → 75%

  6. 06
    Tien MurrayAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Tien Murray

    Set 4 · SC UPS 20-21 RADFRD · RADFRD 80% → 85%

  7. 07
    Addison CunnaginAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Addison Cunnagin

    Set 4 · SC UPS 17-17 RADFRD · SC UPS 15% → 19%

  8. 08

    Ace by Maja Bochenek on Sophia Overholt

    Set 4 · SC UPS 20-23 RADFRD · RADFRD 92% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412430.26700000132.514.5
410533.1520005002111
45215.200010300217
46421.09500010010.56.5
43318.0000001320003
4003.00047201100213
4000–3211820002
4006.000110700001
4001.0000111200001
314332.3440000000014
2216.16700001010.52.5
1000–00000010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals5222165.1825172707112781
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414536.25011012100015
412238.2630002202113
48014.57122250031.511.5
45217.17600010233.58.5
45316.12520010031.56.5
4002.00024001100000
411217.529011122010.512.5
4000–5312020003
4000–25001400000
25316.125000000005
Team totals6017156.2765974787212891

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

USC Upstate vs Radford

Season series · Radford leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SC UPS · RADFRD 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 SC UPSRADFRD 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 SC UPSRADFRD 2

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 SC UPSRADFRD 6

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 3 SC UPSRADFRD 5

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = USC Upstate leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

USC Upstate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
25%3/12
2
44%8/18
41%7/17
3
80%8/10
33%4/12
4
47%8/17
20%2/10
5
73%8/11
50%8/16
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
56%50/90
38%31/82

Radford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
55%11/20
2
50%9/18
44%7/16
3
80%8/10
47%7/15
4
67%8/12
33%4/12
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
50%8/16
43%6/14
All
62%51/82
44%40/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#SC UPS-RADFRDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RADFRDRADFRDAttack errSophia Spivey+2.3
21-1RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
31-2SC UPSRADFRD×5KillAubrey Hatchset Mia Jannazzo+1.7
41-3RADFRDRADFRD×5BlockedSophia Spiveyblk Maja Bochenek, Aubrey Hatch+2.3
51-4RADFRDRADFRD×5Attack errSophia Overholt+2.1
61-5RADFRDRADFRD×5KillKatrina Millerset Lea Gage+1.9
71-6RADFRDRADFRD×5Attack errSophia Spivey+1.7
82-6RADFRDSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
93-6SC UPSSC UPS×3Bad setAlyssa Cadavid+1.8
104-6SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedKatrina Millerblk Sophia Spivey, Kensley Haneline+2.1
114-7SC UPSRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+1.7
125-7RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Overholtset Kamyla Vega David+1.6
136-7SC UPSSC UPSBlockedAddison Cunnaginblk Kensley Haneline, Kamyla Vega David+2.4
146-8SC UPSRADFRD×3KillKatrina Millerset Alyssa Cadavid+1.9
156-9RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errSophia Overholt+2.4
166-10RADFRDRADFRD×3KillKatrina Millerset Maja Bochenek+2.1
177-10RADFRDSC UPS×4KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
188-10SC UPSSC UPS×4BlockedTaryn Robertsblk Kensley Haneline+2.2
199-10SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errKatrina Miller+2.6
2010-10SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.9
2110-11SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+2.2
2211-11RADFRDSC UPSAttack errAddison Cunnagin+2.3
2311-12SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+2.3
2412-12RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Emma DeSensi+2.4
2513-12SC UPSSC UPSAttack errEla Shepherd+3.4
2613-13SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Ela Shepherd+2.5
2714-13RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.7
2815-13SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Aubrey Hatch+3.6
2915-14SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+2.5
3016-14RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Overholtset Kamyla Vega David+2.9
3116-15SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+2.6
3216-16RADFRDRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Alyssa Cadavid+3.8
3317-16RADFRDSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+3.1
3417-17SC UPSRADFRDServe errUSC Upstate+3.0
3517-18RADFRDRADFRDAttack errSophia Overholt+4.2
3618-18RADFRDSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+3.2
3718-19SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+3.4
3819-19RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.4
3919-20SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+3.7
4020-20RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.7
4121-20SC UPSSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+5.7
4221-21SC UPSRADFRD×3KillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+4.1
4321-22RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedSophia Spiveyblk Aubrey Hatch, Maja Bochenek+6.2
4421-23RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errSavannah Page+5.8
4522-23RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+3.2
4622-24SC UPSRADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+5.0
4722-25RADFRDRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+3.7
Set 2
10-1SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.5
20-2RADFRDRADFRDAceAddison Cunnaginaced Sophia Overholt+1.9
31-2RADFRDSC UPS×3KillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
42-2SC UPSSC UPS×3BlockedTaryn Robertsblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+2.1
53-2SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Mia Jannazzo+2.2
63-3SC UPSRADFRDServe errUSC Upstate+1.6
74-3RADFRDSC UPSBlockedEla Shepherdblk Savannah Page, Tien Murray+1.7
84-4SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.6
95-4RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+1.7
106-4SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.4
116-5SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+1.7
127-5RADFRDSC UPS×3KillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+1.8
138-5SC UPSSC UPS×3Attack errKatrina Miller+2.4
149-5SC UPSSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+2.3
159-6SC UPSRADFRDKillKatrina Millerset Alyssa Cadavid+1.5
1610-6RADFRDSC UPS×4Serve errMaja Bochenek+1.8
1711-6SC UPSSC UPS×4KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.1
1812-6SC UPSSC UPS×4Attack errAddison Cunnagin+1.8
1913-6SC UPSSC UPS×4KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.5
2013-7SC UPSRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+0.8
2114-7RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+1.1
2214-8SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+0.8
2314-9RADFRDRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Lea Gage+1.3
2415-9RADFRDSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.4
2516-9SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Aubrey Hatch+1.4
2616-10SC UPSRADFRDBlockedSavannah Pageblk Taryn Roberts, Ela Shepherd+0.7
2716-11RADFRDRADFRDAceMia Jannazzoaced Emma DeSensi+1.3
2817-11RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+1.3
2918-11SC UPSSC UPSAttack errEla Shepherd+1.2
3018-12SC UPSRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+0.6
3119-12RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Kamyla Vega David+0.9
3219-13SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+0.5
3320-13RADFRDSC UPSServe errMacie Potter+0.8
3421-13SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Macie Potter+0.6
3521-14SC UPSRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Alyssa Cadavid+0.2
3621-15RADFRDRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Bri Brathol+0.4
3722-15RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.6
3823-15SC UPSSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.3
3923-16SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+0.1
4024-16RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.1
4125-16SC UPSSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David·
Set 3
10-1RADFRDRADFRD×3KillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+3.1
20-2RADFRDRADFRD×3BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Macie Potter, Taryn Roberts+3.0
30-3RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errSavannah Page+2.8
41-3RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.0
51-4SC UPSRADFRDAttack errSavannah Page+2.1
62-4RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+2.1
72-5SC UPSRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+2.2
83-5RADFRDSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+2.1
93-6SC UPSRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+2.2
103-7RADFRDRADFRDAttack errSummer Kohler+2.7
114-7RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Spiveyset Emma DeSensi+1.9
124-8SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Alyssa Cadavid+2.1
135-8RADFRDSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+1.9
145-9SC UPSRADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+2.1
155-10RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.4
165-11RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.0
175-12RADFRDRADFRD×4KillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage+1.5
186-12RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+0.9
196-13SC UPSRADFRD×6KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+1.1
206-14RADFRDRADFRD×6BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Taryn Roberts+1.1
216-15RADFRDRADFRD×6KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+0.7
226-16RADFRDRADFRD×6AceMaja Bochenek+0.4
236-17RADFRDRADFRD×6KillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+0.2
246-18RADFRDRADFRD×6BlockedKensley Hanelineblk Taryn Roberts+0.1
257-18RADFRDSC UPSAttack errMacie Potter·
267-19SC UPSRADFRDKillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+0.1
278-19RADFRDSC UPSKillAlyssa Hookset Kamyla Vega David·
289-19SC UPSSC UPSAttack errAubrey Hatch+0.1
299-20SC UPSRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Alyssa Cadavid+0.1
309-21RADFRDRADFRDKillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+0.1
3110-21RADFRDSC UPSBlockedAubrey Hatchblk Lauren DeOrio, Alyssa Hook·
3210-22SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid·
3311-22RADFRDSC UPSServe errMia Jannazzo·
3411-23SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid·
3512-23RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Emma DeSensi·
3613-23SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Macie Potter·
3713-24SC UPSRADFRDKillMaja Bochenekset Lea Gage·
3814-24RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David·
3914-25SC UPSRADFRDBlockedAlyssa Hookblk Maja Bochenek, Ela Shepherd·
Set 4
10-1SC UPSRADFRDAttack errSummer Kohler+2.1
21-1RADFRDSC UPSKillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+2.1
32-1SC UPSSC UPSAceUSC Upstateaced Addison Cunnagin+3.0
42-2SC UPSRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Mia Jannazzo+2.2
53-2RADFRDSC UPSServe errMaja Bochenek+2.3
63-3SC UPSRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Mia Jannazzo+2.2
74-3RADFRDSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Bri Brathol+2.4
84-4SC UPSRADFRD×3KillAubrey Hatchset Addison Cunnagin+2.3
94-5RADFRDRADFRD×3Attack errKensley Haneline+3.1
104-6RADFRDRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+3.0
115-6RADFRDSC UPSKillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+2.2
126-6SC UPSSC UPSKillAlyssa Hookset Kamyla Vega David+3.2
136-7SC UPSRADFRD×3KillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+2.4
146-8RADFRDRADFRD×3AceMia Jannazzo+3.1
156-9RADFRDRADFRD×3AceMia Jannazzoaced Emma DeSensi+2.9
167-9RADFRDSC UPS×3BlockedAddison Cunnaginblk Kensley Haneline, Kamyla Vega David+2.0
178-9SC UPSSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+3.1
189-9SC UPSSC UPS×3KillKensley Hanelineset Kamyla Vega David+3.5
199-10SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+2.6
2010-10RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.7
2110-11SC UPSRADFRDAttack errTien Murray+2.7
2211-11RADFRDSC UPS×3KillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+2.8
2312-11SC UPSSC UPS×3KillTien Murrayset Kamyla Vega David+4.0
2413-11SC UPSSC UPS×3AceUSC Upstateaced Mia Jannazzo+4.1
2513-12SC UPSRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Lea Gage+2.8
2614-12RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+3.2
2714-13SC UPSRADFRDKillMacie Potterset Ela Shepherd+2.9
2815-13RADFRDSC UPSKillSavannah Pageset Kamyla Vega David+3.3
2915-14SC UPSRADFRD×4KillAubrey Hatchset Mia Jannazzo+3.0
3015-15RADFRDRADFRD×4AceMacie Potteraced Alyssa Hook+4.4
3115-16RADFRDRADFRD×4Attack errSavannah Page+4.6
3215-17RADFRDRADFRD×4KillTaryn Robertsset Alyssa Cadavid+4.4
3316-17RADFRDSC UPSKillSophia Overholtset Kamyla Vega David+3.1
3417-17SC UPSSC UPSAttack errAddison Cunnagin+4.8
3517-18SC UPSRADFRDKillAubrey Hatchset Mia Jannazzo+3.8
3618-18RADFRDSC UPSAttack errMacie Potter+3.9
3718-19SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Alyssa Cadavid+4.1
3819-19RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+4.2
3919-20SC UPSRADFRDKillAddison Cunnaginset Lea Gage+4.5
4020-20RADFRDSC UPSKillSummer Kohlerset Kamyla Vega David+4.5
4120-21SC UPSRADFRD×5Attack errTien Murray+5.0
4220-22RADFRDRADFRD×5KillEla Shepherdset Maja Bochenek+6.3
4320-23RADFRDRADFRD×5AceMaja Bochenekaced Sophia Overholt+4.8
4420-24RADFRDRADFRD×5KillEla Shepherdset Lea Gage+2.7
4520-25RADFRDRADFRD×5BlockedSummer Kohlerblk Ela Shepherd, Taryn Roberts+0.8

Score shown after each rally, USC Upstate first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).