Winthrop vs USC Upstate Volleyball: Winthrop Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Winthrop 73.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Winthrop won at USC Upstate 3-0 (25-23, 25-23, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Winthrop's Paige Bennett led with 13 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 10:20 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WINTHR	25	25	25	3
SC UPS	23	23	16	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Winthrop trailed 5–10 in the second and still took the set, then the match.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Winthrop's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Winthrop at 73%.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Winthrop 21–14 USC Upstate
9 straight USC Upstate points turned a 14–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.
Winthrop 85% → 59%
Turning point 2: Set 1 · Winthrop 21–23 USC Upstate
Winthrop won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.
Winthrop 59% → 85%

USC Upstate above 50Winthrop belowMax swing 8.4%

WinthropUSC Upstate

Sideout %: Winthrop 54.7·USC Upstate 45.2
Break %: Winthrop 54.8·USC Upstate 45.3
Hitting: Winthrop .237·USC Upstate .118
Longest run: Winthrop 5·USC Upstate 9

KeAra Bowen
2 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .360 for the match (11.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

USC Upstate above 50 · Winthrop below

Biggest swing: 8.4% to Winthrop — set 1, WINTHR 24-23 SC UPS. Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Addison Torain). SC UPS win probability 31% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WINTHR 75.2%24.8% SC UPS

Winthrop wins

3-0

27.2%

3-1

28.7%

3-2

19.3%

USC Upstate wins

3-0

4.4%

3-1

8.5%

3-2

12.0%

WINTHR break %: 45.7% vs this opp
SC UPS break %: 40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
KeAra BowenKill+8.4%
Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Addison Torain)
Set 1 · WINTHR 24-23 SC UPS · WINTHR 69% → 77%
02
KeAra Bowen&Teagan SychterzBlock+7.5%
Sophia Overholt stuffed by KeAra Bowen & Teagan Sychterz
Set 1 · WINTHR 25-23 SC UPS · WINTHR 77% → 85%
03
KeAra BowenKill+6.9%
Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Lexi Thatcher)
Set 1 · WINTHR 23-23 SC UPS · WINTHR 62% → 69%
04
Sophia OverholtKill+6.3%
Kill by Sophia Overholt (set by Lauren DeOrio)
Set 1 · WINTHR 21-23 SC UPS · SC UPS 35% → 41%
05
Savannah PageKill+6.1%
Kill by Savannah Page (set by Emma DeSensi)
Set 1 · WINTHR 21-22 SC UPS · SC UPS 29% → 35%
06
KeAra BowenKill+5.3%
Kill by KeAra Bowen (set by Addison Torain)
Set 2 · WINTHR 23-22 SC UPS · WINTHR 82% → 88%
07
Lauren DeOrioKill+4.9%
Kill by Lauren DeOrio
Set 1 · WINTHR 21-21 SC UPS · SC UPS 24% → 29%
08
Paige BennettKill+4.7%
Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher)
Set 2 · WINTHR 24-22 SC UPS · WINTHR 88% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Winthropaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Paige BennettOH	3	13	5	29	.276	0	0	2	11	0	1	1	1.5	14.5
7KeAra BowenOPP	3	10	1	25	.360	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
23Teagan SychterzMB	3	6	3	13	.231	0	1	1	2	0	1	7	4.5	11.5
9Giselle LittleMB	3	11	2	25	.360	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	11
4Lexi ThatcherS	3	2	3	12	-.083	34	1	1	12	0	0	2	1	4
13Alyah CadavidDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
12Reece RhoadsOH	3	4	4	21	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Addison TorainDS	3	2	0	3	.667	8	1	2	14	1	0	0	0	3
6Lindsay LangnerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	14	2	0	0	0	0
24Reese KincaidOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Trabrece MarbleyOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
20Laila GloverOPP	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Cami RobertsS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	18	131	.237	46	3	8	72	3	2	14	9	75

USC Upstatehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Summer KohlerOH	3	8	5	27	.111	0	0	0	2	1	2	1	2.5	10.5
18Kensley HanelineMB	3	5	3	19	.105	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	6
8Sophia OverholtL/DS	3	2	2	28	.000	1	1	0	7	0	0	2	1	4
7Tien MurrayMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
20Kamyla Vega DavidS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	13	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	0
10Sophia SpiveyOH	2	4	4	15	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
6Savannah PageOH	3	9	0	25	.360	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
14Lauren DeOrioMB	3	2	0	5	.400	1	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	5
2Hannah CampbellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	1
13Emma DeSensiL/DS	3	0	0	4	.000	5	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
23Sarah O'ConnorS	3	0	0	2	.000	12	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
19Tehillah GarrisonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Cora HamiltonMB	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
Team totals		33	17	136	.118	32	3	6	56	3	3	10	8	62

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Winthrop vs USC Upstate

Season series · Winthrop leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 17, 2026USC Upstate at Winthrop · Winthrop won 3-0Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Winthrop at USC Upstate · Winthrop won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WINTHR · SC UPS 9

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 WINTHRSC UPS 9

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 WINTHRSC UPS 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 WINTHRSC UPS 3

Bars above the line = USC Upstate leads, below = Winthrop leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Winthrop

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	64%9/14
2	67%6/9	25%2/8
3	55%6/11	63%10/16
4	55%6/11	33%3/9
5	33%6/18	45%5/11
6	80%4/5	73%11/15
All	55%35/64	55%40/73

USC Upstate

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	33%3/9
2	50%6/12	22%2/9
3	46%6/13	40%4/10
4	55%6/11	54%7/13
5	31%4/13	65%11/17
6	44%4/9	33%2/6
All	45%33/73	45%29/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	WINTHR-SC UPS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+2.1
2	1-1	SC UPS	WINTHR	Serve err	USC Upstate		+1.5
3	1-2	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.7
4	2-2	SC UPS	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Sophia Spivey		+1.6
5	3-2	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett		+2.1
6	4-2	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+2.0
7	5-2	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Addison Torain	set Alyah Cadavid	+1.8
8	5-3	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Lindsay Langner		+1.3
9	6-3	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.3
10	6-4	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Paige Bennett		+1.3
11	7-4	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Lexi Thatcher		+1.4
12	7-5	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Emma DeSensi	+1.3
13	8-5	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.4
14	9-5	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.7
15	9-6	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Winthrop		+1.1
16	10-6	SC UPS	WINTHR	Serve err	USC Upstate		+1.3
17	10-7	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Winthrop		+1.2
18	11-7	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.3
19	12-7	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	Teagan Sychterz		+1.4
20	12-8	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.9
21	13-8	SC UPS	WINTHR×3	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
22	14-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
23	15-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.8
24	15-9	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Tien Murray	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
25	15-10	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.8
26	16-10	SC UPS	WINTHR	Serve err	USC Upstate		+0.8
27	17-10	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Kensley Haneline		+0.7
28	17-11	WINTHR	SC UPS×4	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
29	17-12	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Blocked	Lexi Thatcher	blk Summer Kohler	+0.7
30	17-13	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Sophia Overholt	+1.1
31	17-14	SC UPS	SC UPS×4	Blocked	Reece Rhoads	blk Savannah Page, Kensley Haneline	+1.6
32	18-14	SC UPS	WINTHR×4	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.5
33	19-14	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Blocked	Summer Kohler	blk Lexi Thatcher, Teagan Sychterz	+1.5
34	20-14	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.9
35	21-14	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	Addison Torain	aced Summer Kohler	+0.5
36	21-15	WINTHR	SC UPS×9	Serve err	Addison Torain		+0.2
37	21-16	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Attack err	Reece Rhoads		+0.5
38	21-17	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Blocked	Paige Bennett	blk Lauren DeOrio	+0.8
39	21-18	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+1.4
40	21-19	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+2.3
41	21-20	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Attack err	Reece Rhoads		+3.5
42	21-21	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Kill	Lauren DeOrio		+4.9
43	21-22	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Kill	Savannah Page	set Emma DeSensi	+6.1
44	21-23	SC UPS	SC UPS×9	Kill	Sophia Overholt	set Lauren DeOrio	+6.3
45	22-23	SC UPS	WINTHR×4	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+3.3
46	23-23	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+6.9
47	24-23	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+8.4
48	25-23	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Blocked	Sophia Overholt	blk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz	+7.5
Set 2
1	1-0	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Kamyla Vega David		+1.6
2	1-1	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Emma DeSensi	+1.2
3	2-1	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.2
4	2-2	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Teagan Sychterz		+1.3
5	3-2	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+1.2
6	3-3	WINTHR	SC UPS×3	Blocked	Lexi Thatcher	blk Summer Kohler	+1.3
7	3-4	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+1.8
8	3-5	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+2.0
9	4-5	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Alyah Cadavid	+1.3
10	4-6	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Paige Bennett		+1.5
11	4-7	SC UPS	SC UPS	Ace	USC Upstate	aced Lindsay Langner	+2.0
12	5-7	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.4
13	5-8	WINTHR	SC UPS×3	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.6
14	5-9	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Ace	USC Upstate	aced Lindsay Langner	+2.0
15	5-10	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Tien Murray	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.9
16	6-10	SC UPS	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.2
17	7-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	Lexi Thatcher	aced Hannah Campbell	+1.8
18	8-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.0
19	8-11	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+1.7
20	8-12	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	KeAra Bowen		+2.2
21	9-12	SC UPS	WINTHR×4	Serve err	USC Upstate		+1.3
22	10-12	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+2.1
23	11-12	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Blocked	Tien Murray	blk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz	+2.2
24	12-12	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Blocked	Sophia Spivey	blk Teagan Sychterz	+2.3
25	12-13	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.9
26	12-14	SC UPS	SC UPS	Ace	USC Upstate	aced Addison Torain	+2.6
27	13-14	SC UPS	WINTHR	Blocked	Sophia Spivey	blk Paige Bennett	+1.8
28	13-15	WINTHR	SC UPS×3	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+2.1
29	13-16	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Sophia Spivey	set Emma DeSensi	+2.7
30	13-17	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Attack err	Giselle Little		+2.5
31	14-17	SC UPS	WINTHR×5	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.4
32	15-17	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.3
33	16-17	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+2.7
34	17-17	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Attack err	Sophia Spivey		+2.9
35	18-17	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+3.0
36	18-18	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+2.3
37	18-19	SC UPS	SC UPS	Blocked	Lexi Thatcher	blk Summer Kohler, Lauren DeOrio	+3.5
38	19-19	SC UPS	WINTHR	Serve err	USC Upstate		+2.5
39	19-20	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+2.9
40	20-20	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.7
41	20-21	WINTHR	SC UPS	Serve err	Addison Torain		+3.2
42	21-21	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+3.0
43	21-22	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+3.7
44	22-22	SC UPS	WINTHR×3	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+3.4
45	23-22	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+5.3
46	24-22	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+4.7
47	24-23	WINTHR	SC UPS	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+2.0
48	25-23	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+4.4
Set 3
1	1-0	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Alyah Cadavid	+0.6
2	1-1	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.7
3	1-2	SC UPS	SC UPS	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+1.0
4	2-2	SC UPS	WINTHR	Serve err	USC Upstate		+0.7
5	2-3	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.8
6	2-4	SC UPS	SC UPS	Blocked	Giselle Little	blk Sophia Overholt, Lauren DeOrio	+1.1
7	3-4	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.7
8	4-4	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.0
9	4-5	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Lauren DeOrio	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.8
10	4-6	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+1.1
11	5-6	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.8
12	6-6	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Sophia Overholt		+1.1
13	6-7	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.8
14	7-7	SC UPS	WINTHR	Blocked	Summer Kohler	blk Lexi Thatcher, Teagan Sychterz	+0.8
15	8-7	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+1.1
16	8-8	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Sophia Overholt	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.8
17	9-8	SC UPS	WINTHR×4	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.8
18	10-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.0
19	11-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Summer Kohler		+0.9
20	12-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Blocked	Kensley Haneline	blk Paige Bennett, Teagan Sychterz	+0.8
21	12-9	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.5
22	12-10	SC UPS	SC UPS	Kill	Summer Kohler	set Emma DeSensi	+0.9
23	13-10	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.7
24	14-10	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Summer Kohler		+0.8
25	14-11	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Savannah Page	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.5
26	15-11	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.6
27	16-11	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.7
28	16-12	WINTHR	SC UPS	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.4
29	17-12	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Lexi Thatcher	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
30	18-12	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.5
31	18-13	WINTHR	SC UPS	Kill	Cora Hamilton	set Sarah O'Connor	+0.2
32	19-13	SC UPS	WINTHR	Kill	Addison Torain	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.3
33	20-13	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.3
34	20-14	WINTHR	SC UPS×3	Blocked	Teagan Sychterz	blk Sophia Overholt, Cora Hamilton	+0.1
35	20-15	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Blocked	Reece Rhoads	blk Cora Hamilton, Kensley Haneline	+0.2
36	20-16	SC UPS	SC UPS×3	Kill	Kensley Haneline	set Kamyla Vega David	+0.4
37	21-16	SC UPS	WINTHR×5	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Lexi Thatcher	+0.4
38	22-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Attack err	Cora Hamilton		+0.3
39	23-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Kill	KeAra Bowen	set Addison Torain	+0.1
40	24-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Blocked	Summer Kohler	blk KeAra Bowen, Teagan Sychterz	·
41	25-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Blocked	Kensley Haneline	blk Reece Rhoads, Teagan Sychterz	·

Score shown after each rally, Winthrop first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Winthrop def. USC Upstate 3–0

Winthrop trailed 5–10 in the second and still took the set, then the match.