FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

South Dakota def. St. Thomas (MN) 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: South Dakota 64.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 6:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Dakota won at St. Thomas (MN) 3-0 (26-24, 27-25, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. South Dakota's Gabi Zachariasen led with 14 kills, and Sierra Pokharel added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set123Sets
SO DAK2627253
STTHOM2425200

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Dakota trailed 8–15 in the second and still took the set, then the match.

The match turned once; each line shows South Dakota's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. South Dakota went in as RallyIQ's 64% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · South Dakota 18–21 St. Thomas (MN)

    Down 18–21, South Dakota scored 4 straight to lead 22–21.

    South Dakota 67% → 83%

St. Thomas (MN) above 50South Dakota belowMax swing 9.3%

South DakotaSt. Thomas (MN)

Sideout %
South Dakota 62.0·St. Thomas (MN) 55.3
Break %
South Dakota 44.7·St. Thomas (MN) 38.0
Hitting
South Dakota .163·St. Thomas (MN) .146
Longest run
South Dakota 4·St. Thomas (MN) 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

St. Thomas (MN) above 50 · South Dakota below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+9.3% STTHOMrally 147 · set 3

Biggest swing: 9.3% to St. Thomas (MN) — set 1, SO DAK 24-24 STTHOM. Lauren Medeck stuffed by Addie Schmotzer. STTHOM win probability 27% → 36%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SO DAK 59.2%40.8% STTHOM

South Dakota wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.9%
SO DAK break %
43.5% vs this opp
STTHOM break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addie SchmotzerBlock+9.3%

    Lauren Medeck stuffed by Addie Schmotzer

    Set 1 · SO DAK 24-24 STTHOM · STTHOM 27% → 36%

  2. 02

    Kill by Gabi Zachariasen (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 26-24 STTHOM · SO DAK 70% → 79%

  3. 03
    Morgan BodeKill+7.6%

    Kill by Morgan Bode (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 27-25 STTHOM · SO DAK 85% → 92%

  4. 04
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+6.5%

    Point South Dakota (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · SO DAK 25-24 STTHOM · SO DAK 64% → 70%

  5. 05

    Kill by Gabi Zachariasen (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 24-23 STTHOM · SO DAK 79% → 85%

  6. 06
    South DakotaService error+5.6%

    South Dakota service error

    Set 2 · SO DAK 24-24 STTHOM · STTHOM 15% → 21%

  7. 07

    Kill by Amanda Loschen (set by Avery Van Hook)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 25-24 STTHOM · SO DAK 79% → 85%

  8. 08
    Anya SchmidtKill+5.6%

    Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Taylor McNear)

    Set 2 · SO DAK 25-25 STTHOM · STTHOM 15% → 21%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314741.1710214012218
310737.081001120010.510.5
38219.31600000052.510.5
39223.3040004002110
33215.067000300214
3126-.16736001400212
3000–1101400001
3000–5111800001
3000–001410000
Team totals4522141.1634244732114878
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314531.290012121010.515.5
38126.26910000334.512.5
36341.073000900006
34416.00000010010.54.5
33313.00010000031.54.5
3308.37530021100214
3236-.167212800214
3000–001500000
3000–5022030000
2113.000100000001
Team totals4120144.1464029664312969

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Dakota vs St. Thomas (MN)

Season series · South Dakota leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SO DAK · STTHOM 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 SO DAKSTTHOM 3

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 4 SO DAKSTTHOM 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 SO DAKSTTHOM 3

Bars above the line = St. Thomas (MN) leads, below = South Dakota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Dakota

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
50%5/10
2
63%5/8
44%4/9
3
83%5/6
38%3/8
4
67%4/6
50%4/8
5
44%4/9
56%5/9
6
100%4/4
43%3/7
All
61%28/46
47%24/51

St. Thomas (MN)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
44%4/9
2
63%5/8
44%4/9
3
83%5/6
29%2/7
4
36%4/11
38%3/8
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
36%4/11
50%4/8
All
53%27/51
39%18/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

147 rallies

#SO DAK-STTHOMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STTHOMSO DAKAttack errReilly Kurth+1.6
22-0SO DAKSO DAKBlockedAnya Schmidtblk Audrey Nelson, Amanda Loschen+2.3
32-1SO DAKSTTHOMAttack errAudrey Nelson+1.6
43-1STTHOMSO DAK×4KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+1.6
54-1SO DAKSO DAK×4BlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Morgan Bode, Lauren Medeck+2.1
65-1SO DAKSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.9
76-1SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errAnya Schmidt+1.7
86-2SO DAKSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.0
96-3STTHOMSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.8
107-3STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.4
117-4SO DAKSTTHOMAttack errLauren Medeck+1.3
128-4STTHOMSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.4
138-5SO DAKSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.3
149-5STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.4
159-6SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.3
169-7STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurth+2.2
179-8STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillEmory Brosnahanset Reilly Kurth+2.6
1810-8STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+1.9
1911-8SO DAKSO DAKAttack errReilly Kurth+2.5
2011-9SO DAKSTTHOMAttack errAmanda Loschen+1.6
2112-9STTHOMSO DAKBlockedAnya Schmidtblk Amanda Loschen, Audrey Nelson+1.8
2213-9SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+2.2
2313-10SO DAKSTTHOMAttack errAmanda Loschen+1.3
2414-10STTHOMSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.6
2515-10SO DAKSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+1.8
2615-11SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.0
2715-12STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.9
2815-13STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillMorgan Kealyset Audrey Kocon+2.5
2916-13STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+2.0
3016-14SO DAKSTTHOM×3BlockedMorgan Bodeblk Addie Schmotzer, Anya Schmidt+1.8
3116-15STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+3.2
3216-16STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedAvery Van Hookblk Addie Schmotzer+3.8
3317-16STTHOMSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+2.8
3418-16SO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+3.9
3518-17SO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+2.4
3619-17STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+2.8
3719-18SO DAKSTTHOMAttack errAvery Van Hook+2.5
3820-18STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+3.0
3920-19SO DAKSTTHOMBlockedGabi Zachariasenblk Emory Brosnahan, Reilly Kurth+2.7
4021-19STTHOMSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+3.3
4122-19SO DAKSO DAKAceSouth Dakotaaced Taylor McNear+3.8
4222-20SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.7
4323-20STTHOMSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+2.7
4423-21SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.5
4524-21STTHOMSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+2.7
4624-22SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Addie Schmotzer+1.0
4724-23STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear+3.7
4824-24STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedLauren Medeckblk Addie Schmotzer+9.3
4925-24SO DAK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+6.5
5026-24SO DAKSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+8.8
Set 2
11-0SO DAKSO DAKAttack errEmory Brosnahan+2.0
21-1SO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.4
32-1STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.4
43-1SO DAKSO DAKKillAmanda Loschen+2.0
53-2SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+1.4
63-3STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLauren Medeck+2.1
73-4STTHOMSTTHOM×3AceSt. Thomas (MN)aced Cora Hokenstad+2.3
84-4STTHOMSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.5
94-5SO DAKSTTHOMServe errSouth Dakota+1.6
105-5STTHOMSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.6
115-6SO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.7
126-6STTHOMSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.6
136-7SO DAKSTTHOM×4Serve errSouth Dakota+1.7
146-8STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errMorgan Bode+2.5
156-9STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+2.5
166-10STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errGabi Zachariasen+2.4
177-10STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.4
187-11SO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+1.7
198-11STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Sierra Pokharel+1.4
208-12SO DAKSTTHOM×4KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.7
218-13STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.2
228-14STTHOMSTTHOM×4BlockedLauren Medeckblk Addie Schmotzer+1.8
238-15STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+1.4
249-15STTHOMSO DAKBlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Gabi Zachariasen, Amanda Loschen+0.6
259-16SO DAKSTTHOMServe errSouth Dakota+0.9
2610-16STTHOMSO DAKKillAudrey Nelsonset Avery Van Hook+0.6
2711-16SO DAKSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+1.2
2811-17SO DAKSTTHOMBlockedLauren Medeckblk Addie Schmotzer, Morgan Kealy+1.2
2911-18STTHOMSTTHOMAceSt. Thomas (MN)+1.2
3012-18STTHOMSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+0.5
3113-18SO DAKSO DAK×4KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.0
3214-18SO DAKSO DAK×4AceSouth Dakotaaced Taylor McNear+1.5
3315-18SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errEllie Gustafson+2.1
3415-19SO DAKSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+2.0
3516-19STTHOMSO DAK×3Serve errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.4
3617-19SO DAKSO DAK×3BlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Morgan Bode, Avery Van Hook+2.7
3718-19SO DAKSO DAK×3KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+3.5
3818-20SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+3.0
3918-21STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errGabi Zachariasen+3.8
4019-21STTHOMSO DAK×4Attack errEllie Gustafson+1.9
4120-21SO DAKSO DAK×4KillAvery Van Hookset Samantha Untiedt+3.8
4221-21SO DAKSO DAK×4KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+4.9
4322-21SO DAKSO DAK×4BlockedEmory Brosnahanblk Amanda Loschen, Avery Van Hook+5.5
4422-22SO DAKSTTHOMKillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy+3.8
4523-22STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Sierra Pokharel+4.5
4623-23SO DAKSTTHOMAttack errAudrey Nelson+4.4
4724-23STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+5.6
4824-24SO DAKSTTHOMServe errSouth Dakota+5.6
4925-24STTHOMSO DAKKillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+5.6
5025-25SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear+5.6
5126-25STTHOMSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+5.6
5227-25SO DAKSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+7.6
Set 3
11-0STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.8
22-0SO DAKSO DAKAttack errReilly Kurth+1.2
32-1SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+0.8
42-2STTHOMSTTHOMBlockedLauren Medeckblk Addie Schmotzer, Audrey Kocon+1.3
53-2STTHOMSO DAK×3KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+0.9
64-2SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Taylor McNear+1.2
75-2SO DAKSO DAK×3KillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.1
85-3SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+0.8
96-3STTHOMSO DAKKillLauren Medeckset Sierra Pokharel+0.8
106-4SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillMorgan Kealyset Audrey Kocon+0.8
116-5STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+1.2
126-6STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errLauren Medeck+1.4
137-6STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+1.0
147-7SO DAKSTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Taylor McNear+1.0
157-8STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errGabi Zachariasen+1.5
168-8STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+1.0
178-9SO DAKSTTHOMBlockedGabi Zachariasenblk Morgan Kealy, Reilly Kurth+1.1
189-9STTHOMSO DAK×4KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+1.1
1910-9SO DAKSO DAK×4KillGabi Zachariasenset Sierra Pokharel+1.6
2011-9SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errAudrey Kocon+1.5
2112-9SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errAudrey Kocon+1.4
2212-10SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy+0.9
2312-11STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAudrey Koconset Taylor McNear+1.5
2412-12STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedGabi Zachariasenblk Reilly Kurth, Audrey Kocon+1.7
2513-12STTHOMSO DAK×3KillAmanda Loschenset Avery Van Hook+1.2
2614-12SO DAKSO DAK×3KillAmanda Loschen+1.7
2715-12SO DAKSO DAK×3AceSouth Dakotaaced Anya Schmidt+1.5
2815-13SO DAKSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy+0.9
2916-13STTHOMSO DAKAttack errAnya Schmidt+1.1
3016-14SO DAKSTTHOMKillAddie Schmotzerset Morgan Kealy+0.9
3117-14STTHOMSO DAKKillMorgan Bodeset Avery Van Hook+1.1
3217-15SO DAKSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy+0.9
3318-15STTHOMSO DAK×4KillLauren Medeckset Avery Van Hook+1.1
3419-15SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errAddie Schmotzer+1.3
3520-15SO DAKSO DAK×4Attack errAnya Schmidt+0.9
3621-15SO DAKSO DAK×4KillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.5
3721-16SO DAKSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy+0.2
3822-16STTHOMSO DAKKillGabi Zachariasenset Avery Van Hook+0.3
3922-17SO DAKSTTHOMKillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy+0.1
4023-17STTHOMSO DAKServe errSt. Thomas (MN)+0.2
4124-17SO DAKSO DAKBlockedHeidi Wingateblk Gabi Zachariasen+0.1
4224-18SO DAKSTTHOM×3KillEllie Gustafsonset Heidi Wingate·
4324-19STTHOMSTTHOM×3Attack errGabi Zachariasen·
4424-20STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear+0.1
4525-20STTHOMSO DAKBlockedAudrey Koconblk Amanda Loschen, Gabi Zachariasen+0.2

Score shown after each rally, South Dakota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).