South Dakota def. St. Thomas (MN) 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 31)

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Midco Sports+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: South Dakota 71.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Dakota beat visiting St. Thomas (MN) 3-0 (25-21, 25-20, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Lauren Medeck led South Dakota with 11 kills; St. Thomas (MN)'s Anya Schmidt had a match-high 17.

Data through Nov 3, 11:15 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STTHOM	21	20	21	0
SO DAK	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, South Dakota won 37 of 74 points.

Win probability never moved more than 5.2 points on one rally; St. Thomas (MN) topped out at 30% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave South Dakota 71% before first serve.

St. Thomas (MN)South Dakota

Break %+10.3 pts
39.750.0
37 of 74 on serve vs 25 of 63, so St. Thomas (MN)'s sideout was 50.0%.
Hitting+.125
.136.261
Kills and errors: 42–12 vs 35–19.

South Dakota above 50St. Thomas (MN) belowMax swing 5.2%

St. Thomas (MN)South Dakota

Aces: St. Thomas (MN) 6·South Dakota 6
Serve err: St. Thomas (MN) 7·South Dakota 6
Blocks: St. Thomas (MN) 8·South Dakota 62 BS · 12 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs: St. Thomas (MN) 54·South Dakota 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Dakota above 50 · St. Thomas (MN) below

Biggest swing: 5.2% to South Dakota — set 1, STTHOM 21-23 SO DAK. Bad set by Taylor McNear. SO DAK win probability 74% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STTHOM 27.1%72.9% SO DAK

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0

4.9%

3-1

9.4%

3-2

12.8%

South Dakota wins

3-0

25.4%

3-1

27.9%

3-2

19.6%

STTHOM break %: 40.3% vs this opp
SO DAK break %: 45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Taylor McNearBad set+5.2%
Bad set by Taylor McNear
Set 1 · STTHOM 21-23 SO DAK · SO DAK 74% → 80%
02
St. Thomas (MN)Ace+4.5%
St. Thomas (MN) ace on Gabi Zachariasen
Set 1 · STTHOM 20-20 SO DAK · STTHOM 25% → 30%
03
Ellie GustafsonAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Ellie Gustafson
Set 1 · STTHOM 21-22 SO DAK · SO DAK 70% → 74%
04
Anya SchmidtKill+3.7%
Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Morgan Kealy)
Set 1 · STTHOM 21-21 SO DAK · STTHOM 26% → 30%
05
St. Thomas (MN)Service error+3.6%
St. Thomas (MN) service error
Set 1 · STTHOM 20-21 SO DAK · SO DAK 70% → 74%
06
Morgan KealyAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Morgan Kealy
Set 1 · STTHOM 21-24 SO DAK · SO DAK 80% → 83%
07
St. Thomas (MN)Ace+3.4%
St. Thomas (MN) ace
Set 1 · STTHOM 19-20 SO DAK · STTHOM 22% → 25%
08
Anya SchmidtKill+2.3%
Kill by Anya Schmidt (set by Taylor McNear)
Set 1 · STTHOM 18-20 SO DAK · STTHOM 19% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

St. Thomas (MN)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Anya SchmidtOH	3	17	8	45	.200	3	0	0	12	1	0	1	0.5	17.5
5Morgan KealyS	3	5	2	11	.273	26	1	1	6	0	0	2	1	7
22Addie SchmotzerMB	3	2	1	15	.067	1	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
6Kira BrundageL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	4	2	5	0	0	0	0	4
12Heidi WingateMB	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
7Ellie GustafsonOH	3	1	2	19	-.053	0	0	0	8	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
3Taylor McNearL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	2	1	2	20	4	0	0	0	1
2Bryn LunskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Sophia Del ValleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Audrey KoconOH	2	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7
9Emory BrosnahanOH	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
21Reilly KurthMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	19	118	.136	34	6	7	54	6	2	12	8	62

South Dakotahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Lauren MedeckOH	3	11	5	32	.188	1	1	1	14	0	2	1	13
8Morgan BodeMB	3	7	2	15	.333	0	1	2	4	0	4	2	10
14Amanda LoschenMB	3	8	1	17	.412	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	9
2Avery Van HookS	3	6	1	7	.714	29	2	1	6	0	2	1	9
9Gabi ZachariasenOH	3	6	1	28	.179	2	1	1	2	1	1	0.5	7.5
5Audrey NelsonMB	3	4	2	16	.125	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	4.5
11Sierra PokharelDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	13	2	0	0	1
13Cora HokenstadDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
16Samantha UntiedtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	12	115	.261	38	6	6	58	6	12	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. Thomas (MN) vs South Dakota

Season series · South Dakota leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 1, 2026South Dakota at St. Thomas (MN) · South Dakota won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026St. Thomas (MN) at South Dakota · South Dakota won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STTHOM · SO DAK 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 6 STTHOMSO DAK 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 STTHOMSO DAK 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 6 STTHOMSO DAK 4

Bars above the line = South Dakota leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. Thomas (MN)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	30%3/10
2	60%6/10	30%3/10
3	40%6/15	45%5/11
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	67%6/9	14%1/7
6	46%6/13	63%10/16
All	50%37/74	40%25/63

South Dakota

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	54%7/13
2	50%7/14	42%5/12
3	75%6/8	57%8/14
4	86%6/7	57%8/14
5	40%6/15	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	45%5/11
All	60%38/63	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	STTHOM-SO DAK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Anya Schmidt	+1.6
2	1-1	STTHOM	SO DAK	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.6
3	2-1	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Anya Schmidt	+1.7
4	2-2	STTHOM	SO DAK×4	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.6
5	2-3	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Morgan Bode		+2.1
6	2-4	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Emory Brosnahan		+2.0
7	2-5	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Ace	South Dakota	aced Anya Schmidt	+1.9
8	3-5	SO DAK	STTHOM	Blocked	Lauren Medeck	blk Emory Brosnahan, Heidi Wingate	+1.3
9	4-5	STTHOM	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+2.0
10	4-6	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+1.5
11	4-7	SO DAK	SO DAK	Blocked	Anya Schmidt	blk Avery Van Hook, Morgan Bode	+1.9
12	5-7	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.4
13	5-8	STTHOM	SO DAK×3	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.4
14	5-9	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+1.7
15	5-10	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Sierra Pokharel	+1.5
16	6-10	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Emory Brosnahan	set Anya Schmidt	+0.9
17	7-10	STTHOM	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Taylor McNear	+1.6
18	7-11	STTHOM	SO DAK×4	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Lauren Medeck	+1.3
19	7-12	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.5
20	7-13	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.2
21	7-14	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Ace	South Dakota	aced Taylor McNear	+0.8
22	8-14	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+0.5
23	8-15	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.6
24	9-15	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Ellie Gustafson	set Morgan Kealy	+0.4
25	10-15	STTHOM	STTHOM	Blocked	Audrey Nelson	blk Heidi Wingate, Ellie Gustafson	+0.9
26	10-16	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.8
27	11-16	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Heidi Wingate	set Morgan Kealy	+0.6
28	11-17	STTHOM	SO DAK	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+0.8
29	12-17	SO DAK	STTHOM	Serve err	South Dakota		+0.6
30	13-17	STTHOM	STTHOM	Bad set	Avery Van Hook		+1.1
31	13-18	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Sierra Pokharel	+1.1
32	13-19	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Samantha Untiedt	+1.0
33	14-19	SO DAK	STTHOM	Blocked	Morgan Bode	blk Anya Schmidt, Heidi Wingate	+0.5
34	14-20	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.7
35	15-20	SO DAK	STTHOM×6	Blocked	Gabi Zachariasen	blk Emory Brosnahan, Addie Schmotzer	+0.4
36	16-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Addie Schmotzer	set Morgan Kealy	+0.9
37	17-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.5
38	18-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Taylor McNear	+2.3
39	19-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)		+3.4
40	20-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Gabi Zachariasen	+4.5
41	20-21	STTHOM	SO DAK	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+3.6
42	21-21	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+3.7
43	21-22	STTHOM	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Ellie Gustafson		+4.1
44	21-23	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Bad set	Taylor McNear		+5.2
45	21-24	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Morgan Kealy		+3.4
46	21-25	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+1.3
Set 2
1	1-0	STTHOM	STTHOM	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Addie Schmotzer	+1.8
2	1-1	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+1.3
3	2-1	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.4
4	3-1	STTHOM	STTHOM	Attack err	Audrey Nelson		+1.9
5	3-2	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+1.3
6	3-3	SO DAK	SO DAK	Blocked	Addie Schmotzer	blk Morgan Bode, Lauren Medeck	+1.8
7	4-3	SO DAK	STTHOM	Attack err	Lauren Medeck		+1.4
8	4-4	STTHOM	SO DAK	Attack err	Anya Schmidt		+1.4
9	5-4	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.5
10	5-5	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Sierra Pokharel	+1.4
11	5-6	SO DAK	SO DAK	Ace	South Dakota	aced Taylor McNear	+1.9
12	6-6	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.4
13	6-7	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.4
14	7-7	SO DAK	STTHOM×3	Bad set	Lauren Medeck		+1.5
15	8-7	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Sierra Pokharel	+2.2
16	9-7	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Blocked	Avery Van Hook	blk Ellie Gustafson	+2.3
17	9-8	STTHOM	SO DAK×3	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.5
18	9-9	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Ace	South Dakota	aced Taylor McNear	+2.2
19	9-10	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Ace	South Dakota	aced Audrey Kocon	+2.1
20	10-10	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.6
21	10-11	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.6
22	10-12	SO DAK	SO DAK	Attack err	Taylor McNear		+2.1
23	11-12	SO DAK	STTHOM	Serve err	South Dakota		+1.5
24	12-12	STTHOM	STTHOM	Blocked	Amanda Loschen	blk Addie Schmotzer	+2.3
25	12-13	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+1.7
26	12-14	SO DAK	SO DAK	Blocked	Anya Schmidt	blk Audrey Nelson, Morgan Bode	+2.3
27	13-14	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Kira Brundage	+1.6
28	13-15	STTHOM	SO DAK×4	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.7
29	13-16	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Anya Schmidt		+2.1
30	13-17	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Anya Schmidt		+1.7
31	13-18	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Serve err	South Dakota		+1.3
32	14-18	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+0.7
33	15-18	STTHOM	STTHOM	Attack err	Morgan Bode		+1.3
34	15-19	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+1.3
35	16-19	SO DAK	STTHOM	Serve err	South Dakota		+1.0
36	17-19	STTHOM	STTHOM	Kill	Heidi Wingate	set Morgan Kealy	+1.9
37	17-20	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+1.8
38	18-20	SO DAK	STTHOM	Serve err	South Dakota		+1.4
39	18-21	STTHOM	SO DAK	Attack err	Audrey Kocon		+1.9
40	19-21	SO DAK	STTHOM	Serve err	South Dakota		+1.4
41	19-22	STTHOM	SO DAK×3	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+2.0
42	19-23	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+1.7
43	19-24	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+0.7
44	20-24	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+0.1
45	20-25	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+0.7
2	1-1	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.7
3	2-1	SO DAK	STTHOM×6	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+0.7
4	3-1	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.0
5	4-1	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Blocked	Lauren Medeck	blk Addie Schmotzer, Morgan Kealy	+1.1
6	5-1	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.1
7	6-1	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Attack err	Lauren Medeck		+1.0
8	7-1	STTHOM	STTHOM×6	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)	aced Sierra Pokharel	+0.9
9	7-2	STTHOM	SO DAK	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+0.5
10	8-2	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Addie Schmotzer	set Morgan Kealy	+0.7
11	8-3	STTHOM	SO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Sierra Pokharel	+0.5
12	8-4	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+0.9
13	8-5	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+1.0
14	8-6	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Kill	Morgan Bode		+1.1
15	9-6	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Morgan Kealy	set Kira Brundage	+0.9
16	9-7	STTHOM	SO DAK	Serve err	St. Thomas (MN)		+0.8
17	10-7	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+0.9
18	10-8	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Sierra Pokharel	+0.8
19	10-9	SO DAK	SO DAK	Blocked	Anya Schmidt	blk Avery Van Hook, Amanda Loschen	+1.2
20	11-9	SO DAK	STTHOM×3	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.0
21	12-9	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.3
22	13-9	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Bad set	Avery Van Hook		+1.2
23	13-10	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+0.7
24	14-10	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+0.9
25	14-11	STTHOM	SO DAK×3	Kill	Audrey Nelson	set Avery Van Hook	+0.8
26	14-12	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Ace	South Dakota	aced Taylor McNear	+1.2
27	14-13	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Kill	Lauren Medeck		+1.3
28	15-13	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Audrey Kocon	set Morgan Kealy	+1.1
29	15-14	STTHOM	SO DAK×4	Kill	Amanda Loschen	set Avery Van Hook	+1.0
30	15-15	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Anya Schmidt		+1.5
31	15-16	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Blocked	Morgan Kealy	blk Lauren Medeck, Morgan Bode	+1.5
32	15-17	SO DAK	SO DAK×4	Attack err	Ellie Gustafson		+1.4
33	16-17	SO DAK	STTHOM	Blocked	Lauren Medeck	blk Morgan Kealy, Addie Schmotzer	+1.0
34	16-18	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Morgan Bode	set Avery Van Hook	+1.1
35	17-18	SO DAK	STTHOM	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+1.0
36	17-19	STTHOM	SO DAK	Kill	Lauren Medeck	set Avery Van Hook	+1.2
37	17-20	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Gabi Zachariasen	+1.3
38	18-20	SO DAK	STTHOM×3	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+0.8
39	19-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Ace	St. Thomas (MN)		+1.5
40	20-20	STTHOM	STTHOM×3	Kill	Anya Schmidt	set Morgan Kealy	+2.0
41	20-21	STTHOM	SO DAK	Attack err	Audrey Kocon		+1.6
42	20-22	SO DAK	SO DAK	Kill	Gabi Zachariasen	set Avery Van Hook	+2.0
43	21-22	SO DAK	STTHOM	Serve err	South Dakota		+1.2
44	21-23	STTHOM	SO DAK×3	Kill	Avery Van Hook	set Gabi Zachariasen	+1.7
45	21-24	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Blocked	Audrey Kocon	blk Gabi Zachariasen, Amanda Loschen	+1.5
46	21-25	SO DAK	SO DAK×3	Attack err	Heidi Wingate		+0.6

Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

South Dakota def. St. Thomas (MN) 3–0

On its own serve, South Dakota won 37 of 74 points.