FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeUAC-

Little Rock def. Iona 3–0

(25-5, 25-15, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IONA	5	15	18	0
UALR	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UALR above 50 · IONA below

Biggest swing: 0.6% to Little Rock — set 1, IONA 0-1 UALR. Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Skyler Perez). UALR win probability 94% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IONA 5.8%94.2% UALR

Iona wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.7%

3-2

3.5%

Little Rock wins

3-0

53.2%

3-1

30.3%

3-2

10.7%

IONA break %: 38.9% vs this opp
UALR break %: 51.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Avery FearnleyKill+0.6%
Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Skyler Perez)
Set 1 · IONA 0-1 UALR · UALR 94% → 95%
02
Morgan CreerKill+0.5%
Kill by Morgan Creer (set by Skyler Perez)
Set 1 · IONA 0-2 UALR · UALR 95% → 95%
03
Alyssa BoyteAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Alyssa Boyte
Set 1 · IONA 1-2 UALR · IONA 5% → 5%
04
Julia LeonardoAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Julia Leonardo
Set 1 · IONA 1-4 UALR · UALR 95% → 96%
05
Avery FearnleyKill+0.4%
Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Lily King)
Set 1 · IONA 1-3 UALR · UALR 95% → 95%
06
Mija JegersAttack error+0.4%
Mija Jegers stuffed by Morgan Creer & Lorena Keselj
Set 1 · IONA 1-5 UALR · UALR 96% → 96%
07
Morgan CreerKill+0.3%
Kill by Morgan Creer (set by Lily King)
Set 2 · IONA 0-2 UALR · UALR 98% → 98%
08
Morgan CreerAttack error+0.3%
Morgan Creer stuffed by Mija Jegers & Cassandra Rohan
Set 2 · IONA 2-3 UALR · IONA 2% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ionaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Mija JegersOH	3	7	5	31	.065	0	0	0	11	1	1	0.5	7.5
17Gabby TaylorMB	2	0	2	6	-.333	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
18Ezzie ThompsonMB	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
12Julia LeonardoOH	1	0	1	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
10Reese HendersonOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
3Grace DanielsS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
11Kari SmithOH	3	6	3	28	.107	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	6
14Katherine FerngOH	3	3	1	13	.154	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3
7Avery GaumeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	14	1	0	0	0
22Cassandra RohanMB	2	3	2	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
15Jaylyn SimonS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	20	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	0.5
16Joy HoudreL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0
2Sanem BasOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Buse TinazMB	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4
5Anissa CooperMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Ava RedingS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	16	100	.070	23	1	6	44	8	4	2	38

Little Rockhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Avery FearnleyOH	3	14	2	26	.462	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	0	15
12Alyssa BoyteMB	3	9	1	17	.471	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
7Lovina TeelOH	3	8	0	19	.421	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Morgan CreerOH	3	6	2	17	.235	0	0	0	4	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
17Lorena KeseljMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	4	0	3	0	0	4	2	8
5Lily KingS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
8Bella CherryOH	3	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
2Skyler PerezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	13	0	0	0	0	1
6Victoria FontenotL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	1
11Kaylee SmithS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
1Miranda BledsoeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
10Polianna HernandezOH	1	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	8	98	.347	36	8	6	54	1	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 IONA · UALR 12

Set 1

5-25

Longest run 1 IONAUALR 12

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 4 IONAUALR 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 IONAUALR 4

Bars above the line = Little Rock leads, below = Iona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Iona

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%5/13	0%0/3
2	42%5/12	29%2/7
3	22%5/23	17%1/6
4	63%5/8	38%3/8
5	45%5/11	17%1/6
6	29%2/7	44%4/9
All	36%27/74	28%11/39

Little Rock

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	60%6/10
2	83%5/6	64%9/14
3	71%5/7	69%11/16
4	71%5/7	62%8/13
5	83%5/6	55%6/11
6	50%3/6	70%7/10
All	72%28/39	64%47/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

113 rallies

Rally log

#	IONA-UALR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UALR	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Skyler Perez	+0.6
2	0-2	UALR	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Skyler Perez	+0.5
3	1-2	UALR	IONA	Attack err	Alyssa Boyte		+0.5
4	1-3	IONA	UALR×4	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Lily King	+0.4
5	1-4	UALR	UALR×4	Attack err	Julia Leonardo		+0.5
6	1-5	UALR	UALR×4	Attack err	Mija Jegers	blk Morgan Creer, Lorena Keselj	+0.4
7	1-6	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+0.3
8	2-6	UALR	IONA	Kill	Ezzie Thompson	set Grace Daniels	+0.2
9	2-7	IONA	UALR×12	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Lily King	+0.3
10	2-8	UALR	UALR×12	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.2
11	2-9	UALR	UALR×12	Ace	UALR server	aced Julia Leonardo	+0.2
12	2-10	UALR	UALR×12	Ace	UALR server	aced Julia Leonardo	+0.1
13	2-11	UALR	UALR×12	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Lily King	+0.1
14	2-12	UALR	UALR×12	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Lily King	+0.1
15	2-13	UALR	UALR×12	Ace	UALR server	aced Team	+0.0
16	2-14	UALR	UALR×12	Ace	UALR server	aced Team	+0.0
17	2-15	UALR	UALR×12	Attack err	Mija Jegers	blk Morgan Creer	+0.0
18	2-16	UALR	UALR×12	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Lily King	+0.0
19	2-17	UALR	UALR×12	Attack err	Reese Henderson		+0.0
20	2-18	UALR	UALR×12	Attack err	Mija Jegers		+0.0
21	3-18	UALR	IONA	Attack err	Avery Fearnley		+0.0
22	3-19	IONA	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.0
23	4-19	UALR	IONA	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Ava Reding	+0.0
24	4-20	IONA	UALR	Attack err	Kari Smith		+0.0
25	5-20	UALR	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Ava Reding	+0.0
26	5-21	IONA	UALR×5	Serve err	IONA server		+0.0
27	5-22	UALR	UALR×5	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0
28	5-23	UALR	UALR×5	Ace	UALR server	aced Team	+0.0
29	5-24	UALR	UALR×5	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0
30	5-25	UALR	UALR×5	Attack err	Kari Smith	blk Bella Cherry, Lorena Keselj	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	IONA	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Skyler Perez	+0.3
2	0-2	UALR	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.3
3	1-2	UALR	IONA	Serve err	UALR server		+0.3
4	1-3	IONA	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.3
5	2-3	UALR	IONA	Attack err	Morgan Creer	blk Mija Jegers, Cassandra Rohan	+0.3
6	2-4	IONA	UALR×6	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+0.3
7	2-5	UALR	UALR×6	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Kaylee Smith	+0.3
8	2-6	UALR	UALR×6	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Kaylee Smith	+0.3
9	2-7	UALR	UALR×6	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Skyler Perez	+0.2
10	2-8	UALR	UALR×6	Attack err	Katherine Ferng	blk Alyssa Boyte, Lovina Teel	+0.2
11	2-9	UALR	UALR×6	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Kari Smith	+0.1
12	3-9	UALR	IONA	Serve err	UALR server		+0.1
13	3-10	IONA	UALR	Attack err	Mija Jegers		+0.1
14	3-11	UALR	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.1
15	4-11	UALR	IONA	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
16	4-12	IONA	UALR	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Kaylee Smith	+0.1
17	5-12	UALR	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
18	5-13	IONA	UALR	Serve err	IONA server		+0.1
19	6-13	UALR	IONA	Kill	Cassandra Rohan	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
20	6-14	IONA	UALR	Serve err	IONA server		+0.1
21	6-15	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Cassandra Rohan		+0.0
22	7-15	UALR	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
23	7-16	IONA	UALR	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+0.0
24	8-16	UALR	IONA	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
25	8-17	IONA	UALR×3	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Skyler Perez	+0.0
26	8-18	UALR	UALR×3	Bad set	Jaylyn Simon		+0.0
27	8-19	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Gabby Taylor	blk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry	+0.0
28	9-19	UALR	IONA	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
29	10-19	IONA	IONA	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
30	10-20	IONA	UALR	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0
31	10-21	UALR	UALR	Ace	UALR server	aced Avery Gaume	+0.0
32	11-21	UALR	IONA	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
33	11-22	IONA	UALR×3	Attack err	Gabby Taylor		+0.0
34	11-23	UALR	UALR×3	Bad set	Jaylyn Simon		+0.0
35	11-24	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Jaylyn Simon		+0.0
36	12-24	UALR	IONA×4	Serve err	UALR server		+0.0
37	13-24	IONA	IONA×4	Attack err	Polianna Hernandez	blk Jaylyn Simon, Cassandra Rohan	+0.0
38	14-24	IONA	IONA×4	Attack err	Polianna Hernandez		+0.0
39	15-24	IONA	IONA×4	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
40	15-25	IONA	UALR	Serve err	IONA server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Skyler Perez	+0.2
2	0-2	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.2
3	0-3	UALR	UALR×4	Attack err	Kari Smith	blk Morgan Creer, Lorena Keselj	+0.1
4	0-4	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Lorena Keselj	set Lily King	+0.1
5	1-4	UALR	IONA	Attack err	Morgan Creer		+0.1
6	2-4	IONA	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
7	2-5	IONA	UALR	Kill	Lorena Keselj	set Lily King	+0.1
8	2-6	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Mija Jegers	blk Lorena Keselj, Morgan Creer	+0.1
9	3-6	UALR	IONA	Kill	Cassandra Rohan	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
10	3-7	IONA	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.1
11	4-7	UALR	IONA	Kill	Katherine Ferng	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.1
12	4-8	IONA	UALR	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Lily King	+0.1
13	5-8	UALR	IONA	Serve err	UALR server		+0.1
14	5-9	IONA	UALR×4	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Kaylee Smith	+0.1
15	5-10	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.1
16	5-11	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Skyler Perez	+0.1
17	5-12	UALR	UALR×4	Ace	UALR server	aced Joy Houdre	+0.1
18	6-12	UALR	IONA	Serve err	UALR server		+0.0
19	7-12	IONA	IONA	Ace	IONA server	aced Victoria Fontenot	+0.1
20	7-13	IONA	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.1
21	7-14	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Cassandra Rohan		+0.1
22	8-14	UALR	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
23	8-15	IONA	UALR	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Skyler Perez	+0.0
24	9-15	UALR	IONA	Kill	Cassandra Rohan	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
25	10-15	IONA	IONA	Attack err	Avery Fearnley		+0.1
26	10-16	IONA	UALR×4	Serve err	IONA server		+0.1
27	10-17	UALR	UALR×4	Ace	UALR server	aced Mija Jegers	+0.1
28	10-18	UALR	UALR×4	Bad set	Cassandra Rohan		+0.0
29	10-19	UALR	UALR×4	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+0.0
30	11-19	UALR	IONA	Serve err	UALR server		+0.0
31	12-19	IONA	IONA	Attack err	Lorena Keselj		+0.0
32	12-20	IONA	UALR	Serve err	IONA server		+0.0
33	13-20	UALR	IONA×3	Kill	Mija Jegers	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
34	14-20	IONA	IONA×3	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
35	15-20	IONA	IONA×3	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
36	15-21	IONA	UALR	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+0.1
37	15-22	UALR	UALR	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0
38	16-22	UALR	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
39	17-22	IONA	IONA	Kill	Kari Smith	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
40	17-23	IONA	UALR	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0
41	17-24	UALR	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0
42	18-24	UALR	IONA	Kill	Buse Tinaz	set Jaylyn Simon	+0.0
43	18-25	IONA	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Kaylee Smith	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Iona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.