Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rider def. Iona 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Iona 60.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rider beat visiting Iona 3-1 (25-17, 25-23, 22-25, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Rider's Rylah Robinson led with 23 kills.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
IONA172325231
RIDER252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Makenna Mason set 56 assists as Rider outlasted Iona.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Rider's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Iona went in at 60% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Iona 19–21 Rider

    4 straight Iona points turned a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead. The match swung to Iona.

    Rider 72% → 49%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Iona 23–21 Rider

    Rider closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–0. The match swung to Rider.

    Rider 49% → 83%

Rider above 50Iona belowMax swing 12.6%

IonaRider

Sideout %
Iona 55.2·Rider 60.7
Break %
Iona 39.3·Rider 44.8
Hitting
Iona .189·Rider .234
Longest run
Iona 6·Rider 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rider above 50 · Iona below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.6% RIDERrally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.6% to Rider — set 4, IONA 23-25 RIDER. Julia Leonardo stuffed by Anja Kelly & Tori Bonacci. RIDER win probability 87% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IONA 41.1%58.9% RIDER

Iona wins

3-0
9.1%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
16.9%

Rider wins

3-0
16.6%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%
IONA break %
42.8% vs this opp
RIDER break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Julia Leonardo stuffed by Anja Kelly & Tori Bonacci

    Set 4 · IONA 23-25 RIDER · RIDER 87% → 100%

  2. 02

    Ace by Simone Langford on Sanem Bas

    Set 2 · IONA 23-25 RIDER · RIDER 72% → 83%

  3. 03
    Cecilia DeCaroKill+10.9%

    Kill by Cecilia DeCaro (set by Makenna Mason)

    Set 2 · IONA 23-24 RIDER · RIDER 61% → 72%

  4. 04

    Ace by Simone Langford on Sanem Bas

    Set 2 · IONA 23-23 RIDER · RIDER 53% → 61%

  5. 05
    Aubrey BakerAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Aubrey Baker

    Set 2 · IONA 22-21 RIDER · IONA 38% → 45%

  6. 06

    Kill by Julia Leonardo (set by Grace Daniels)

    Set 4 · IONA 23-24 RIDER · IONA 6% → 13%

  7. 07

    Kill by Julia Leonardo (set by Jaylyn Simon)

    Set 2 · IONA 23-21 RIDER · IONA 45% → 51%

  8. 08
    Kari SmithAce+6.1%

    Ace by Kari Smith on Aubrey Baker

    Set 2 · IONA 21-21 RIDER · IONA 32% → 38%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ionaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415248.27100140010.515.5
49735.0572119202111
47116.375000000218
45315.133100301227
42016.12510030031.53.5
4003.0001821900002
45225.12000040010.55.5
4001.00016201300002
4000–2001200000
4000–3021040000
3204.5000101000003
11011.00000000010.51.5
Team totals4615164.1894365776112788
Riderhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414442.2380005002115
48118.3890002032412
410626.1540035002111
43010.30056102100004
4000–001820000
36419.105000110006
423857.2630015000023
4001.0001321100003
41011.0009212110003
4001.0001001320000
35313.154000200216
Team totals7026188.234676894638797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Iona vs Rider

Season series · Rider leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IONA · RIDER 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 IONARIDER 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 6 IONARIDER 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 IONARIDER 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 IONARIDER 4

Bars above the line = Rider leads, below = Iona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
38%6/16
2
53%9/17
47%8/17
3
60%9/15
40%6/15
4
82%9/11
25%3/12
5
53%8/15
40%6/15
6
50%8/16
43%6/14
All
55%53/96
39%35/89

Rider

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
47%8/17
2
43%9/21
50%9/18
3
75%9/12
40%6/15
4
75%9/12
31%4/13
5
47%9/19
36%5/14
6
89%8/9
58%11/19
All
61%54/89
45%43/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#IONA-RIDERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RIDERRIDERKillSimone Langfordset Makenna Mason+2.3
20-2RIDERRIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Simone Langford+2.4
31-2RIDERIONAKillKatherine Ferngset Jaylyn Simon+1.9
42-2IONAIONAKillKatherine Ferngset Sanem Bas+2.3
52-3IONARIDER×4Serve errSanem Bas+2.0
62-4RIDERRIDER×4KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+2.5
72-5RIDERRIDER×4Attack errBuse Tinaz+2.5
82-6RIDERRIDER×4KillAubrey Bakerset Simone Langford+2.4
93-6RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Sanem Bas+1.7
103-7IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.0
113-8RIDERRIDERAttack errEmma Koceja+2.2
124-8RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Kari Smith+1.6
135-8IONAIONAAttack errTori Bonacci+2.2
145-9IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.1
156-9RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.8
167-9IONAIONABlockedTori Bonacciblk Ezzie Thompson, Kari Smith+2.5
177-10IONARIDERKillMakenna Masonset Simone Langford+2.3
187-11RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.6
198-11RIDERIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+1.9
208-12IONARIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.2
218-13RIDERRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford+2.4
228-14RIDERRIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Simone Langford+2.0
239-14RIDERIONAKillKari Smithset Jaylyn Simon+1.3
249-15IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.7
2510-15RIDERIONAKillKari Smithset Jaylyn Simon+1.2
2610-16IONARIDERServe errSanem Bas+1.7
2711-16RIDERIONAKillBuse Tinazset Jaylyn Simon+1.2
2811-17IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.6
2912-17RIDERIONAServe errRider+1.1
3013-17IONAIONAAttack errAubrey Baker+1.9
3113-18IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.1
3214-18RIDERIONAKillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+1.5
3315-18IONAIONAAttack errRylah Robinson+2.4
3415-19IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.6
3515-20RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.4
3616-20RIDERIONAServe errRider+1.3
3716-21IONARIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.0
3816-22RIDERRIDER×4KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.5
3916-23RIDERRIDER×4KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+0.7
4016-24RIDERRIDER×4AceMakenna Masonaced Sanem Bas+0.3
4117-24RIDERIONAKillKari Smithset Jaylyn Simon·
4217-25IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.1
Set 2
10-1IONARIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+2.2
20-2RIDERRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.7
31-2RIDERIONA×6KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+2.1
42-2IONAIONA×6KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+2.6
53-2IONAIONA×6KillKatherine Ferngset Jaylyn Simon+2.6
64-2IONAIONA×6KillKatherine Ferngset Jaylyn Simon+2.6
75-2IONAIONA×6Bad setAnja Kelly+2.4
86-2IONAIONA×6BlockedAubrey Bakerblk Katherine Ferng, Buse Tinaz+2.2
96-3IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.7
106-4RIDERRIDERAceKatie Cookaced Kari Smith+2.4
117-4RIDERIONAKillBuse Tinazset Jaylyn Simon+2.1
127-5IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.0
137-6RIDERRIDERKillMakenna Masonset Simone Langford+2.7
148-6RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+2.3
158-7IONARIDERServe errJulia Leonardo+2.3
168-8RIDERRIDERBad setGrace Daniels+3.0
179-8RIDERIONAServe errRider+2.5
189-9IONARIDER×3KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.6
199-10RIDERRIDER×3KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+3.3
209-11RIDERRIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Simone Langford+3.4
2110-11RIDERIONAKillKari Smithset Grace Daniels+2.6
2210-12IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.9
2311-12RIDERIONAKillKari Smithset Sanem Bas+2.7
2412-12IONAIONAAttack errAnja Kelly+3.5
2512-13IONARIDERAttack errJulia Leonardo+3.0
2613-13RIDERIONAKillKatherine Ferngset Jaylyn Simon+3.0
2713-14IONARIDER×3KillAubrey Bakerset Makenna Mason+3.2
2813-15RIDERRIDER×3KillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+3.9
2913-16RIDERRIDER×3AceKatie Cookaced Sanem Bas+3.8
3014-16RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+2.7
3115-16IONAIONAAceGrace Danielsaced Olivia DeSaro+3.8
3215-17IONARIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+3.6
3316-17RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+3.2
3416-18IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+3.8
3517-18RIDERIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+3.4
3618-18IONAIONAAttack errRylah Robinson+4.7
3718-19IONARIDERAttack errKari Smith+4.3
3819-19RIDERIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+4.1
3919-20IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+4.7
4019-21RIDERRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Simone Langford+5.7
4120-21RIDERIONA×4KillKari Smithset Ezzie Thompson+4.0
4221-21IONAIONA×4AceKari Smithaced Aubrey Baker+6.1
4322-21IONAIONA×4Attack errAubrey Baker+6.9
4423-21IONAIONA×4KillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+6.5
4523-22IONARIDER×4KillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+4.1
4623-23RIDERRIDER×4AceSimone Langfordaced Sanem Bas+8.0
4723-24RIDERRIDER×4KillCecilia DeCaroset Makenna Mason+10.9
4823-25RIDERRIDER×4AceSimone Langfordaced Sanem Bas+11.4
Set 3
10-1RIDERRIDERKillMolly Rohde+1.9
21-1RIDERIONAServe errRider+1.5
31-2IONARIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+1.6
41-3RIDERRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+2.0
52-3RIDERIONAServe errRider+1.6
62-4IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+1.7
73-4RIDERIONAAttack errAubrey Baker+1.6
83-5IONARIDERKillAubrey Bakerset Katie Cook+1.7
94-5RIDERIONAKillKatherine Ferngset Avery Gaume+1.6
104-6IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.8
115-6RIDERIONA×3KillKatherine Ferngset Jaylyn Simon+1.7
126-6IONAIONA×3KillJulia Leonardoset Kari Smith+2.1
137-6IONAIONA×3Bad setMakenna Mason+2.1
147-7IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.8
157-8RIDERRIDERBlockedKari Smithblk Molly Rohde+2.3
168-8RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.8
178-9IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.9
189-9RIDERIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+1.9
199-10IONARIDERBlockedKari Smithblk Anja Kelly, Molly Rohde+2.0
2010-10RIDERIONA×6Attack errTori Bonacci+2.0
2111-10IONAIONA×6AceJaylyn Simonaced Olivia DeSaro+2.4
2212-10IONAIONA×6KillKari Smithset Jaylyn Simon+2.4
2313-10IONAIONA×6AceJaylyn Simonaced Simone Langford+2.2
2414-10IONAIONA×6BlockedAnja Kellyblk Kari Smith, Ezzie Thompson+1.9
2515-10IONAIONA×6Attack errAnja Kelly+1.6
2615-11IONARIDERServe errJaylyn Simon+1.1
2715-12RIDERRIDERKillTori Bonacciset Makenna Mason+1.7
2816-12RIDERIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Jaylyn Simon+1.7
2916-13IONARIDERBlockedKatherine Ferngblk Tori Bonacci, Cecilia DeCaro+1.4
3017-13RIDERIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Jaylyn Simon+1.7
3117-14IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+1.4
3217-15RIDERRIDERAttack errBuse Tinaz+2.2
3318-15RIDERIONA×5Attack errRylah Robinson+2.2
3419-15IONAIONA×5KillBuse Tinazset Simone Langford+2.2
3520-15IONAIONA×5BlockedMolly Rohdeblk Buse Tinaz+1.6
3621-15IONAIONA×5Attack errRylah Robinson+1.0
3722-15IONAIONA×5AceGrace Danielsaced Carly Allen+0.6
3822-16IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.2
3922-17RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+0.4
4023-17RIDERIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Avery Gaume+0.6
4124-17IONAIONAAttack errRylah Robinson+0.3
4224-18IONARIDER×5KillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason·
4324-19RIDERRIDER×5BlockedBuse Tinazblk Molly Rohde+0.1
4424-20RIDERRIDER×5KillMolly Rohde+0.3
4524-21RIDERRIDER×5BlockedKari Smithblk Molly Rohde+0.7
4624-22RIDERRIDER×5BlockedEmma Kocejablk Molly Rohde, Cecilia DeCaro+1.5
4725-22RIDERIONAKillKari Smithset Avery Gaume+2.7
Set 4
11-0IONAIONAAceMija Jegersaced Carly Allen+3.3
21-1IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+2.8
32-1RIDERIONAAttack errRylah Robinson+2.8
43-1IONAIONABlockedRylah Robinsonblk Cassandra Rohan, Emma Koceja+3.3
53-2IONARIDERKillMakenna Masonset Carly Allen+2.7
64-2RIDERIONAKillCassandra Rohanset Grace Daniels+2.8
74-3IONARIDER×4KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+2.8
84-4RIDERRIDER×4KillCecilia DeCaroset Makenna Mason+3.6
94-5RIDERRIDER×4KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+3.8
104-6RIDERRIDER×4KillMolly Rohdeset Kari Smith+3.9
115-6RIDERIONAAttack errCecilia DeCaro+3.0
125-7IONARIDERAttack errKari Smith+3.3
135-8RIDERRIDERKillAnja Kellyset Simone Langford+3.9
146-8RIDERIONAAttack errTori Bonacci+3.0
157-8IONAIONAAttack errCecilia DeCaro+3.9
167-9IONARIDER×3KillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+3.5
177-10RIDERRIDER×3KillCecilia DeCaroset Makenna Mason+4.1
187-11RIDERRIDER×3AceKatie Cookaced Kari Smith+3.9
198-11RIDERIONABlockedCecilia DeCaroblk Buse Tinaz, Katherine Ferng+2.8
208-12IONARIDERKillCecilia DeCaroset Makenna Mason+3.3
219-12RIDERIONAKillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+2.8
229-13IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+3.4
2310-13RIDERIONAServe errRider+2.8
2410-14IONARIDERKillMolly Rohdeset Makenna Mason+3.4
2510-15RIDERRIDERAttack errKari Smith+3.6
2611-15RIDERIONAKillMija Jegersset Grace Daniels+2.4
2711-16IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+3.0
2812-16RIDERIONAKillMija Jegersset Jaylyn Simon+2.3
2913-16IONAIONABlockedAnja Kellyblk Julia Leonardo, Ezzie Thompson+3.6
3013-17IONARIDERServe errKari Smith+3.7
3114-17RIDERIONAAttack errTori Bonacci+2.9
3214-18IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+3.8
3315-18RIDERIONAServe errRider+2.9
3415-19IONARIDERKillCecilia DeCaroset Makenna Mason+3.9
3516-19RIDERIONAAttack errTori Bonacci+2.9
3616-20IONARIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+4.0
3716-21RIDERRIDERKillRylah Robinsonset Makenna Mason+3.5
3817-21RIDERIONAAttack errRylah Robinson+1.7
3918-21IONAIONAKillKari Smithset Buse Tinaz+3.2
4018-22IONARIDERAttack errKari Smith+4.0
4119-22RIDERIONAKillEmma Kocejaset Grace Daniels+2.4
4219-23IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+3.9
4320-23RIDERIONAServe errRider+1.9
4420-24IONARIDERKillAnja Kellyset Makenna Mason+3.6
4521-24RIDERIONA×3KillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+1.2
4622-24IONAIONA×3KillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+3.1
4723-24IONAIONA×3KillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+6.8
4823-25IONARIDERBlockedJulia Leonardoblk Anja Kelly, Tori Bonacci+12.6

Score shown after each rally, Iona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).