FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

Oral Roberts def. Stonehill 3–0

(25-17, 28-26, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STONEH	17	26	23	0
ORU	25	28	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ORU above 50 · STONEH below

Biggest swing: 7.2% to Oral Roberts — set 2, STONEH 24-24 ORU. Kaisa Dowd stuffed by Ciara Cunningham & Khylie Remmenga. ORU win probability 76% → 83%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STONEH 25.5%74.5% ORU

Stonehill wins

3-0

4.5%

3-1

8.7%

3-2

12.2%

Oral Roberts wins

3-0

26.6%

3-1

28.5%

3-2

19.4%

STONEH break %: 41.6% vs this opp
ORU break %: 46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kaisa DowdAttack error+7.2%
Kaisa Dowd stuffed by Ciara Cunningham & Khylie Remmenga
Set 2 · STONEH 24-24 ORU · ORU 76% → 83%
02
ORU serverAce+6.4%
Oral Roberts ace on Kristina Bishop
Set 2 · STONEH 24-25 ORU · ORU 83% → 89%
03
Ciara CunninghamKill+5.7%
Kill by Ciara Cunningham (set by Kendra Sawyer)
Set 2 · STONEH 26-28 ORU · ORU 89% → 95%
04
Sammy FrancoKill+5.0%
Kill by Sammy Franco (set by Kendra Sawyer)
Set 2 · STONEH 25-25 ORU · STONEH 11% → 16%
05
Elyse DubeKill+5.0%
Kill by Elyse Dube (set by Ana Appel)
Set 2 · STONEH 25-26 ORU · ORU 84% → 89%
06
Ciara CunninghamAttack error+5.0%
Ciara Cunningham stuffed by Roe Beland & Abby Farrell
Set 2 · STONEH 26-26 ORU · STONEH 11% → 16%
07
STONEH serverService error+5.0%
Stonehill service error
Set 2 · STONEH 26-27 ORU · ORU 84% → 89%
08
Khylie RemmengaAttack error+4.6%
Attack error by Khylie Remmenga
Set 2 · STONEH 24-22 ORU · STONEH 22% → 27%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stonehillaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Sammy FrancoOPP	3	8	6	28	.071	0	0	2	1	2	3	1.5	9.5
24Annabelle SvensonMB	3	7	0	11	.636	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
18Kaisa DowdOH	3	7	5	19	.105	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	7
19Abby FarrellMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	2	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
3Kendra SawyerS	3	3	0	5	.600	28	0	0	13	0	0	0	3
8Roe BelandOH	2	1	2	12	-.083	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
13Addy FryeOH	3	1	0	3	.333	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	2
9Gabi PolishukOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	9	1	0	0	2
4Kristina BishopL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	13	1	0	0	1
12Samantha LoydOH	1	2	4	12	-.167	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2
16Jess BarrettOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team totals		34	18	101	.158	32	4	9	49	9	8	4	66

Oral Robertshome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Cortnee SmithOH	3	15	5	37	.270	1	1	1	9	2	1	0.5	16.5
22Ciara CunninghamOH	3	6	5	28	.036	0	1	2	3	0	3	1.5	8.5
6Ana AppelS	3	3	0	5	.600	32	1	2	9	0	1	0.5	4.5
25Khylie RemmengaMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	3
16Ashlyn AseltineL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	2	4	0	0	0	3
5Quincey McCoyMB	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
12Elyse DubeOH	3	13	4	32	.281	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	13
1Mackenzie MurphyL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	3	1	15	1	0	0	4
11Olivia BurnsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
10Molly FelkinsMB	2	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		42	16	113	.230	37	9	10	45	4	10	5	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 STONEH · ORU 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 STONEHORU 3

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 STONEHORU 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 STONEHORU 6

Bars above the line = Oral Roberts leads, below = Stonehill leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stonehill

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	33%4/12
2	35%7/20	55%11/20
3	70%7/10	36%4/11
4	60%6/10	13%1/8
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	54%41/76	37%25/68

Oral Roberts

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	36%4/11
2	45%9/20	44%7/16
3	88%7/8	63%12/19
4	67%6/9	25%2/8
5	75%6/8	50%6/12
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	63%43/68	46%35/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

144 rallies

Rally log

#	STONEH-ORU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	STONEH	ORU×3	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+1.4
2	0-2	ORU	ORU×3	Kill	Cortnee Smith		+1.7
3	0-3	ORU	ORU×3	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+1.6
4	1-3	ORU	STONEH×3	Serve err	ORU server		+1.2
5	2-3	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Cortnee Smith	+1.8
6	3-3	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Mackenzie Murphy	+2.0
7	3-4	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.6
8	4-4	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+1.6
9	4-5	STONEH	ORU	Attack err	Roe Beland		+1.6
10	5-5	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.7
11	5-6	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.6
12	5-7	ORU	ORU	Ace	ORU server	aced Team	+2.0
13	6-7	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+1.6
14	6-8	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Quincey McCoy	set Cortnee Smith	+1.6
15	7-8	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.6
16	7-9	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Quincey McCoy	set Ana Appel	+1.6
17	8-9	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+1.7
18	9-9	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Cortnee Smith		+2.4
19	9-10	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.9
20	10-10	ORU	STONEH	Attack err	Ciara Cunningham		+2.0
21	11-10	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Roe Beland	set Ashlyn Aseltine	+2.7
22	11-11	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+2.1
23	11-12	ORU	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+2.6
24	12-12	ORU	STONEH	Attack err	Cortnee Smith		+2.1
25	12-13	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+2.1
26	13-13	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+2.2
27	13-14	STONEH	ORU	Attack err	Roe Beland		+2.2
28	13-15	ORU	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+2.6
29	14-15	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+2.0
30	14-16	STONEH	ORU×3	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+2.2
31	14-17	ORU	ORU×3	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+2.4
32	14-18	ORU	ORU×3	Ace	ORU server	aced Sammy Franco	+1.9
33	15-18	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.2
34	15-19	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.5
35	15-20	ORU	ORU	Kill	Ana Appel	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.4
36	16-20	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.7
37	16-21	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.0
38	16-22	ORU	ORU	Ace	ORU server	aced Team	+0.7
39	17-22	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.3
40	17-23	STONEH	ORU×3	Kill	Ciara Cunningham	set Ana Appel	+0.5
41	17-24	ORU	ORU×3	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+0.2
42	17-25	ORU	ORU×3	Kill	Ciara Cunningham	set Ana Appel	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ORU	ORU	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+1.5
2	0-2	ORU	ORU	Kill	Ciara Cunningham	set Ana Appel	+1.4
3	1-2	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.1
4	1-3	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.1
5	1-4	ORU	ORU	Kill	Khylie Remmenga	set Ana Appel	+1.3
6	2-4	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.0
7	2-5	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+1.0
8	2-6	ORU	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Mackenzie Murphy	+1.2
9	3-6	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
10	3-7	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.9
11	4-7	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+0.9
12	5-7	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Cortnee Smith		+1.3
13	5-8	STONEH	ORU×4	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+1.1
14	5-9	ORU	ORU×4	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.2
15	5-10	ORU	ORU×4	Ace	ORU server	aced Sammy Franco	+1.0
16	5-11	ORU	ORU×4	Ace	ORU server	aced Jess Barrett	+0.8
17	6-11	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+0.6
18	7-11	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
19	7-12	STONEH	ORU×3	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ashlyn Aseltine	+0.8
20	7-13	ORU	ORU×3	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+0.8
21	7-14	ORU	ORU×3	Kill	Ana Appel	set Olivia Burns	+0.6
22	8-14	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+0.4
23	9-14	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Kendra Sawyer	set Kaisa Dowd	+0.7
24	9-15	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+0.7
25	10-15	ORU	STONEH×4	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.5
26	11-15	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Ciara Cunningham		+0.9
27	12-15	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Ciara Cunningham	blk Annabelle Svenson, Sammy Franco	+1.2
28	13-15	STONEH	STONEH×4	Bad set	Khylie Remmenga		+1.6
29	13-16	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.4
30	14-16	ORU	STONEH×4	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.3
31	15-16	STONEH	STONEH×4	Ace	STONEH server	aced Cortnee Smith	+2.1
32	16-16	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Elyse Dube		+2.5
33	17-16	STONEH	STONEH×4	Attack err	Ciara Cunningham		+2.9
34	17-17	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+2.2
35	17-18	ORU	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+2.8
36	18-18	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+2.3
37	18-19	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+2.4
38	19-19	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Kendra Sawyer	set Kristina Bishop	+2.5
39	20-19	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kristina Bishop	+3.6
40	20-20	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+2.7
41	21-20	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Abby Farrell	set Kendra Sawyer	+3.2
42	22-20	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Cortnee Smith		+4.2
43	22-21	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Mackenzie Murphy		+2.6
44	23-21	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+3.8
45	23-22	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+2.7
46	24-22	ORU	STONEH	Attack err	Khylie Remmenga		+4.6
47	24-23	STONEH	ORU×3	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+2.6
48	24-24	ORU	ORU×3	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd	blk Ciara Cunningham, Khylie Remmenga	+7.2
49	24-25	ORU	ORU×3	Ace	ORU server	aced Kristina Bishop	+6.4
50	25-25	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+5.0
51	25-26	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+5.0
52	26-26	ORU	STONEH	Attack err	Ciara Cunningham	blk Roe Beland, Abby Farrell	+5.0
53	26-27	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+5.0
54	26-28	ORU	ORU	Kill	Ciara Cunningham	set Kendra Sawyer	+5.7
Set 3
1	1-0	STONEH	STONEH	Bad set	Ana Appel		+0.9
2	1-1	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+0.7
3	2-1	ORU	STONEH×5	Kill	Kendra Sawyer	set Kristina Bishop	+0.7
4	3-1	STONEH	STONEH×5	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.0
5	4-1	STONEH	STONEH×5	Attack err	Elyse Dube		+1.0
6	5-1	STONEH	STONEH×5	Attack err	Molly Felkins		+1.0
7	6-1	STONEH	STONEH×5	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kristina Bishop	+0.9
8	6-2	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.6
9	7-2	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+0.8
10	8-2	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Elyse Dube	blk Abby Farrell, Sammy Franco	+0.9
11	8-3	STONEH	ORU	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+0.6
12	8-4	ORU	ORU	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	blk Ana Appel, Khylie Remmenga	+0.8
13	9-4	ORU	STONEH	Attack err	Elyse Dube	blk Sammy Franco, Abby Farrell	+0.8
14	10-4	STONEH	STONEH	Ace	STONEH server	aced Team	+0.9
15	10-5	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.6
16	10-6	ORU	ORU	Attack err	Abby Farrell	blk Khylie Remmenga, Cortnee Smith	+0.8
17	11-6	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+0.8
18	11-7	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Ana Appel	set Cortnee Smith	+0.7
19	12-7	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.8
20	13-7	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
21	13-8	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Molly Felkins	set Ana Appel	+0.5
22	13-9	ORU	ORU	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd	blk Ciara Cunningham, Molly Felkins	+0.8
23	14-9	ORU	STONEH	Serve err	ORU server		+0.9
24	15-9	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
25	15-10	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+0.5
26	15-11	ORU	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+0.8
27	16-11	ORU	STONEH	Attack err	Cortnee Smith		+0.9
28	16-12	STONEH	ORU×6	Attack err	Samantha Loyd		+0.6
29	16-13	ORU	ORU×6	Ace	ORU server	aced Gabi Polishuk	+1.0
30	16-14	ORU	ORU×6	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	blk Ciara Cunningham, Khylie Remmenga	+1.2
31	16-15	ORU	ORU×6	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+1.3
32	16-16	ORU	ORU×6	Attack err	Samantha Loyd		+1.4
33	16-17	ORU	ORU×6	Attack err	Sammy Franco		+1.4
34	17-17	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.2
35	17-18	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Ciara Cunningham	set Ana Appel	+1.2
36	18-18	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.3
37	18-19	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Elyse Dube	set Ana Appel	+1.3
38	19-19	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.3
39	19-20	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.4
40	20-20	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.5
41	20-21	STONEH	ORU	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.6
42	21-21	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.6
43	21-22	STONEH	ORU	Kill	Cortnee Smith	set Ana Appel	+1.8
44	22-22	ORU	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.8
45	23-22	STONEH	STONEH	Kill	Sammy Franco	set Kendra Sawyer	+3.0
46	23-23	STONEH	ORU×3	Kill	Ciara Cunningham	set Elyse Dube	+2.2
47	23-24	ORU	ORU×3	Ace	ORU server	aced Team	+3.5
48	23-25	ORU	ORU×3	Ace	ORU server	aced Team	+3.1

Score shown after each rally, Stonehill first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.