Baylor vs TCU Volleyball: Baylor Wins 3-0 (Oct 18, 2026)

FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: TCU 57.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Baylor won at TCU 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 27-25) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Baylor's Ksenia Rakhmanchik led with 23 kills, and Jules Hernandez added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:40 PM CT · final Oct 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BAYLOR	25	25	27	3
TCU	22	22	25	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ksenia Rakhmanchik hit .463 on 41 swings as Baylor edged TCU.

The match turned twice; each line shows Baylor's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. TCU went in at 57% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Baylor 17–14 TCU
TCU scored 4 straight to turn a 14–17 deficit into an 18–17 lead.
Baylor 76% → 59%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Baylor 24–24 TCU
Baylor won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–0.
Baylor 84% → >99%

TCU above 50Baylor belowMax swing 8.2%

BaylorTCU

Sideout %: Baylor 64.3·TCU 57.9
Break %: Baylor 42.1·TCU 35.7
Hitting: Baylor .262·TCU .231
Longest run: Baylor 6·TCU 4

Ksenia Rakhmanchik
23 kills on .463, 24 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

TCU above 50 · Baylor below

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Baylor — set 3, BAYLOR 27-25 TCU. Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Rosemary Archer). TCU win probability 8% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BAYLOR 46.1%53.9% TCU

Baylor wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.1%

3-2

18.0%

TCU wins

3-0

14.2%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

19.3%

BAYLOR break %: 38.3% vs this opp
TCU break %: 39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+8.2%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 27-25 TCU · BAYLOR 92% → 100%
02
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+7.9%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 26-25 TCU · BAYLOR 84% → 92%
03
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+7.6%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Morgan Madison)
Set 3 · BAYLOR 24-24 TCU · BAYLOR 76% → 84%
04
Mia LeeAttack error+6.2%
Attack error by Mia Lee
Set 2 · BAYLOR 21-19 TCU · BAYLOR 68% → 75%
05
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+5.8%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 2 · BAYLOR 19-18 TCU · BAYLOR 62% → 68%
06
Ksenia RakhmanchikKill+5.4%
Kill by Ksenia Rakhmanchik (set by Isabela Haggard)
Set 2 · BAYLOR 24-22 TCU · BAYLOR 74% → 80%
07
Mia Lee&Becca KelleyBlock+5.3%
Nadiya Johnson stuffed by Mia Lee & Becca Kelley
Set 2 · BAYLOR 17-18 TCU · TCU 36% → 41%
08
Isabela HaggardAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Isabela Haggard
Set 3 · BAYLOR 21-23 TCU · TCU 19% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Bayloraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Ksenia RakhmanchikOH	3	23	4	41	.463	0	0	1	6	2	0	2	1	24
2Bailey WarrenOH	3	8	4	22	.182	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
10Nadiya JohnsonOH	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	7
7Victoria DavisMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
12Isabela HaggardS	3	2	3	8	-.125	32	0	3	10	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Mya HemmerMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
33Jules HernandezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	11	0	0	0	0	2
22Morgan MadisonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	6	3	0	0	0	2
3Taylor CrainL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
26Tehani UlufatuL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		44	17	103	.262	40	7	6	40	5	2	6	5	77

TCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Evan HendrixOH	3	14	4	37	.270	0	0	1	5	1	2	1	15
11Becca KelleyOH	3	11	5	27	.222	0	0	0	8	1	1	0.5	11.5
5Jalyn GibsonOH	3	7	0	18	.389	0	3	3	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
10Kinsley YoungMB	3	6	3	12	.250	0	1	1	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	3	0	1	2	-.500	28	1	1	2	0	0	0	1
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
8Mia LeeMB	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
9Lauren MurphyOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Addy HornerS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	6	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
7Reese RobinsMB	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
0Alice VolpeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	6	2	0	0	0
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	4	1	0	0	0
Team totals		40	16	104	.231	39	5	10	35	7	12	6	69

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Baylor vs TCU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Sun, Oct 18, 2026Baylor at TCU · Baylor won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026TCU at Baylor · TCU won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BAYLOR · TCU 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 BAYLORTCU 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 2 BAYLORTCU 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 6 BAYLORTCU 4

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Baylor leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Baylor

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	11%1/9
2	53%9/17	50%9/18
3	64%7/11	59%10/17
4	78%7/9	30%3/10
5	78%7/9	36%4/11
6	67%6/9	45%5/11
All	64%45/70	42%32/76

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	46%6/13
2	53%9/17	25%3/12
3	47%7/15	53%10/19
4	64%7/11	22%2/9
5	60%6/10	30%3/10
6	55%6/11	14%1/7
All	58%44/76	36%25/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#	BAYLOR-TCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
2	0-2	TCU	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+2.6
3	1-2	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+1.5
4	2-2	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+2.7
5	2-3	BAYLOR	TCU×4	Serve err	Jules Hernandez		+1.7
6	2-4	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Mya Hemmer		+2.7
7	2-5	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+2.6
8	2-6	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Nadiya Johnson	blk Evan Hendrix, Kinsley Young	+2.3
9	3-6	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Jalyn Gibson		+1.2
10	3-7	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.4
11	4-7	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Jules Hernandez	+1.2
12	5-7	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	Tehani Ulufatu	aced Evan Hendrix	+2.4
13	5-8	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
14	6-8	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+1.5
15	7-8	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+2.8
16	7-9	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.9
17	8-9	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+1.8
18	9-9	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Mya Hemmer		+3.3
19	9-10	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+2.0
20	10-10	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.0
21	10-11	BAYLOR	TCU	Serve err	Isabela Haggard		+2.1
22	10-12	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Mya Hemmer		+3.4
23	11-12	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+1.9
24	12-12	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+3.6
25	12-13	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.3
26	13-13	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Jalyn Gibson		+2.3
27	14-13	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Victoria Davis	+4.0
28	14-14	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+2.4
29	14-15	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Victoria Davis	blk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young	+4.1
30	15-15	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Evan Hendrix		+2.5
31	15-16	BAYLOR	TCU	Serve err	Tehani Ulufatu		+2.6
32	16-16	TCU	BAYLOR×3	Serve err	Lauren Murphy		+2.6
33	17-16	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Addy Horner	+4.7
34	18-16	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Bailey Warren		+4.7
35	18-17	BAYLOR	TCU	Serve err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+2.4
36	19-17	TCU	BAYLOR×4	Serve err	Rosemary Archer		+3.0
37	20-17	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Ace	Taylor Crain	aced Alice Volpe	+4.3
38	21-17	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Taylor Crain	+3.2
39	22-17	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×4	Ace	Taylor Crain	aced Alice Volpe	+1.9
40	22-18	BAYLOR	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
41	22-19	TCU	TCU×3	Blocked	Bailey Warren	blk Jalyn Gibson, Mia Lee	+1.6
42	22-20	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+2.8
43	23-20	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.9
44	23-21	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+1.4
45	24-21	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+2.9
46	24-22	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.9
47	25-22	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.5
Set 2
1	1-0	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+1.8
2	2-0	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+3.0
3	2-1	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+1.7
4	3-1	TCU	BAYLOR	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.9
5	4-1	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+3.0
6	4-2	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
7	5-2	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Alice Volpe		+1.9
8	5-3	BAYLOR	TCU	Attack err	Bailey Warren		+1.7
9	6-3	TCU	BAYLOR	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+1.9
10	7-3	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.9
11	7-4	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.5
12	8-4	TCU	BAYLOR	Attack err	Addy Horner		+1.8
13	8-5	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Addy Horner	+1.5
14	9-5	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Isabela Haggard	set Morgan Madison	+1.8
15	9-6	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Mia Lee	set Addy Horner	+1.5
16	10-6	TCU	BAYLOR	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.9
17	11-6	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	Morgan Madison		+2.6
18	11-7	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.2
19	12-7	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+1.6
20	12-8	BAYLOR	TCU×3	Blocked	Isabela Haggard	blk Evan Hendrix, Mia Lee	+1.2
21	12-9	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+2.6
22	12-10	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Isabela Haggard		+3.1
23	13-10	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+2.2
24	13-11	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Alice Volpe	+1.9
25	14-11	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Tehani Ulufatu	+2.3
26	14-12	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+1.9
27	14-13	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+3.8
28	15-13	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Lauren Murphy		+2.7
29	15-14	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Jaylen Clark	+2.4
30	16-14	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Kinsley Young		+2.8
31	17-14	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Blocked	Reese Robins	blk Mya Hemmer, Ksenia Rakhmanchik	+4.2
32	17-15	BAYLOR	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Addy Horner	+2.0
33	17-16	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	Rosemary Archer	aced Morgan Madison	+4.2
34	17-17	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+5.0
35	17-18	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Nadiya Johnson	blk Mia Lee, Becca Kelley	+5.3
36	18-18	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+3.1
37	19-18	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+5.8
38	19-19	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+3.4
39	20-19	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+3.8
40	21-19	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Attack err	Mia Lee		+6.2
41	21-20	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+3.0
42	22-20	TCU	BAYLOR	Serve err	Jaylen Clark		+4.2
43	22-21	BAYLOR	TCU	Attack err	Bailey Warren		+3.0
44	23-21	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+4.7
45	23-22	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+3.0
46	24-22	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+5.4
47	25-22	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Blocked	Rosemary Archer	blk Mya Hemmer	+4.5
Set 3
1	0-1	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.2
2	0-2	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Nadiya Johnson		+2.0
3	1-2	TCU	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+1.2
4	2-2	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+2.1
5	3-2	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Ace	Jules Hernandez	aced Jaylen Clark	+2.2
6	3-3	BAYLOR	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.3
7	3-4	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	Jalyn Gibson	aced Morgan Madison	+2.2
8	3-5	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	Jalyn Gibson	aced Ksenia Rakhmanchik	+2.1
9	4-5	TCU	BAYLOR×6	Serve err	Jalyn Gibson		+1.2
10	5-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Jules Hernandez	+2.2
11	6-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+2.3
12	7-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+2.4
13	8-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.3
14	9-5	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×6	Ace	Morgan Madison	aced Becca Kelley	+2.1
15	9-6	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Addy Horner	+1.1
16	9-7	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	blk Lauren Murphy, Kinsley Young	+2.1
17	10-7	TCU	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Victoria Davis	set Isabela Haggard	+1.5
18	11-7	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Tehani Ulufatu	+2.2
19	12-7	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Victoria Davis, Isabela Haggard	+1.8
20	12-8	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Addy Horner	+0.9
21	12-9	TCU	TCU	Ace	Kinsley Young	aced Morgan Madison	+1.8
22	13-9	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Tehani Ulufatu	+1.4
23	13-10	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Addy Horner	+1.1
24	14-10	TCU	BAYLOR	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+1.4
25	14-11	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.1
26	15-11	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+1.4
27	15-12	BAYLOR	TCU	Serve err	Isabela Haggard		+1.1
28	16-12	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Nadiya Johnson	set Isabela Haggard	+1.4
29	17-12	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Ace	Jules Hernandez	aced Molly McCarthy	+1.8
30	17-13	BAYLOR	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.7
31	17-14	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Jaylen Clark	+1.8
32	17-15	TCU	TCU×4	Bad set	Isabela Haggard		+2.4
33	17-16	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	Jalyn Gibson	aced Ksenia Rakhmanchik	+3.0
34	18-16	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.2
35	18-17	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+1.8
36	19-17	TCU	BAYLOR	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Victoria Davis, Ksenia Rakhmanchik	+2.3
37	19-18	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.9
38	19-19	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+3.9
39	20-19	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Bailey Warren	set Isabela Haggard	+2.7
40	20-20	BAYLOR	TCU	Attack err	Ksenia Rakhmanchik		+2.6
41	20-21	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Bailey Warren		+4.8
42	21-21	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.8
43	21-22	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+3.2
44	21-23	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Isabela Haggard		+5.0
45	22-23	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+2.0
46	22-24	BAYLOR	TCU	Serve err	Isabela Haggard		+3.4
47	23-24	TCU	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+1.7
48	24-24	BAYLOR	BAYLOR	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Morgan Madison	+7.6
49	24-25	BAYLOR	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+4.6
50	25-25	TCU	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+4.6
51	26-25	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Isabela Haggard	+7.9
52	27-25	BAYLOR	BAYLOR×3	Kill	Ksenia Rakhmanchik	set Rosemary Archer	+8.2

Score shown after each rally, Baylor first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Baylor def. TCU 3–0

Ksenia Rakhmanchik hit .463 on 41 swings as Baylor edged TCU.