FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

Columbia def. Stonehill 3–0

(25-17, 25-11, 25-16)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
STONEH	17	11	16	0
COLUMB	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

COLUMB above 50 · STONEH below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Stonehill — set 1, STONEH 3-0 COLUMB. Kill by Haley Herndon (set by Kendra Sawyer). COLUMB win probability 83% → 81%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STONEH 14.4%85.6% COLUMB

Stonehill wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.6%

3-2

7.7%

Columbia wins

3-0

37.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.3%

STONEH break %: 39.5% vs this opp
COLUMB break %: 47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Haley HerndonKill+1.7%
Kill by Haley Herndon (set by Kendra Sawyer)
Set 1 · STONEH 3-0 COLUMB · STONEH 17% → 19%
02
Addy FryeKill+1.6%
Kill by Addy Frye (set by Kendra Sawyer)
Set 1 · STONEH 2-0 COLUMB · STONEH 16% → 17%
03
Charlotte GravleeKill+1.5%
Kill by Charlotte Gravlee (set by Clara Yu)
Set 1 · STONEH 3-2 COLUMB · COLUMB 82% → 84%
04
COLUMB serverAce+1.5%
Columbia ace on Addy Frye
Set 1 · STONEH 4-4 COLUMB · COLUMB 84% → 85%
05
Reegan MishkinAttack error+1.4%
Reegan Mishkin stuffed by Danica Nordlicht
Set 1 · STONEH 4-5 COLUMB · COLUMB 85% → 87%
06
Danica NordlichtAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Danica Nordlicht
Set 1 · STONEH 6-7 COLUMB · STONEH 12% → 13%
07
COLUMB serverService error+1.4%
Columbia service error
Set 1 · STONEH 4-2 COLUMB · STONEH 16% → 18%
08
Alexia CorneaKill+1.3%
Kill by Alexia Cornea
Set 1 · STONEH 4-6 COLUMB · COLUMB 87% → 88%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stonehillaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Haley HerndonOPP	3	8	4	16	.250	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
12Samantha LoydOH	3	6	5	16	.063	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	7
13Addy FryeOH	3	5	2	20	.150	2	1	0	5	5	0	0	6
24Annabelle SvensonMB	3	3	3	11	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
2Reegan MishkinMB	3	0	4	7	-.571	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
3Kendra SawyerS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	15	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
18Kaisa DowdOH	3	4	4	19	.000	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	5
1Casey McdermottS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	7	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
7Sammy FrancoOPP	3	0	0	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Abby FarrellMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Addison KoontzL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Catherine DetweilerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Gabi PolishukOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
16Jess BarrettOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Kristina BishopL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	7	1	0	0	0
11Mia CrowleyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Roe BelandOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Rosa SmithS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Skylar KesslerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	24	96	.021	26	4	5	25	8	4	2	44

Columbiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
33Alexia CorneaOH	3	11	5	19	.316	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
14Avery JonesOPP	3	5	0	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
13Charlotte GravleeOPP	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	2	1	0	4	2	7
7Danica NordlichtMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	4.5	5.5
9Elena MaynuletOH	3	5	2	12	.250	3	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	5
16Clara YuS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	3	0	4	0	0	0	0	4
25Kylee EzeOPP	3	8	0	14	.571	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
5Allie AbernathyMB	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Madison HsiehL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
11Delaney SeamanS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	10	1	0	0	0	1
10Evie NaumannOH	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Ava WangL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Claire MoS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
1Dahlia RobertsOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Elise HiemstraOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Josie ZynczakOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Maria HappMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Victoria GaoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	9	77	.377	35	8	4	37	4	2	20	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 STONEH · COLUMB 8

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 STONEHCOLUMB 7

Set 2*

11-25

Longest run 3 STONEHCOLUMB 8

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 STONEHCOLUMB 4

Bars above the line = Columbia leads, below = Stonehill leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stonehill

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%4/4	0%0/2
2	57%4/7	67%8/12
3	31%4/13	0%0/4
4	44%4/9	43%3/7
5	21%3/14	20%1/5
6	67%2/3	0%0/3
All	42%21/50	36%12/33

Columbia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%4/12	0%0/4
2	100%4/4	43%3/7
3	57%4/7	69%9/13
4	80%4/5	56%5/9
5	100%3/3	79%11/14
6	100%2/2	33%1/3
All	64%21/33	58%29/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

119 rallies

Rally log

#	STONEH-COLUMB	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	COLUMB	STONEH×3	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.2
2	2-0	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.6
3	3-0	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Haley Herndon	set Kendra Sawyer	+1.7
4	3-1	STONEH	COLUMB	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.2
5	3-2	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Clara Yu	+1.5
6	4-2	COLUMB	STONEH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+1.4
7	4-3	STONEH	COLUMB×5	Kill	Avery Jones		+1.2
8	4-4	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Addy Frye	+1.5
9	4-5	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Attack err	Reegan Mishkin	blk Danica Nordlicht	+1.4
10	4-6	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Kill	Alexia Cornea		+1.3
11	4-7	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Attack err	Kendra Sawyer		+1.1
12	5-7	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Haley Herndon	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
13	6-7	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Danica Nordlicht		+1.4
14	6-8	STONEH	COLUMB	Serve err	STONEH server		+1.0
15	6-9	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Reegan Mishkin	blk Danica Nordlicht, Alexia Cornea	+1.2
16	7-9	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.9
17	7-10	STONEH	COLUMB×7	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+0.9
18	7-11	COLUMB	COLUMB×7	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	blk Danica Nordlicht, Kylee Eze	+1.0
19	7-12	COLUMB	COLUMB×7	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Addy Frye	+0.8
20	7-13	COLUMB	COLUMB×7	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Addy Frye	+0.6
21	7-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×7	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	blk Kylee Eze, Danica Nordlicht	+0.4
22	7-15	COLUMB	COLUMB×7	Attack err	Reegan Mishkin	blk Danica Nordlicht	+0.3
23	7-16	COLUMB	COLUMB×7	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.2
24	8-16	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.1
25	8-17	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Claire Mo	+0.1
26	9-17	COLUMB	STONEH	Attack err	Evie Naumann	set Madison Hsieh	+0.1
27	9-18	STONEH	COLUMB	Attack err	Annabelle Svenson	blk Charlotte Gravlee, Kylee Eze	+0.1
28	10-18	COLUMB	STONEH×5	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.1
29	11-18	STONEH	STONEH×5	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.1
30	12-18	STONEH	STONEH×5	Kill	Haley Herndon		+0.3
31	13-18	STONEH	STONEH×5	Kill	Haley Herndon	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.4
32	14-18	STONEH	STONEH×5	Ace	STONEH server	aced Delaney Seaman	+0.7
33	14-19	STONEH	COLUMB	Attack err	Haley Herndon	blk Charlotte Gravlee, Avery Jones	+0.7
34	14-20	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Annabelle Svenson		+0.5
35	15-20	COLUMB	STONEH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+0.3
36	15-21	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+0.4
37	16-21	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Addy Frye	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.2
38	16-22	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+0.3
39	17-22	COLUMB	STONEH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+0.2
40	17-23	STONEH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Delaney Seaman	+0.3
41	17-24	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Casey Mcdermott		+0.1
42	17-25	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Addy Frye	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	STONEH	COLUMB	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	blk Charlotte Gravlee, Avery Jones	+0.7
2	1-1	COLUMB	STONEH	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
3	1-2	STONEH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+0.7
4	1-3	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+0.9
5	1-4	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Addy Frye	blk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones	+0.8
6	2-4	COLUMB	STONEH	Bad set	Clara Yu		+0.6
7	2-5	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+0.6
8	3-5	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Haley Herndon	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.6
9	4-5	STONEH	STONEH	Attack err	Alexia Cornea	blk Sammy Franco, Reegan Mishkin	+0.9
10	4-6	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.7
11	5-6	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.7
12	5-7	STONEH	COLUMB	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.7
13	6-7	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.8
14	6-8	STONEH	COLUMB×8	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Elena Maynulet	+0.8
15	6-9	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Attack err	Annabelle Svenson		+0.9
16	6-10	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Addy Frye	+0.7
17	6-11	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Kill	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+0.6
18	6-12	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Clara Yu	+0.4
19	6-13	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Kristina Bishop	+0.3
20	6-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Gabi Polishuk	+0.2
21	6-15	COLUMB	COLUMB×8	Kill	Elena Maynulet		+0.1
22	7-15	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.1
23	7-16	STONEH	COLUMB×3	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Delaney Seaman	+0.1
24	7-17	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Samantha Loyd	blk Alexia Cornea, Charlotte Gravlee	+0.1
25	7-18	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Haley Herndon		+0.0
26	8-18	COLUMB	STONEH×3	Kill	Haley Herndon	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.0
27	9-18	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Kendra Sawyer	+0.0
28	10-18	STONEH	STONEH×3	Kill	Haley Herndon		+0.1
29	10-19	STONEH	COLUMB	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.1
30	10-20	COLUMB	COLUMB	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd	blk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones	+0.0
31	11-20	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Samantha Loyd	set Kristina Bishop	+0.0
32	11-21	STONEH	COLUMB×5	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.0
33	11-22	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Delaney Seaman	+0.0
34	11-23	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Kill	Danica Nordlicht		+0.0
35	11-24	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Attack err	Haley Herndon		+0.0
36	11-25	COLUMB	COLUMB×5	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Elena Maynulet	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	COLUMB	STONEH×3	Attack err	Elena Maynulet	set Delaney Seaman	+0.4
2	2-0	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Charlotte Gravlee	+0.6
3	3-0	STONEH	STONEH×3	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+0.6
4	3-1	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Clara Yu	+0.4
5	3-2	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Charlotte Gravlee	set Clara Yu	+0.5
6	4-2	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Haley Herndon	set Rosa Smith	+0.5
7	4-3	STONEH	COLUMB×3	Serve err	STONEH server		+0.4
8	4-4	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Attack err	Reegan Mishkin		+0.5
9	4-5	COLUMB	COLUMB×3	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Clara Yu	+0.5
10	5-5	COLUMB	STONEH×3	Attack err	Alexia Cornea	set Delaney Seaman	+0.4
11	6-5	STONEH	STONEH×3	Ace	STONEH server	aced Elena Maynulet	+0.6
12	7-5	STONEH	STONEH×3	Attack err	Alexia Cornea		+0.7
13	7-6	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+0.5
14	7-7	COLUMB	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.6
15	8-7	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Addy Frye	+0.5
16	9-7	STONEH	STONEH	Ace	STONEH server	aced Alexia Cornea	+0.7
17	9-8	STONEH	COLUMB	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.5
18	10-8	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Addy Frye	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.6
19	10-9	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.5
20	10-10	COLUMB	COLUMB	Ace	COLUMB server	aced Kaisa Dowd	+0.7
21	11-10	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Addy Frye	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.6
22	11-11	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.5
23	12-11	COLUMB	STONEH	Attack err	Elena Maynulet	set Clara Yu	+0.6
24	12-12	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Elena Maynulet		+0.5
25	13-12	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Annabelle Svenson	set Addy Frye	+0.6
26	13-13	STONEH	COLUMB×4	Kill	Avery Jones	set Clara Yu	+0.6
27	13-14	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+0.7
28	13-15	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Kaisa Dowd		+0.6
29	13-16	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Haley Herndon	blk Alexia Cornea, Allie Abernathy	+0.5
30	14-16	COLUMB	STONEH	Attack err	Alexia Cornea	blk Haley Herndon, Reegan Mishkin	+0.4
31	14-17	STONEH	COLUMB×4	Kill	Clara Yu	set Elena Maynulet	+0.4
32	14-18	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+0.4
33	14-19	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Delaney Seaman	+0.3
34	14-20	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Kill	Allie Abernathy	set Delaney Seaman	+0.2
35	15-20	COLUMB	STONEH	Kill	Kaisa Dowd	set Casey Mcdermott	+0.1
36	15-21	STONEH	COLUMB×4	Kill	Alexia Cornea	set Claire Mo	+0.1
37	15-22	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Kill	Allie Abernathy	set Claire Mo	+0.1
38	15-23	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.0
39	15-24	COLUMB	COLUMB×4	Attack err	Addy Frye		+0.0
40	16-24	COLUMB	STONEH	Serve err	COLUMB server		+0.0
41	16-25	STONEH	COLUMB	Kill	Kylee Eze	set Claire Mo	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Stonehill first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.