Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

FDU def. Stonehill 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 73.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU won at Stonehill 3-1 (25-15, 30-28, 23-25, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. FDU's Mila Samardzija led with 14 kills, and Madeline Joyce added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
FDU253023253
STONEH152825231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: FDU won all four.

Win probability never moved more than 7.2 points on one rally; Stonehill topped out at 28% in Set 1. FDU went in as RallyIQ's 73% pick.

FDUStonehill
  • Hitting+.115
    .308.193

    54 kills, 17 errors vs 56 kills, 28 errors.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Down 0–1 in the first set, FDU scored 5 straight to lead 5–1. The set finished 25–15.

Stonehill above 50FDU belowMax swing 7.2%

FDUStonehill

Aces
FDU 5·Stonehill 6
Serve err
FDU 12·Stonehill 15
Blocks
FDU 9·Stonehill 71 BS · 16 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
FDU 52·Stonehill 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stonehill above 50 · FDU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.2% STONEHrally 194 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.2% to Stonehill — set 2, FDU 25-26 STONEH. Ace by Samantha Loyd on Ava DeGuzman. STONEH win probability 16% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FDU 70.8%29.2% STONEH

FDU wins

3-0
23.8%
3-1
27.2%
3-2
19.8%

Stonehill wins

3-0
5.5%
3-1
10.2%
3-2
13.5%
FDU break %
45.9% vs this opp
STONEH break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Samantha Loyd on Ava DeGuzman

    Set 2 · FDU 25-26 STONEH · STONEH 16% → 23%

  2. 02

    Kill by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez (set by Isabella Scarfone)

    Set 4 · FDU 25-23 STONEH · FDU 93% → 100%

  3. 03
    Samantha LoydAttack error+6.6%

    Attack error by Samantha Loyd

    Set 2 · FDU 25-24 STONEH · FDU 82% → 89%

  4. 04

    Abby Farrell stuffed by Angela Marchetto

    Set 2 · FDU 29-28 STONEH · FDU 82% → 89%

  5. 05
    Ava DeGuzmanKill+5.9%

    Kill by Ava DeGuzman (set by Nora Marginean)

    Set 2 · FDU 30-28 STONEH · FDU 89% → 95%

  6. 06
    Samantha LoydKill+5.6%

    Kill by Samantha Loyd (set by Kendra Sawyer)

    Set 2 · FDU 23-24 STONEH · STONEH 18% → 23%

  7. 07

    Kill by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez (set by Casey McDermott)

    Set 2 · FDU 24-24 STONEH · FDU 77% → 82%

  8. 08
    Samantha LoydAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Samantha Loyd

    Set 2 · FDU 26-26 STONEH · FDU 77% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FDUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414226.46211142031.516.5
413430.300212102010.514.5
411223.3910003002112
46417.11810010132.58.5
4508.62500010052.57.5
4103.3332602500001
43410-.100200100214
4113.0001612300002
4000–014100001
4000–3112310001
Team totals5417120.308515125261169103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412324.375102121010.512.5
49215.4670111002111
49626.11500020010.59.5
4001.0002600400000
34213.154000102237
34624-.08301002010.55.5
48418.222000200219
41011.000112110002
4000–2131310001
36417.118000200006
3000–1102100000
2001.000701300000
2000–001100000
1315.40012310010.55.5
Team totals5628145.19349615445210791

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

FDU vs Stonehill

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FDU · STONEH 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 5 FDUSTONEH 2

Set 2

30-28

Longest run 3 FDUSTONEH 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 FDUSTONEH 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 FDUSTONEH 5

Bars above the line = Stonehill leads, below = FDU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%13/24
15%2/13
2
73%11/15
54%13/24
3
73%11/15
48%10/21
4
82%9/11
38%6/16
5
69%9/13
36%5/14
6
64%9/14
36%5/14
All
67%62/92
40%41/102

Stonehill

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
31%5/16
2
42%11/26
40%8/20
3
71%10/14
35%6/17
4
50%10/20
9%1/11
5
90%9/10
25%3/12
6
60%9/15
44%7/16
All
60%61/102
33%30/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

194 rallies

#FDU-STONEHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FDUSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+1.6
21-1STONEHFDU×5KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
32-1FDUFDU×5Attack errSamantha Loyd+2.0
43-1FDUFDU×5AceFDUaced Samantha Loyd+1.8
54-1FDUFDU×5KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.7
65-1FDUFDU×5KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
75-2FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+1.1
86-2STONEHFDU×4Serve errStonehill+1.2
97-2FDUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Madeline Joyce+1.3
108-2FDUFDU×4Attack errCatherine Detweiler+1.1
119-2FDUFDU×4BlockedSamantha Loydblk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Alessia Zampieri+0.8
129-3FDUSTONEHKillHaley Herndon+0.5
1310-3STONEHFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
1410-4FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+0.5
1511-4STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+0.6
1611-5FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+0.5
1711-6STONEHSTONEHBlockedNina Jasieckablk Addy Frye, Annabelle Svenson+0.9
1812-6STONEHFDU×5KillAva DeGuzmanset Nina Jasiecka+0.8
1913-6FDUFDU×5Attack errAddy Frye+0.8
2014-6FDUFDU×5BlockedAddy Fryeblk Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka+0.6
2115-6FDUFDU×5KillAva DeGuzmanset Nina Jasiecka+0.4
2216-6FDUFDU×5KillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+0.2
2316-7FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+0.1
2417-7STONEHFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Madeline Joyce+0.2
2517-8FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+0.1
2618-8STONEHFDUBlockedHaley Herndonblk Ava DeGuzman, Angela Marchetto+0.1
2719-8FDUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.1
2819-9FDUSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer·
2920-9STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.1
3020-10FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Kendra Sawyer·
3121-10STONEHFDUServe errStonehill·
3221-11FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott·
3322-11STONEHFDUServe errStonehill·
3422-12FDUSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Casey McDermott·
3523-12STONEHFDUBlockedKaisa Dowdblk Alessia Zampieri, Nina Jasiecka·
3623-13FDUSTONEHAttack errNina Jasiecka·
3724-13STONEHFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean·
3824-14FDUSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Addy Frye·
3924-15STONEHSTONEHBlockedAva DeGuzmanblk Annabelle Svenson, Haley Herndon·
4025-15STONEHFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone·
Set 2
11-0STONEHFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
22-0FDUFDUAttack errHaley Herndon+1.5
32-1FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+1.1
43-1STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
54-1FDUFDUAttack errAddy Frye+1.4
64-2FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+1.0
75-2STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+1.1
85-3FDUSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+1.0
96-3STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+1.1
106-4FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Casey McDermott+1.1
117-4STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean+1.1
127-5FDUSTONEH×5Serve errFDU+1.1
137-6STONEHSTONEH×5KillGabi Polishukset Casey McDermott+1.6
147-7STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errAva DeGuzman+1.8
157-8STONEHSTONEH×5BlockedAngela Marchettoblk Abby Farrell, Sammy Franco+2.0
167-9STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errAva DeGuzman+2.1
178-9STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+1.5
188-10FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+1.7
198-11STONEHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Abby Farrell+2.2
209-11STONEHFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
219-12FDUSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Kendra Sawyer+1.8
2210-12STONEHFDU×3Serve errStonehill+1.5
2311-12FDUFDU×3Attack errSamantha Loyd+2.2
2412-12FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Samantha Loyd+2.3
2512-13FDUSTONEH×3KillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+1.9
2612-14STONEHSTONEH×3AceAbby Farrellaced Mila Samardzija+2.6
2712-15STONEHSTONEH×3AceAbby Farrell+2.5
2813-15STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+1.7
2913-16FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Kendra Sawyer+2.1
3014-16STONEHFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Nora Marginean+1.7
3115-16FDUFDUKillAlessia Zampieri+2.5
3215-17FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+2.3
3315-18STONEHSTONEHAceGabi Polishukaced Mila Samardzija+2.9
3416-18STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Ava DeGuzman+1.8
3517-18FDUFDUAceFDUaced Addy Frye+2.8
3617-19FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+2.6
3718-19STONEHFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+2.2
3818-20FDUSTONEHKillAbby Farrellset Casey McDermott+2.8
3919-20STONEHFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Nora Marginean+2.3
4019-21FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+3.1
4119-22STONEHSTONEHKillAbby Farrell+3.5
4220-22STONEHFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
4321-22FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+3.4
4421-23FDUSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+3.9
4522-23STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+2.7
4623-23FDUFDUBlockedSamantha Loydblk Alessia Zampieri, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+5.4
4723-24FDUSTONEHKillSamantha Loydset Kendra Sawyer+5.6
4824-24STONEHFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Casey McDermott+5.6
4925-24FDUFDUAttack errSamantha Loyd+6.6
5025-25FDUSTONEHBlockedMila Samardzijablk Samantha Loyd, Catherine Detweiler+5.0
5125-26STONEHSTONEHAceSamantha Loydaced Ava DeGuzman+7.2
5226-26STONEHFDUAttack errSamantha Loyd+5.6
5326-27FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+5.6
5427-27STONEHFDUKillNora Margineanset Casey McDermott+5.6
5527-28FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Casey McDermott+5.6
5628-28STONEHFDU×3KillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean+5.6
5729-28FDUFDU×3BlockedAbby Farrellblk Angela Marchetto+6.6
5830-28FDUFDU×3KillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+5.9
Set 3
10-1FDUSTONEH×4Serve errFDU+0.7
20-2STONEHSTONEH×4KillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+0.9
30-3STONEHSTONEH×4KillHaley Herndon+1.0
40-4STONEHSTONEH×4Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.0
51-4STONEHFDU×4KillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+0.7
62-4FDUFDU×4Attack errAnnabelle Svenson+0.9
73-4FDUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
84-4FDUFDU×4Attack errHaley Herndon+0.9
94-5FDUSTONEH×3KillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+0.8
104-6STONEHSTONEH×3AceKristina Bishopaced Ava DeGuzman+1.0
114-7STONEHSTONEH×3KillKaisa Dowdset Kristina Bishop+1.1
125-7STONEHFDUKillIsabella Scarfone+0.7
135-8FDUSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+0.9
146-8STONEHFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.7
157-8FDUFDU×4Attack errSammy Franco+1.0
168-8FDUFDU×4Attack errKaisa Dowd+1.0
179-8FDUFDU×4BlockedKaisa Dowdblk Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija+1.0
189-9FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Casey McDermott+0.8
1910-9STONEHFDUAttack errCatherine Detweiler+0.8
2010-10FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+0.8
2110-11STONEHSTONEHAceCatherine Detweileraced Madeline Joyce+1.2
2211-11STONEHFDUAttack errAnnabelle Svenson+0.9
2311-12FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+1.0
2412-12STONEHFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Nora Marginean+0.9
2512-13FDUSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.0
2612-14STONEHSTONEH×3KillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+1.4
2712-15STONEHSTONEH×3KillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+1.4
2813-15STONEHFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
2913-16FDUSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.1
3014-16STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
3114-17FDUSTONEHKillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+1.1
3215-17STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+0.9
3315-18FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Rosa Smith+1.2
3416-18STONEHFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Nora Marginean+0.9
3516-19FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Rosa Smith+1.3
3617-19STONEHFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Nora Marginean+1.0
3717-20FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+1.3
3818-20STONEHFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+1.0
3918-21FDUSTONEHKillAnnabelle Svensonset Kendra Sawyer+1.4
4019-21STONEHFDUAttack errKaisa Dowd+1.0
4119-22FDUSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.5
4220-22STONEHFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
4320-23FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Isabella Scarfone+1.6
4421-23STONEHFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
4522-23FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Kristina Bishop+1.9
4623-23FDUFDU×3Attack errHaley Herndon+2.9
4723-24FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Kendra Sawyer+3.0
4823-25STONEHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+4.3
Set 4
11-0STONEHFDUAttack errHaley Herndon+1.8
22-0FDUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Angela Marchetto+2.2
32-1FDUSTONEHAttack errAva DeGuzman+1.7
42-2STONEHSTONEHAttack errAngela Marchetto+2.4
53-2STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+1.8
64-2FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+2.3
74-3FDUSTONEHKillKaisa Dowdset Kendra Sawyer+1.8
85-3STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
95-4FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Rosa Smith+1.8
105-5STONEHSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kristina Bishop+2.6
116-5STONEHFDU×4KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+2.0
127-5FDUFDU×4Attack errSammy Franco+2.5
138-5FDUFDU×4Attack errSammy Franco+2.2
149-5FDUFDU×4BlockedSammy Francoblk Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija+2.0
159-6FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Rosa Smith+1.4
1610-6STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Nora Marginean+1.5
1710-7FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Rosa Smith+1.4
1810-8STONEHSTONEHAttack errNina Jasiecka+2.2
1911-8STONEHFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+1.9
2012-8FDUFDUAceFDUaced Gabi Polishuk+2.1
2112-9FDUSTONEH×5KillHaley Herndonset Kendra Sawyer+1.4
2212-10STONEHSTONEH×5Attack errNina Jasiecka+2.3
2312-11STONEHSTONEH×5BlockedAngela Marchettoblk Annabelle Svenson+2.8
2412-12STONEHSTONEH×5BlockedNora Margineanblk Annabelle Svenson+3.3
2512-13STONEHSTONEH×5KillAnnabelle Svenson+3.6
2613-13STONEHFDUBad setKendra Sawyer+2.7
2713-14FDUSTONEHKillKaisa Dowd+3.0
2814-14STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+2.8
2915-14FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Ava DeGuzman+3.7
3015-15FDUSTONEHAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+2.9
3115-16STONEHSTONEHBlockedMila Samardzijablk Sammy Franco, Catherine Detweiler+4.2
3216-16STONEHFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+3.1
3316-17FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Rosa Smith+3.5
3417-17STONEHFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Madeline Joyce+3.3
3517-18FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Rosa Smith+3.7
3618-18STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+3.5
3718-19FDUSTONEHKillSammy Francoset Gabi Polishuk+4.0
3819-19STONEHFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+3.8
3920-19FDUFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Nora Marginean+5.1
4020-20FDUSTONEHKillAddy Fryeset Kendra Sawyer+4.0
4121-20STONEHFDUServe errStonehill+4.4
4222-20FDUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+5.3
4322-21FDUSTONEHServe errFDU+3.3
4423-21STONEHFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+4.5
4524-21FDUFDUBlockedHaley Herndonblk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto+4.0
4624-22FDUSTONEHKillCatherine Detweilerset Kendra Sawyer+1.3
4724-23STONEHSTONEHAttack errAngela Marchetto+4.0
4825-23STONEHFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+6.8

Score shown after each rally, FDU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).