Northern Ariz. vs Idaho State: Idaho State Wins 3-0 (Oct 1)

FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Idaho St. 70.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Idaho St. beat visiting Northern Ariz. 3-0 (26-24, 25-18, 25-23) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Idaho St.'s Mia Walsh led with 13 kills, and Aspen Boice added 21 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 1

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NAU	24	18	23	0
ID ST	26	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Idaho St. trailed 1–9 in the first and still took the set, then the match.

The match turned once. Numbers are Idaho St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Idaho St. 70% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Northern Ariz. 24–22 Idaho St.
Idaho St. closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0.
Idaho St. 52% → 83%

Idaho St. above 50Northern Ariz. belowMax swing 9.5%

Northern Ariz.Idaho St.

Sideout %: Northern Ariz. 51.4·Idaho St. 59.7
Break %: Northern Ariz. 40.3·Idaho St. 48.6
Hitting: Northern Ariz. .147·Idaho St. .194
Longest run: Northern Ariz. 6·Idaho St. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Idaho St. above 50 · Northern Ariz. below

Biggest swing: 9.5% to Idaho St. — set 1, NAU 24-24 ID ST. Gigi Greenlee stuffed by Gracie Vohs & Isabella Beatty. ID ST win probability 57% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAU 42.6%57.4% ID ST

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

9.6%

3-1

15.7%

3-2

17.3%

Idaho St. wins

3-0

15.9%

3-1

21.8%

3-2

19.7%

NAU break %: 42.2% vs this opp
ID ST break %: 43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Gracie Vohs&Isabella BeattyBlock+9.5%
Gigi Greenlee stuffed by Gracie Vohs & Isabella Beatty
Set 1 · NAU 24-24 ID ST · ID ST 57% → 66%
02
Idaho St.Ace+8.7%
Idaho St. ace on Quincey Coyle
Set 1 · NAU 24-25 ID ST · ID ST 66% → 75%
03
Isabella BeattyKill+7.9%
Kill by Isabella Beatty (set by Kadence Marsh)
Set 1 · NAU 24-26 ID ST · ID ST 75% → 83%
04
Quincey CoyleAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Quincey Coyle
Set 1 · NAU 24-23 ID ST · ID ST 52% → 57%
05
Gigi Greenlee&Quincey CoyleBlock+3.8%
Gracie Vohs stuffed by Gigi Greenlee & Quincey Coyle
Set 1 · NAU 24-21 ID ST · NAU 45% → 49%
06
Annelie WilsonKill+2.9%
Kill by Annelie Wilson (set by Nora Waddoups)
Set 3 · NAU 23-25 ID ST · ID ST 97% → 100%
07
Gracie Vohs&Isabella BeattyBlock+2.7%
Gigi Greenlee stuffed by Gracie Vohs & Isabella Beatty
Set 1 · NAU 23-21 ID ST · ID ST 52% → 55%
08
Idaho St.Service error+2.6%
Idaho St. service error
Set 1 · NAU 21-17 ID ST · NAU 45% → 47%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Northern Ariz.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Hanah StoddardOH	3	12	6	42	.143	2	0	2	6	2	0	2	1	13
3Gigi GreenleeMB	3	9	2	19	.368	0	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	12.5
22Quincey CoyleOH	3	5	4	23	.043	0	1	1	4	2	0	2	1	7
9Masina PerezOH	3	1	2	12	-.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
7Ella HosfeldS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	18	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
14Avery GottschalkMB	3	0	1	4	-.250	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
12Laney WilsonOH	3	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
18Kate FedericoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	1	26	1	0	0	0	1
5Taryn DavisS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
31Kate CampMB	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Georgi SteinOH	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		33	16	116	.147	32	3	6	55	5	1	12	7	65

Idaho St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Mia WalshOH	3	13	5	38	.211	0	0	1	6	0	1	0.5	13.5
26Jaydin WattsMB	3	11	3	23	.348	1	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
5Gracie VohsOH	3	8	5	22	.136	0	0	0	3	0	5	2.5	10.5
16Isabella BeattyMB	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
17Annelie WilsonOH	3	4	3	18	.056	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	5
18Kadence MarshS	3	0	0	0	–	19	1	1	11	0	0	0	1
3Abby McClainOH	3	8	4	19	.211	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	9
10Brooke ChristoffersenOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	2
9Nora WaddoupsS	3	0	0	1	.000	22	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
1Aspen BoiceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	21	1	0	0	0
Team totals		49	23	134	.194	48	5	4	60	3	16	8	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ariz. vs Idaho St.

Season series · Idaho St. leads 1-0

Thu, Oct 1, 2026Northern Ariz. at Idaho St. · Idaho St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 14, 2026Idaho St. at Northern Ariz.Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NAU · ID ST 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 6 NAUID ST 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 NAUID ST 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 NAUID ST 5

Bars above the line = Idaho St. leads, below = Northern Ariz. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ariz.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	56%9/16
2	41%7/17	38%5/13
3	75%6/8	30%3/10
4	43%6/14	40%4/10
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	36%5/14	40%4/10
All	51%38/74	40%27/67

Idaho St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	57%8/14
2	58%7/12	42%5/12
3	78%7/9	53%8/15
4	50%6/12	50%6/12
5	86%6/7	33%3/9
6	67%6/9	50%6/12
All	60%40/67	49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#	NAU-ID ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NAU	NAU×6	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+2.2
2	2-0	NAU	NAU×6	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Hanah Stoddard	+2.3
3	3-0	NAU	NAU×6	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		+2.3
4	4-0	NAU	NAU×6	Attack err	Isabella Beatty		+2.3
5	5-0	NAU	NAU×6	Ace	Northern Ariz.	aced Annelie Wilson	+2.2
6	6-0	NAU	NAU×6	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+2.0
7	6-1	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.3
8	7-1	ID ST	NAU×3	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.6
9	8-1	NAU	NAU×3	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+1.8
10	9-1	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		+1.5
11	9-2	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+0.9
12	9-3	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+1.4
13	10-3	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.4
14	11-3	NAU	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+1.5
15	11-4	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.8
16	12-4	ID ST	NAU	Attack err	Abby McClain		+1.1
17	12-5	NAU	ID ST×3	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+0.8
18	12-6	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+1.3
19	12-7	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	Idaho St.	aced Hanah Stoddard	+1.6
20	13-7	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Avery Gottschalk	+1.7
21	13-8	NAU	ID ST×3	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Nora Waddoups	+1.2
22	13-9	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+2.0
23	13-10	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+2.3
24	14-10	ID ST	NAU	Blocked	Gracie Vohs	blk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle	+2.2
25	15-10	NAU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.5
26	15-11	NAU	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+1.5
27	15-12	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Quincey Coyle		+2.4
28	16-12	ID ST	NAU×3	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.3
29	17-12	NAU	NAU×3	Blocked	Isabella Beatty	blk Hanah Stoddard, Gigi Greenlee	+2.6
30	18-12	NAU	NAU×3	Blocked	Mia Walsh	blk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez	+2.0
31	18-13	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.0
32	19-13	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.5
33	19-14	NAU	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+0.9
34	19-15	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Masina Perez		+1.7
35	19-16	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	Idaho St.	aced Quincey Coyle	+2.3
36	20-16	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.6
37	20-17	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+1.7
38	21-17	ID ST	NAU	Serve err	Idaho St.		+2.6
39	22-17	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+2.3
40	22-18	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.9
41	23-18	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+1.6
42	23-19	NAU	ID ST×3	Blocked	Hanah Stoddard	blk Abby McClain, Isabella Beatty	+0.6
43	23-20	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Aspen Boice	+1.5
44	23-21	ID ST	ID ST×3	Blocked	Gigi Greenlee	blk Gracie Vohs, Isabella Beatty	+2.7
45	24-21	ID ST	NAU	Blocked	Gracie Vohs	blk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle	+3.8
46	24-22	NAU	ID ST×5	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.5
47	24-23	ID ST	ID ST×5	Attack err	Quincey Coyle		+4.4
48	24-24	ID ST	ID ST×5	Blocked	Gigi Greenlee	blk Gracie Vohs, Isabella Beatty	+9.5
49	24-25	ID ST	ID ST×5	Ace	Idaho St.	aced Quincey Coyle	+8.7
50	24-26	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+7.9
Set 2
1	0-1	ID ST	ID ST	Blocked	Hanah Stoddard	blk Abby McClain, Jaydin Watts	+1.7
2	1-1	ID ST	NAU	Serve err	Idaho St.		+1.4
3	1-2	NAU	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+1.3
4	2-2	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.4
5	3-2	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Jaydin Watts		+1.9
6	3-3	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.4
7	3-4	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Jaydin Watts	+1.8
8	4-4	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Taryn Davis	+1.5
9	4-5	NAU	ID ST×3	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+1.4
10	4-6	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.8
11	4-7	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	Idaho St.	aced Kate Federico	+1.6
12	5-7	ID ST	NAU×3	Serve err	Idaho St.		+1.2
13	6-7	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Hanah Stoddard	+1.8
14	7-7	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+2.0
15	7-8	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+1.6
16	8-8	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Kate Federico	+1.6
17	8-9	NAU	ID ST×3	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+1.6
18	8-10	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Aspen Boice	+2.0
19	8-11	ID ST	ID ST×3	Blocked	Quincey Coyle	blk Gracie Vohs, Jaydin Watts	+1.8
20	9-11	ID ST	NAU	Blocked	Jaydin Watts	blk Gigi Greenlee	+1.3
21	9-12	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.4
22	10-12	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.3
23	10-13	NAU	ID ST×3	Blocked	Masina Perez	blk Mia Walsh, Jaydin Watts	+1.5
24	10-14	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+1.6
25	10-15	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.3
26	11-15	ID ST	NAU	Attack err	Abby McClain		+0.8
27	11-16	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.0
28	12-16	ID ST	NAU	Bad set	Abby McClain		+0.8
29	12-17	NAU	ID ST×4	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Nora Waddoups	+1.0
30	12-18	ID ST	ID ST×4	Blocked	Hanah Stoddard	blk Gracie Vohs	+0.9
31	12-19	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Aspen Boice	+0.6
32	12-20	ID ST	ID ST×4	Kill	Annelie Wilson		+0.3
33	13-20	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Georgi Stein	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
34	13-21	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+0.2
35	14-21	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
36	15-21	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		+0.2
37	15-22	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+0.3
38	16-22	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.1
39	16-23	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+0.2
40	17-23	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.1
41	18-23	NAU	NAU	Kill	Masina Perez	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.2
42	18-24	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+0.3
43	18-25	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	NAU	ID ST	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.7
2	0-2	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+0.9
3	1-2	ID ST	NAU	Attack err	Abby McClain		+0.7
4	2-2	NAU	NAU	Ace	Northern Ariz.	aced Aspen Boice	+1.0
5	2-3	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+0.8
6	3-3	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.8
7	3-4	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.8
8	3-5	ID ST	ID ST	Ace	Idaho St.	aced Hanah Stoddard	+1.0
9	4-5	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Taryn Davis	+0.8
10	4-6	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Aspen Boice	+0.8
11	4-7	ID ST	ID ST	Blocked	Quincey Coyle	blk Isabella Beatty, Gracie Vohs	+0.9
12	5-7	ID ST	NAU	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		+0.7
13	5-8	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+0.7
14	6-8	ID ST	NAU×3	Serve err	Idaho St.		+0.7
15	7-8	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+1.0
16	8-8	NAU	NAU×3	Ace	Northern Ariz.	aced Annelie Wilson	+1.2
17	8-9	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+0.9
18	9-9	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.0
19	9-10	NAU	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+0.9
20	9-11	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Ella Hosfeld		+1.2
21	10-11	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.9
22	10-12	NAU	ID ST×5	Attack err	Avery Gottschalk		+0.9
23	10-13	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Abby McClain	set Aspen Boice	+1.1
24	10-14	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.9
25	10-15	ID ST	ID ST×5	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+0.8
26	10-16	ID ST	ID ST×5	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.6
27	11-16	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Kate Camp	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.3
28	12-16	NAU	NAU	Blocked	Abby McClain	blk Kate Camp, Hanah Stoddard	+0.6
29	12-17	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+0.6
30	13-17	ID ST	NAU×4	Attack err	Isabella Beatty		+0.5
31	14-17	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Kate Federico	+0.8
32	15-17	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Kate Camp		+1.1
33	16-17	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+1.4
34	16-18	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+1.2
35	17-18	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Taryn Davis	+1.2
36	17-19	NAU	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Ariz.		+1.3
37	18-19	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+1.2
38	18-20	NAU	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.4
39	18-21	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Aspen Boice	+1.5
40	18-22	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.1
41	19-22	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.5
42	20-22	NAU	NAU	Blocked	Mia Walsh	blk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez	+1.1
43	20-23	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.3
44	21-23	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.8
45	22-23	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Jaydin Watts		+1.8
46	22-24	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+2.2
47	23-24	ID ST	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.3
48	23-25	NAU	ID ST	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Nora Waddoups	+2.9

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ariz. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Idaho St. def. Northern Ariz. 3–0

Idaho St. trailed 1–9 in the first and still took the set, then the match.