Idaho State vs Northern Ariz. Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026ESPN+

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Idaho St. (17-9) at Northern Ariz. (17-9), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Northern Ariz. a 62% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Idaho St. won 3-0 on Oct 1.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

ID ST 37.9%62.1% NAU

Idaho St. wins

3-0

8.0%

3-1

13.7%

3-2

16.1%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

18.4%

3-1

23.8%

3-2

20.0%

ID ST break %: 41.9% vs this opp
NAU break %: 44.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.