Northern Ariz. vs Montana State Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

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Northern Ariz. (15-9) at Montana St. (15-8), Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Northern Ariz. a 51% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Northern Ariz. won 3-1 on Oct 8.

Data through Nov 3, 8:10 PM CT

Match prediction

NAU 50.5%49.5% MONTST

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

12.7%

3-1

19.0%

3-2

18.8%

Montana St. wins

3-0

12.3%

3-1

18.5%

3-2

18.7%

NAU break %: 41.2% vs this opp
MONTST break %: 41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.