Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northern Ariz. def. Montana St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ariz. 70.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 7:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Ariz. beat visiting Montana St. 3-1 (25-23, 25-22, 25-27, 25-19) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Northern Ariz.'s Hanah Stoddard led with 17 kills, and Kate Federico added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set1234Sets
MONTST 232227191
NAU252525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Northern Ariz. won all four.

The biggest single-rally swing was 8.0 points, and Montana St.'s high was 41% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. RallyIQ gave Northern Ariz. 70% before first serve.

Montana St.Northern Ariz.
  • Longest run+0
    55

    Down 7–10 in the third set, Northern Ariz. scored 5 straight to lead 12–10. That set ended 25–27.

Northern Ariz. above 50Montana St. belowMax swing 8.0%

Montana St.Northern Ariz.

Hitting
Montana St. .232·Northern Ariz. .269
Aces
Montana St. 4·Northern Ariz. 5
Serve err
Montana St. 9·Northern Ariz. 5
Blocks
Montana St. 3·Northern Ariz. 122 BS · 2 BA vs 4 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Montana St. 69·Northern Ariz. 60

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Ariz. above 50 · Montana St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.0% NAUrally 191 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Northern Ariz. — set 1, MONTST 23-25 NAU. Kill by Gigi Greenlee (set by Taryn Davis). NAU win probability 76% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MONTST 34.9%65.1% NAU

Montana St. wins

3-0
7.1%
3-1
12.5%
3-2
15.3%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
20.1%
3-1
25.0%
3-2
20.1%
MONTST break %
39.7% vs this opp
NAU break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gigi GreenleeKill+8.0%

    Kill by Gigi Greenlee (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 1 · MONTST 23-25 NAU · NAU 76% → 83%

  2. 02
    Laney WilsonKill+6.1%

    Kill by Laney Wilson (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 1 · MONTST 23-24 NAU · NAU 69% → 76%

  3. 03

    Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 1 · MONTST 21-21 NAU · MONTST 26% → 31%

  4. 04

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 1 · MONTST 22-23 NAU · NAU 69% → 74%

  5. 05
    Quincey CoyleAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Quincey Coyle

    Set 1 · MONTST 23-23 NAU · MONTST 26% → 31%

  6. 06
    Joelie SpeltsKill+4.7%

    Kill by Joelie Spelts (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 3 · MONTST 27-25 NAU · MONTST 11% → 15%

  7. 07
    Karli HeidemannAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Karli Heidemann

    Set 2 · MONTST 21-23 NAU · NAU 86% → 90%

  8. 08

    Kill by Avery Gottschalk (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 1 · MONTST 19-21 NAU · NAU 73% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417332.4380014010118
417745.22220015000017
410629.1381257000012
43111.18256111300004
4000–012700001
2001.000000100000
413833.1520003100013
4000–1001710000
3329.11100020010.53.5
2308.37500000111.54.5
Team totals6627168.232604969522391
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417658.1901118120220
413232.34400212102114
48120.3500000014311
47113.4620003014310
45214.214000300427
4000–25211000002
46317.176000300217
4102.5002520700003
4000–3011400000
Team totals5715156.269545560441612100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Montana St. vs Northern Ariz.

Season series · Northern Ariz. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MONTST · NAU 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 MONTST NAU 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MONTST NAU 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 5 MONTST NAU 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 2 MONTST NAU 4

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = Montana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Montana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
41%7/17
2
57%12/21
25%4/16
3
53%10/19
35%6/17
4
69%9/13
41%7/17
5
67%8/12
40%6/15
6
57%8/14
20%2/10
All
60%59/99
35%32/92

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
33%5/15
2
65%11/17
40%8/20
3
58%11/19
39%7/18
4
71%10/14
50%10/20
5
80%8/10
33%4/12
6
73%8/11
43%6/14
All
65%60/92
40%40/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

191 rallies

#MONTST -NAUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAUNAUBlockedJoelie Speltsblk Hanah Stoddard+2.1
21-1NAUMONTST Attack errHanah Stoddard+1.6
32-1MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.3
42-2MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
53-2NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
63-3MONTST NAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
74-3NAUMONTST ×3KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
85-3MONTST MONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.6
96-3MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.6
106-4MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.6
117-4NAUMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
128-4MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Lauren Greeny+2.6
138-5MONTST NAUBlockedLauren Greenyblk Avery Gottschalk, Quincey Coyle+1.6
149-5NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
159-6MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.6
1610-6NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
1710-7MONTST NAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
1811-7NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.0
1911-8MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+1.6
2011-9NAUNAUBlockedTeagan Jaynesblk Avery Gottschalk+2.6
2112-9NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
2212-10MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
2313-10NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
2413-11MONTST NAU×3KillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+1.9
2513-12NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.+3.0
2613-13NAUNAU×3BlockedLauren Greenyblk Avery Gottschalk, Quincey Coyle+3.2
2714-13NAUMONTST Serve errNorthern Ariz.+2.5
2815-13MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Karli Heidemann+3.6
2915-14MONTST NAUKillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+2.3
3015-15NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyle+3.5
3116-15NAUMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.7
3216-16MONTST NAUBad setTeagan Jaynes+2.6
3316-17NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Nicolette Noble+3.7
3417-17NAUMONTST Bad setElla Hosfeld+2.7
3518-17MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+4.3
3618-18MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+2.9
3718-19NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+4.3
3819-19NAUMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Teagan Jaynes+3.1
3919-20MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+3.3
4019-21NAUNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+4.3
4120-21NAUMONTST Attack errMasina Perez+2.6
4221-21MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+5.1
4321-22MONTST NAUAttack errLauren Greeny+4.1
4422-22NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+4.1
4522-23MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+4.9
4623-23NAUMONTST Attack errQuincey Coyle+4.8
4723-24MONTST NAUKillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+6.1
4823-25NAUNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+8.0
Set 2
11-0MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
21-1MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.3
31-2NAUNAUBlockedKarli Heidemannblk Masina Perez, Avery Gottschalk+1.8
42-2NAUMONTST Serve errNorthern Ariz.+1.3
52-3MONTST NAUBad setJoelie Spelts+1.3
63-3NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.3
74-3MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.0
84-4MONTST NAU×4KillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+1.4
94-5NAUNAU×4KillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+1.9
104-6NAUNAU×4BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Avery Gottschalk, Laney Wilson+1.8
114-7NAUNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+1.7
125-7NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.1
135-8MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.2
146-8NAUMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
157-8MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Nicolette Noble+1.9
167-9MONTST NAUAttack errElli Esko+1.4
178-9NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
189-9MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.+2.2
199-10MONTST NAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
2010-10NAUMONTST Serve errNorthern Ariz.+1.6
2110-11MONTST NAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
2211-11NAUMONTST KillTeagan Jaynes+1.7
2312-11MONTST MONTST Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.6
2412-12MONTST NAUKillMasina Perezset Kate Federico+1.8
2512-13NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.+2.5
2613-13NAUMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Karli Heidemann+1.8
2713-14MONTST NAUKillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+1.8
2813-15NAUNAUAttack errKarli Heidemann+2.5
2914-15NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
3014-16MONTST NAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+1.8
3114-17NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.3
3215-17NAUMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
3315-18MONTST NAUBlockedElli Eskoblk Laney Wilson, Gigi Greenlee+1.6
3416-18NAUMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
3516-19MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+1.7
3617-19NAUMONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
3718-19MONTST MONTST ×3AceMontana St.aced Hanah Stoddard+2.7
3819-19MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+3.5
3919-20MONTST NAUBlockedJoelie Speltsblk Gigi Greenlee+2.7
4020-20NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.8
4120-21MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+3.0
4221-21NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.0
4321-22MONTST NAU×3Attack errLauren Greeny+3.4
4421-23NAUNAU×3Attack errKarli Heidemann+4.4
4521-24NAUNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+2.9
4622-24NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.8
4722-25MONTST NAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+1.8
Set 3
11-0NAUMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.7
21-1MONTST NAUAttack errElli Esko+0.7
32-1NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.8
42-2MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+0.7
52-3NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.0
63-3NAUMONTST ×5KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.7
74-3MONTST MONTST ×5KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.1
85-3MONTST MONTST ×5Attack errQuincey Coyle+1.2
96-3MONTST MONTST ×5Attack errHanah Stoddard+1.2
107-3MONTST MONTST ×5KillKarli Heidemannset Lauren Greeny+1.1
117-4MONTST NAUAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.7
127-5NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Kate Federico+1.1
138-5NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.9
149-5MONTST MONTST Attack errLaney Wilson+1.2
159-6MONTST NAUAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.7
169-7NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.1
1710-7NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.9
1810-8MONTST NAU×5KillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+0.8
1910-9NAUNAU×5KillQuincey Coyleset Kate Federico+1.2
2010-10NAUNAU×5Attack errLauren Greeny+1.3
2110-11NAUNAU×5AceNorthern Ariz.+1.3
2210-12NAUNAU×5KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+1.2
2311-12NAUMONTST Attack errHanah Stoddard+0.8
2411-13MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+0.9
2512-13NAUMONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.9
2613-13MONTST MONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
2714-13MONTST MONTST ×3KillTaylor McDonald+1.5
2814-14MONTST NAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.0
2914-15NAUNAUAttack errElli Esko+1.5
3015-15NAUMONTST ×3KillTaylor McDonaldset Teagan Jaynes+1.1
3116-15MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Spelts+1.7
3217-15MONTST MONTST ×3AceMontana St.aced Quincey Coyle+1.8
3317-16MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+1.1
3417-17NAUNAUBlockedJoelie Speltsblk Hanah Stoddard+1.7
3518-17NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
3619-17MONTST MONTST Attack errLaney Wilson+2.0
3719-18MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+1.2
3820-18NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
3921-18MONTST MONTST BlockedAvery Gottschalkblk Alice Steman+1.9
4021-19MONTST NAUKillLaney Wilsonset Taryn Davis+1.0
4122-19NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
4222-20MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+0.9
4323-20NAUMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
4423-21MONTST NAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.8
4523-22NAUNAU×3BlockedElli Eskoblk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee+2.0
4623-23NAUNAU×3Attack errTaylor McDonald+3.2
4724-23NAUMONTST KillTaylor McDonaldset Teagan Jaynes+3.1
4824-24MONTST NAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+3.1
4924-25NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+4.0
5025-25NAUMONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.8
5126-25MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Spelts+4.2
5227-25MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+4.7
Set 4
11-0MONTST MONTST Attack errMasina Perez+2.7
22-0MONTST MONTST BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Taylor McDonald, Alice Steman+2.9
32-1MONTST NAU×3Attack errElli Esko+1.9
42-2NAUNAU×3Attack errTaylor McDonald+2.7
52-3NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.7
63-3NAUMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.0
73-4MONTST NAU×4KillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
83-5NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.6
93-6NAUNAU×4Attack errElli Esko+2.4
103-7NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.aced Elli Esko+2.1
114-7NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
124-8MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+1.5
135-8NAUMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.4
145-9MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.5
156-9NAUMONTST BlockedGigi Greenleeblk Joelie Spelts+1.4
167-9MONTST MONTST Attack errLaney Wilson+2.4
177-10MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.8
188-10NAUMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
199-10MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.+2.9
209-11MONTST NAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.2
219-12NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.8
2210-12NAUMONTST Serve errNorthern Ariz.+1.8
2310-13MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.0
2411-13NAUMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
2511-14MONTST NAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
2611-15NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.5
2712-15NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
2812-16MONTST NAUServe errMontana St.+1.8
2912-17NAUNAUAttack errLauren Greeny+1.9
3013-17NAUMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.0
3113-18MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.3
3214-18NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.0
3314-19MONTST NAUKillTaryn Davis+1.3
3414-20NAUNAUAttack errKarli Heidemann+1.2
3515-20NAUMONTST Serve errNorthern Ariz.+0.5
3615-21MONTST NAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+0.7
3716-21NAUMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
3817-21MONTST MONTST KillAlice Steman+1.0
3917-22MONTST NAUBlockedElli Eskoblk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez+1.1
4017-23NAUNAUKillAvery Gottschalk+0.7
4118-23NAUMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
4218-24MONTST NAUKillMasina Perezset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
4319-24NAUMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
4419-25MONTST NAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Montana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).