Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Montana St. def. Southern Utah 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Montana St. 98.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Montana St. beat visiting Southern Utah 3-1 (25-16, 26-28, 25-16, 33-31) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Montana St.'s Joelie Spelts led with 16 kills, and Nicolette Noble added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
S UTAH162816311
MONTST 252625333

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Montana St. led every phase, and nothing ever turned.

Win probability never moved more than 5.3 points on one rally; Southern Utah topped out at 13% in Set 4. Montana St. went in as RallyIQ's 99% pick.

Southern UtahMontana St.
  • Break %+10.6 pts
    34.845.4

    49 of 108 on serve vs 32 of 92, so Southern Utah's sideout was 54.6%.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Montana St. scored 5 straight in the third set to stretch a 13–10 lead to 18–10. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Montana St. above 50Southern Utah belowMax swing 5.3%

Southern UtahMontana St.

Hitting
Southern Utah .196·Montana St. .270
Aces
Southern Utah 3·Montana St. 7
Serve err
Southern Utah 11·Montana St. 11
Blocks
Southern Utah 6·Montana St. 150 BS · 12 BA vs 5 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Southern Utah 57·Montana St. 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Montana St. above 50 · Southern Utah below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.3% MONTST rally 200 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.3% to Montana St. — set 4, S UTAH 24-24 MONTST . Emilia Zug stuffed by Teagan Jaynes & Alice Steman. MONTST win probability 89% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S UTAH 1.3%98.7% MONTST

Southern Utah wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.9%

Montana St. wins

3-0
71.3%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
4.6%
S UTAH break %
34.1% vs this opp
MONTST break %
51.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Emilia Zug stuffed by Teagan Jaynes & Alice Steman

    Set 4 · S UTAH 24-24 MONTST · MONTST 89% → 94%

  2. 02
    Natalie MooreKill+4.7%

    Kill by Natalie Moore (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 4 · S UTAH 24-22 MONTST · S UTAH 8% → 13%

  3. 03

    Karli Heidemann stuffed by Ryen Smith & Natalie Moore

    Set 4 · S UTAH 23-22 MONTST · S UTAH 5% → 8%

  4. 04
    Natalie MooreKill+3.6%

    Kill by Natalie Moore (set by Talea Berry)

    Set 4 · S UTAH 25-24 MONTST · S UTAH 6% → 9%

  5. 05

    Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 4 · S UTAH 25-25 MONTST · MONTST 91% → 94%

  6. 06
    Lauren GreenyAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Lauren Greeny

    Set 4 · S UTAH 26-25 MONTST · S UTAH 6% → 9%

  7. 07
    Lauren GreenyKill+3.6%

    Kill by Lauren Greeny (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 4 · S UTAH 26-26 MONTST · MONTST 91% → 94%

  8. 08
    Elli EskoKill+3.5%

    Kill by Elli Esko (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 4 · S UTAH 26-27 MONTST · MONTST 94% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414334.32411062010.515.5
412931.0971045002113
411936.05610050031.512.5
410121.4290003004212
46212.333010100218
4000–21121100001
4207.286101310002
4129-.111300300001
4112.0001901700001
4001.0003021340000
2000–001000000
Team totals5727153.19650311577012691
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416229.48311130132.519.5
412842.09501181254.517.5
412430.26711414102114
45112.33300000174.59.5
44112.250511230010.55.5
4000–0201010002
412427.2960001012214
4000–4111700001
3000–000100000
2000–002000000
Team totals6120152.2705771157352015109

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Utah vs Montana St.

Season series · Montana St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S UTAH · MONTST 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 S UTAHMONTST 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 3 S UTAHMONTST 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 S UTAHMONTST 5

Set 4

31-33

Longest run 5 S UTAHMONTST 5

Bars above the line = Montana St. leads, below = Southern Utah leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Utah

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%12/25
41%7/17
2
63%12/19
43%9/21
3
59%10/17
14%2/14
4
50%9/18
23%3/13
5
53%8/15
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
50%8/16
All
55%59/108
35%32/92

Montana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
38%6/16
2
71%12/17
50%12/24
3
73%11/15
35%6/17
4
75%9/12
52%11/21
5
57%8/14
50%8/16
6
53%8/15
43%6/14
All
65%60/92
45%49/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#S UTAH-MONTST SrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S UTAHS UTAHAceTalea Berryaced Lauren Greeny+0.3
21-1S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
31-2MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
42-2MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.2
53-2S UTAHS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.3
63-3S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
73-4MONTST MONTST Attack errEmilia Zug+0.2
84-4MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.2
94-5S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
105-5MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.2
115-6S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+0.2
126-6MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
136-7S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
146-8MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
157-8MONTST S UTAHKillJulia Roncero-Ribasset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
167-9S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
177-10MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
188-10MONTST S UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.1
198-11S UTAHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Lauren Greeny+0.1
208-12MONTST MONTST Attack errRyen Smith+0.1
219-12MONTST S UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.1
229-13S UTAHMONTST ×3BlockedRyen Smithblk Karli Heidemann, Alice Steman+0.1
239-14MONTST MONTST ×3KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
249-15MONTST MONTST ×3AceTeagan Jaynesaced Zorana Stankovska+0.1
2510-15MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry·
2610-16S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes·
2711-16MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Audrey Atwood·
2811-17S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes·
2912-17MONTST S UTAHServe errNicolette Noble·
3012-18S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Nicolette Noble·
3112-19MONTST MONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Joelie Spelts·
3213-19MONTST S UTAHServe errLauren Greeny·
3313-20S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes·
3413-21MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes·
3514-21MONTST S UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Celeste Uruena Jensen·
3614-22S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes·
3714-23MONTST MONTST KillAlice Steman·
3815-23MONTST S UTAHServe errKeely Culler·
3915-24S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes·
4016-24MONTST S UTAHServe errTeagan Jaynes·
4116-25S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah·
Set 2
10-1MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
21-1MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.1
32-1S UTAHS UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.2
42-2S UTAHMONTST BlockedRyen Smithblk Karli Heidemann, Joelie Spelts+0.1
53-2MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.1
63-3S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
74-3MONTST S UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.1
85-3S UTAHS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Ryen Smith+0.2
95-4S UTAHMONTST ×3Attack errEmilia Zug+0.1
105-5MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errCeleste Uruena Jensen+0.2
115-6MONTST MONTST ×3KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
126-6MONTST S UTAH×3KillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
137-6S UTAHS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwood+0.2
148-6S UTAHS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.3
158-7S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
168-8MONTST MONTST Bad setCeleste Uruena Jensen+0.2
179-8MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
189-9S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
199-10MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Nicolette Noble+0.2
2010-10MONTST S UTAH×3Serve errLauren Greeny+0.2
2111-10S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errElli Esko+0.3
2212-10S UTAHS UTAH×3KillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.3
2312-11S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
2413-11MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.3
2513-12S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
2613-13MONTST MONTST BlockedNatalie Mooreblk Alice Steman+0.3
2714-13MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.2
2815-13S UTAHS UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.4
2915-14S UTAHMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
3016-14MONTST S UTAHAttack errAlice Steman+0.3
3117-14S UTAHS UTAHKillEmilia Linden+0.5
3217-15S UTAHMONTST BlockedEmilia Zugblk Lauren Greeny, Alice Steman+0.3
3317-16MONTST MONTST BlockedEmilia Zugblk Elli Esko, Alice Steman+0.4
3418-16MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
3518-17S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.3
3619-17MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
3719-18S UTAHMONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.3
3819-19MONTST MONTST ×3AceLauren Greenyaced Kaitlyn Barnes+0.5
3919-20MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
4020-20MONTST S UTAHServe errLauren Greeny+0.3
4121-20S UTAHS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.6
4221-21S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+0.4
4322-21MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Zorana Stankovska+0.6
4423-21S UTAHS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.9
4523-22S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.5
4623-23MONTST MONTST BlockedRyen Smithblk Alice Steman, Karli Heidemann+0.9
4724-23MONTST S UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.9
4824-24S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.9
4924-25MONTST MONTST Attack errEmilia Linden+0.9
5025-25MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.6
5126-25S UTAHS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Emilia Zug+1.2
5226-26S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+0.9
5327-26MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Julia Roncero-Ribas+0.9
5428-26S UTAHS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+1.8
Set 3
10-1S UTAHMONTST ×3KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
20-2MONTST MONTST ×3KillAlice Stemanset Joelie Spelts+0.5
30-3MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errRyen Smith+0.4
41-3MONTST S UTAHServe errJoelie Spelts+0.3
52-3S UTAHS UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.6
62-4S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
73-4MONTST S UTAHBlockedLauren Greenyblk Natalie Moore, Emilia Zug+0.5
83-5S UTAHMONTST ×3KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
93-6MONTST MONTST ×3BlockedEmilia Zugblk Lauren Greeny, Alice Steman+0.5
103-7MONTST MONTST ×3KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
114-7MONTST S UTAHServe errKarli Heidemann+0.3
124-8S UTAHMONTST ×4KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.3
134-9MONTST MONTST ×4BlockedEmilia Zugblk Joelie Spelts, Elli Esko+0.3
144-10MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errJulia Roncero-Ribas+0.2
154-11MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errEmilia Zug+0.1
165-11MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
175-12S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+0.1
186-12MONTST S UTAH×3KillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
197-12S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errElli Esko+0.2
208-12S UTAHS UTAH×3BlockedLauren Greenyblk Natalie Moore, Audrey Atwood+0.3
218-13S UTAHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Nicolette Noble+0.2
229-13MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
2310-13S UTAHS UTAHAttack errKarli Heidemann+0.5
2410-14S UTAHMONTST ×5KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
2510-15MONTST MONTST ×5AceJoelie Speltsaced Audrey Atwood+0.4
2610-16MONTST MONTST ×5Attack errRyen Smith+0.2
2710-17MONTST MONTST ×5KillAlice Stemanset Talea Berry+0.1
2810-18MONTST MONTST ×5BlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Alice Steman, Karli Heidemann+0.1
2911-18MONTST S UTAH×3Serve errKeely Culler·
3012-18S UTAHS UTAH×3KillNatalie Moore+0.1
3113-18S UTAHS UTAH×3AceAudrey Atwoodaced Afton Thomsen+0.2
3213-19S UTAHMONTST BlockedRyen Smithblk Karli Heidemann+0.2
3313-20MONTST MONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
3414-20MONTST S UTAHServe errTeagan Jaynes·
3515-20S UTAHS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Zorana Stankovska+0.1
3615-21S UTAHMONTST ×4KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
3715-22MONTST MONTST ×4KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.1
3815-23MONTST MONTST ×4Bad setTalea Berry·
3915-24MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errEmilia Zug·
4016-24MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry·
4116-25S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah·
Set 4
11-0MONTST S UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.5
21-1S UTAHMONTST BlockedRyen Smithblk Joelie Spelts, Karli Heidemann+0.4
32-1MONTST S UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.5
42-2S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+0.4
53-2MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.5
63-3S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+0.4
74-3MONTST S UTAHBlockedElli Eskoblk Emilia Linden, Emilia Zug+0.5
84-4S UTAHMONTST ×5KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
94-5MONTST MONTST ×5BlockedEmilia Lindenblk Joelie Spelts+0.6
104-6MONTST MONTST ×5BlockedJulia Roncero-Ribasblk Elli Esko+0.5
114-7MONTST MONTST ×5KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
124-8MONTST MONTST ×5AceNicolette Nobleaced Zorana Stankovska+0.3
135-8MONTST S UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
146-8S UTAHS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
157-8S UTAHS UTAH×3AceEmilia Lindenaced Karli Heidemann+0.5
167-9S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
178-9MONTST S UTAH×3Serve errLauren Greeny+0.4
189-9S UTAHS UTAH×3KillKaitlyn Barnesset Talea Berry+0.8
1910-9S UTAHS UTAH×3BlockedElli Eskoblk Natalie Moore, Ryen Smith+1.0
2010-10S UTAHMONTST ×4Serve errSouthern Utah+0.6
2110-11MONTST MONTST ×4KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.8
2210-12MONTST MONTST ×4AceAfton Thomsenaced Zorana Stankovska+0.6
2310-13MONTST MONTST ×4AceAfton Thomsenaced Zorana Stankovska+0.5
2411-13MONTST S UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.4
2511-14S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+0.4
2612-14MONTST S UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.4
2712-15S UTAHMONTST BlockedRyen Smithblk Karli Heidemann+0.4
2813-15MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Zorana Stankovska+0.4
2913-16S UTAHMONTST ×3Serve errSouthern Utah+0.4
3013-17MONTST MONTST ×3Bad setCeleste Uruena Jensen+0.4
3113-18MONTST MONTST ×3AceKarli Heidemannaced Audrey Atwood+0.3
3214-18MONTST S UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
3314-19S UTAHMONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+0.2
3415-19MONTST S UTAH×5KillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
3516-19S UTAHS UTAH×5KillAudrey Atwoodset Julia Roncero-Ribas+0.4
3617-19S UTAHS UTAH×5KillNatalie Moore+0.6
3718-19S UTAHS UTAH×5Attack errJoelie Spelts+1.0
3819-19S UTAHS UTAH×5Attack errLauren Greeny+1.6
3919-20S UTAHMONTST Attack errAudrey Atwood+1.2
4019-21MONTST MONTST Attack errAudrey Atwood+1.3
4120-21MONTST S UTAHKillCeleste Uruena Jensenset Kaitlyn Barnes+0.9
4220-22S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.0
4321-22MONTST S UTAH×4Attack errJoelie Spelts+0.9
4422-22S UTAHS UTAH×4KillEmilia Zugset Zorana Stankovska+2.3
4523-22S UTAHS UTAH×4BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Ryen Smith, Natalie Moore+3.6
4624-22S UTAHS UTAH×4KillNatalie Mooreset Teagan Jaynes+4.7
4724-23S UTAHMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
4824-24MONTST MONTST BlockedEmilia Zugblk Teagan Jaynes, Alice Steman+5.3
4925-24MONTST S UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+3.6
5025-25S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.6
5126-25MONTST S UTAHAttack errLauren Greeny+3.6
5226-26S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+3.6
5326-27MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+3.5
5427-27MONTST S UTAHBlockedElli Eskoblk Emilia Linden, Emilia Zug+2.4
5527-28S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.4
5628-28MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+2.4
5728-29S UTAHMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.4
5829-29MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Julia Roncero-Ribas+2.4
5929-30S UTAHMONTST KillTeagan Jaynesset Nicolette Noble+2.4
6030-30MONTST S UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+2.4
6130-31S UTAHMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.4
6231-31MONTST S UTAHKillKaitlyn Barnesset Celeste Uruena Jensen+2.4
6331-32S UTAHMONTST Serve errSouthern Utah+2.4
6431-33MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.4

Score shown after each rally, Southern Utah first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).