Southern Utah vs Idaho State Prediction

ScheduledSat, Nov 7, 2026ESPN+

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Southern Utah (1-21) at Idaho St. (15-9), Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 1:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Idaho St. a 99% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Idaho St. won 3-0 on Oct 8.

Data through Nov 4, 3:15 PM CT

Match prediction

S UTAH 0.8%99.2% ID ST

Southern Utah wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

Idaho St. wins

3-0

76.0%

3-1

20.0%

3-2

3.3%

S UTAH break %: 35.1% vs this opp
ID ST break %: 53.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.