FinalThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Idaho St. def. Southern Utah 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Idaho St. 99.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 7:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Idaho St. won at Southern Utah 3-0 (26-24, 25-20, 25-16) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Idaho St.'s Jaydin Watts led with 14 kills, and Aspen Boice added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set123Sets
ID ST2625253
S UTAH2420160

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Jaydin Watts hit .824 with 14 kills as Idaho St. rolled past Southern Utah.

Win probability never moved more than 0.6 points on one rally; Southern Utah topped out at 1% in Set 1. Idaho St. went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

Idaho St.Southern Utah
  • Break %+13.6 pts
    45.932.3

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 74 vs 20 of 62. Southern Utah sided out 54.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.123
    .198.075

    Kills and errors: 37–17 vs 30–22.

  • Longest run+4
    84

    Up 2–1 in the first set, Idaho St. scored 8 straight to make it 10–1. Final score of the set: 26–24.

Southern Utah above 50Idaho St. belowMax swing 0.6%

Idaho St.Southern Utah

Aces
Idaho St. 0·Southern Utah 4
Serve err
Idaho St. 6·Southern Utah 11
Blocks
Idaho St. 10·Southern Utah 68 BS · 4 BA vs 5 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Idaho St. 48·Southern Utah 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Utah above 50 · Idaho St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 136 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Idaho St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ID ST 97.9%2.1% S UTAH

Idaho St. wins

3-0
66.8%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
5.9%

Southern Utah wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.3%
ID ST break %
52.1% vs this opp
S UTAH break %
36.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314017.82400010111.515.5
36218.222000510006
35414.071001300005
23320.000000100111.54.5
2012-.5001701200000
1123-.333000002023
3000–1021910000
3000–001100000
2115.00000000414.55.5
2305.6001201300003
2226.00000021010.52.5
2217.143000000002
2000–100200000
1002.000000000000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals3717101.1983106484841076
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39530.1330018010110
35211.273002202027
33414-.07100000212.55.5
32012.167000300002
3016-.167001500000
3002.0001300100000
35717-.118023100007
3001.0001523600002
3011-1.0001011300000
2407.571000100004
2225.00000020010.52.5
1000–000000000
Team totals3022106.0752941142052660

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Idaho St. vs Southern Utah

Season series · Idaho St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 ID ST · S UTAH 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 8 ID STS UTAH 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 ID STS UTAH 2

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 3 ID STS UTAH 3

Bars above the line = Southern Utah leads, below = Idaho St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Idaho St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
22%2/9
2
78%7/9
63%12/19
3
70%7/10
53%8/15
4
58%7/12
30%3/10
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
75%6/8
50%6/12
All
68%42/62
46%34/74

Southern Utah

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
33%4/12
2
32%7/22
13%1/8
3
78%7/9
42%5/12
4
70%7/10
36%4/11
5
46%6/13
36%4/11
6
75%6/8
25%2/8
All
54%40/74
32%20/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#ID ST-S UTAHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0S UTAHID STKillGracie Vohsset Kadence Marsh
22-0ID STID STBlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Jaydin Watts
32-1ID STS UTAHAttack errMia Walsh
43-1S UTAHID ST×8KillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh
54-1ID STID ST×8Attack errNatalie Moore
65-1ID STID ST×8KillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh
76-1ID STID ST×8Attack errAmanda Mendoza
87-1ID STID ST×8BlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Jaydin Watts, Mia Walsh
98-1ID STID ST×8KillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh
109-1ID STID ST×8KillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh
1110-1ID STID ST×8Attack errNatalie Moore
1210-2ID STS UTAHAttack errMia Walsh
1310-3S UTAHS UTAHAceSouthern Utahaced Aspen Boice
1411-3S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh
1511-4ID STS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry
1611-5S UTAHS UTAH×3KillRyen Smithset Talea Berry
1711-6S UTAHS UTAH×3KillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Talea Berry
1812-6S UTAHID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Aspen Boice
1912-7ID STS UTAHBlockedIsabella Beattyblk Natalie Moore, Kaitlyn Hoelker
2013-7S UTAHID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Jenna Werbelow
2114-7ID STID STKillGracie Vohsset Kadence Marsh
2214-8ID STS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry
2314-9S UTAHS UTAHAceSouthern Utah
2415-9S UTAHID STBlockedKaitlyn Hoelkerblk Isabella Beatty
2515-10ID STS UTAHServe errIdaho St.
2615-11S UTAHS UTAHBlockedDaelyn Harrisblk Emilia Linden
2716-11S UTAHID STKillGracie Vohsset Kadence Marsh
2817-11ID STID STBad setCeleste Uruena Jensen
2917-12ID STS UTAHServe errIdaho St.
3018-12S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
3118-13ID STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen
3218-14S UTAHS UTAHAttack errTana Howard
3319-14S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
3419-15ID STS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry
3520-15S UTAHID STBlockedRyen Smithblk Isabella Beatty
3620-16ID STS UTAH×4BlockedAnnelie Wilsonblk Natalie Moore
3720-17S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errIsabella Beatty
3820-18S UTAHS UTAH×4KillRyen Smithset Talea Berry
3920-19S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errKadence Marsh
4021-19S UTAHID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh
4122-19ID STID ST×3Attack errKaitlyn Hoelker
4223-19ID STID ST×3KillIsabella Beattyset Kadence Marsh
4323-20ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry
4424-20S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
4524-21ID STS UTAH×4Serve errIdaho St.
4624-22S UTAHS UTAH×4KillJulia Roncero-Ribasset Amanda Mendoza
4724-23S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errGracie Vohs
4824-24S UTAHS UTAH×4KillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen
4925-24S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh
5026-24ID STID STKillGracie Vohsset Kadence Marsh
Set 2
10-1ID STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen
20-2S UTAHS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Kaitlyn Barnes
31-2S UTAHID ST×6KillNora Waddoups
42-2ID STID ST×6Bad setNatalie Moore
53-2ID STID ST×6Attack errKaitlyn Barnes
64-2ID STID ST×6Attack errAudrey Atwood
75-2ID STID ST×6KillGracie Vohsset Celeste Uruena Jensen
86-2ID STID ST×6KillTana Howardset Celeste Uruena Jensen
96-3ID STS UTAHServe errIdaho St.
107-3S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
117-4ID STS UTAHServe errIdaho St.
128-4S UTAHID STBlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Ashlyn Smith
139-4ID STID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups
149-5ID STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry
1510-5S UTAHID STKillNora Waddoupsset Talea Berry
1611-5ID STID STAttack errRyen Smith
1711-6ID STS UTAHBad setMia Walsh
1812-6S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
1912-7ID STS UTAHKillKaitlyn Hoelkerset Celeste Uruena Jensen
2013-7S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
2113-8ID STS UTAHServe errIdaho St.
2214-8S UTAHID STAttack errNatalie Moore
2315-8ID STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
2415-9ID STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen
2515-10S UTAHS UTAHAttack errMia Walsh
2616-10S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
2716-11ID STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry
2817-11S UTAHID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups
2917-12ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry
3018-12S UTAHID STBlockedRyen Smithblk Mia Walsh
3118-13ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry
3219-13S UTAHID STBad setRyen Smith
3319-14ID STS UTAHAttack errAnnelie Wilson
3420-14S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
3520-15ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen
3621-15S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
3722-15ID STID STBad setAudrey Atwood
3822-16ID STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Celeste Uruena Jensen
3922-17S UTAHS UTAHBad setNora Waddoups
4023-17S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
4123-18ID STS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry
4224-18S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
4324-19ID STS UTAHBlockedGracie Vohsblk Natalie Moore
4424-20S UTAHS UTAHBlockedAva Bricknerblk Emilia Linden
4525-20S UTAHID STBlockedRyen Smithblk Ashlyn Smith
Set 3
11-0S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
21-1ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen
32-1S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
42-2ID STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Celeste Uruena Jensen
53-2S UTAHID STKillAva Bricknerset Nora Waddoups
64-2ID STID STBad setTalea Berry
74-3ID STS UTAH×3BlockedGracie Vohsblk Audrey Atwood
84-4S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errAva Brickner
94-5S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errGracie Vohs
105-5S UTAHID STKillAshlyn Smithset Kadence Marsh
116-5ID STID STAttack errRyen Smith
126-6ID STS UTAHAttack errAshlyn Smith
137-6S UTAHID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh
148-6ID STID ST×3Attack errRyen Smith
159-6ID STID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh
169-7ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry
179-8S UTAHS UTAHAceSouthern Utahaced Ava Brickner
1810-8S UTAHID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh
1910-9ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen
2011-9S UTAHID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
2111-10ID STS UTAHKillJulia Roncero-Ribasset Celeste Uruena Jensen
2212-10S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
2313-10ID STID STKillNora Waddoupsset Natalie Moore
2413-11ID STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen
2513-12S UTAHS UTAHAceSouthern Utahaced Annelie Wilson
2614-12S UTAHID STBad setAudrey Atwood
2715-12ID STID STBlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Ashlyn Smith, Ava Brickner
2815-13ID STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry
2916-13S UTAHID STBlockedRyen Smithblk Ashlyn Smith
3017-13ID STID STBlockedNatalie Mooreblk Ashlyn Smith
3117-14ID STS UTAHBad setKadence Marsh
3218-14S UTAHID STServe errSouthern Utah
3319-14ID STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh
3419-15ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry
3520-15S UTAHID ST×3Serve errSouthern Utah
3621-15ID STID ST×3Attack errEmilia Linden
3722-15ID STID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
3822-16ID STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen
3923-16S UTAHID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups
4024-16ID STID ST×3KillAva Brickner
4125-16ID STID ST×3Attack errEmilia Linden

Score shown after each rally, Idaho St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).