Northern Colo. def. Idaho State 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 31)

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Colo. 62.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Northern Colo. beat visiting Idaho St. 3-0 (25-20, 25-13, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Northern Colo.'s Alayna Tessena led with 15 kills, and Bella LePore added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:00 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ID ST	20	13	13	0
N COLO	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Alayna Tessena hit .444 with 15 kills as Northern Colo. rolled past Idaho St.

Win probability never moved more than 3.5 points on one rally; Idaho St. topped out at 36% in Set 1. Northern Colo. went in as RallyIQ's 62% pick.

Idaho St.Northern Colo.

Break %+26.2 pts
31.958.1
On serve: 43/74 against 15/47 (Idaho St. sideout 41.9%).
Hitting+.260
.061.321
Kills and errors: 36–11 vs 27–21.
Longest run+3
36
Northern Colo. scored 6 straight in the second set to stretch a 14–9 lead to 20–9. The set finished 25–13.

Northern Colo. above 50Idaho St. belowMax swing 3.5%

Idaho St.Northern Colo.

Aces: Idaho St. 2·Northern Colo. 8
Serve err: Idaho St. 3·Northern Colo. 5
Blocks: Idaho St. 3·Northern Colo. 32 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs: Idaho St. 27·Northern Colo. 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northern Colo. above 50 · Idaho St. below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to Northern Colo. — set 1, ID ST 17-20 N COLO. Bad set by Kadence Marsh. N COLO win probability 69% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ID ST 32.4%67.6% N COLO

Idaho St. wins

3-0

6.4%

3-1

11.5%

3-2

14.5%

Northern Colo. wins

3-0

21.6%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

20.0%

ID ST break %: 42.0% vs this opp
N COLO break %: 45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kadence MarshBad set+3.5%
Bad set by Kadence Marsh
Set 1 · ID ST 17-20 N COLO · N COLO 69% → 72%
02
Gillian WaltonAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Gillian Walton
Set 1 · ID ST 17-18 N COLO · ID ST 31% → 34%
03
Summer SneadKill+3.1%
Kill by Summer Snead (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · ID ST 17-19 N COLO · N COLO 66% → 69%
04
Maddie RinkKill+2.9%
Kill by Maddie Rink (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · ID ST 19-22 N COLO · N COLO 71% → 74%
05
Idaho St.Ace+2.7%
Idaho St. ace
Set 1 · ID ST 19-21 N COLO · ID ST 26% → 29%
06
Mia WalshAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Mia Walsh
Set 1 · ID ST 17-21 N COLO · N COLO 72% → 75%
07
Gracie VohsKill+2.6%
Kill by Gracie Vohs (set by Nora Waddoups)
Set 1 · ID ST 14-16 N COLO · ID ST 29% → 31%
08
Maddie RinkKill+2.5%
Kill by Maddie Rink (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 1 · ID ST 19-23 N COLO · N COLO 74% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Idaho St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Gracie VohsOH	3	7	4	24	.125	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
26Jaydin WattsMB	3	7	3	16	.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	8
21Mia WalshOH	3	3	4	14	-.071	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	3
13Ava BricknerOH	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	2
3Abby McClainOH	2	3	3	11	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
9Nora WaddoupsS	2	0	0	0	–	8	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
18Kadence MarshS	3	0	2	4	-.500	14	0	1	3	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
16Isabella BeattyMB	3	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
1Aspen BoiceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	13	1	0	0	0	0
17Annelie WilsonOH	2	2	2	10	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
8Tana HowardOPP	1	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
11Ashlyn SmithMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Claudia AntcliffL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Jenna WerbelowDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	21	98	.061	24	2	3	27	8	2	2	3	46

Northern Colo.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Alayna TessenaOH	3	15	3	27	.444	1	0	0	7	0	1	0	1	16
14Maddie RinkMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
13Summer SneadMB	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
3Nerea Alvarez-JorgeS	3	2	2	5	.000	29	1	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Leila BallardOH	3	0	0	1	.000	2	3	0	8	0	0	0	0	3
15Jasmine OgrenDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0
4Kylie CackovicOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	5
18Gillian WaltonOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	4
16Bella LePoreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	13	0	0	0	0	1
2Jenna BallerDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		36	11	78	.321	33	8	5	41	2	2	2	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Idaho St. vs Northern Colo.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Thu, Oct 15, 2026Northern Colo. at Idaho St. · Idaho St. won 3-2Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Idaho St. at Northern Colo. · Northern Colo. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 ID ST · N COLO 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 ID STN COLO 5

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 ID STN COLO 6

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 ID STN COLO 5

Bars above the line = Northern Colo. leads, below = Idaho St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Idaho St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	24%6/25	29%2/7
2	67%6/9	33%3/9
3	67%6/9	33%3/9
4	71%5/7	33%3/9
5	29%4/14	29%2/7
6	40%4/10	33%2/6
All	42%31/74	32%15/47

Northern Colo.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%6/7	71%12/17
2	55%6/11	63%10/16
3	75%6/8	33%3/9
4	67%6/9	25%2/8
5	80%4/5	67%8/12
6	57%4/7	67%8/12
All	68%32/47	58%43/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#	ID ST-N COLO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	N COLO	N COLO×5	Bad set	Nora Waddoups		+2.3
2	0-2	N COLO	N COLO×5	Attack err	Abby McClain		+2.2
3	0-3	N COLO	N COLO×5	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.1
4	0-4	N COLO	N COLO×5	Attack err	Abby McClain		+1.9
5	0-5	N COLO	N COLO×5	Attack err	Jaydin Watts		+1.7
6	1-5	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.2
7	1-6	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.3
8	1-7	N COLO	N COLO	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Mia Walsh	+1.5
9	2-7	N COLO	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+1.0
10	2-8	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	set Leila Ballard	+1.1
11	2-9	N COLO	N COLO	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Mia Walsh	+1.2
12	3-9	N COLO	ID ST×3	Bad set	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+0.7
13	4-9	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.2
14	5-9	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Kadence Marsh	+1.5
15	5-10	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.4
16	6-10	N COLO	ID ST	Blocked	Summer Snead	blk Gracie Vohs, Kadence Marsh	+1.2
17	6-11	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.4
18	6-12	N COLO	N COLO	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Aspen Boice	+1.5
19	7-12	N COLO	ID ST	Attack err	Alayna Tessena		+0.9
20	7-13	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.1
21	8-13	N COLO	ID ST×3	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.9
22	9-13	ID ST	ID ST×3	Ace	Idaho St.	aced Jasmine Ogren	+1.5
23	10-13	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+2.0
24	10-14	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.8
25	10-15	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena		+1.9
26	11-15	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.2
27	11-16	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.5
28	12-16	N COLO	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	+1.1
29	13-16	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Jaydin Watts		+2.0
30	14-16	ID ST	ID ST×3	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Nora Waddoups	+2.6
31	14-17	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.3
32	15-17	N COLO	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+2.0
33	15-18	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.4
34	16-18	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Ava Brickner	set Kadence Marsh	+2.1
35	17-18	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Gillian Walton		+3.5
36	17-19	ID ST	N COLO×3	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+3.1
37	17-20	N COLO	N COLO×3	Bad set	Kadence Marsh		+3.5
38	17-21	N COLO	N COLO×3	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+2.6
39	18-21	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.3
40	19-21	ID ST	ID ST	Ace	Idaho St.		+2.7
41	19-22	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.9
42	19-23	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+2.5
43	20-23	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Isabella Beatty	set Kadence Marsh	+0.9
44	20-24	ID ST	N COLO	Attack err	Kylie Cackovic		+1.7
45	20-25	N COLO	N COLO	Attack err	Jaydin Watts		+0.7
Set 2
1	0-1	ID ST	N COLO×4	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.6
2	0-2	N COLO	N COLO×4	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Leila Ballard	+2.0
3	0-3	N COLO	N COLO×4	Kill	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+1.9
4	0-4	N COLO	N COLO×4	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Mia Walsh	+1.7
5	1-4	N COLO	ID ST×3	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Nora Waddoups	+1.2
6	2-4	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+1.8
7	3-4	ID ST	ID ST×3	Attack err	Alayna Tessena		+2.0
8	3-5	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.6
9	4-5	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain	set Nora Waddoups	+1.6
10	4-6	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.7
11	4-7	N COLO	N COLO	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		+2.0
12	5-7	N COLO	ID ST	Blocked	Kylie Cackovic	blk Jaydin Watts	+1.5
13	5-8	ID ST	N COLO	Serve err	Idaho St.		+1.6
14	6-8	N COLO	ID ST	Attack err	Maddie Rink		+1.5
15	6-9	ID ST	N COLO×4	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.6
16	6-10	N COLO	N COLO×4	Attack err	Maddie Rink		+1.9
17	6-11	N COLO	N COLO×4	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		+1.6
18	6-12	N COLO	N COLO×4	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+1.3
19	7-12	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+0.8
20	8-12	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Abby McClain		+1.4
21	8-13	ID ST	N COLO	Attack err	Abby McClain		+1.3
22	8-14	N COLO	N COLO	Ace	Northern Colo.	aced Ava Brickner	+1.3
23	9-14	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Tana Howard	set Kadence Marsh	+0.8
24	9-15	ID ST	N COLO×6	Attack err	Ava Brickner		+1.0
25	9-16	N COLO	N COLO×6	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.9
26	9-17	N COLO	N COLO×6	Ace	Northern Colo.		+0.6
27	9-18	N COLO	N COLO×6	Attack err	Tana Howard		+0.4
28	9-19	N COLO	N COLO×6	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.2
29	9-20	N COLO	N COLO×6	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+0.1
30	10-20	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Tana Howard	set Aspen Boice	·
31	10-21	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.1
32	10-22	N COLO	N COLO	Attack err	Tana Howard		·
33	11-22	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Nora Waddoups	·
34	11-23	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Bella LePore	·
35	12-23	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Nora Waddoups	·
36	13-23	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	·
37	13-24	ID ST	N COLO	Attack err	Annelie Wilson		·
38	13-25	N COLO	N COLO	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		·
Set 3
1	1-0	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Annelie Wilson	set Aspen Boice	+1.0
2	1-1	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.9
3	2-1	N COLO	ID ST	Attack err	Alayna Tessena		+1.0
4	3-1	ID ST	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+1.3
5	3-2	ID ST	N COLO	Serve err	Idaho St.		+1.0
6	3-3	N COLO	N COLO	Attack err	Jaydin Watts		+1.3
7	4-3	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+1.0
8	4-4	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
9	5-4	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.1
10	6-4	ID ST	ID ST	Blocked	Gillian Walton	blk Kadence Marsh	+1.4
11	6-5	ID ST	N COLO	Serve err	Idaho St.		+1.0
12	7-5	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Mia Walsh	set Kadence Marsh	+1.1
13	7-6	ID ST	N COLO×5	Serve err	Idaho St.		+1.0
14	7-7	N COLO	N COLO×5	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.4
15	7-8	N COLO	N COLO×5	Blocked	Annelie Wilson	blk Maddie Rink, Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.4
16	7-9	N COLO	N COLO×5	Blocked	Kadence Marsh	blk Kylie Cackovic	+1.4
17	7-10	N COLO	N COLO×5	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.3
18	8-10	N COLO	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.9
19	8-11	ID ST	N COLO×5	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+1.0
20	8-12	N COLO	N COLO×5	Blocked	Kadence Marsh	blk Alayna Tessena	+1.2
21	8-13	N COLO	N COLO×5	Bad set	Kadence Marsh		+1.0
22	8-14	N COLO	N COLO×5	Ace	Northern Colo.		+0.8
23	8-15	N COLO	N COLO×5	Ace	Northern Colo.		+0.6
24	9-15	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Jaydin Watts	set Kadence Marsh	+0.3
25	10-15	ID ST	ID ST	Attack err	Nerea Alvarez-Jorge		+0.6
26	10-16	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Maddie Rink	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.6
27	10-17	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Summer Snead	set Jenna Baller	+0.5
28	11-17	N COLO	ID ST	Serve err	Northern Colo.		+0.3
29	11-18	ID ST	N COLO	Kill	Alayna Tessena	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.4
30	12-18	N COLO	ID ST	Kill	Gracie Vohs	set Kadence Marsh	+0.2
31	12-19	ID ST	N COLO	Attack err	Mia Walsh		+0.4
32	12-20	N COLO	N COLO	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Alayna Tessena	+0.3
33	13-20	N COLO	ID ST	Attack err	Kylie Cackovic		+0.1
34	13-21	ID ST	N COLO×5	Kill	Summer Snead	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	+0.2
35	13-22	N COLO	N COLO×5	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		+0.1
36	13-23	N COLO	N COLO×5	Attack err	Gracie Vohs		·
37	13-24	N COLO	N COLO×5	Kill	Gillian Walton	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	·
38	13-25	N COLO	N COLO×5	Kill	Kylie Cackovic	set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge	·

Score shown after each rally, Idaho St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Northern Colo. def. Idaho St. 3–0

Alayna Tessena hit .444 with 15 kills as Northern Colo. rolled past Idaho St.