Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 13, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Weber St. def. Idaho St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Idaho St. 71.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 13, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Weber St. won at Idaho St. 3-1 (25-14, 23-25, 25-19, 25-23) on Tue, Oct 13, 2026. Weber St.'s Lexie Carlson led with 16 kills, and Marly Pratt added 25 digs.

Data through · final Oct 13

Set1234Sets
WEB ST252325253
ID ST142519231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

25 digs from Marly Pratt kept Weber St. alive against Idaho St.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Weber St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Idaho St. was RallyIQ's 72% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Weber St. 22–22 Idaho St.

    Idaho St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to Idaho St.

    Weber St. 51% → 33%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Weber St. 19–17 Idaho St.

    3 straight Idaho St. points turned a 17–19 deficit into a 20–19 lead.

    Weber St. 80% → 59%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Weber St. 21–21 Idaho St.

    3 straight Weber St. points broke a 21–21 tie and made it 24–21.

    Weber St. 68% → 96%

Idaho St. above 50Weber St. belowMax swing 14.1%

Weber St.Idaho St.

Sideout %
Weber St. 62.2·Idaho St. 51.5
Break %
Weber St. 48.5·Idaho St. 37.8
Hitting
Weber St. .180·Idaho St. .153
Longest run
Weber St. 4·Idaho St. 4

Lexie Carlson
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 16 K, .353, 16 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Idaho St. above 50 · Weber St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.1% WEB STrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.1% to Weber St. — set 4, WEB ST 25-23 ID ST. Kill by Sophia Sparrow (set by Addison Eastwood). ID ST win probability 14% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WEB ST 42.6%57.4% ID ST

Weber St. wins

3-0
9.6%
3-1
15.7%
3-2
17.3%

Idaho St. wins

3-0
15.9%
3-1
21.8%
3-2
19.7%
WEB ST break %
42.3% vs this opp
ID ST break %
43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophia SparrowKill+14.1%

    Kill by Sophia Sparrow (set by Addison Eastwood)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 25-23 ID ST · WEB ST 86% → 100%

  2. 02
    Kadence MarshAttack error+11.2%

    Attack error by Kadence Marsh

    Set 4 · WEB ST 23-21 ID ST · WEB ST 76% → 88%

  3. 03
    Isabella BeattyKill+11.1%

    Kill by Isabella Beatty (set by Kadence Marsh)

    Set 2 · WEB ST 23-24 ID ST · ID ST 46% → 57%

  4. 04

    Maggie Larsen stuffed by Abby McClain & Isabella Beatty

    Set 2 · WEB ST 23-25 ID ST · ID ST 57% → 67%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sophia Sparrow (set by Lexie Carlson)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 21-20 ID ST · WEB ST 65% → 75%

  6. 06
    Nora WaddoupsBad set+9.4%

    Bad set by Nora Waddoups

    Set 2 · WEB ST 23-22 ID ST · WEB ST 51% → 61%

  7. 07
    Lexie CarlsonKill+8.7%

    Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Marly Pratt)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 24-21 ID ST · WEB ST 88% → 96%

  8. 08
    Lexie CarlsonKill+8.4%

    Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Morgan Pratt)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 22-21 ID ST · WEB ST 68% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416434.3531002000016
411641.1220107004214
410345.1560102104213
48224.25000030052.510.5
45521.00001110031.57.5
4012-.50034222301224
4000–1321000003
4001.0005102500001
4000–0001100000
2204.500000100002
2000–600200000
Team totals5221172.18047958721181098
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415738.21110211100015
412443.18600013302113
47221.23800020031.58.5
44112.250000202448
4011-1.0002203800000
34315.067000100215
4003.00021112300001
4000–112000001
37324.167000301229
3000–3011920000
2000–401400000
13412-.08300000010.53.5
1117.000000100001
1000–000200000
Team totals5326176.153522108993141081

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Weber St. vs Idaho St.

Season series · Weber St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 WEB ST · ID ST 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 WEB STID ST 2

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 WEB STID ST 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 WEB STID ST 3

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 3 WEB STID ST 3

Bars above the line = Idaho St. leads, below = Weber St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Weber St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
55%11/20
2
67%10/15
52%11/21
3
56%9/16
50%9/18
4
50%7/14
47%7/15
5
64%7/11
30%3/10
6
70%7/10
46%6/13
All
62%51/82
48%47/97

Idaho St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
18%2/11
2
39%9/23
42%8/19
3
60%9/15
36%5/14
4
54%7/13
53%9/17
5
70%7/10
36%4/11
6
50%7/14
30%3/10
All
52%50/97
38%31/82

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#WEB ST-ID STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WEB STWEB ST×4AceAddison Eastwood+2.2
22-0WEB STWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+2.3
33-0WEB STWEB ST×4AceAddison Eastwoodaced Aspen Boice+2.3
44-0WEB STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlson+2.3
54-1WEB STID STServe errAddison Eastwood+1.6
64-2ID STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+2.2
75-2ID STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+1.9
86-2WEB STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.4
96-3WEB STID STServe errKatelynn Albano+1.6
106-4ID STID STAceNora Waddoups+2.3
117-4ID STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.0
128-4WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+2.5
138-5WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+1.6
149-5ID STWEB ST×3Serve errAnnelie Wilson+2.0
1510-5WEB STWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.4
1611-5WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedTana Howardblk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer+2.1
1711-6WEB STID STBlockedZiya Munyerblk Jaydin Watts, Mia Walsh+1.3
1811-7ID STID STAttack errRose Moore+2.0
1912-7ID STWEB STServe errBrooke Christoffersen+1.9
2012-8WEB STID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+1.5
2112-9ID STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+2.3
2213-9ID STWEB STServe errKadence Marsh+2.2
2314-9WEB STWEB STAttack errAbby McClain+2.5
2414-10WEB STID STServe errZiya Munyer+1.5
2514-11ID STID STAttack errAddison Eastwood+2.3
2615-11ID STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.3
2716-11WEB STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.5
2817-11WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errAnnelie Wilson+2.1
2918-11WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedAnnelie Wilsonblk Sophia Sparrow, Rose Moore+1.5
3018-12WEB STID STKillAbby McClainset Kadence Marsh+0.7
3119-12ID STWEB ST×3Attack errAbby McClain+1.1
3220-12WEB STWEB ST×3KillSophia Sparrow+0.9
3321-12WEB STWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+0.5
3421-13WEB STID STAttack errRose Moore+0.1
3522-13ID STWEB STAttack errAnnelie Wilson+0.3
3622-14WEB STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+0.1
3723-14ID STWEB ST×3KillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+0.2
3824-14WEB STWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Katelynn Albano+0.1
3925-14WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedMia Walshblk Addison Eastwood·
Set 2
11-0ID STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.2
22-0WEB STWEB STAttack errTana Howard+3.0
32-1WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+2.1
43-1ID STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.4
53-2WEB STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+2.2
63-3ID STID STKillMia Walshset Annelie Wilson+2.9
74-3ID STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.4
84-4WEB STID STKillMia Walshset Aspen Boice+2.2
95-4ID STWEB STServe errKadence Marsh+2.4
105-5WEB STID STKillAbby McClainset Kadence Marsh+2.3
115-6ID STID STAttack errLexie Carlson+3.0
126-6ID STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.4
136-7WEB STID STKillIsabella Beattyset Kadence Marsh+2.3
147-7ID STWEB STServe errAspen Boice+2.4
157-8WEB STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Kadence Marsh+2.4
167-9ID STID STBlockedRose Mooreblk Tana Howard+3.0
178-9ID STWEB STBlockedJaydin Wattsblk Rose Moore, Sophia Sparrow+2.3
188-10WEB STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+2.3
199-10ID STWEB STServe errAnnelie Wilson+2.3
2010-10WEB STWEB STAttack errTana Howard+3.4
2110-11WEB STID STAttack errRose Moore+2.6
2211-11ID STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+2.8
2312-11WEB STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+3.9
2412-12WEB STID STKillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+2.9
2512-13ID STID STBlockedMaggie Larsenblk Isabella Beatty, Abby McClain+3.8
2613-13ID STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+3.0
2713-14WEB STID STKillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+3.0
2814-14ID STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.1
2914-15WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+3.1
3015-15ID STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.3
3116-15WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errAnnelie Wilson+4.7
3217-15WEB STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlson+4.9
3317-16WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+3.3
3418-16ID STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+4.0
3518-17WEB STID ST×4Attack errSophia Sparrow+3.5
3618-18ID STID ST×4KillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+5.1
3718-19ID STID ST×4KillMia Walsh+5.3
3818-20ID STID ST×4KillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+4.9
3919-20ID STWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.4
4020-20WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errMia Walsh+5.8
4121-20WEB STWEB ST×3AceMarly Prattaced Annelie Wilson+6.9
4221-21WEB STID STKillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+5.1
4321-22ID STID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+7.3
4422-22ID STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+5.6
4523-22WEB STWEB STBad setNora Waddoups+9.4
4623-23WEB STID ST×3KillTana Howardset Nora Waddoups+6.8
4723-24ID STID ST×3KillIsabella Beattyset Kadence Marsh+11.1
4823-25ID STID ST×3BlockedMaggie Larsenblk Abby McClain, Isabella Beatty+10.0
Set 3
11-0WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.1
21-1WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Nora Waddoups+2.3
31-2ID STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Aspen Boice+2.9
42-2ID STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+2.3
52-3WEB STID STKillGracie Vohsset Nora Waddoups+2.3
63-3ID STWEB ST×3BlockedGracie Vohsblk Maggie Larsen, Sophia Sparrow+2.4
74-3WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedGracie Vohsblk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer+3.3
85-3WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedJaydin Wattsblk Ziya Munyer, Maggie Larsen+3.5
95-4WEB STID STKillGracie Vohsset Nora Waddoups+2.5
105-5ID STID STBlockedZiya Munyerblk Isabella Beatty+3.3
116-5ID STWEB STAttack errMia Walsh+2.7
126-6WEB STID STKillMia Walshset Aspen Boice+2.6
137-6ID STWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+2.8
148-6WEB STWEB STAttack errAbby McClain+3.8
158-7WEB STID STKillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+2.7
169-7ID STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.0
1710-7WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errAnnelie Wilson+3.9
1811-7WEB STWEB ST×4AceZiya Munyeraced Mia Walsh+3.8
1912-7WEB STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.5
2012-8WEB STID STKillAbby McClainset Kadence Marsh+2.1
2113-8ID STWEB STAttack errAnnelie Wilson+2.7
2213-9WEB STID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+2.1
2313-10ID STID ST×3KillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+3.3
2413-11ID STID ST×3BlockedRose Mooreblk Gracie Vohs, Jaydin Watts+3.7
2514-11ID STWEB ST×4Serve errNora Waddoups+3.4
2615-11WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errGracie Vohs+4.1
2716-11WEB STWEB ST×4AceKatelynn Albano+3.6
2817-11WEB STWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+2.9
2917-12WEB STID STKillJaydin Wattsset Nora Waddoups+1.5
3018-12ID STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+2.2
3118-13WEB STID ST×3KillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+1.4
3218-14ID STID ST×3AceBrooke Christoffersenaced Maggie Larsen+2.6
3318-15ID STID ST×3BlockedZiya Munyerblk Isabella Beatty+3.4
3419-15ID STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.5
3519-16WEB STID STKillGracie Vohsset Nora Waddoups+2.5
3620-16ID STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Morgan Pratt+3.6
3720-17WEB STID STKillAbby McClainset Kadence Marsh+2.4
3821-17ID STWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+3.7
3921-18WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+2.3
4022-18ID STWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+3.6
4122-19WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+2.0
4223-19ID STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+3.5
4324-19WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedGracie Vohsblk Rose Moore, Addison Eastwood+2.3
4425-19WEB STWEB ST×3AceKatelynn Albanoaced Aspen Boice+0.6
Set 4
11-0ID STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+3.0
21-1WEB STID STServe errAddison Eastwood+2.9
32-1ID STWEB STBlockedAva Bricknerblk Sophia Sparrow, Rose Moore+3.1
43-1WEB STWEB STAceKatelynn Albanoaced Mia Walsh+4.1
53-2WEB STID ST×3Attack errMaggie Larsen+3.0
63-3ID STID ST×3KillAva Bricknerset Brooke Christoffersen+3.9
73-4ID STID ST×3Attack errSophia Sparrow+3.8
84-4ID STWEB STServe errBrooke Christoffersen+3.1
95-4WEB STWEB STAttack errMia Walsh+4.3
105-5WEB STID ST×3KillIsabella Beattyset Nora Waddoups+3.1
115-6ID STID ST×3KillTana Howardset Kadence Marsh+4.0
125-7ID STID ST×3BlockedZiya Munyerblk Tana Howard, Isabella Beatty+3.8
136-7ID STWEB ST×3Serve errKadence Marsh+2.9
147-7WEB STWEB ST×3KillZiya Munyer+4.3
158-7WEB STWEB ST×3AceRose Moore+4.6
168-8WEB STID STKillMia Walshset Jenna Werbelow+3.4
179-8ID STWEB ST×3KillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+3.7
1810-8WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errIsabella Beatty+5.0
1911-8WEB STWEB ST×3AceMaggie Larsenaced Mia Walsh+5.0
2011-9WEB STID STBlockedLexie Carlsonblk Tana Howard, Isabella Beatty+3.4
2112-9ID STWEB STServe errJenna Werbelow+4.0
2212-10WEB STID STKillTana Howardset Kadence Marsh+3.5
2313-10ID STWEB STBlockedAnnelie Wilsonblk Sophia Sparrow, Addison Eastwood+4.2
2413-11WEB STID STKillAnnelie Wilsonset Jenna Werbelow+3.6
2514-11ID STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+4.3
2615-11WEB STWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+5.2
2716-11WEB STWEB ST×3KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+4.5
2816-12WEB STID STServe errKatelynn Albano+2.6
2917-12ID STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+3.6
3017-13WEB STID STKillMia Walshset Nora Waddoups+2.5
3117-14ID STID STKillMia Walshset Kadence Marsh+4.2
3218-14ID STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+4.4
3318-15WEB STID ST×3KillTana Howardset Kadence Marsh+3.2
3418-16ID STID ST×3KillTana Howardset Jenna Werbelow+5.3
3518-17ID STID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Jenna Werbelow+6.3
3619-17ID STWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+5.9
3719-18WEB STID ST×3Attack errZiya Munyer+5.0
3819-19ID STID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+7.6
3919-20ID STID ST×3KillAnnelie Wilsonset Kadence Marsh+7.9
4020-20ID STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+6.2
4121-20WEB STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Lexie Carlson+9.5
4221-21WEB STID STAttack errLexie Carlson+6.9
4322-21ID STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+8.4
4423-21WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errKadence Marsh+11.2
4524-21WEB STWEB ST×3KillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+8.7
4624-22WEB STID STAttack errRose Moore+2.7
4724-23ID STID STBlockedLexie Carlsonblk Mia Walsh, Jaydin Watts+7.7
4825-23ID STWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+14.1

Score shown after each rally, Weber St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).