Western Ky. def. Southeast Mo. State 3-0 Volleyball (Aug 28)

FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

3:0

Western Ky. won at Southeast Mo. St. 3-0 (25-23, 25-13, 25-20) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Western Ky.'s Kaira Knox led with 11 kills, and Tayler Baron added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Aug 28

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W KY	25	25	25	3
SEMO	23	13	20	0

Win probability

Southeast Mo. St. above 50 · Western Ky. below

Biggest swing: 5.5% to Western Ky. — set 1, W KY 23-21 SEMO. Marin Johnson stuffed by Sonja Laaksonen. SEMO win probability 27% → 21%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W KY 69.8%30.2% SEMO

Western Ky. wins

3-0

23.1%

3-1

26.8%

3-2

19.9%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

5.8%

3-1

10.6%

3-2

13.8%

W KY break %: 42.1% vs this opp
SEMO break %: 38.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sonja LaaksonenBlock+5.5%
Marin Johnson stuffed by Sonja Laaksonen
Set 1 · W KY 23-21 SEMO · W KY 73% → 79%
02
Western Ky.Ace+5.3%
Western Ky. ace on Nina Schuberth
Set 1 · W KY 21-20 SEMO · W KY 67% → 73%
03
Kaira KnoxKill+5.3%
Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)
Set 1 · W KY 25-23 SEMO · W KY 78% → 83%
04
Kaira KnoxAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Kaira Knox
Set 1 · W KY 18-19 SEMO · SEMO 31% → 35%
05
Kaira KnoxKill+4.2%
Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Kate Rush)
Set 1 · W KY 24-22 SEMO · W KY 76% → 80%
06
Faith Young&Kate RushBlock+4.1%
Lucy Arndt stuffed by Faith Young & Kate Rush
Set 1 · W KY 18-17 SEMO · W KY 68% → 72%
07
Kaira KnoxKill+4.0%
Kill by Kaira Knox (set by Jacey Young)
Set 1 · W KY 22-21 SEMO · W KY 69% → 73%
08
Kate RushBlock+4.0%
Ellie Burns stuffed by Kate Rush
Set 1 · W KY 17-17 SEMO · W KY 64% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Western Ky.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Kate RushS	3	7	0	13	.538	22	5	3	6	0	0	2	1	13
5Kaira KnoxOH	3	11	1	16	.625	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	11
22Faith YoungOH	3	5	1	13	.308	1	0	2	4	0	0	2	1	6
16Sonja LaaksonenOH	3	3	3	15	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
21Eliza McKnightOH	3	3	1	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Kennedy CherryL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	0	0
17Alivia SkidmoreOH	3	7	3	23	.174	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
8Cali FosterL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
2Tayler BaronL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	3	11	0	0	0	0	0
13Kendall MellerOH	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	3
18Aubrey SearsOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Camila AdamsDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Izzie DelacherS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	9	98	.296	26	6	15	36	1	1	6	4	75

Southeast Mo. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Lucy ArndtOH	3	9	4	30	.167	0	0	1	4	1	1	0	1	10
4Marin JohnsonOH	3	8	4	23	.174	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
12Reagan NelsonOH	3	8	3	23	.217	1	0	4	8	0	0	0	0	8
24Alaina LesterMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
19Jacey YoungMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Megan HolderS	3	0	1	4	-.250	12	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
5Alayna ChristnerOH	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	4	1	2	11	2	0	0	0	1
6Ellie BurnsS	3	0	2	3	-.667	9	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
8Holland GuilliamsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Brooklyn RitterS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	17	103	.117	26	1	13	37	6	1	4	3	56

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Ky. vs Southeast Mo. St.

Season series · Western Ky. leads 2-0

Fri, Aug 28, 2026Western Ky. at Southeast Mo. St. · Western Ky. won 3-0This match
Sat, Aug 29, 2026Western Ky. at Southeast Mo. St. · Western Ky. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 W KY · SEMO 3

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 W KYSEMO 3

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 5 W KYSEMO 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 W KYSEMO 3

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = Western Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	50%7/14
2	64%7/11	59%10/17
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	55%6/11	14%1/7
5	71%5/7	58%7/12
6	63%5/8	58%7/12
All	67%38/57	50%37/74

Southeast Mo. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%8/20	25%2/8
2	54%7/13	33%4/12
3	64%7/11	22%2/9
4	63%5/8	30%3/10
5	45%5/11	55%6/11
6	45%5/11	29%2/7
All	50%37/74	33%19/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	W KY-SEMO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Lucy Arndt	+1.6
2	0-2	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Marin Johnson	+2.5
3	1-2	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.5
4	1-3	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.7
5	2-3	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.6
6	2-4	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Nina Schuberth	+1.8
7	2-5	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+2.6
8	3-5	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.6
9	3-6	W KY	SEMO×3	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.8
10	3-7	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+2.6
11	3-8	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+2.4
12	4-8	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.3
13	4-9	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Reagan Nelson	+1.6
14	5-9	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.3
15	6-9	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Alayna Christner		+2.3
16	6-10	W KY	SEMO×3	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.9
17	6-11	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Faith Young		+2.5
18	6-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+2.1
19	7-12	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Tayler Baron	+1.1
20	8-12	W KY	W KY	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen		+2.0
21	8-13	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+1.7
22	9-13	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.3
23	10-13	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Lucy Arndt		+2.4
24	10-14	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+2.0
25	11-14	SEMO	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.6
26	12-14	W KY	W KY×3	Bad set	Megan Holder		+2.8
27	13-14	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+3.2
28	13-15	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+2.5
29	13-16	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+3.5
30	14-16	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.9
31	14-17	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+2.5
32	15-17	SEMO	W KY×4	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+2.0
33	16-17	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Kate Rush	set Ellie Burns	+3.6
34	17-17	W KY	W KY×4	Blocked	Ellie Burns	blk Kate Rush	+4.0
35	18-17	W KY	W KY×4	Blocked	Lucy Arndt	blk Faith Young, Kate Rush	+4.1
36	18-18	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+2.8
37	18-19	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Kaira Knox		+4.7
38	19-19	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+3.0
39	19-20	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+3.5
40	20-20	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush		+3.3
41	21-20	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Nina Schuberth	+5.3
42	21-21	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+3.6
43	22-21	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Jacey Young	+4.0
44	23-21	W KY	W KY	Blocked	Marin Johnson	blk Sonja Laaksonen	+5.5
45	23-22	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+2.6
46	24-22	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+4.2
47	24-23	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+2.2
48	25-23	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+5.3
Set 2
1	1-0	SEMO	W KY×3	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.2
2	2-0	W KY	W KY×3	Ace	Western Ky.		+1.7
3	3-0	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Faith Young	+1.6
4	3-1	W KY	SEMO×3	Blocked	Sonja Laaksonen	blk Alaina Lester	+1.0
5	3-2	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+1.7
6	3-3	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Sonja Laaksonen		+1.9
7	4-3	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+1.3
8	5-3	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+1.9
9	5-4	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+1.2
10	6-4	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.3
11	7-4	W KY	W KY	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Lucy Arndt	+1.7
12	7-5	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.1
13	8-5	SEMO	W KY	Attack err	Megan Holder		+1.2
14	8-6	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.1
15	8-7	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+1.9
16	9-7	SEMO	W KY×3	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.4
17	10-7	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+1.9
18	11-7	W KY	W KY×3	Attack err	Marin Johnson		+1.6
19	11-8	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.9
20	11-9	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Nina Schuberth	+1.7
21	12-9	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.3
22	13-9	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush	set Ellie Burns	+1.7
23	13-10	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.0
24	14-10	SEMO	W KY×5	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.1
25	15-10	W KY	W KY×5	Ace	Western Ky.		+1.3
26	16-10	W KY	W KY×5	Attack err	Reagan Nelson		+0.9
27	17-10	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Alayna Christner	+0.6
28	18-10	W KY	W KY×5	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.4
29	18-11	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.1
30	19-11	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.2
31	20-11	W KY	W KY	Kill	Kaira Knox	set Kate Rush	+0.2
32	20-12	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Alayna Christner	set Ellie Burns	·
33	21-12	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kendall Meller	set Kate Rush	+0.1
34	21-13	W KY	SEMO	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		·
35	22-13	SEMO	W KY×4	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Izzie Delacher	+0.1
36	23-13	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Alivia Skidmore		·
37	24-13	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Cali Foster	·
38	25-13	W KY	W KY×4	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	·
Set 3
1	1-0	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	Western Ky.	aced Nina Schuberth	+1.0
2	2-0	W KY	W KY×4	Blocked	Marin Johnson	blk Kendall Meller	+0.9
3	3-0	W KY	W KY×4	Attack err	Lucy Arndt		+0.9
4	4-0	W KY	W KY×4	Ace	Western Ky.		+0.8
5	4-1	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.5
6	4-2	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.8
7	5-2	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kendall Meller	set Kate Rush	+0.6
8	6-2	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Marin Johnson		+0.8
9	6-3	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+0.5
10	7-3	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+0.5
11	7-4	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder	+0.5
12	8-4	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Eliza McKnight	set Kate Rush	+0.5
13	8-5	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Ellie Burns	+0.5
14	8-6	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Eliza McKnight	blk Lucy Arndt	+0.9
15	9-6	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Kate Rush	+0.7
16	9-7	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.6
17	10-7	SEMO	W KY×3	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.7
18	11-7	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Sonja Laaksonen	set Kate Rush	+0.9
19	12-7	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kate Rush	set Ellie Burns	+0.7
20	12-8	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Reagan Nelson	+0.4
21	13-8	SEMO	W KY	Attack err	Jacey Young		+0.5
22	13-9	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+0.4
23	14-9	SEMO	W KY	Attack err	Reagan Nelson		+0.5
24	14-10	W KY	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+0.4
25	14-11	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Sonja Laaksonen	blk Alaina Lester, Marin Johnson	+0.8
26	14-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Nina Schuberth	aced Kennedy Cherry	+1.0
27	15-12	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Nina Schuberth		+0.8
28	16-12	W KY	W KY	Kill	Alivia Skidmore	set Marin Johnson	+1.0
29	16-13	W KY	SEMO	Bad set	Kendall Meller		+0.5
30	16-14	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		+1.0
31	17-14	SEMO	W KY	Attack err	Lucy Arndt		+0.8
32	17-15	W KY	SEMO×3	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.7
33	17-16	SEMO	SEMO×3	Bad set	Alivia Skidmore		+1.4
34	17-17	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Alivia Skidmore		+1.7
35	18-17	SEMO	W KY	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.2
36	19-17	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Ellie Burns		+1.7
37	19-18	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+1.0
38	20-18	SEMO	W KY×3	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.		+1.2
39	21-18	W KY	W KY×3	Kill	Kate Rush	set Ellie Burns	+1.5
40	22-18	W KY	W KY×3	Attack err	Jacey Young		+1.0
41	22-19	W KY	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.4
42	23-19	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Kate Rush		+0.6
43	23-20	W KY	SEMO	Serve err	Western Ky.		+0.3
44	24-20	SEMO	W KY	Kill	Faith Young	set Kate Rush	+0.5
45	25-20	W KY	W KY	Attack err	Reagan Nelson		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Western Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Western Ky. def. Southeast Mo. St. 3–0