Southeast Mo. State def. Merrimack 3-0 Volleyball (Sep 5)

FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

3:0

Southeast Mo. St. beat Merrimack 3-0 (25-12, 25-9, 25-16) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Southeast Mo. St.'s Lucy Arndt led with 9 kills, and Reagan Nelson added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SEMO	25	25	25	3
MERMCK	12	9	16	0

Win probability

Merrimack above 50 · Southeast Mo. St. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Southeast Mo. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEMO 99.7%0.3% MERMCK

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

83.6%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

1.6%

Merrimack wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

SEMO break %: 54.5% vs this opp
MERMCK break %: 33.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Southeast Mo. St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Lucy ArndtOH	3	9	1	21	.381	1	0	1	3	1	1	2	2	11
12Reagan NelsonOH	3	6	2	13	.308	1	4	1	13	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
3Paige SmithOH	3	6	3	11	.273	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
17Katarina MiscevicMB	3	3	0	4	.750	0	1	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
11Megan HolderS	3	0	0	0	–	21	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
19Jacey YoungMB	1	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Marin JohnsonOH	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
13Brooklyn RitterS	3	1	0	2	.500	8	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
7Sydney MillerMB	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
8Holland GuilliamsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Ava MathewsOH	1	1	0	5	.200	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	2
14Harper HighfillL/DS	1	0	0	2	.000	2	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
5Alayna ChristnerOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	10	77	.325	34	9	5	31	2	1	12	7	75

Merrimackhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	3	4	6	17	-.118	2	0	3	6	1	1	0.5	4.5
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	3	2	1	4	.250	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Sophia DeBonisS	3	0	1	2	-.500	12	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
7Tamilore Afolalu	2	3	4	11	-.091	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3
13Mia IzzoMB	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
18Sienna Franks	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0
14Maiella Blandin	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
4Vaia TsioutsioulasOH	2	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	1.5
19Elizabeth KenneyS	2	0	0	4	.000	2	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
15Gabrielle Moore	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Natalia Zelubowski	1	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	1.5
20Devon Lowe	1	0	1	2	-.500	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Naomi VajdaMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
9Avry BryantOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Fabiola BetancourtOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Maddy FennessyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		19	21	78	-.026	18	2	7	24	9	10	5	37

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 SEMO · MERMCK 3

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 6 SEMOMERMCK 2

Set 2

25-9

Longest run 7 SEMOMERMCK 2

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 SEMOMERMCK 3

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Southeast Mo. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southeast Mo. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	58%7/12
2	71%5/7	69%11/16
3	83%5/6	69%11/16
4	50%4/8	71%10/14
5	100%3/3	57%4/7
6	60%3/5	67%6/9
All	68%26/38	66%49/74

Merrimack

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	26%5/19	43%3/7
2	71%5/7	38%3/8
3	29%5/17	17%1/6
4	27%4/15	29%2/7
5	33%3/9	43%3/7
6	43%3/7	0%0/3
All	34%25/74	32%12/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

112 rallies

#	SEMO-MERMCK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	SEMO	SEMO	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Tamilore Afolalu
2	1-1	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis
3	2-1	MERMCK	SEMO	Serve err	Merrimack
4	2-2	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis
5	3-2	MERMCK	SEMO	Kill	Katarina Miscevic	set Megan Holder
6	4-2	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Megan Holder
7	4-3	SEMO	MERMCK	Attack err	Paige Smith
8	4-4	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack	aced Lucy Arndt
9	5-4	MERMCK	SEMO×6	Kill	Jacey Young	set Megan Holder
10	6-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Blocked	Mia Izzo	blk Lucy Arndt
11	7-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell
12	8-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.
13	9-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu
14	10-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Bad set	Elizabeth Kenney
15	10-5	SEMO	MERMCK	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
16	10-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Jacey Young	blk Avry Bryant, Mia Izzo
17	11-6	MERMCK	SEMO	Serve err	Merrimack
18	12-6	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell
19	12-7	SEMO	MERMCK	Attack err	Jacey Young
20	13-7	MERMCK	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Brooklyn Ritter
21	13-8	SEMO	MERMCK	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
22	13-9	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Kaitlyn Oxceus
23	14-9	MERMCK	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Brooklyn Ritter
24	15-9	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Kaitlyn Oxceus
25	15-10	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis
26	16-10	MERMCK	SEMO×3	Serve err	Merrimack
27	17-10	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
28	18-10	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
29	18-11	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis
30	19-11	MERMCK	SEMO×6	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
31	20-11	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder
32	21-11	SEMO	SEMO×6	Blocked	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Lucy Arndt, Jacey Young
33	22-11	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu
34	23-11	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder
35	24-11	SEMO	SEMO×6	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Vaia Tsioutsioulas
36	24-12	SEMO	MERMCK	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
37	25-12	MERMCK	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Reagan Nelson
Set 2
1	0-1	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Mckenna Shotwell
2	1-1	MERMCK	SEMO×7	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
3	2-1	SEMO	SEMO×7	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Natalia Zelubowski
4	3-1	SEMO	SEMO×7	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.
5	4-1	SEMO	SEMO×7	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
6	5-1	SEMO	SEMO×7	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder
7	6-1	SEMO	SEMO×7	Kill	Katarina Miscevic	set Megan Holder
8	7-1	SEMO	SEMO×7	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Ella Maldonado
9	7-2	SEMO	MERMCK	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
10	7-3	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Paige Smith	blk Natalia Zelubowski, Mia Izzo
11	8-3	MERMCK	SEMO	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder
12	8-4	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis
13	9-4	MERMCK	SEMO	Serve err	Merrimack
14	10-4	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Brooklyn Ritter
15	10-5	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Mckenna Shotwell
16	10-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	Merrimack
17	11-6	MERMCK	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Brooklyn Ritter
18	12-6	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Brooklyn Ritter
19	13-6	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Maiella Blandin
20	13-7	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Devon Lowe
21	14-7	MERMCK	SEMO×5	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Brooklyn Ritter
22	15-7	SEMO	SEMO×5	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Brooklyn Ritter
23	16-7	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Devon Lowe
24	17-7	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell
25	18-7	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Devon Lowe
26	18-8	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Devon Lowe
27	19-8	MERMCK	SEMO×3	Serve err	Merrimack
28	20-8	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Maiella Blandin	blk Katarina Miscevic, Reagan Nelson
29	21-8	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell
30	21-9	SEMO	MERMCK	Blocked	Alayna Christner	blk Mia Izzo, Mckenna Shotwell
31	22-9	MERMCK	SEMO×4	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
32	23-9	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
33	24-9	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Mckenna Shotwell
34	25-9	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Sophia DeBonis
Set 3
1	0-1	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis
2	0-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia DeBonis
3	1-2	MERMCK	SEMO	Serve err	Merrimack
4	1-3	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Vaia Tsioutsioulas	set Sophia DeBonis
5	1-4	MERMCK	MERMCK	Blocked	Paige Smith	blk Naomi Vajda, Vaia Tsioutsioulas
6	2-4	MERMCK	SEMO×6	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
7	3-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Paige Smith	set Lucy Arndt
8	4-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Blocked	Naomi Vajda	blk Sydney Miller, Paige Smith
9	5-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
10	6-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Vaia Tsioutsioulas
11	7-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder
12	7-5	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Sophia DeBonis
13	8-5	MERMCK	SEMO×5	Kill	Sydney Miller	set Megan Holder
14	9-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Vaia Tsioutsioulas
15	10-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Bad set	Elizabeth Kenney
16	11-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.
17	12-5	SEMO	SEMO×5	Attack err	Vaia Tsioutsioulas
18	12-6	SEMO	MERMCK×3	Kill	Maiella Blandin	set Elizabeth Kenney
19	12-7	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Marin Johnson
20	12-8	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Bad set	Marin Johnson
21	13-8	MERMCK	SEMO	Serve err	Merrimack
22	13-9	SEMO	MERMCK	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
23	14-9	MERMCK	SEMO×3	Kill	Sydney Miller	set Brooklyn Ritter
24	15-9	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Brooklyn Ritter
25	16-9	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Sienna Franks
26	16-10	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney
27	16-11	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell
28	17-11	MERMCK	SEMO×4	Kill	Brooklyn Ritter	set Harper Highfill
29	18-11	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell
30	19-11	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Katarina Miscevic	set Megan Holder
31	20-11	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ava Mathews
32	20-12	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Sophia DeBonis
33	20-13	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis
34	21-13	MERMCK	SEMO	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Katarina Miscevic, Ava Mathews
35	21-14	SEMO	MERMCK	Kill	Tamilore Afolalu	set Sophia DeBonis
36	22-14	MERMCK	SEMO	Blocked	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Ava Mathews, Katarina Miscevic
37	22-15	SEMO	MERMCK	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
38	23-15	MERMCK	SEMO	Kill	Ava Mathews	set Megan Holder
39	23-16	SEMO	MERMCK	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
40	24-16	MERMCK	SEMO	Blocked	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Lucy Arndt, Sydney Miller
41	25-16	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Harper Highfill

Score shown after each rally, Southeast Mo. St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southeast Mo. St. def. Merrimack 3–0