FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Southeast Mo. St. def. SIUE 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Southeast Mo. St. 96.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southeast Mo. St. beat visiting SIUE 3-0 (25-17, 25-14, 26-24) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Southeast Mo. St.'s Reagan Nelson led with 15 kills, and Holland Guilliams added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
SIUE1714240
SEMO2525263

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Reagan Nelson. Southeast Mo. St. swept SIUE.

Win probability never moved more than 0.7 points on one rally; SIUE topped out at 4% in Set 1. Southeast Mo. St. went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

SIUESoutheast Mo. St.
  • Break %+14.5 pts
    48.262.7

    47 of 75 on serve vs 27 of 56, so SIUE's sideout was 37.3%.

  • Hitting+.256
    .115.371

    46 kills, 7 errors vs 27 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+5
    510

    Southeast Mo. St. scored 10 straight in the second set to stretch an 11–10 lead to 21–10. The set finished 25–14.

Southeast Mo. St. above 50SIUE belowMax swing 0.7%

SIUESoutheast Mo. St.

Aces
SIUE 8·Southeast Mo. St. 8
Serve err
SIUE 4·Southeast Mo. St. 10
Blocks
SIUE 1·Southeast Mo. St. 71 BS · 0 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
SIUE 39·Southeast Mo. St. 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southeast Mo. St. above 50 · SIUE below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 131 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Southeast Mo. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIUE 2.3%97.7% SEMO

SIUE wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.5%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0
65.3%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
6.4%
SIUE break %
35.7% vs this opp
SEMO break %
50.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

SIUEaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38216.3750111520009
35421.048000100005
34111.273000000004
3004.0001220601013
31511-.364010100002
3239-.111000110002
3205.400131110005
3208.250000000002
3102.500011710002
3001.000901300000
2218.125000110002
2000–000100000
1000–000200000
Team totals271696.115228439810155
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315333.3641334000018
313032.40600020031.514.5
37112.50000130111.58.5
3509.55610010153.58.5
3238-.12500000010.52.5
3002.0002021600002
31011.0001232700004
3305.600000000003
3001.0004011730000
3001.000302120000
1001.000000000000
Team totals467105.37141810418210776

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SIUE vs Southeast Mo. St.

Season series · Southeast Mo. St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SIUE · SEMO 10

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 SIUESEMO 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 SIUESEMO 10

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 SIUESEMO 9

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = SIUE leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SIUE

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%6/20
56%5/9
2
50%6/12
40%4/10
3
33%5/15
54%7/13
4
25%4/16
38%3/8
5
80%4/5
50%4/8
6
43%3/7
50%4/8
All
37%28/75
48%27/56

Southeast Mo. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
55%6/11
2
43%6/14
68%13/19
3
60%6/10
57%8/14
4
57%4/7
80%16/20
5
44%4/9
20%1/5
6
50%3/6
50%3/6
All
52%29/56
63%47/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#SIUE-SEMOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
21-1SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
31-2SIUESEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
41-3SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder
51-4SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Karli Mann
62-4SEMOSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes
72-5SIUESEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Reagan Nelson
82-6SEMOSEMO×3Attack errKarli Mann
92-7SEMOSEMO×3BlockedKennedy Pikeblk Alaina Lester, Lucy Arndt
103-7SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
113-8SIUESEMO×4Attack errVienna Elliott
123-9SEMOSEMO×4BlockedVienna Elliottblk Marin Johnson
133-10SEMOSEMO×4AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Sophie Robinson
143-11SEMOSEMO×4AceSoutheast Mo. St.
154-11SEMOSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Paige Bernstein
164-12SIUESEMOKillJacey Youngset Ellie Burns
174-13SEMOSEMOAttack errSophie Robinson
185-13SEMOSIUE×3Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.
196-13SIUESIUE×3AceSIUE
207-13SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Teagan Sullivan
217-14SIUESEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Nina Schuberth
227-15SEMOSEMO×3Attack errJehireh Williams
237-16SEMOSEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Nina Schuberth
248-16SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
259-16SIUESIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Ellie Burns
269-17SIUESEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns
279-18SEMOSEMO×3KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder
289-19SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Jehireh Williams
2910-19SEMOSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes
3011-19SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Holland Guilliams
3111-20SIUESEMO×3Serve errSIUE
3211-21SEMOSEMO×3BlockedKennedy Pikeblk Lucy Arndt, Alaina Lester
3311-22SEMOSEMO×3Attack errKarli Mann
3412-22SEMOSIUE×5Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.
3513-22SIUESIUE×5KillKarli Mannset Vienna Elliott
3614-22SIUESIUE×5Bad setAlaina Lester
3715-22SIUESIUE×5Bad setMegan Holder
3816-22SIUESIUE×5KillVienna Elliott
3916-23SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
4017-23SEMOSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes
4117-24SIUESEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder
4217-25SEMOSEMOAttack errVienna Elliott
Set 2
11-0SIUESIUEAttack errKatherine St. John
22-0SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Holland Guilliams
32-1SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
43-1SEMOSIUEAttack errKatherine St. John
53-2SIUESEMOKillLucy Arndtset Alaina Lester
63-3SEMOSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder
74-3SEMOSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Ally Hughes
85-3SIUESIUEBad setMegan Holder
95-4SIUESEMO×4Attack errSophie Robinson
105-5SEMOSEMO×4Attack errVienna Elliott
115-6SEMOSEMO×4KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns
125-7SEMOSEMO×4KillLucy Arndt
136-7SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
146-8SIUESEMOAttack errKarli Mann
157-8SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
168-8SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Nina Schuberth
178-9SIUESEMOServe errSIUE
189-9SEMOSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein
199-10SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Holland Guilliams
209-11SEMOSEMOAceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Teagan Sullivan
2110-11SEMOSIUEAttack errKatherine St. John
2210-12SIUESEMO×10KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
2310-13SEMOSEMO×10KillKatherine St. Johnset Holland Guilliams
2410-14SEMOSEMO×10BlockedKennedy Pikeblk Alaina Lester, Katherine St. John
2510-15SEMOSEMO×10KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder
2610-16SEMOSEMO×10AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Claire Jones
2710-17SEMOSEMO×10KillKatherine St. Johnset Megan Holder
2810-18SEMOSEMO×10AceSoutheast Mo. St.
2910-19SEMOSEMO×10KillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder
3010-20SEMOSEMO×10KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder
3110-21SEMOSEMO×10Bad setAlly Hughes
3211-21SEMOSIUE×3Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.
3312-21SIUESIUE×3KillJehireh Williamsset Ally Hughes
3413-21SIUESIUE×3KillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes
3513-22SIUESEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder
3613-23SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder
3714-23SEMOSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes
3814-24SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
3914-25SEMOSEMOKillEllie Burnsset Vienna Elliott
Set 3
10-1SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
20-2SEMOSEMOAceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Sophie Robinson
31-2SEMOSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes
42-2SIUESIUEKillGeorgia Bresnahanset Ally Hughes
52-3SIUESEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder
63-3SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
73-4SIUESEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder
83-5SEMOSEMO×3KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder
93-6SEMOSEMO×3BlockedGeorgia Bresnahanblk Alaina Lester, Marin Johnson
104-6SEMOSIUE×4KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes
115-6SIUESIUE×4Attack errMarin Johnson
126-6SIUESIUE×4KillMaddie Determanset Paige Bernstein
137-6SIUESIUE×4KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein
147-7SIUESEMO×9BlockedVienna Elliottblk Alaina Lester
157-8SEMOSEMO×9Bad setPaige Bernstein
167-9SEMOSEMO×9KillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns
177-10SEMOSEMO×9KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns
187-11SEMOSEMO×9AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Georgia Bresnahan
197-12SEMOSEMO×9KillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns
207-13SEMOSEMO×9KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns
217-14SEMOSEMO×9KillLucy Arndtset Holland Guilliams
227-15SEMOSEMO×9KillJacey Youngset Ellie Burns
238-15SEMOSIUE×4KillKarli Mannset Paige Bernstein
249-15SIUESIUE×4AceSIUEaced Holland Guilliams
2510-15SIUESIUE×4AceSIUE
2611-15SIUESIUE×4KillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein
2711-16SIUESEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns
2812-16SEMOSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein
2913-16SIUESIUEAttack errReagan Nelson
3013-17SIUESEMOKillJacey Youngset Ellie Burns
3114-17SEMOSIUE×3KillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein
3215-17SIUESIUE×3AceSIUEaced Nina Schuberth
3316-17SIUESIUE×3BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Ally Hughes
3416-18SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Nina Schuberth
3517-18SEMOSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes
3617-19SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder
3718-19SEMOSIUE×3KillTeagan Sullivanset Ally Hughes
3819-19SIUESIUE×3AceSIUE
3920-19SIUESIUE×3KillClaire Jonesset Megan Holder
4020-20SIUESEMO×3Serve errSIUE
4120-21SEMOSEMO×3KillMarin Johnsonset Holland Guilliams
4220-22SEMOSEMO×3BlockedKennedy Pikeblk Alaina Lester, Lucy Arndt
4321-22SEMOSIUEKillTeagan Sullivanset Ally Hughes
4421-23SIUESEMOServe errSIUE
4522-23SEMOSIUEServe errSoutheast Mo. St.
4622-24SIUESEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns
4723-24SEMOSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein
4824-24SIUESIUEAttack errReagan Nelson
4924-25SIUESEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns
5024-26SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns

Score shown after each rally, SIUE first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).