Southeast Mo. State def. SIUE 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 3)

FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Southeast Mo. St. 96.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southeast Mo. St. beat visiting SIUE 3-0 (25-17, 25-15, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Southeast Mo. St.'s Reagan Nelson led with 17 kills, and Holland Guilliams added 9 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SIUE	17	15	20	0
SEMO	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Marin Johnson in a Southeast Mo. St. rout.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.5 points. SIUE peaked at 4% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Southeast Mo. St. went in as RallyIQ's 97% pick.

SIUESoutheast Mo. St.

Break %+20.6 pts
32.152.7
Points won on own serve: 39 of 74 vs 17 of 53. SIUE sided out 47.3% of the time.
Hitting+.121
.238.359
44 K / 11 E against 32 K / 12 E.
Longest run+5
49
Up 16–15 in the second set, Southeast Mo. St. scored 9 straight to make it 25–15. The set finished 25–15.

Southeast Mo. St. above 50SIUE belowMax swing 0.5%

SIUESoutheast Mo. St.

Aces: SIUE 2·Southeast Mo. St. 9
Serve err: SIUE 7·Southeast Mo. St. 5
Blocks: SIUE 4·Southeast Mo. St. 41 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs: SIUE 29·Southeast Mo. St. 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southeast Mo. St. above 50 · SIUE below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Southeast Mo. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIUE 2.3%97.7% SEMO

SIUE wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.6%

3-2

1.5%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

65.3%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

6.4%

SIUE break %: 35.7% vs this opp
SEMO break %: 50.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

SIUEaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Vienna ElliottMB	3	8	0	14	.571	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	11
16Jehireh WilliamsMB	3	6	0	10	.600	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
6Kennedy PikeOH	3	4	4	16	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
11Sophie RobinsonOH	3	5	2	15	.200	2	0	1	5	2	0	0	0	5
10Georgia BresnahanOH	3	4	4	17	.000	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	4
8Ally HughesS	3	0	0	1	.000	15	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
12Maddie DetermanOH	3	4	2	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
13Teagan SullivanOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
5Claire JonesDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	2	4	2	0	0	0	0
9Paige BernsteinS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
19Aubree HummelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	12	84	.238	32	2	7	29	9	1	6	4	52

Southeast Mo. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Reagan NelsonOH	3	17	3	28	.500	0	0	0	5	0	1	2	2	19
2Lucy ArndtOH	3	10	5	23	.217	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	10
4Marin JohnsonOH	3	4	0	11	.364	0	5	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
22Katherine St. JohnOH	3	9	1	15	.533	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	9
24Alaina LesterMB	3	2	0	6	.333	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	3
11Megan HolderS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
6Ellie BurnsS	3	1	0	1	1.000	20	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	2
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
19Jacey YoungMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Holland GuilliamsL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	0
5Alayna ChristnerOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Harper HighfillL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
17Katarina MiscevicMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	11	92	.359	39	9	5	32	2	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SIUE vs Southeast Mo. St.

Season series · Southeast Mo. St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026SIUE at Southeast Mo. St. · Southeast Mo. St. won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 3, 2026SIUE at Southeast Mo. St. · Southeast Mo. St. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SIUE · SEMO 9

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 SIUESEMO 3

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 4 SIUESEMO 9

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 SIUESEMO 4

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = SIUE leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SIUE

No clean sets to split.

Southeast Mo. St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#	SIUE-SEMO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
2	1-1	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes
3	1-2	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
4	2-2	SEMO	SIUE	Bad set	Holland Guilliams
5	3-2	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
6	3-3	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
7	3-4	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Kennedy Pike
8	4-4	SEMO	SIUE	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
9	4-5	SIUE	SEMO×3	Serve err	SIUE
10	4-6	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns
11	4-7	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Jacey Young
12	5-7	SEMO	SIUE	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
13	6-7	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Paige Bernstein
14	6-8	SIUE	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt
15	6-9	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Maddie Determan	blk Reagan Nelson
16	6-10	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
17	7-10	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein
18	7-11	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson
19	8-11	SEMO	SIUE×3	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Paige Bernstein
20	9-11	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Jacey Young
21	10-11	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Teagan Sullivan	set Ally Hughes
22	10-12	SIUE	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
23	10-13	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Sophie Robinson	blk Reagan Nelson, Alaina Lester
24	10-14	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Kennedy Pike
25	11-14	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes
26	11-15	SIUE	SEMO	Bad set	Ally Hughes
27	12-15	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ally Hughes
28	12-16	SIUE	SEMO×3	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Megan Holder
29	12-17		SEMO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
30	12-18	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Holland Guilliams
31	13-18	SEMO	SIUE	Blocked	Lucy Arndt	blk Kennedy Pike, Vienna Elliott
32	13-19	SIUE	SEMO	Serve err	SIUE
33	13-20	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Holland Guilliams
34	14-20	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein
35	14-21	SIUE	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
36	14-22	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
37	14-23	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Claire Jones
38	15-23	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein
39	16-23	SIUE	SIUE	Ace	Vienna Elliott	aced Harper Highfill
40	16-24	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
41	17-24	SEMO	SIUE	Serve err	Southeast Mo. St.
42	17-25	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
Set 2
1	0-1	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John
2	0-2	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Megan Holder
3	1-2	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Ally Hughes
4	2-2	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
5	2-3	SIUE	SEMO	Serve err	SIUE
6	2-4	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan
7	3-4	SEMO	SIUE	Blocked	Lucy Arndt	blk Jehireh Williams, Kennedy Pike
8	3-5		SEMO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
9	3-6	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Georgia Bresnahan
10	3-7	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced SIUE
11	4-7	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns
12	5-7	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein
13	5-8	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
14	6-8	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Paige Bernstein
15	6-9	SIUE	SEMO	Serve err	SIUE
16	6-10	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Megan Holder
17	7-10	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein
18	7-11	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
19	8-11	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes
20	8-12	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Megan Holder
21	9-12	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes
22	9-13	SIUE	SEMO×3	Serve err	SIUE
23	9-14	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
24	9-15	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Kennedy Pike
25	10-15	SEMO	SIUE×4	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes
26	11-15		SIUE	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
27	12-15	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein
28	13-15	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Paige Bernstein
29	13-16	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Holland Guilliams
30	14-16	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein
31	15-16	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott
32	15-17	SIUE	SEMO×9	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
33	15-18	SEMO	SEMO×9	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
34	15-19	SEMO	SEMO×9	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth
35	15-20	SEMO	SEMO×9	Blocked	Maddie Determan	blk Jacey Young, Reagan Nelson
36	15-21	SEMO	SEMO×9	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.
37	15-22	SEMO	SEMO×9	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Claire Jones
38	15-23	SEMO	SEMO×9	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.
39	15-24	SEMO	SEMO×9	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Teagan Sullivan
40	15-25	SEMO	SEMO×9	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
Set 3
1	0-1		SEMO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
2	0-2	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Megan Holder
3	1-2	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Ally Hughes
4	2-2	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Ally Hughes
5	2-3	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
6	3-3	SEMO	SIUE	Blocked	Katherine St. John	blk Jehireh Williams
7	3-4	SIUE	SEMO	Attack err	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes
8	3-5	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Georgia Bresnahan	blk Marin Johnson, Alaina Lester
9	4-5	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes
10	4-6	SIUE	SEMO	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein
11	5-6	SEMO	SIUE	Attack err	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns
12	5-7	SIUE	SEMO	Serve err	SIUE
13–14	7-7		SIUE 2	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
15	8-7	SIUE	SIUE×3	Ace	Vienna Elliott	aced Holland Guilliams
16	8-8	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
17	9-8	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Sophie Robinson
18	9-9	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Ellie Burns
19	9-10	SEMO	SEMO	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.	aced Sophie Robinson
20	10-10	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike
21	10-11	SIUE	SEMO×4	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Megan Holder
22	10-12	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
23	10-13	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Holland Guilliams
24	10-14	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
25	11-14	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Sophie Robinson
26	11-15	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
27	12-15	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes
28	12-16	SIUE	SEMO	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein
29	12-17	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns
30	13-17	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein
31	13-18	SIUE	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns
32	13-19	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	Southeast Mo. St.
33	13-20	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Sophie Robinson
34	14-20	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson
35	14-21	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
36–37	15-22		SIUE · SEMO	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
38	15-23	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Ellie Burns	set Kennedy Pike
39	16-23	SEMO	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Ally Hughes
40	16-24	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Alaina Lester
41	17-24	SEMO	SIUE×4	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Ally Hughes
42	18-24	SIUE	SIUE×4	Attack err	Alayna Christner
43	19-24	SIUE	SIUE×4	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
44	20-24	SIUE	SIUE×4	Blocked	Lucy Arndt	blk Kennedy Pike, Vienna Elliott
45	20-25	SIUE	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder

Score shown after each rally, SIUE first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southeast Mo. St. def. SIUE 3–0

5 aces from Marin Johnson in a Southeast Mo. St. rout.