Southeast Mo. State def. Tennessee State 3-0 (Oct 29)

FinalThu, Oct 29, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Southeast Mo. St. 100.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southeast Mo. St. beat visiting Tennessee St. 3-0 (25-15, 25-11, 25-16) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Southeast Mo. St.'s Alaina Lester led with 10 kills, and Reagan Nelson added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:00 PM CT · final Oct 29

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TENNST	15	11	16	0
SEMO	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.667 and 10 kills for Alaina Lester as Southeast Mo. St. rolled past Tennessee St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.0 points. Tennessee St. peaked at <1% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Southeast Mo. St. at >99%.

Tennessee St.Southeast Mo. St.

Break %+35.2 pts
18.253.4
On serve: 39/73 against 8/44 (Tennessee St. sideout 46.6%).
Hitting+.323
.056.379
Kills and errors: 42–9 vs 23–18.
Longest run+5
38
Southeast Mo. St. scored 8 straight in the second set to stretch a 9–7 lead to 17–7. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Southeast Mo. St. above 50Tennessee St. belowMax swing 0.0%

Tennessee St.Southeast Mo. St.

Aces: Tennessee St. 0·Southeast Mo. St. 3
Serve err: Tennessee St. 6·Southeast Mo. St. 8
Blocks: Tennessee St. 3·Southeast Mo. St. 61 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs: Tennessee St. 29·Southeast Mo. St. 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southeast Mo. St. above 50 · Tennessee St. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Southeast Mo. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENNST 0.0%100.0% SEMO

Tennessee St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.0%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

94.8%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

0.2%

TENNST break %: 27.7% vs this opp
SEMO break %: 55.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tennessee St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Gabrielle WashingtonMB	3	4	0	10	.400	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	6
11Wiktoria JakubikOH	3	3	4	16	-.063	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Melae LacyOH	3	2	4	10	-.200	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
15Triniti JacksonS	3	1	0	8	.125	10	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
13Gabriella BlevinsMB	3	1	0	2	.500	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
9Morgan FowlerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sydney RobinsonMB	3	8	6	23	.087	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	8
1Carsyn StansberryOH	3	3	3	9	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
10Italya CarterS	3	0	0	3	.000	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Sydni PostonL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
4Jordan ImperialL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
2Julia CulpepperOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Savanna MooreMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		23	18	90	.056	21	6	29	3	1	4	3	42

Southeast Mo. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BA	BLK	PTS
24Alaina LesterMB	3	10	0	15	.667	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
4Marin JohnsonOH	3	7	1	14	.429	0	2	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
2Lucy ArndtOH	3	7	2	13	.385	0	1	0	4	2	1	9
12Reagan NelsonOH	3	5	5	18	.000	1	0	1	10	0	0	5
11Megan HolderS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	0	0	7	0	0	0
22Katherine St. JohnOH	1	2	0	7	.286	1	0	0	2	1	0.5	2.5
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	0	3	9	0	0	0
6Ellie BurnsS	2	0	0	1	.000	9	0	1	2	0	0	0
7Sydney MillerMB	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
19Jacey YoungMB	1	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
5Alayna ChristnerOH	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
16Ava MathewsOH	1	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
17Katarina MiscevicMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
13Brooklyn RitterS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		42	9	87	.379	37	3	8	35	12	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tennessee St. vs Southeast Mo. St.

Season series · Southeast Mo. St. leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Tennessee St. at Southeast Mo. St. · Southeast Mo. St. won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Tennessee St. at Southeast Mo. St. · Southeast Mo. St. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TENNST · SEMO 8

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 TENNSTSEMO 4

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 TENNSTSEMO 8

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 TENNSTSEMO 6

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = Tennessee St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	0%0/7
2	43%6/14	30%3/10
3	60%6/10	25%2/8
4	42%5/12	0%0/6
5	38%5/13	17%1/6
6	38%5/13	29%2/7
All	47%34/73	18%8/44

Southeast Mo. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	14%1/7
2	78%7/9	42%5/12
3	75%6/8	60%9/15
4	83%5/6	50%5/10
5	100%5/5	58%7/12
6	71%5/7	71%12/17
All	82%36/44	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

117 rallies

#	TENNST-SEMO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Nina Schuberth
2	1-1	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Triniti Jackson
3	1-2	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
4	1-3	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
5	2-3	SEMO	TENNST×3	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
6	3-3	TENNST	TENNST×3	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
7	4-3	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
8	4-4	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
9	5-4	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
10	5-5	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Ellie Burns
11	6-5	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
12	6-6	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Sydney Robinson
13	6-7	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry
14	7-7	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Jordan Imperial
15	7-8	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
16	8-8	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Jordan Imperial
17	8-9	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
18	9-9	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Reagan Nelson
19	10-9	TENNST	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Jordan Imperial
20	10-10	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
21	10-11	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
22	11-11	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
23	11-12	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
24	11-13	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Wiktoria Jakubik
25	12-13	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
26	12-14	TENNST	SEMO×4	Serve err	Wiktoria Jakubik
27	12-15	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Jacey Young
28	12-16	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
29	12-17	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Nina Schuberth
30	13-17	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabriella Blevins	set Italya Carter
31	13-18	TENNST	SEMO×4	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
32	13-19	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Jacey Young	set Ellie Burns
33	13-20	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	Marin Johnson	aced Melae Lacy
34	13-21	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Melae Lacy
35	14-21	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Marin Johnson
36	14-22	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Ellie Burns
37	15-22	SEMO	TENNST	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Gabrielle Washington
38	15-23	TENNST	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Katherine St. John
39	15-24	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
40	15-25	SEMO	SEMO×3	Blocked	Wiktoria Jakubik	blk Katherine St. John, Alaina Lester
Set 2
1	1-0	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Jordan Imperial
2	2-0	TENNST	TENNST	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Gabrielle Washington, Wiktoria Jakubik
3	2-1	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Sydni Poston
4	3-1	SEMO	TENNST	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
5	3-2	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
6	4-2	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Nina Schuberth
7	4-3	TENNST	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
8	4-4	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
9	4-5	SEMO	SEMO×3	Bad set	Italya Carter
10	5-5	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Ellie Burns
11	6-5	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Marin Johnson
12	6-6	TENNST	SEMO×4	Bad set	Gabriella Blevins
13	6-7	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Melae Lacy
14	6-8	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
15	6-9	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	Lucy Arndt	aced Sydney Robinson
16	7-9	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
17	7-10	TENNST	SEMO×8	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
18	7-11	SEMO	SEMO×8	Kill	Alayna Christner	set Ellie Burns
19	7-12	SEMO	SEMO×8	Blocked	Melae Lacy	blk Alayna Christner, Katarina Miscevic
20	7-13	SEMO	SEMO×8	Bad set	Italya Carter
21	7-14	SEMO	SEMO×8	Blocked	Julia Culpepper	blk Alayna Christner, Katarina Miscevic
22	7-15	SEMO	SEMO×8	Kill	Katarina Miscevic	set Ellie Burns
23	7-16	SEMO	SEMO×8	Ace	Marin Johnson
24	7-17	SEMO	SEMO×8	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
25	8-17	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Marin Johnson
26	8-18	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
27	9-18	SEMO	TENNST	Bad set	Lucy Arndt
28	9-19	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
29	9-20	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
30	10-20	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Triniti Jackson
31	10-21	TENNST	SEMO×3	Kill	Alayna Christner	set Megan Holder
32	10-22	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
33	10-23	SEMO	SEMO×3	Bad set	Triniti Jackson
34	11-23	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Nina Schuberth
35	11-24	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry
36	11-25	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
Set 3
1	0-1	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
2	0-2	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Melae Lacy	blk Alaina Lester, Lucy Arndt
3	1-2	SEMO	TENNST	Attack err	Ava Mathews
4	1-3	TENNST	SEMO×6	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
5	1-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder
6	1-5	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder
7	1-6	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Nina Schuberth
8	1-7	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
9	1-8	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Sydni Poston
10	2-8	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
11	2-9	TENNST	SEMO	Bad set	Triniti Jackson
12	2-10	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Wiktoria Jakubik	blk Sydney Miller, Lucy Arndt
13	3-10	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
14	3-11	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Sydney Miller	set Brooklyn Ritter
15	3-12	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Sydney Miller	set Brooklyn Ritter
16	4-12	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Italya Carter
17	4-13	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Brooklyn Ritter
18	4-14	SEMO	SEMO	Bad set	Sydney Robinson
19	5-14	SEMO	TENNST×3	Serve err	Marin Johnson
20	6-14	TENNST	TENNST×3	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Savanna Moore, Gabrielle Washington
21	7-14	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
22	7-15	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Gabriella Blevins
23	7-16	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester
24	8-16	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Italya Carter
25	8-17	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
26	9-17	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Triniti Jackson
27	9-18	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Ava Mathews	set Megan Holder
28	10-18	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Nina Schuberth
29	10-19	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Reagan Nelson
30	11-19	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
31	11-20	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Sydney Miller	set Brooklyn Ritter
32	12-20	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Italya Carter
33	12-21	TENNST	SEMO	Blocked	Carsyn Stansberry	blk Sydney Miller, Marin Johnson
34	13-21	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Savanna Moore	set Italya Carter
35	13-22	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Gabriella Blevins
36	14-22	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Italya Carter
37	14-23	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Triniti Jackson
38	14-24	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Ava Mathews	set Megan Holder
39	15-24	SEMO	TENNST	Bad set	Alaina Lester
40	16-24	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
41	16-25	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Wiktoria Jakubik

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southeast Mo. St. def. Tennessee St. 3–0

.667 and 10 kills for Alaina Lester as Southeast Mo. St. rolled past Tennessee St.