Southeast Mo. State def. Tennessee State 3-0 (Oct 30)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Southeast Mo. St. 100.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southeast Mo. St. beat visiting Tennessee St. 3-0 (25-22, 25-14, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Southeast Mo. St.'s Reagan Nelson led with 18 kills, and Nina Schuberth added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:00 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TENNST	22	14	16	0
SEMO	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Reagan Nelson hit .433 with 18 kills as Southeast Mo. St. rolled past Tennessee St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.0 points, and Tennessee St.'s high was <1% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Southeast Mo. St. >99% before first serve.

Tennessee St.Southeast Mo. St.

Break %+22.8 pts
24.547.3
Points won on own serve: 35 of 74 vs 13 of 53. Tennessee St. sided out 52.7% of the time.
Hitting+.109
.202.311
Kills and errors: 45–13 vs 34–15.
Longest run+3
36
6 straight Southeast Mo. St. points in the third set broke an 8–8 tie and made it 14–8. The set finished 25–16.

Southeast Mo. St. above 50Tennessee St. belowMax swing 0.0%

Tennessee St.Southeast Mo. St.

Aces: Tennessee St. 0·Southeast Mo. St. 5
Serve err: Tennessee St. 7·Southeast Mo. St. 4
Blocks: Tennessee St. 6·Southeast Mo. St. 41 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Tennessee St. 35·Southeast Mo. St. 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southeast Mo. St. above 50 · Tennessee St. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Southeast Mo. St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENNST 0.0%100.0% SEMO

Tennessee St. wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.0%

3-2

0.0%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

94.8%

3-1

5.0%

3-2

0.2%

TENNST break %: 27.7% vs this opp
SEMO break %: 55.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tennessee St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Wiktoria JakubikOH	3	10	5	24	.208	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
7Gabrielle WashingtonMB	3	4	0	8	.500	1	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
16Sydney RobinsonMB	3	5	4	16	.063	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	5
8Melae LacyOH	3	4	2	16	.125	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	4
13Gabriella BlevinsMB	3	3	2	10	.100	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	4
15Triniti JacksonS	3	1	0	2	.500	15	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
1Carsyn StansberryOH	3	7	2	16	.313	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
10Italya CarterS	3	0	0	2	.000	12	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Jordan ImperialL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	11	2	0	0	0	0
2Julia CulpepperOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Sydni PostonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	15	94	.202	32	7	35	5	1	10	6	52

Southeast Mo. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Reagan NelsonOH	3	18	5	30	.433	0	2	1	5	1	0	1	21
24Alaina LesterMB	3	9	1	15	.533	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
2Lucy ArndtOH	3	8	4	29	.138	1	1	0	6	0	0	0	9
4Marin JohnsonOH	3	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	5
11Megan HolderS	3	0	0	0	–	23	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
22Katherine St. JohnOH	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	2	1	2	2	4
6Ellie BurnsS	3	0	0	2	.000	13	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	15	0	0	0	1
19Jacey YoungMB	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
5Alayna ChristnerOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Katarina MiscevicMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Sydney MillerMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	13	103	.311	41	5	4	43	2	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tennessee St. vs Southeast Mo. St.

Season series · Southeast Mo. St. leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Tennessee St. at Southeast Mo. St. · Southeast Mo. St. won 3-0Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Tennessee St. at Southeast Mo. St. · Southeast Mo. St. won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 TENNST · SEMO 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 TENNSTSEMO 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 TENNSTSEMO 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 TENNSTSEMO 6

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = Tennessee St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	14%1/7
2	54%7/13	33%4/12
3	54%7/13	13%1/8
4	67%6/9	30%3/10
5	43%6/14	40%4/10
6	45%5/11	0%0/6
All	53%39/74	25%13/53

Southeast Mo. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	50%7/14
2	89%8/9	53%9/17
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	60%6/10	25%2/8
5	100%6/6	60%9/15
6	100%5/5	38%3/8
All	75%40/53	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#	TENNST-SEMO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	SEMO	TENNST×3	Attack err	Katherine St. John
2	2-0	TENNST	TENNST×3	Blocked	Alaina Lester	blk Gabrielle Washington
3	3-0	TENNST	TENNST×3	Blocked	Katherine St. John	blk Wiktoria Jakubik, Gabrielle Washington
4	3-1	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
5	3-2	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
6	4-2	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Jordan Imperial
7	4-3	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
8	5-3	SEMO	TENNST×3	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
9	6-3	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
10	7-3	TENNST	TENNST×3	Kill	Gabriella Blevins
11	7-4	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
12	7-5	SEMO	SEMO	Ace	Ellie Burns
13	8-5	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
14	9-5	TENNST	TENNST	Blocked	Marin Johnson	blk Carsyn Stansberry, Gabriella Blevins
15	9-6	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Ellie Burns
16	9-7	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Ellie Burns
17	10-7	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
18	10-8	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
19	10-9	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Lucy Arndt
20	11-9	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Italya Carter
21	11-10	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Triniti Jackson
22	12-10	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Triniti Jackson
23	12-11	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
24	13-11	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
25	13-12	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
26	14-12	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
27	14-13	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Italya Carter
28	15-13	SEMO	TENNST×3	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Italya Carter
29	16-13	TENNST	TENNST×3	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
30	17-13	TENNST	TENNST×3	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
31	17-14	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
32	17-15	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
33	18-15	SEMO	TENNST	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
34	18-16	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
35	18-17	SEMO	SEMO	Bad set	Italya Carter
36	19-17	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Italya Carter
37	19-18	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
38	19-19	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Wiktoria Jakubik	blk Katherine St. John
39	20-19	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Triniti Jackson	set Sydney Robinson
40	20-20	TENNST	SEMO×4	Blocked	Sydney Robinson	blk Katherine St. John, Alaina Lester
41	20-21	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
42	20-22	SEMO	SEMO×4	Blocked	Sydney Robinson	blk Katherine St. John, Alaina Lester
43	20-23	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	Reagan Nelson	aced Jordan Imperial
44	21-23	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
45	21-24	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
46	22-24	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Nina Schuberth
47	22-25	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
Set 2
1	0-1	TENNST	SEMO×4	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
2	0-2	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	Reagan Nelson	aced Sydney Robinson
3	0-3	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
4	0-4	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Alaina Lester
5	1-4	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Gabrielle Washington
6	1-5	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
7	2-5	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
8	2-6	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
9	3-6	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
10	3-7	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Italya Carter
11	4-7	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Jordan Imperial
12	4-8	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry
13	4-9	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
14	5-9	SEMO	TENNST	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Gabriella Blevins, Carsyn Stansberry
15	5-10	TENNST	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth
16	5-11	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
17	5-12	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson
18	6-12	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Melae Lacy	set Italya Carter
19	7-12	TENNST	TENNST	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Wiktoria Jakubik, Gabrielle Washington
20	7-13	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Wiktoria Jakubik
21	8-13	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
22	8-14	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
23	9-14	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Nina Schuberth
24	9-15	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Gabriella Blevins
25	9-16	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Wiktoria Jakubik
26	10-16	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
27	10-17	TENNST	SEMO×3	Serve err	Italya Carter
28	10-18	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Sydney Robinson
29	10-19	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth
30	11-19	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabriella Blevins	set Italya Carter
31	11-20	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
32	12-20	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabriella Blevins	set Italya Carter
33	12-21	TENNST	SEMO×3	Serve err	Gabriella Blevins
34	12-22	SEMO	SEMO×3	Bad set	Italya Carter
35	12-23	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Katherine St. John	set Nina Schuberth
36	13-23	SEMO	TENNST	Attack err	Reagan Nelson
37	13-24	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth
38	14-24	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
39	14-25	TENNST	SEMO	Serve err	Melae Lacy
Set 3
1	0-1	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder
2	0-2	SEMO	SEMO	Blocked	Melae Lacy	blk Reagan Nelson
3	1-2	SEMO	TENNST×3	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Triniti Jackson
4	2-2	TENNST	TENNST×3	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
5	3-2	TENNST	TENNST×3	Blocked	Reagan Nelson	blk Wiktoria Jakubik, Gabrielle Washington
6	3-3	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
7	4-3	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Sydney Robinson	set Triniti Jackson
8	5-3	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
9	5-4	TENNST	SEMO×4	Attack err	Wiktoria Jakubik
10	5-5	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
11	5-6	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	Nina Schuberth
12	5-7	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder
13	6-7	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Wiktoria Jakubik	set Triniti Jackson
14	6-8	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder
15	7-8	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Gabriella Blevins
16	8-8	TENNST	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
17	8-9	TENNST	SEMO×6	Serve err	Sydney Robinson
18	8-10	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Gabriella Blevins
19	8-11	SEMO	SEMO×6	Ace	Lucy Arndt	aced Jordan Imperial
20	8-12	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Katarina Miscevic	set Ellie Burns
21	8-13	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Melae Lacy
22	8-14	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
23	9-14	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
24	9-15	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns
25	10-15	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Ellie Burns
26	10-16	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns
27	11-16	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Washington	set Triniti Jackson
28	11-17	TENNST	SEMO×3	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
29	11-18	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Wiktoria Jakubik
30	11-19	SEMO	SEMO×3	Bad set	Triniti Jackson
31	12-19	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Reagan Nelson
32	12-20	TENNST	SEMO×3	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder
33	12-21	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Alaina Lester
34	12-22	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder
35	13-22	SEMO	TENNST	Bad set	Alaina Lester
36	14-22	TENNST	TENNST	Attack err	Lucy Arndt
37	14-23	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder
38	15-23	SEMO	TENNST	Serve err	Ellie Burns
39	15-24	TENNST	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns
40	16-24	SEMO	TENNST	Kill	Carsyn Stansberry	set Italya Carter
41	16-25	TENNST	SEMO	Attack err	Carsyn Stansberry

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southeast Mo. St. def. Tennessee St. 3–0

Reagan Nelson hit .433 with 18 kills as Southeast Mo. St. rolled past Tennessee St.