FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Southern Ind. def. Western Ill. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern Ind. 96.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern Ind. beat visiting Western Ill. 3-0 (25-23, 25-23, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Southern Ind.'s Leah Coleman led with 9 kills.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
W ILL2323160
S IND2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Southern Ind. won 39 of 74 points on its own serve.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.2 points, and Western Ill.'s high was 8% in Set 2. The numbers below are where it was won. Southern Ind. went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

Western Ill.Southern Ind.
  • Break %+9.8 pts
    42.952.7

    39 of 74 on serve vs 27 of 63, so Western Ill.'s sideout was 47.3%.

  • Longest run+0
    66

    6 straight Southern Ind. points in the third set stretched a 7–5 lead to 13–5. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Southern Ind. above 50Western Ill. belowMax swing 2.2%

Western Ill.Southern Ind.

Hitting
Western Ill. .147·Southern Ind. .210
Aces
Western Ill. 4·Southern Ind. 9
Serve err
Western Ill. 9·Southern Ind. 7
Blocks
Western Ill. 4·Southern Ind. 30 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Western Ill. 45·Southern Ind. 55

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Ind. above 50 · Western Ill. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% W ILLrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Western Ill. — set 1, W ILL 23-23 S IND. Attack error by Carley Wright. S IND win probability 96% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W ILL 4.9%95.1% S IND

Western Ill. wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.0%

Southern Ind. wins

3-0
55.8%
3-1
29.6%
3-2
9.8%
W ILL break %
37.9% vs this opp
S IND break %
50.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Carley WrightAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Carley Wright

    Set 1 · W ILL 23-23 S IND · W ILL 4% → 6%

  2. 02
    Carley WrightKill+2.2%

    Kill by Carley Wright (set by Aysa Thomas)

    Set 1 · W ILL 23-24 S IND · S IND 94% → 96%

  3. 03
    Southern Ind.Ace+2.1%

    Southern Ind. ace on Kennedy Adair

    Set 1 · W ILL 23-25 S IND · S IND 96% → 98%

  4. 04

    Kill by Vita Sensenbrenner (set by Aysa Thomas)

    Set 2 · W ILL 23-24 S IND · S IND 96% → 98%

  5. 05
    Ashlee MarkertAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Ashlee Markert

    Set 2 · W ILL 23-23 S IND · S IND 95% → 96%

  6. 06
    Aysa ThomasBad set+1.4%

    Bad set by Aysa Thomas

    Set 2 · W ILL 23-21 S IND · W ILL 5% → 6%

  7. 07
    Leah ColemanKill+1.3%

    Kill by Leah Coleman (set by Carley Wright)

    Set 2 · W ILL 23-25 S IND · S IND 98% → 99%

  8. 08
    Kennedy AdairAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Kennedy Adair

    Set 2 · W ILL 22-21 S IND · S IND 94% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39531.12900195010.59.5
35114.286131000219
37419.1580021020218
35323.08700000010.55.5
3207.286000000213
3000–1310500001
35210.300000200005
3013-.3331501100000
3011-1.0001021410000
3001.000001400000
3000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals3317109.147304945908462
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38230.2001218000010
39122.364000520009
3314.50001200031.55.5
35411.091000100005
34513-.07700030010.54.5
3000–1223900002
37416.188200400218
3203.6671510500003
3001.0002201010002
3000–0111010001
1000–000000000
Team totals3817100.210329755406375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Ill. vs Southern Ind.

Season series · Southern Ind. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 W ILL · S IND 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 W ILLS IND 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 6 W ILLS IND 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 W ILLS IND 6

Bars above the line = Southern Ind. leads, below = Western Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
40%4/10
2
43%6/14
30%3/10
3
67%6/9
54%7/13
4
32%6/19
40%4/10
5
33%5/15
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
50%5/10
All
47%35/74
43%27/63

Southern Ind.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
40%4/10
2
67%6/9
40%4/10
3
40%6/15
50%6/12
4
55%6/11
57%8/14
5
86%6/7
68%13/19
6
38%5/13
44%4/9
All
57%36/63
53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#W ILL-S INDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S INDS INDKillJillian Moonanset Audrey Pender+0.5
21-1S INDW ILLServe errSouthern Ind.+0.4
31-2W ILLS INDServe errWestern Ill.+0.4
41-3S INDS INDAttack errGeorgia Haynes+0.4
52-3S INDW ILLKillAudrey Penderset Jaleah Bauss+0.4
62-4W ILLS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aspen Jankowski+0.3
72-5S INDS INDBlockedKennedy Adairblk Mackenzie Nettles, Jillian Moonan+0.4
83-5S INDW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.3
94-5W ILLW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.5
104-6W ILLS IND×5KillMackenzie Nettlesset Aspen Jankowski+0.3
114-7S INDS IND×5Attack errEmilia Kouri+0.4
124-8S INDS IND×5KillAshby Willisset Carley Wright+0.3
134-9S INDS IND×5Bad setMadelyn Norton+0.2
144-10S INDS IND×5Attack errHillary Estes+0.2
155-10S INDW ILL×5KillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.1
166-10W ILLW ILL×5AceHillary Estesaced Kerigan Fehr+0.2
177-10W ILLW ILL×5KillKennedy Adairset Hillary Estes+0.3
188-10W ILLW ILL×5KillEmilia Kouriset Aysa Thomas+0.4
199-10W ILLW ILL×5KillHillary Estesset Madelyn Norton+0.6
209-11W ILLS IND×3KillAysa Thomas+0.4
219-12S INDS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.5
229-13S INDS IND×3BlockedAshlee Markertblk Carley Wright, Mackenzie Nettles+0.4
2310-13S INDW ILLKillHillary Estesset Madelyn Norton+0.3
2411-13W ILLW ILLAceHillary Estesaced Audrey Small+0.5
2511-14W ILLS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
2612-14S INDW ILLKillEmilia Kouriset Madelyn Norton+0.4
2712-15W ILLS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
2813-15S INDW ILLServe errSouthern Ind.+0.4
2913-16W ILLS INDAttack errGrace Ulatowski+0.4
3014-16S INDW ILLServe errSouthern Ind.+0.4
3114-17W ILLS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aspen Jankowski+0.5
3215-17S INDW ILL×3KillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.5
3316-17W ILLW ILL×3KillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.8
3417-17W ILLW ILL×3KillHillary Estesset Madelyn Norton+1.1
3517-18W ILLS IND×3KillMackenzie Nettlesset Aspen Jankowski+0.9
3617-19S INDS IND×3AceSouthern Ind.aced Kennedy Adair+1.0
3717-20S INDS IND×3Attack errMadelyn Norton+0.7
3818-20S INDW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.5
3918-21W ILLS INDKillAysa Thomas+0.6
4019-21S INDW ILLKillEmilia Kouriset Madelyn Norton+0.5
4119-22W ILLS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.6
4219-23S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.+0.5
4320-23S INDW ILL×4KillEmilia Kouriset Madelyn Norton+0.2
4421-23W ILLW ILL×4Attack errLeah Coleman+0.5
4522-23W ILLW ILL×4KillAshlee Markertset Grace Ulatowski+1.1
4623-23W ILLW ILL×4Attack errCarley Wright+2.2
4723-24W ILLS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+2.2
4823-25S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.aced Kennedy Adair+2.1
Set 2
10-1W ILLS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aspen Jankowski+0.2
21-1S INDW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.3
31-2W ILLS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aspen Jankowski+0.2
41-3S INDS IND×3AceSouthern Ind.aced Ashlee Markert+0.3
51-4S INDS IND×3Attack errKennedy Adair+0.2
62-4S INDW ILL×6Attack errJillian Moonan+0.2
73-4W ILLW ILL×6BlockedJillian Moonanblk Hillary Estes, Kennedy Adair+0.3
84-4W ILLW ILL×6BlockedMackenzie Nettlesblk Georgia Haynes, Hillary Estes+0.4
95-4W ILLW ILL×6KillHillary Estes+0.4
106-4W ILLW ILL×6Attack errAshby Willis+0.5
117-4W ILLW ILL×6KillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
127-5W ILLS INDServe errWestern Ill.+0.4
137-6S INDS INDBad setJaleah Bauss+0.5
148-6S INDW ILLAttack errCarley Wright+0.5
159-6W ILLW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.6
169-7W ILLS IND×3BlockedKennedy Adairblk Mackenzie Nettles, Carley Wright+0.4
179-8S INDS IND×3KillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.5
189-9S INDS IND×3KillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.5
1910-9S INDW ILLKillEmilia Kouriset Madelyn Norton+0.4
2010-10W ILLS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+0.4
2111-10S INDW ILL×5Serve errSouthern Ind.+0.5
2212-10W ILLW ILL×5Attack errVita Sensenbrenner+0.7
2313-10W ILLW ILL×5BlockedCarley Wrightblk Ashlee Markert, Audrey Pender+0.8
2414-10W ILLW ILL×5AceHillary Estesaced Leah Coleman+0.8
2515-10W ILLW ILL×5BlockedCarley Wrightblk Ashlee Markert, Audrey Pender+0.8
2615-11W ILLS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.5
2716-11S INDW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.7
2816-12W ILLS INDAttack errGeorgia Haynes+0.5
2917-12S INDW ILL×3KillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.7
3018-12W ILLW ILL×3Attack errAshby Willis+0.8
3119-12W ILLW ILL×3Attack errVita Sensenbrenner+0.6
3219-13W ILLS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aspen Jankowski+0.3
3319-14S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aspen Jankowski+0.5
3419-15S INDS IND×3AceSouthern Ind.aced Grace Ulatowski+0.6
3520-15S INDW ILLAttack errJillian Moonan+0.7
3621-15W ILLW ILLAttack errJillian Moonan+0.7
3721-16W ILLS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aspen Jankowski+0.3
3822-16S INDW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.5
3922-17W ILLS IND×5Serve errWestern Ill.+0.2
4022-18S INDS IND×5KillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
4122-19S INDS IND×5Attack errKennedy Adair+0.6
4222-20S INDS IND×5AceSouthern Ind.aced Kennedy Adair+0.9
4322-21S INDS IND×5Attack errKennedy Adair+1.2
4423-21S INDW ILLBad setAysa Thomas+1.4
4523-22W ILLS IND×4KillLeah Colemanset Hillary Estes+0.9
4623-23S INDS IND×4Attack errAshlee Markert+1.7
4723-24S INDS IND×4KillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+1.8
4823-25S INDS IND×4KillLeah Colemanset Carley Wright+1.3
Set 3
10-1S INDS INDAceAspen Jankowskiaced Kennedy Adair+0.1
20-2S INDS INDKillLeah Colemanset Ashby Willis+0.1
31-2S INDW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.1
41-3W ILLS INDServe errAshlee Markert+0.1
51-4S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aspen Jankowski+0.1
62-4S INDW ILLKillAudrey Penderset Jaleah Bauss+0.1
73-4W ILLW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Aspen Jankowski+0.1
83-5W ILLS INDServe errGrace Ulatowski+0.1
93-6S INDS INDAttack errGeorgia Haynes+0.1
104-6S INDW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.1
114-7W ILLS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aspen Jankowski+0.1
125-7S INDW ILLKillHillary Estesset Madelyn Norton+0.1
135-8W ILLS IND×6Serve errKennedy Adair+0.1
145-9S INDS IND×6Attack errEmilia Kouri+0.1
155-10S INDS IND×6KillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.1
165-11S INDS IND×6AceAshby Willisaced Kennedy Adair·
175-12S INDS IND×6KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas·
185-13S INDS IND×6Attack errAshlee Markert·
196-13S INDW ILLServe errAshby Willis·
206-14W ILLS INDServe errHillary Estes·
217-14S INDW ILLServe errSouthern Ind.·
227-15W ILLS INDKillCarley Wrightset Audrey Small·
238-15S INDW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss·
248-16W ILLS IND×3KillJillian Moonan·
258-17S INDS IND×3AceKerigan Fehraced Ashlee Markert·
268-18S INDS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aspen Jankowski·
279-18S INDW ILLAttack errJillian Moonan·
289-19W ILLS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aspen Jankowski·
2910-19S INDW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss·
3010-20W ILLS INDAttack errAshlee Markert·
3110-21S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Audrey Small·
3211-21S INDW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton·
3311-22W ILLS INDServe errMelaina Hawblitzel·
3412-22S INDW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Madelyn Norton·
3512-23W ILLS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas·
3613-23S INDW ILLServe errSouthern Ind.·
3714-23W ILLW ILLAceJaleah Baussaced Leah Coleman·
3814-24W ILLS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas·
3915-24S INDW ILLServe errSouthern Ind.·
4016-24W ILLW ILLAttack errVita Sensenbrenner·
4116-25W ILLS INDServe errJacqueline Adair·

Score shown after each rally, Western Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).