Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UT Martin def. Southern Ind. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern Ind. 92.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UT Martin won at Southern Ind. 3-2 (21-25, 20-25, 25-22, 25-21, 15-13) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Rylee Key led UT Martin with 15 kills; Southern Ind.'s Ashby Willis had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set12345Sets
UT MAR21202525153
S IND25252221132

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Dylan Sulcer set 51 assists as UT Martin outlasted Southern Ind.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are UT Martin's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Southern Ind. at 92% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · UT Martin 1–3 Southern Ind.

    Down 1–3, UT Martin scored 5 straight to lead 6–3. The match swung to UT Martin.

    UT Martin 16% → 58%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · UT Martin 9–7 Southern Ind.

    3 straight Southern Ind. kills turned a 7–9 deficit into a 10–9 lead. The match swung to Southern Ind.

    UT Martin 56% → 24%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · UT Martin 13–11 Southern Ind.

    2 of the last 4 rallies went to UT Martin, enough to take the set 15–13 and win the match 3–2.

    UT Martin 73% → >99%

Southern Ind. above 50UT Martin belowMax swing 29.1%

UT MartinSouthern Ind.

Sideout %
UT Martin 59.8·Southern Ind. 60.0
Break %
UT Martin 40.0·Southern Ind. 40.2
Hitting
UT Martin .210·Southern Ind. .216
Longest run
UT Martin 5·Southern Ind. 5

Maddy Gladson
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .360, 10 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Ind. above 50 · UT Martin below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+29.1% UT MARrally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 29.1% to UT Martin — set 5, UT MAR 15-13 S IND. Kill by Maddy Gladson (set by Dylan Sulcer). S IND win probability 29% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UT MAR 10.8%89.2% S IND

UT Martin wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%

Southern Ind. wins

3-0
43.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%
UT MAR break %
39.0% vs this opp
S IND break %
48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddy GladsonKill+29.1%

    Kill by Maddy Gladson (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 5 · UT MAR 15-13 S IND · UT MAR 71% → 100%

  2. 02

    Ace by Lauren Mariscal on Carley Wright

    Set 5 · UT MAR 13-11 S IND · UT MAR 52% → 73%

  3. 03
    Dylan SulcerKill+18.1%

    Kill by Dylan Sulcer (set by Abby Freund)

    Set 5 · UT MAR 12-11 S IND · UT MAR 34% → 52%

  4. 04
    Carly MuellerKill+18.0%

    Kill by Carly Mueller (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 5 · UT MAR 14-11 S IND · UT MAR 73% → 91%

  5. 05
    Dylan SulcerAttack error+14.7%

    Attack error by Dylan Sulcer

    Set 5 · UT MAR 14-13 S IND · S IND 14% → 29%

  6. 06

    Carley Wright stuffed by Carly Mueller & Riley Rushing

    Set 5 · UT MAR 9-7 S IND · UT MAR 42% → 56%

  7. 07
    Aubrey FairKill+11.9%

    Kill by Aubrey Fair (set by Ashby Willis)

    Set 5 · UT MAR 9-9 S IND · S IND 53% → 65%

  8. 08

    Kill by Mackenzie Nettles (set by Aysa Thomas)

    Set 5 · UT MAR 9-10 S IND · S IND 65% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515227.4810023014318
511535.1710001004213
57330.13300117014310
55521.0005122110031.58.5
5003.0004012500000
25417.059000211016
58322.22700040010.58.5
5000–2331120003
5000–022810002
310125.3600003000010
2001.000000100000
Team totals6123181.2105771186531611106
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519559.2373029110120
57213.385000011229
53010.3005320200111.56.5
55516.00000030010.55.5
5003.0002111020001
49117.4710000002110
515647.1910001010116
54110.3001221611017
5002.0003022510000
5000–004000000
14513-.077000000004
Team totals6625190.21662511847568106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UT Martin vs Southern Ind.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UT MAR · S IND 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 UT MARS IND 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 UT MARS IND 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 UT MARS IND 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 3 UT MARS IND 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 5 UT MARS IND 3

Bars above the line = Southern Ind. leads, below = UT Martin leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UT Martin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
50%8/16
2
56%9/16
50%10/20
3
73%8/11
47%8/17
4
70%7/10
13%1/8
5
58%7/12
30%3/10
6
47%7/15
22%2/9
All
58%49/85
40%32/80

Southern Ind.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
41%7/17
2
48%10/21
50%10/20
3
100%7/7
33%4/12
4
70%7/10
30%3/10
5
70%7/10
46%6/13
6
58%7/12
46%6/13
All
60%48/80
42%36/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

212 rallies

#UT MAR-S INDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UT MARUT MARAttack errJillian Moonan+1.0
21-1UT MARS INDAttack errDylan Sulcer+0.7
31-2S INDS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.8
42-2S INDUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.7
52-3UT MARS IND×3Attack errSophie Diouf+0.6
62-4S INDS IND×3KillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+0.7
72-5S INDS IND×3Attack errLuli Arcucci+0.6
83-5S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
93-6UT MARS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+0.5
104-6S INDUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
115-6UT MARUT MARBlockedAubrey Fairblk Luli Arcucci+0.8
125-7UT MARS INDServe errPenny Kirkham+0.6
135-8S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.7
146-8S INDUT MARAttack errAshby Willis+0.6
157-8UT MARUT MARKillCarly Mueller+0.9
167-9UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Audrey Small+0.7
178-9S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.7
188-10UT MARS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.7
198-11S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.aced Penny Kirkham+0.8
209-11S INDUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
2110-11UT MARUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+1.0
2210-12UT MARS IND×3KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.8
2310-13S INDS IND×3KillAysa Thomasset Ashby Willis+0.9
2410-14S INDS IND×3Attack errSophie Diouf+0.7
2511-14S INDUT MARAttack errAubrey Fair+0.5
2612-14UT MARUT MARAttack errAubrey Fair+0.9
2712-15UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.7
2813-15S INDUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.7
2913-16UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.8
3013-17S INDS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+0.8
3114-17S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Lauren Mariscal+0.5
3214-18UT MARS INDServe errLauren Mariscal+0.6
3315-18S INDUT MARServe errAudrey Small+0.5
3415-19UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Audrey Small+0.6
3516-19S INDUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
3616-20UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.6
3716-21S INDS INDAttack errLuli Arcucci+0.5
3817-21S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
3918-21UT MARUT MARAttack errVita Sensenbrenner+0.6
4018-22UT MARS IND×3KillJillian Moonanset Ashby Willis+0.6
4118-23S INDS IND×3KillVita Sensenbrenner+0.4
4218-24S INDS IND×3Attack errCarly Mueller+0.2
4319-24S INDUT MAR×3KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer·
4420-24UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errVita Sensenbrenner+0.1
4521-24UT MARUT MAR×3KillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
4621-25UT MARS INDBlockedDylan Sulcerblk Aubrey Fair+0.4
Set 2
11-0S INDUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
21-1UT MARS IND×4KillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.5
31-2S INDS IND×4Attack errRylee Key+0.5
41-3S INDS IND×4AceSouthern Ind.aced Sophie Diouf+0.5
51-4S INDS IND×4KillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
62-4S INDUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
72-5UT MARS INDKillVita Sensenbrennerset Aysa Thomas+0.3
83-5S INDUT MARServe errAshby Willis+0.3
93-6UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.3
103-7S INDS INDBlockedRiley Rushingblk Mackenzie Nettles, Jillian Moonan+0.4
114-7S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
124-8UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.3
135-8S INDUT MARAttack errAubrey Fair+0.3
146-8UT MARUT MARAttack errMackenzie Nettles+0.5
156-9UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.4
166-10S INDS INDKillAysa Thomasset Kerigan Fehr+0.4
177-10S INDUT MARAttack errMackenzie Nettles+0.3
187-11UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
198-11S INDUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
209-11UT MARUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
219-12UT MARS INDAttack errSophie Diouf+0.4
229-13S INDS INDBlockedSophie Dioufblk Vita Sensenbrenner, Jillian Moonan+0.4
2310-13S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
2410-14UT MARS INDServe errDylan Sulcer+0.3
2511-14S INDUT MARServe errAshby Willis+0.3
2611-15UT MARS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
2712-15S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
2812-16UT MARS INDServe errRylee Key+0.4
2912-17S INDS INDAttack errRiley Rushing+0.3
3013-17S INDUT MARServe errCarley Wright+0.2
3113-18UT MARS IND×5KillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+0.3
3213-19S INDS IND×5BlockedRiley Rushingblk Aysa Thomas+0.2
3313-20S INDS IND×5BlockedCarly Muellerblk Ashby Willis+0.1
3413-21S INDS IND×5BlockedCarly Muellerblk Mackenzie Nettles+0.1
3513-22S INDS IND×5KillMackenzie Nettlesset Kerigan Fehr·
3614-22S INDUT MARServe errKerigan Fehr·
3715-22UT MARUT MARKillDylan Sulcerset Lauren Mariscal·
3815-23UT MARS INDKillAysa Thomasset Carley Wright·
3916-23S INDUT MAR×4Serve errAspen Jankowski·
4017-23UT MARUT MAR×4KillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer·
4118-23UT MARUT MAR×4AceLauren Mariscalaced Kerigan Fehr+0.1
4219-23UT MARUT MAR×4BlockedVita Sensenbrennerblk Sophie Diouf+0.1
4319-24UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.2
4420-24S INDUT MARKillSophie Dioufset Dylan Sulcer·
4520-25UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.1
Set 3
10-1UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Lauren Mariscal+0.2
20-2S IND
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
31-2S INDUT MAR×4KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
42-2UT MARUT MAR×4Attack errAubrey Fair+0.3
53-2UT MARUT MAR×4KillDylan Sulcerset Abby Freund+0.3
64-2UT MARUT MAR×4Attack errAubrey Fair+0.4
74-3UT MARS INDServe errAbby Freund+0.3
84-4S INDS INDKillMackenzie Nettles+0.3
95-4S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.3
105-5UT MARS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.2
115-6S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.aced Lauren Mariscal+0.3
126-6S INDUT MAR×4Serve errCarley Wright+0.3
137-6UT MARUT MAR×4AcePenny Kirkham+0.4
148-6UT MARUT MAR×4AcePenny Kirkhamaced Mackenzie Nettles+0.4
159-6UT MARUT MAR×4Attack errLeah Coleman+0.5
169-7UT MARS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.3
1710-7S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.4
1810-8UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.3
1911-8S INDUT MARServe errAspen Jankowski+0.4
2011-9UT MARS INDServe errLuli Arcucci+0.3
2112-9S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.4
2213-9UT MARUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
2313-10UT MARS INDServe errLauren Mariscal+0.3
2413-11S INDS INDKillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.5
2514-11S INDUT MARAttack errLeah Coleman+0.5
2615-11UT MARUT MARAttack errVita Sensenbrenner+0.6
2715-12UT MARS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
2816-12S INDUT MARKillDylan Sulcer+0.5
2916-13UT MARS IND×3KillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
3016-14S INDS IND×3KillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3116-15S INDS IND×3KillLeah Colemanset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3217-15S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
3317-16UT MARS INDServe errPenny Kirkham+0.4
3418-16S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
3518-17UT MARS INDKillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3619-17S INDUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.6
3719-18UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.5
3820-18S INDUT MARKillDylan Sulcer+0.7
3921-18UT MARUT MARBlockedAshby Willisblk Dylan Sulcer, Carly Mueller+0.9
4021-19UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.5
4122-19S INDUT MARBlockedLeah Colemanblk Dylan Sulcer, Carly Mueller+0.7
4222-20UT MARS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.5
4323-20S INDUT MARAttack errLeah Coleman+0.8
4423-21UT MARS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+0.4
4523-22S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.aced Lauren Mariscal+0.9
4624-22S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.2
4725-22UT MARUT MARBlockedLeah Colemanblk Rylee Key, Luli Arcucci+1.0
Set 4
11-0S INDUT MARServe errAspen Jankowski+1.1
22-0UT MARUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+1.6
32-1UT MARS INDKillCarley Wrightset Dylan Sulcer+1.1
43-1S INDUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.3
54-1UT MARUT MAR×3AceDylan Sulceraced Ashby Willis+1.8
65-1UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedVita Sensenbrennerblk Rylee Key+1.9
75-2UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.3
86-2S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Abby Freund+1.6
96-3UT MARS INDKillJillian Moonanset Aysa Thomas+1.3
107-3S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+1.7
118-3UT MARUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+2.1
128-4UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.3
138-5S INDS INDBlockedCarly Muellerblk Aysa Thomas, Mackenzie Nettles+1.8
149-5S INDUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+1.8
1510-5UT MARUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+2.2
1610-6UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.4
1711-6S INDUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+1.8
1812-6UT MARUT MARAceLauren Mariscalaced Kerigan Fehr+2.2
1912-7UT MARS IND×3Serve errLauren Mariscal+1.3
2012-8S INDS IND×3Attack errDylan Sulcer+1.8
2112-9S INDS IND×3Attack errMaddy Gladson+2.0
2213-9S INDUT MARBad setKerigan Fehr+2.0
2314-9UT MARUT MARKillRylee Keyset Audrey Small+2.5
2414-10UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.4
2515-10S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+2.0
2616-10UT MARUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Abby Freund+2.3
2716-11UT MARS INDServe errDylan Sulcer+1.2
2817-11S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+1.8
2917-12UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Audrey Small+1.2
3018-12S INDUT MARServe errAudrey Small+1.8
3118-13UT MARS INDServe errRylee Key+1.1
3218-14S INDS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.8
3319-14S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+2.2
3419-15UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+1.3
3519-16S INDS INDAceSouthern Ind.+2.2
3620-16S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+2.6
3720-17UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.7
3821-17S INDUT MARAttack errAysa Thomas+2.7
3922-17UT MARUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+2.5
4022-18UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.0
4122-19S INDS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+1.9
4223-19S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+2.7
4324-19UT MARUT MARBlockedAshby Willisblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+1.9
4424-20UT MARS INDKillAshby Willisset Aysa Thomas+0.4
4524-21S INDS INDBlockedRylee Keyblk Carley Wright+1.0
4625-21S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+2.6
Set 5
10-1S INDS INDBad setMaddy Gladson+6.3
20-2S INDS INDAttack errCarly Mueller+5.5
31-2S INDUT MARServe errAspen Jankowski+4.5
41-3UT MARS INDAttack errDylan Sulcer+4.4
52-3S INDUT MAR×5KillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+4.7
63-3UT MARUT MAR×5BlockedAshby Willisblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+7.4
74-3UT MARUT MAR×5AceDylan Sulceraced Audrey Small+8.9
85-3UT MARUT MAR×5KillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+10.2
96-3UT MARUT MAR×5BlockedAshby Willisblk Luli Arcucci, Rylee Key+10.9
106-4UT MARS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+6.8
116-5S INDS INDAttack errLuli Arcucci+9.5
127-5S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+9.3
137-6UT MARS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+7.6
147-7S INDS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+10.1
158-7S INDUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+9.4
169-7UT MARUT MARBlockedCarley Wrightblk Carly Mueller, Riley Rushing+13.3
179-8UT MARS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+8.6
189-9S INDS IND×3KillAubrey Fairset Ashby Willis+11.9
199-10S INDS IND×3KillMackenzie Nettlesset Aysa Thomas+11.5
2010-10S INDUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+9.7
2110-11UT MARS INDKillAubrey Fairset Aysa Thomas+9.9
2211-11S INDUT MAR×4KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+10.8
2312-11UT MARUT MAR×4KillDylan Sulcerset Abby Freund+18.1
2413-11UT MARUT MAR×4AceLauren Mariscalaced Carley Wright+20.7
2514-11UT MARUT MAR×4KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+18.0
2614-12UT MARS INDKillCarley Wrightset Aysa Thomas+5.6
2714-13S INDS INDAttack errDylan Sulcer+14.7
2815-13S INDUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+29.1

Score shown after each rally, UT Martin first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).