FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Sam Houston def. New Mexico St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Sam Houston 53.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Sam Houston beat visiting New Mexico St. 3-0 (25-19, 25-16, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Sam Houston's Bella Wood led with 10 kills, and Chloe Monson added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
NM ST1916250
SAMHOU2525273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sam Houston broke it open with an 8–0 run in the second set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 6.0 points, and New Mexico St.'s high was 51% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Sam Houston at 54%.

New Mexico St.Sam Houston
  • Break %+15.9 pts
    26.242.1

    Points won on own serve: 32 of 76 vs 16 of 61. New Mexico St. sided out 57.9% of the time.

  • Hitting+.086
    .041.127

    36 K / 21 E against 28 K / 23 E.

  • Longest run+5
    38

    Sam Houston scored 8 straight in the second set to stretch a 9–8 lead to 17–8. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Sam Houston above 50New Mexico St. belowMax swing 6.0%

New Mexico St.Sam Houston

Aces
New Mexico St. 2·Sam Houston 1
Serve err
New Mexico St. 17·Sam Houston 9
Blocks
New Mexico St. 4·Sam Houston 40 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 8 BA
Digs
New Mexico St. 52·Sam Houston 56

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Sam Houston above 50 · New Mexico St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.0% NM STrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.0% to New Mexico St. — set 3, NM ST 24-24 SAMHOU. Attack error by Bella Wood. SAMHOU win probability 96% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NM ST 43.5%56.5% SAMHOU

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
10.0%
3-1
16.0%
3-2
17.5%

Sam Houston wins

3-0
15.4%
3-1
21.5%
3-2
19.6%
NM ST break %
42.2% vs this opp
SAMHOU break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bella WoodAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Bella Wood

    Set 3 · NM ST 24-24 SAMHOU · NM ST 4% → 10%

  2. 02

    Maggie Lightheart stuffed by Bella Wood & Chelsea Butler

    Set 3 · NM ST 25-27 SAMHOU · SAMHOU 94% → 100%

  3. 03
    New Mexico St.Service error+4.4%

    New Mexico St. service error

    Set 3 · NM ST 24-25 SAMHOU · SAMHOU 90% → 94%

  4. 04

    Kill by Maggie Lightheart (set by Paige Nelson)

    Set 3 · NM ST 25-25 SAMHOU · NM ST 6% → 10%

  5. 05
    Sadie RossAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Sadie Ross

    Set 3 · NM ST 25-26 SAMHOU · SAMHOU 90% → 94%

  6. 06

    Kill by Chelsea Butler

    Set 1 · NM ST 7-9 SAMHOU · SAMHOU 57% → 59%

  7. 07

    Kill by Brenlin Garlitz (set by Annika Brooks)

    Set 3 · NM ST 18-20 SAMHOU · SAMHOU 91% → 94%

  8. 08
    New Mexico St.Service error+2.8%

    New Mexico St. service error

    Set 3 · NM ST 21-23 SAMHOU · SAMHOU 93% → 96%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35123.174012510006
34623-.087205800004
3119.00000030031.52.5
3127-.14300120031.52.5
31518-.22200010010.51.5
3011-1.0001200700000
36522.045001200006
3213.3331013600003
3102.5004041600001
26010.60000000010.56.5
2104.250001000001
2000–000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–000200000
Team totals2823123.0412821752108460
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310629.138001110010.510.5
38931-.0321021710008
35117.23500030031.56.5
33115.13330010031.54.5
3304.7501012500004
3315.40000000010.53.5
34315.067000400004
3002.0001602300000
3000–001300000
3000–301900000
Team totals3621118.127331956208477

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Mexico St. vs Sam Houston

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 NM ST · SAMHOU 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 NM STSAMHOU 2

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 NM STSAMHOU 8

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 3 NM STSAMHOU 2

Bars above the line = Sam Houston leads, below = New Mexico St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
36%4/11
2
67%8/12
27%3/11
3
57%8/14
11%1/9
4
73%8/11
0%0/8
5
60%6/10
38%5/13
6
40%6/15
33%3/9
All
58%44/76
26%16/61

Sam Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
63%12/19
2
80%8/10
38%5/13
3
100%8/8
20%2/10
4
80%8/10
43%6/14
5
54%7/13
36%4/11
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
74%45/61
42%32/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#NM ST-SAMHOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SAMHOUNM STAttack errChloe Monson+1.8
21-1NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.8
32-1SAMHOUNM STAttack errChelsea Butler+1.9
43-1NM STNM STBlockedChloe Monsonblk Mia Fox, Sadie Ross+2.6
53-2NM STSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.8
64-2SAMHOUNM STBlockedAnnika Brooksblk Mia Fox, Sadie Ross+1.9
74-3NM STSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Brenlin Garlitz+1.8
84-4SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+2.7
95-4SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+2.0
105-5NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+2.0
115-6SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errAshley Herman+2.8
126-6SAMHOUNM STKillMakayla Martinezset Lauren Pyle+2.0
136-7NM STSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Lauren Pyle+2.1
147-7SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+2.1
157-8NM STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+2.1
167-9SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChelsea Butler+2.9
178-9SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+2.0
188-10NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+2.2
198-11SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedMia Foxblk Chelsea Butler, Annika Brooks+2.8
209-11SAMHOUNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.9
219-12NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+2.1
2210-12SAMHOUNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.9
2310-13NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+2.2
2410-14SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errAshley Herman+2.6
2511-14SAMHOUNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.6
2612-14NM STNM STAttack errChloe Monson+2.7
2712-15NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+2.3
2813-15SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+2.0
2913-16NM STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+2.4
3013-17SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+2.8
3114-17SAMHOUNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+1.6
3214-18NM STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+2.1
3314-19SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJaelynn Kohli+2.1
3415-19SAMHOUNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson+1.1
3516-19NM STNM STAttack errChloe Monson+2.1
3616-20NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+2.1
3716-21SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJaelynn Kohli+2.0
3817-21SAMHOUNM STAttack errChloe Monson+0.8
3917-22NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.4
4018-22SAMHOUNM STKillSadie Rossset Paige Nelson+0.7
4118-23NM STSAMHOUKillBrenlin Garlitzset Annika Brooks+1.2
4219-23SAMHOUNM STAttack errBella Wood+0.5
4319-24NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Shaelin White+0.9
4419-25SAMHOUSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+0.3
Set 2
11-0NM STNM STAttack errBella Wood+2.4
21-1NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.8
31-2SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChelsea Butlerset Annika Brooks+2.4
42-2SAMHOUNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.8
52-3NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.8
63-3SAMHOUNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.8
73-4NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.9
83-5SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errKatrina Catalan+2.5
94-5SAMHOUNM STAttack errChloe Monson+1.8
104-6NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+1.9
114-7SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errPaige Nelson+2.5
125-7SAMHOUNM ST×3Serve errSam Houston+1.7
136-7NM STNM ST×3Attack errRachelle Reed+2.5
147-7NM STNM ST×3Attack errChloe Monson+2.7
157-8NM STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle+2.1
167-9SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJaelynn Kohli+2.8
178-9SAMHOUNM STAttack errFaith Roulston+2.0
188-10NM STSAMHOU×8Serve errNew Mexico St.+2.1
198-11SAMHOUSAMHOU×8Attack errTess Fuqua+2.7
208-12SAMHOUSAMHOU×8KillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+2.4
218-13SAMHOUSAMHOU×8AceBrenlin Garlitzaced Maggie Lightheart+2.1
228-14SAMHOUSAMHOU×8KillChelsea Butlerset Brenlin Garlitz+1.6
238-15SAMHOUSAMHOU×8KillAnnika Brooksset Shaelin White+1.2
248-16SAMHOUSAMHOU×8Attack errTess Fuqua+0.8
258-17SAMHOUSAMHOU×8Attack errJaelynn Kohli+0.5
269-17SAMHOUNM STKillTess Fuquaset Makayla Martinez+0.2
2710-17NM STNM STAttack errBella Wood+0.5
2810-18NM STSAMHOUAttack errAshley Herman+0.5
2911-18SAMHOUNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+0.3
3012-18NM STNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+0.7
3112-19NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+0.7
3213-19SAMHOUNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan+0.4
3313-20NM STSAMHOU×4Serve errNew Mexico St.+0.6
3413-21SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillChloe Monsonset Lauren Pyle+0.5
3513-22SAMHOUSAMHOU×4KillRachelle Reed+0.2
3613-23SAMHOUSAMHOU×4Attack errKatie Funk+0.1
3714-23SAMHOUNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan·
3814-24NM STSAMHOUKillFaith Roulstonset Lauren Pyle·
3915-24SAMHOUNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson·
4016-24NM STNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson·
4116-25NM STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle·
Set 3
10-1SAMHOUSAMHOUKillChelsea Butler+1.5
21-1SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+1.1
31-2NM STSAMHOUAttack errTess Fuqua+1.1
41-3SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedTess Fuquablk Annika Brooks, Chelsea Butler+1.5
52-3SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+1.1
62-4NM STSAMHOUKillChloe Monsonset Brenlin Garlitz+1.1
72-5SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedAshley Hermanblk Rachelle Reed, Annika Brooks+1.5
83-5SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+1.0
93-6NM STSAMHOUAttack errTess Fuqua+1.1
104-6SAMHOUNM STKillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+1.0
114-7NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.1
125-7SAMHOUNM STKillAshley Hermanset Paige Nelson+1.1
135-8NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.2
145-9SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+1.4
156-9SAMHOUNM STAttack errFaith Roulston+0.9
167-9NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+1.5
177-10NM STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+1.2
188-10SAMHOUNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+1.1
199-10NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.+1.7
209-11NM STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Brenlin Garlitz+1.4
2110-11SAMHOUNM STAttack errChloe Monson+1.3
2210-12NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.4
2310-13SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errAshley Herman+1.8
2411-13SAMHOUNM STKillKatrina Catalanset Tess Fuqua+1.2
2511-14NM STSAMHOUKillRachelle Reedset Brenlin Garlitz+1.4
2612-14SAMHOUNM STKillTess Fuquaset Paige Nelson+1.2
2713-14NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez+1.9
2813-15NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.6
2914-15SAMHOUNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson+1.5
3015-15NM STNM STBlockedBella Woodblk Jaelynn Kohli, Mia Fox+2.3
3115-16NM STSAMHOUKillBella Woodset Lauren Pyle+1.8
3216-16SAMHOUNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+1.8
3317-16NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Chloe Monson+2.6
3417-17NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+1.9
3517-18SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errJaelynn Kohli+2.7
3618-18SAMHOUNM STKillKate Sinclairset Katrina Catalan+2.0
3718-19NM STSAMHOUKillAnnika Brooksset Shaelin White+2.2
3818-20SAMHOUSAMHOUKillBrenlin Garlitzset Annika Brooks+2.9
3919-20SAMHOUNM STBlockedChloe Monsonblk Kate Sinclair, Sadie Ross+1.8
4019-21NM STSAMHOUAttack errTess Fuqua+2.3
4120-21SAMHOUNM STKillKatrina Catalanset Makayla Martinez+1.9
4220-22NM STSAMHOUKillBrenlin Garlitzset Chloe Monson+2.5
4321-22SAMHOUNM STServe errSam Houston+2.0
4421-23NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+2.8
4521-24SAMHOUSAMHOUAttack errMia Fox+2.7
4622-24SAMHOUNM ST×3Attack errFaith Roulston+0.8
4723-24NM STNM ST×3Attack errBella Wood+2.5
4824-24NM STNM ST×3Attack errBella Wood+6.0
4924-25NM STSAMHOUServe errNew Mexico St.+4.4
5025-25SAMHOUNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson+4.4
5125-26NM STSAMHOUAttack errSadie Ross+4.4
5225-27SAMHOUSAMHOUBlockedMaggie Lightheartblk Bella Wood, Chelsea Butler+5.9

Score shown after each rally, New Mexico St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).