FinalSat, Sep 26, 2026

Mercer def. The Citadel 3–0

Mercer beat visiting The Citadel 3-0 (25-15, 27-25, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Lara Matta led Mercer with 11 kills; The Citadel's Jordyn Sims had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set123Sets
CITDEL1525220
MERCER2527253

Win probability

Mercer above 50 · The Citadel below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% CITDELrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to The Citadel — set 2, CITDEL 24-24 MERCER. Kill by Gwen Berry (set by Greta Pleuss). MERCER win probability 98% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CITDEL 5.6%94.4% MERCER

The Citadel wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
3.4%

Mercer wins

3-0
53.8%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
10.5%
CITDEL break %
39.7% vs this opp
MERCER break %
51.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gwen BerryKill+2.1%

    Kill by Gwen Berry (set by Greta Pleuss)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 24-24 MERCER · CITDEL 2% → 4%

  2. 02

    Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 24-25 MERCER · MERCER 96% → 97%

  3. 03
    MercerService error+1.8%

    Mercer service error

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-25 MERCER · CITDEL 3% → 4%

  4. 04
    Lara MattaKill+1.8%

    Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-26 MERCER · MERCER 96% → 97%

  5. 05
    Luci LippelgoosAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Luci Lippelgoos

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-27 MERCER · MERCER 97% → 99%

  6. 06

    Kill by Brooklyn Palmer (set by Sammi Bergjans)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 22-23 MERCER · MERCER 95% → 97%

  7. 07
    MercerService error+1.5%

    Mercer service error

    Set 2 · CITDEL 22-21 MERCER · CITDEL 4% → 6%

  8. 08
    The CitadelAce+1.4%

    The Citadel ace

    Set 2 · CITDEL 20-18 MERCER · CITDEL 5% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312236.2780001000012
39618.1670106000010
34421.000111911016
3328.125000101014
3003.0003211000001
1226.000000000002
35932-.125000400005
3109.1111101810002
3001.000011300001
3000–000900000
1000–000200000
Team totals3625134.082345353620262
Mercerhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310327.259020130010.512.5
311538.15800180010.511.5
37217.29400000031.58.5
3429.22200000111.55.5
3104.2503932100010.54.5
3001.000001910000
39116.50010032010.59.5
3002.0000011510000
3000–002000000
1000–010000001
Team totals4213114.254406758518577

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

The Citadel vs Mercer

Season series · Mercer leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CITDEL · MERCER 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 CITDELMERCER 4

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 5 CITDELMERCER 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 CITDELMERCER 4

Bars above the line = Mercer leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
33%3/9
2
37%7/19
50%7/14
3
60%6/10
59%10/17
4
55%6/11
25%2/8
5
56%5/9
33%3/9
6
45%5/11
17%1/6
All
47%36/76
41%26/63

Mercer

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
50%6/12
2
44%7/16
56%9/16
3
58%7/12
56%9/16
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
71%5/7
44%4/9
6
83%5/6
58%7/12
All
59%37/63
53%40/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#CITDEL-MERCERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MERCERMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.6
21-1MERCERCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Lara Matta+0.5
32-1CITDELCITDELBad setSammi Bergjans+0.8
42-2CITDELMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.6
52-3MERCERMERCERAttack errRachel Reininger+0.6
63-3MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+0.6
73-4CITDELMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
83-5MERCERMERCER×4Attack errJordyn Sims+0.6
93-6MERCERMERCER×4AceMercer+0.5
103-7MERCERMERCER×4KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
114-7MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.3
125-7CITDELCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.5
135-8CITDELMERCER×4KillBella Ponsset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
145-9MERCERMERCER×4BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Taylor Timko, Bella Pons+0.4
155-10MERCERMERCER×4BlockedCameron Reeseblk Bella Pons, Brooklyn Palmer+0.3
165-11MERCERMERCER×4Attack errCameron Reese+0.2
176-11MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+0.2
186-12CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.2
197-12MERCERCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+0.2
208-12CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Taylor Timko+0.3
218-13CITDELMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
228-14MERCERMERCERAttack errCameron Reese+0.3
239-14MERCERCITDELAttack errTaylor Timko+0.2
249-15CITDELMERCER×4Serve errThe Citadel+0.2
259-16MERCERMERCER×4Attack errRachel Reininger+0.2
269-17MERCERMERCER×4BlockedElizabeth Millerblk Joselynn Sanjurjo+0.1
279-18MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Taylor Timko+0.1
2810-18MERCERCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss·
2910-19CITDELMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans·
3010-20MERCERMERCER×4Attack errLuci Lippelgoos·
3110-21MERCERMERCER×4KillBella Ponsset Sammi Bergjans·
3210-22MERCERMERCER×4KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans·
3311-22MERCERCITDELAttack errBrooklyn Palmer·
3411-23CITDELMERCERKillBella Ponsset Sammi Bergjans·
3512-23MERCERCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss·
3612-24CITDELMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans·
3713-24MERCERCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss·
3814-24CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Taylor Timko·
3915-24CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errBella Pons·
4015-25CITDELMERCERAttack errCameron Reese·
Set 2
11-0CITDELCITDELAttack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+0.5
22-0CITDELCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+0.5
32-1CITDELMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
43-1MERCERCITDELKillJess Martinset Gwen Berry+0.5
53-2CITDELMERCER×3KillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
63-3MERCERMERCER×3Attack errGwen Berry+0.5
73-4MERCERMERCER×3KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
84-4MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+0.4
94-5CITDELMERCERKillBella Ponsset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
105-5MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.4
115-6CITDELMERCERAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.4
125-7MERCERMERCERAttack errGwen Berry+0.4
136-7MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.4
146-8CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
157-8MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.4
167-9CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
178-9MERCERCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.4
188-10CITDELMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
198-11MERCERMERCERKillBella Ponsset Aubri Martin+0.4
209-11MERCERCITDEL×3KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.3
2110-11CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedBella Ponsblk Gwen Berry+0.5
2211-11CITDELCITDEL×3KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.6
2311-12CITDELMERCER×5KillBella Ponsset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
2411-13MERCERMERCER×5AceMerceraced Jess Martin+0.5
2511-14MERCERMERCER×5BlockedJordyn Simsblk Lara Matta, Bella Pons+0.4
2611-15MERCERMERCER×5Bad setGreta Pleuss+0.3
2711-16MERCERMERCER×5AceMerceraced Gwen Berry+0.3
2812-16MERCERCITDEL×5KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.2
2913-16CITDELCITDEL×5Attack errLara Matta+0.3
3014-16CITDELCITDEL×5KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.5
3115-16CITDELCITDEL×5Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+0.6
3216-16CITDELCITDEL×5Attack errLara Matta+0.8
3316-17CITDELMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.7
3417-17MERCERCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.8
3518-17CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Aubri Martin+1.1
3618-18CITDELMERCERServe errThe Citadel+0.9
3719-18MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+1.1
3820-18CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadel+1.4
3920-19CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.0
4020-20MERCERMERCERAceMercer+1.2
4121-20MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+1.3
4221-21CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+1.2
4322-21MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+1.5
4422-22CITDELMERCER×3KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+1.4
4522-23MERCERMERCER×3KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.7
4622-24MERCERMERCER×3Attack errCameron Reese+1.4
4723-24MERCERCITDELAttack errLara Matta+0.7
4824-24CITDELCITDELKillGwen Berryset Greta Pleuss+2.1
4924-25CITDELMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
5025-25MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+1.8
5125-26CITDELMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+1.8
5225-27MERCERMERCERAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+1.7
Set 3
11-0MERCERCITDELBlockedLara Mattablk Elizabeth Miller+0.2
22-0CITDELCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+0.2
32-1CITDELMERCERBlockedGwen Berryblk Sammi Bergjans, Joselynn Sanjurjo+0.2
42-2MERCERMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.2
53-2MERCERCITDEL×6KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.2
64-2CITDELCITDEL×6KillGwen Berryset Greta Pleuss+0.3
75-2CITDELCITDEL×6KillGwen Berryset Greta Pleuss+0.3
86-2CITDELCITDEL×6KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.3
97-2CITDELCITDEL×6Attack errLara Matta+0.3
108-2CITDELCITDEL×6KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.3
118-3CITDELMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.2
129-3MERCERCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.3
139-4CITDELMERCERAttack errGwen Berry+0.2
149-5MERCERMERCERAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.3
1510-5MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.3
1610-6CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.2
1710-7MERCERMERCERAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.3
1811-7MERCERCITDELServe errMercer+0.3
1911-8CITDELMERCER×4KillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
2011-9MERCERMERCER×4Attack errCameron Reese+0.3
2111-10MERCERMERCER×4KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
2211-11MERCERMERCER×4KillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
2312-11MERCERCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.3
2412-12CITDELMERCERServe errThe Citadel+0.3
2512-13MERCERMERCERKillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
2613-13MERCERCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Jess Martin+0.3
2714-13CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errJoselynn Sanjurjo+0.4
2815-13CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errBrooklyn Palmer+0.4
2915-14CITDELMERCERKillJoselynn Sanjurjoset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
3015-15MERCERMERCERKillSammi Bergjansset Elizabeth Miller+0.4
3116-15MERCERCITDELKillGwen Berryset Greta Pleuss+0.4
3217-15CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Sarah Frager+0.5
3317-16CITDELMERCERKillBella Ponsset Sammi Bergjans+0.3
3418-16MERCERCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.5
3518-17CITDELMERCERKillLara Mattaset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
3619-17MERCERCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.5
3719-18CITDELMERCER×3KillBrooklyn Palmerset Sammi Bergjans+0.4
3819-19MERCERMERCER×3Attack errCameron Reese+0.5
3919-20MERCERMERCER×3AceMercer+0.5
4020-20MERCERCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.4
4120-21CITDELMERCER×3Attack errCameron Reese+0.4
4220-22MERCERMERCER×3Attack errElizabeth Miller+0.5
4320-23MERCERMERCER×3AceMercer+0.3
4421-23MERCERCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.2
4522-23CITDELCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Aubri Martin+0.4
4622-24CITDELMERCERKillTaylor Timkoset Sammi Bergjans+0.5
4722-25MERCERMERCERAttack errCameron Reese+0.3

Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).