Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

The Citadel def. Furman 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Furman 95.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

The Citadel beat visiting Furman 3-1 (26-24, 25-22, 20-25, 25-22) on Tue, Oct 6, 2026. Cameron Reese and Rachel Reininger led The Citadel with 15 kills each; Furman's Izzy Castelloe had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 6

Set1234Sets
FURMAN242225221
CITDEL262520253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

The Citadel beat Furman from a 4% pre-match call.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows The Citadel's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Furman went in at 96% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Furman 9–10 The Citadel

    4 straight The Citadel points stretched a 10–9 lead to 14–9. The match swung to The Citadel.

    The Citadel 45% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Furman 16–18 The Citadel

    Up 18–16, The Citadel scored 3 straight to make it 21–16.

    The Citadel 62% → 89%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Furman 16–21 The Citadel

    4 straight Furman kills cut a 16–21 deficit to 20–21.

    The Citadel 89% → 61%

The Citadel above 50Furman belowMax swing 13.8%

FurmanThe Citadel

Sideout %
Furman 53.7·The Citadel 55.3
Break %
Furman 44.7·The Citadel 46.3
Hitting
Furman .223·The Citadel .212
Longest run
Furman 5·The Citadel 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

The Citadel above 50 · Furman below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.8% CITDELrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.8% to The Citadel — set 4, FURMAN 20-23 CITDEL. The Citadel ace on Lauren Haynes. CITDEL win probability 72% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FURMAN 94.9%5.1% CITDEL

Furman wins

3-0
55.1%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
10.0%

The Citadel wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.1%
FURMAN break %
51.9% vs this opp
CITDEL break %
39.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    The CitadelAce+13.8%

    The Citadel ace on Lauren Haynes

    Set 4 · FURMAN 20-23 CITDEL · CITDEL 72% → 86%

  2. 02

    Kill by Rachel Reininger (set by Greta Pleuss)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 22-25 CITDEL · CITDEL 87% → 100%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elizabeth Miller (set by Greta Pleuss)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 21-24 CITDEL · CITDEL 80% → 92%

  4. 04

    Kill by Rachel Reininger (set by Greta Pleuss)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 20-22 CITDEL · CITDEL 61% → 72%

  5. 05
    Ashley SteinKill+10.0%

    Kill by Ashley Stein (set by Morgan Baldridge)

    Set 4 · FURMAN 20-21 CITDEL · FURMAN 29% → 39%

  6. 06
    Ashley SteinAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Ashley Stein

    Set 4 · FURMAN 16-20 CITDEL · CITDEL 71% → 80%

  7. 07

    Kill by Luci Lippelgoos

    Set 4 · FURMAN 16-21 CITDEL · CITDEL 80% → 89%

  8. 08
    FurmanService error+8.4%

    Furman service error

    Set 4 · FURMAN 16-19 CITDEL · CITDEL 62% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Furmanaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416745.2001122002118
414540.22500221300014
49024.3750122004212
43222.045010132010.54.5
4203.6672000120010.52.5
23210.100100000214
45216.18811230010.56.5
4203.6672200100010.52.5
4002.00010102410001
2427.286000100004
2207.286002000002
1000–000000000
Team totals6020179.22355510889012693
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415652.173110101010.516.5
48422.1820236022313
47227.18500060010.57.5
45011.45500000031.56.5
4105.2001111400002
4004.0003800100031.51.5
415444.2500007000015
4000–0321800003
4000–012400001
4000–400720000
1000–010000001
Team totals5116165.2124498825210796

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Furman vs The Citadel

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FURMAN · CITDEL 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 FURMANCITDEL 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 FURMANCITDEL 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 FURMANCITDEL 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 FURMANCITDEL 4

Bars above the line = The Citadel leads, below = Furman leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
47%8/17
2
64%9/14
58%14/24
3
41%9/22
25%3/12
4
62%8/13
33%4/12
5
62%8/13
47%7/15
6
54%7/13
43%6/14
All
54%51/95
45%42/94

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
36%5/14
2
64%9/14
55%11/20
3
73%8/11
47%8/17
4
44%8/18
47%7/15
5
80%8/10
56%10/18
6
44%8/18
27%3/11
All
55%52/94
46%44/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#FURMAN-CITDELSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CITDELCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
21-1CITDELFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
32-1FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
43-1FURMANFURMAN×3KillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+0.4
53-2FURMANCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+0.4
64-2CITDELFURMANBlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+0.3
74-3FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.4
84-4CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Ashtan Dodson+0.6
95-4CITDELFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Kennedy Seekford+0.4
105-5FURMANCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.5
116-5CITDELFURMAN×4KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+0.5
127-5FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+0.5
138-5FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Tennyson Gorman+0.4
149-5FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurman+0.3
159-6FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+0.3
1610-6CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+0.3
1710-7FURMANCITDEL×4KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+0.3
1810-8CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errIzzy Castelloe+0.5
1910-9CITDELCITDEL×4KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+0.6
2010-10CITDELCITDEL×4KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.8
2111-10CITDELFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
2211-11FURMANCITDELAttack errAshtan Dodson+0.7
2312-11CITDELFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
2413-11FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.7
2514-11FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
2614-12FURMANCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.4
2714-13CITDELCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.7
2814-14CITDELCITDEL×3AceThe Citadelaced Lauren Haynes+1.0
2915-14CITDELFURMANKillMorgan Baldridgeset Kennedy Seekford+0.7
3015-15FURMANCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Jess Martin+0.8
3115-16CITDELCITDEL×4BlockedAshtan Dodsonblk Luci Lippelgoos+1.3
3215-17CITDELCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+1.5
3315-18CITDELCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Emily Navarro+1.6
3416-18CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+1.0
3516-19FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+1.4
3617-19CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+1.0
3717-20FURMANCITDEL×3Attack errCampbell Woods+1.5
3817-21CITDELCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+1.8
3917-22CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errLauren Haynes+1.4
4018-22CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+0.5
4119-22FURMANFURMANAttack errRachel Reininger+1.0
4219-23FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+1.5
4320-23CITDELFURMANBlockedJordyn Simsblk Tennyson Gorman, Izzy Castelloe+0.7
4420-24FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Jess Martin+1.4
4521-24CITDELFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
4622-24FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.0
4723-24FURMANFURMAN×4AceFurman+2.0
4824-24FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+4.0
4924-25FURMANCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+3.1
5024-26CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Ashtan Dodson+5.1
Set 2
11-0FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.3
21-1FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+1.2
31-2CITDELCITDELBlockedTennyson Gormanblk Luci Lippelgoos+1.7
42-2CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
53-2FURMANFURMANBad setGreta Pleuss+1.4
63-3FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+1.3
73-4CITDELCITDELAttack errCameron Reese+1.9
84-4CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.4
95-4FURMANFURMANBlockedCameron Reeseblk Morgan Baldridge, Kacie Moore+1.6
105-5FURMANCITDEL×5Serve errFurman+1.4
115-6CITDELCITDEL×5Bad setKacie Moore+2.1
125-7CITDELCITDEL×5KillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+2.4
135-8CITDELCITDEL×5KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+2.7
145-9CITDELCITDEL×5AceThe Citadelaced Lauren Haynes+3.0
156-9CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+1.9
166-10FURMANCITDEL×5Attack errLauren Haynes+2.6
176-11CITDELCITDEL×5AceThe Citadel+3.3
186-12CITDELCITDEL×5BlockedLauren Haynesblk Elizabeth Miller, Greta Pleuss+3.2
196-13CITDELCITDEL×5AceThe Citadel+3.1
206-14CITDELCITDEL×5Serve errThe Citadel+2.7
217-14CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+1.4
227-15FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+2.2
238-15CITDELFURMAN×5KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+1.3
249-15FURMANFURMAN×5BlockedJordyn Simsblk Tennyson Gorman, Emily Navarro+2.0
2510-15FURMANFURMAN×5KillEmily Navarroset Emily Navarro+2.4
2611-15FURMANFURMAN×5KillEmily Navarroset Campbell Woods+2.7
2712-15FURMANFURMAN×5KillTennyson Gormanset Ashtan Dodson+3.0
2812-16FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+3.3
2913-16CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+2.4
3013-17FURMANCITDEL×3Attack errTennyson Gorman+3.5
3113-18CITDELCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+4.0
3213-19CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+3.4
3314-19CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+1.6
3414-20FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+2.8
3515-20CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+1.5
3616-20FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Jess Martin+2.5
3716-21FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+3.3
3817-21CITDELFURMANBlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Ashtan Dodson, Kacie Moore+1.8
3918-21FURMANFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+3.1
4018-22FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+4.2
4119-22CITDELFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+2.2
4219-23FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+4.2
4320-23CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+1.9
4421-23FURMANFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+3.8
4521-24FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+5.9
4622-24CITDELFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
4722-25FURMANCITDELAttack errIzzy Castelloe+6.0
Set 3
11-0CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
21-1FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+2.1
32-1CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.9
42-2FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Gwen Berry+2.2
52-3CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+3.2
63-3CITDELFURMANKillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
73-4FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+2.7
84-4CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.4
95-4FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Cameron Reese+2.7
105-5FURMANCITDEL×3BlockedLauren Haynesblk Luci Lippelgoos, Greta Pleuss+2.4
115-6CITDELCITDEL×3KillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+3.6
125-7CITDELCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+4.2
136-7CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.9
146-8FURMANCITDELBlockedLauren Haynesblk Elizabeth Miller, Greta Pleuss+3.6
157-8CITDELFURMAN×3KillRebekah Buchholzset Emily Navarro+3.1
168-8FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errRachel Reininger+3.6
179-8FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errCameron Reese+3.2
189-9FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+2.9
1910-9CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+2.7
2010-10FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+3.1
2111-10CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+2.8
2211-11FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+3.2
2311-12CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoos+4.8
2412-12CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+3.5
2512-13FURMANCITDELAttack errAshley Stein+4.2
2613-13CITDELFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+3.7
2714-13FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errLuci Lippelgoos+4.2
2815-13FURMANFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+3.6
2915-14FURMANCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Jess Martin+3.1
3015-15CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+4.9
3116-15CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+3.8
3216-16FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+4.4
3317-16CITDELFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+4.1
3418-16FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+4.4
3519-16FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errRachel Reininger+3.5
3620-16FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+2.4
3720-17FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+1.6
3820-18CITDELCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+3.2
3921-18CITDELFURMAN×3Serve errThe Citadel+3.1
4022-18FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+2.5
4123-18FURMANFURMAN×3KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
4223-19FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Greta Pleuss+0.5
4324-19CITDELFURMANAttack errCameron Reese+0.8
4424-20FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.2
4525-20CITDELFURMANAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.5
Set 4
10-1FURMANCITDEL×4KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+2.9
20-2CITDELCITDEL×4KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+4.1
30-3CITDELCITDEL×4BlockedIzzy Castelloeblk Luci Lippelgoos, Jordyn Sims+4.7
40-4CITDELCITDEL×4AceThe Citadelaced Kennedy Seekford+5.2
51-4CITDELFURMAN×4Bad setGwen Berry+3.5
62-4FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errCameron Reese+4.3
73-4FURMANFURMAN×4KillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+4.0
84-4FURMANFURMAN×4Attack errLuci Lippelgoos+3.7
94-5FURMANCITDELAttack errIzzy Castelloe+3.4
104-6CITDELCITDELBad setRebekah Buchholz+4.9
115-6CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+3.4
125-7FURMANCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Jess Martin+4.2
135-8CITDELCITDELAttack errIzzy Castelloe+5.7
146-8CITDELFURMANKillMorgan Baldridgeset Kennedy Seekford+3.9
156-9FURMANCITDELAttack errIzzy Castelloe+5.0
167-9CITDELFURMANServe errThe Citadel+4.0
178-9FURMANFURMANBlockedRachel Reiningerblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+4.9
188-10FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+4.8
199-10CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+4.0
209-11FURMANCITDEL×4Bad setKennedy Seekford+5.1
219-12CITDELCITDEL×4AceThe Citadel+6.9
229-13CITDELCITDEL×4Serve errThe Citadel+7.4
239-14CITDELCITDEL×4BlockedCampbell Woodsblk Elizabeth Miller, Cameron Reese+7.5
2410-14CITDELFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+4.4
2511-14FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errCameron Reese+6.0
2612-14FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurmanaced Jess Martin+6.3
2712-15FURMANCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Jess Martin+6.6
2812-16CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoos+8.4
2912-17CITDELCITDEL×3KillGwen Berryset Cameron Reese+8.1
3013-17CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+4.4
3114-17FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+6.5
3214-18FURMANCITDELServe errFurman+7.5
3315-18CITDELFURMANAttack errCameron Reese+5.2
3416-18FURMANFURMANBad setMia Watson+7.5
3516-19FURMANCITDEL×3Serve errFurman+8.4
3616-20CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errAshley Stein+9.9
3716-21CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoos+8.4
3817-21CITDELFURMAN×4KillKacie Mooreset Izzy Castelloe+3.7
3918-21FURMANFURMAN×4KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+6.4
4019-21FURMANFURMAN×4KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+8.3
4120-21FURMANFURMAN×4KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+10.0
4220-22FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+11.7
4320-23CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Lauren Haynes+13.8
4421-23CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+6.1
4521-24FURMANCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+12.3
4622-24CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+4.8
4722-25FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+12.5

Score shown after each rally, Furman first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).