FinalTue, Oct 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Furman def. The Citadel 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Furman 97.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Furman beat visiting The Citadel 3-0 (25-20, 27-25, 25-14) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Izzy Castelloe led Furman with 8 kills; The Citadel's Luci Lippelgoos had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set123Sets
CITDEL2025140
FURMAN2527253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Furman held The Citadel to .092 hitting.

Win probability never moved more than 1.8 points on one rally; The Citadel topped out at 5% in Set 1. Furman went in as RallyIQ's 97% pick.

The CitadelFurman
  • Break %+13.7 pts
    41.054.7

    41 of 75 on serve vs 25 of 61, so The Citadel's sideout was 45.3%.

  • Hitting+.117
    .092.209

    38 kills, 15 errors vs 33 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Furman scored 6 straight in the third set to stretch a 19–14 lead to 25–14. Final score of the set: 25–14.

Furman above 50The Citadel belowMax swing 1.8%

The CitadelFurman

Aces
The Citadel 2·Furman 6
Serve err
The Citadel 7·Furman 8
Blocks
The Citadel 6·Furman 101 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 20 BA
Digs
The Citadel 50·Furman 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Furman above 50 · The Citadel below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.8% CITDELrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.8% to The Citadel — set 2, CITDEL 24-23 FURMAN. Rebekah Buchholz stuffed by Luci Lippelgoos. FURMAN win probability 98% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CITDEL 2.2%97.8% FURMAN

The Citadel wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.4%

Furman wins

3-0
66.0%
3-1
25.6%
3-2
6.2%
CITDEL break %
37.9% vs this opp
FURMAN break %
53.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Luci LippelgoosBlock+1.8%

    Rebekah Buchholz stuffed by Luci Lippelgoos

    Set 2 · CITDEL 24-23 FURMAN · CITDEL 2% → 4%

  2. 02
    Emma PastusicAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Emma Pastusic

    Set 2 · CITDEL 24-24 FURMAN · FURMAN 96% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Luci Lippelgoos (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-24 FURMAN · CITDEL 3% → 4%

  4. 04

    Luci Lippelgoos stuffed by Ashley Stein & Rebekah Buchholz

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-25 FURMAN · FURMAN 96% → 97%

  5. 05

    Kill by Morgan Baldridge (set by Ashtan Dodson)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-26 FURMAN · FURMAN 97% → 99%

  6. 06

    Kill by Izzy Castelloe (set by Kennedy Seekford)

    Set 2 · CITDEL 22-23 FURMAN · FURMAN 97% → 98%

  7. 07
    Emma PastusicAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Emma Pastusic

    Set 2 · CITDEL 25-27 FURMAN · FURMAN 99% → 100%

  8. 08
    Ashley SteinAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Ashley Stein

    Set 2 · CITDEL 22-21 FURMAN · CITDEL 2% → 3%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310223.3480030012212
391439-.12800060010.59.5
36219.21100010031.57.5
3329.11100000031.54.5
3000–102900000
1001.0001301100000
35124.167000400005
3000–0111540001
3012-.500000400000
2000–010600001
2003.000170040010.50.5
Team totals3322120.0923127506110659
Furmanhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38227.222000300219
3609.6672513500429
36625.000100800217
34111.27300030052.56.5
2001.000111600001
1215.200010100214
3000–211700001
3000–3011610000
26216.25000120010.56.5
2429.22220010010.54.5
2217.14301120031.54.5
2000–010000001
Team totals3815110.20934685420201077

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

The Citadel vs Furman

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CITDEL · FURMAN 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 CITDELFURMAN 5

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 CITDELFURMAN 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 CITDELFURMAN 6

Bars above the line = Furman leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
36%4/11
2
44%7/16
42%5/12
3
24%5/21
56%9/16
4
63%5/8
44%4/9
5
36%5/14
17%1/6
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
45%34/75
41%25/61

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
25%2/8
2
58%7/12
36%4/11
3
40%6/15
70%14/20
4
83%5/6
67%10/15
5
63%5/8
44%4/9
6
100%5/5
58%7/12
All
59%36/61
55%41/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#CITDEL-FURMANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errIzzy Castelloe+0.4
22-0CITDELCITDEL×4KillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+0.5
33-0CITDELCITDEL×4KillJordyn Simsset Greta Pleuss+0.6
44-0CITDELCITDEL×4KillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss+0.7
54-1CITDELFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
65-1FURMANCITDELServe errKennedy Seekford+0.6
75-2CITDELFURMAN×3Serve errJess Martin+0.5
85-3FURMANFURMAN×3AceBrooke Scheffleraced Jess Martin+0.5
95-4FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errEmma Pastusic+0.5
106-4FURMANCITDEL×3KillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss+0.5
117-4CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errKacie Moore+0.7
128-4CITDELCITDEL×3KillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss+0.8
138-5CITDELFURMAN×3KillMorgan Baldridgeset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
148-6FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Morgan Baldridge, Kacie Moore+0.6
158-7FURMANFURMAN×3KillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
169-7FURMANCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.6
1710-7CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.8
1810-8CITDELFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
1910-9FURMANFURMANAceKacie Moore+0.6
2011-9FURMANCITDELAttack errAmber Watson+0.6
2111-10CITDELFURMAN×5Serve errLuci Lippelgoos+0.5
2211-11FURMANFURMAN×5KillMorgan Baldridgeset Ashley Stein+0.6
2311-12FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errGreta Pleuss+0.5
2411-13FURMANFURMAN×5KillIzzy Castelloeset Amber Watson+0.5
2511-14FURMANFURMAN×5KillRachel Reiningerset Amber Watson+0.4
2612-14FURMANCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Greta Pleuss+0.3
2712-15CITDELFURMANServe errGreta Pleuss+0.3
2813-15FURMANCITDELServe errAshtan Dodson+0.3
2913-16CITDELFURMANServe errMegan Stone+0.3
3013-17FURMANFURMANBlockedJordyn Simsblk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein+0.3
3114-17FURMANCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss+0.2
3214-18CITDELFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
3315-18FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Megan Stone+0.2
3416-18CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.4
3516-19CITDELFURMANAttack errEmma Pastusic+0.4
3617-19FURMANCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Greta Pleuss+0.4
3717-20CITDELFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
3818-20FURMANCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss+0.4
3918-21CITDELFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
4018-22FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setGreta Pleuss+0.4
4118-23FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
4219-23FURMANCITDELServe errMorgan Baldridge+0.1
4319-24CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
4420-24FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Kennedy Seekford·
4520-25CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
Set 2
11-0FURMANCITDEL×3BlockedAmber Watsonblk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims+0.2
22-0CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.3
33-0CITDELCITDEL×3AceJess Martinaced Kennedy Seekford+0.4
43-1CITDELFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
53-2FURMANFURMANBlockedEmma Pastusicblk Rebekah Buchholz, Amber Watson+0.3
64-2FURMANCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.3
75-2CITDELCITDELAttack errAshley Stein+0.4
85-3CITDELFURMAN×5Attack errEmma Pastusic+0.3
95-4FURMANFURMAN×5BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Izzy Castelloe, Tennyson Gorman+0.3
105-5FURMANFURMAN×5KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
115-6FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errEmma Pastusic+0.2
125-7FURMANFURMAN×5KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
136-7FURMANCITDEL×3Serve errRebekah Buchholz+0.2
147-7CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedAshley Steinblk Allie Davison, Luci Lippelgoos+0.3
158-7CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+0.4
168-8CITDELFURMANAttack errGwen Berry+0.3
178-9FURMANFURMANKillMorgan Baldridgeset Brooke Scheffler+0.3
189-9FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.3
199-10CITDELFURMAN×3KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.2
209-11FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errElizabeth Miller+0.3
219-12FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Tennyson Gorman, Morgan Baldridge+0.2
2210-12FURMANCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.2
2311-12CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedLauren Haynesblk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims+0.3
2412-12CITDELCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.4
2512-13CITDELFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
2613-13FURMANCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.3
2713-14CITDELFURMANKillMorgan Baldridgeset Kennedy Seekford+0.3
2814-14FURMANCITDELBad setMorgan Baldridge+0.4
2914-15CITDELFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
3014-16FURMANFURMANAceAshtan Dodsonaced Jess Martin+0.3
3115-16FURMANCITDEL×3BlockedAshley Steinblk Luci Lippelgoos, Jordyn Sims+0.3
3216-16CITDELCITDEL×3AceEmerson Hill+0.5
3317-16CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errAshley Stein+0.6
3417-17CITDELFURMANKillRebekah Buchholzset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
3517-18FURMANFURMANAceRebekah Buchholzaced Jess Martin+0.5
3618-18FURMANCITDELAttack errTennyson Gorman+0.5
3719-18CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoos+0.8
3819-19CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
3920-19FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.7
4020-20CITDELFURMANServe errLuci Lippelgoos+0.6
4121-20FURMANCITDELAttack errLauren Haynes+0.8
4221-21CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+0.7
4322-21FURMANCITDELAttack errAshley Stein+0.9
4422-22CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+0.8
4522-23FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.0
4623-23FURMANCITDELServe errMorgan Baldridge+0.9
4724-23CITDELCITDELBlockedRebekah Buchholzblk Luci Lippelgoos+1.8
4824-24CITDELFURMANAttack errEmma Pastusic+1.5
4925-24FURMANCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.5
5025-25CITDELFURMAN×3BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Ashley Stein, Rebekah Buchholz+1.5
5125-26FURMANFURMAN×3KillMorgan Baldridgeset Ashtan Dodson+1.4
5225-27FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errEmma Pastusic+1.0
Set 3
10-1CITDELFURMANKillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
20-2FURMANFURMANBad setJess Martin+0.1
31-2FURMANCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.1
41-3CITDELFURMANAttack errEmma Pastusic+0.1
51-4FURMANFURMANKillTennyson Gorman+0.1
62-4FURMANCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.1
73-4CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errAshley Stein+0.1
84-4CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoos+0.1
94-5CITDELFURMAN×3Serve errMegan Stone+0.1
104-6FURMANFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
114-7FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Tennyson Gorman, Morgan Baldridge+0.1
125-7FURMANCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.1
135-8CITDELFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
145-9FURMANFURMANBlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Rebekah Buchholz, Lauren Haynes+0.1
156-9FURMANCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.1
167-9CITDELCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+0.1
177-10CITDELFURMANServe errLuci Lippelgoos+0.1
187-11FURMANFURMANAceMorgan Baldridgeaced Jess Martin+0.1
198-11FURMANCITDELServe errMorgan Baldridge+0.1
208-12CITDELFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+0.1
218-13FURMANFURMANAttack errElizabeth Miller+0.1
229-13FURMANCITDELServe errLauren Haynes·
239-14CITDELFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge·
2410-14FURMANCITDEL×3KillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison·
2511-14CITDELCITDEL×3KillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.1
2612-14CITDELCITDEL×3KillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.1
2712-15CITDELFURMAN×5BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Tennyson Gorman, Izzy Castelloe+0.1
2812-16FURMANFURMAN×5KillAshley Steinset Morgan Baldridge+0.1
2912-17FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errJordyn Sims+0.1
3012-18FURMANFURMAN×5KillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge·
3112-19FURMANFURMAN×5Bad setAllie Davison·
3213-19FURMANCITDELServe errBrooke Scheffler·
3314-19CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison·
3414-20CITDELFURMAN×6BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Tennyson Gorman, Morgan Baldridge·
3514-21FURMANFURMAN×6KillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford·
3614-22FURMANFURMAN×6KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge·
3714-23FURMANFURMAN×6AceTiffany Helmer·
3814-24FURMANFURMAN×6KillMorgan Baldridgeset Brooke Scheffler·
3914-25FURMANFURMAN×6Attack errEmma Pastusic·

Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).