Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UNC Greensboro def. The Citadel 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UNC Greensboro 98.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNC Greensboro beat visiting The Citadel 3-1 (27-29, 25-20, 25-17, 25-11) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. UNC Greensboro's Allie Sweet led with 24 kills, and Chloe Nussbaum added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
CITDEL292017111
UNC G272525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the second set broke it open for UNC Greensboro.

Win probability never moved more than 3.2 points on one rally; The Citadel topped out at 11% in Set 2. RallyIQ gave UNC Greensboro 98% before first serve.

The CitadelUNC Greensboro
  • Break %+15.9 pts
    34.650.5

    Points won on own serve: 51 of 101 vs 27 of 78. The Citadel sided out 49.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.170
    .145.315

    61 kills, 16 errors vs 49 kills, 27 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    67

    UNC Greensboro scored 7 straight in the second set to stretch an 11–10 lead to 18–10. The set finished 25–20.

UNC Greensboro above 50The Citadel belowMax swing 3.2%

The CitadelUNC Greensboro

Aces
The Citadel 3·UNC Greensboro 5
Serve err
The Citadel 8·UNC Greensboro 9
Blocks
The Citadel 6·UNC Greensboro 123 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 22 BA
Digs
The Citadel 56·UNC Greensboro 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNC Greensboro above 50 · The Citadel below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.2% CITDELrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.2% to The Citadel — set 1, CITDEL 29-27 UNC G. Attack error by Hailey Clifton. UNC G win probability 94% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CITDEL 1.2%98.8% UNC G

The Citadel wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.8%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
72.0%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
4.3%
CITDEL break %
36.4% vs this opp
UNC G break %
53.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hailey CliftonAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Hailey Clifton

    Set 1 · CITDEL 29-27 UNC G · CITDEL 6% → 9%

  2. 02
    Allie SweetKill+2.4%

    Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 1 · CITDEL 24-24 UNC G · UNC G 94% → 96%

  3. 03
    Allie DavisonKill+2.2%

    Kill by Allie Davison (set by Rachel Reininger)

    Set 1 · CITDEL 28-27 UNC G · CITDEL 3% → 6%

  4. 04
    UNC GreensboroAce+1.7%

    UNC Greensboro ace on Cameron Reese

    Set 1 · CITDEL 24-25 UNC G · UNC G 96% → 98%

  5. 05

    Allie Sweet stuffed by Jordyn Sims & Elizabeth Miller

    Set 2 · CITDEL 3-1 UNC G · CITDEL 10% → 11%

  6. 06

    Kill by Rachel Reininger

    Set 1 · CITDEL 22-19 UNC G · CITDEL 5% → 7%

  7. 07
    Jordyn SimsKill+1.3%

    Kill by Jordyn Sims (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 1 · CITDEL 25-25 UNC G · CITDEL 2% → 3%

  8. 08
    Siena SmiejekKill+1.3%

    Kill by Siena Smiejek (set by Allie Sweet)

    Set 1 · CITDEL 25-26 UNC G · UNC G 97% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420643.3261018000020
46316.188012002029
44421.00020010031.55.5
4214.2503701500002
312738.1321017110113
3239-.11100010031.53.5
41011.000211610002
4004.000011600001
4000–0001520000
4000–001600000
11213-.077000000001
1113.000000000001
1000–400100000
Team totals4927152.145473856536677
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424758.29322113002127
49117.47100000052.511.5
46217.2350121016411
4224.0004611120052.55.5
4000–000300000
4000–0021100000
410321.33320000031.511.5
410126.34600240010.510.5
4000–8112030001
Team totals6116143.315585964312212102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

The Citadel vs UNC Greensboro

Season series · UNC Greensboro leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CITDEL · UNC G 7

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 6 CITDELUNC G 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 CITDELUNC G 7

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 CITDELUNC G 5

Set 4

11-25

Longest run 3 CITDELUNC G 4

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = The Citadel leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
33%3/9
2
39%7/18
46%6/13
3
58%7/12
0%0/7
4
46%6/13
42%5/12
5
42%5/12
29%2/7
6
100%5/5
58%7/12
All
48%37/77
38%23/60

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
63%10/16
2
64%7/11
42%5/12
3
100%7/7
61%11/18
4
55%6/11
45%5/11
5
38%5/13
50%6/12
6
63%5/8
38%3/8
All
62%37/60
52%40/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#CITDEL-UNC GSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
21-1UNC GCITDELAttack errIzora Graggset Mia Nicklas+0.2
31-2CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
42-2UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.2
52-3CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
63-3UNC GCITDEL×6KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.2
74-3CITDELCITDEL×6KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.3
85-3CITDELCITDEL×6KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.4
96-3CITDELCITDEL×6AceThe Citadelaced Chloe Nussbaum+0.5
107-3CITDELCITDEL×6BlockedSiena Smiejekblk Luci Lippelgoos+0.6
118-3CITDELCITDEL×6KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.6
128-4CITDELUNC G×3Serve errThe Citadel+0.4
138-5UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.5
148-6UNC GUNC G×3Attack errAllie Davison+0.5
159-6UNC GCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.5
169-7CITDELUNC G×4KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.4
179-8UNC GUNC G×4BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+0.4
189-9UNC GUNC G×4BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg+0.4
199-10UNC GUNC G×4BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+0.3
2010-10UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.3
2110-11CITDELUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.3
2211-11UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.4
2311-12CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
2412-12UNC GCITDEL×4BlockedAllie Sweetblk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims+0.4
2513-12CITDELCITDEL×4AceThe Citadelaced Chloe Nussbaum+0.6
2614-12CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errAllie Sweet+0.7
2715-12CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errAllie Sweet+0.8
2815-13CITDELUNC G×3KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+0.5
2915-14UNC GUNC G×3BlockedElizabeth Millerblk Siena Smiejek+0.6
3015-15UNC GUNC G×3BlockedJordyn Simsblk Siena Smiejek, Allie Sweet+0.6
3116-15UNC GCITDELBlockedHailey Cliftonblk Cameron Reese+0.6
3216-16CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
3317-16UNC GCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.7
3417-17CITDELUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.6
3518-17UNC GCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.7
3618-18CITDELUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Connore' Siler-Nixon+0.6
3719-18UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.8
3820-18CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Cameron Reese+1.1
3920-19CITDELUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.7
4021-19UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+1.1
4122-19CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reininger+1.4
4222-20CITDELUNC GAttack errCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.7
4323-20UNC GCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+1.3
4424-20CITDELCITDELBlockedAllie Sweetblk Elizabeth Miller, Jordyn Sims+1.2
4524-21CITDELUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
4624-22UNC GUNC G×5Attack errCameron Reese+0.7
4724-23UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.3
4824-24UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.4
4924-25UNC GUNC G×5AceUNC Greensboroaced Cameron Reese+1.7
5025-25UNC GCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+1.3
5125-26CITDELUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Allie Sweet+1.3
5226-26UNC GCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+1.3
5326-27CITDELUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.3
5427-27UNC GCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.3
5528-27CITDELCITDEL×3KillAllie Davisonset Rachel Reininger+2.2
5629-27CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errHailey Clifton+3.2
Set 2
10-1UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.8
21-1UNC GCITDEL×3Serve errUNC Greensboro+0.8
32-1CITDELCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.2
43-1CITDELCITDEL×3BlockedAllie Sweetblk Jordyn Sims, Elizabeth Miller+1.4
53-2CITDELUNC GAttack errElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+1.0
63-3UNC GUNC GBlockedJordyn Simsblk Siena Smiejek, Allie Sweet+1.1
74-3UNC GCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+1.1
84-4CITDELUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+0.9
94-5UNC GUNC GBlockedCameron Reeseblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+1.0
105-5UNC GCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.0
115-6CITDELUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.9
125-7UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC Greensboroaced Emerson Hill+0.9
135-8UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.7
146-8UNC GCITDELKillAllie Davisonset Emerson Hill+0.7
156-9CITDELUNC GAttack errRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.6
166-10UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Hailey Clifton+0.6
177-10UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.5
188-10CITDELCITDELAceThe Citadelaced Chloe Nussbaum+0.8
198-11CITDELUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Allie Sweet+0.7
209-11UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.8
2110-11CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+1.2
2210-12CITDELUNC G×7KillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+1.0
2310-13UNC GUNC G×7KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.0
2410-14UNC GUNC G×7Attack errRachel Reininger+0.7
2510-15UNC GUNC G×7KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
2610-16UNC GUNC G×7BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg+0.3
2710-17UNC GUNC G×7BlockedJordyn Simsblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg+0.2
2810-18UNC GUNC G×7Attack errElizabeth Miller+0.1
2911-18UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.1
3011-19CITDELUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3112-19UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.1
3212-20CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.1
3313-20UNC GCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Jordyn Sims+0.1
3413-21CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.1
3514-21UNC GCITDELBlockedSiena Smiejekblk Luci Lippelgoos·
3614-22CITDELUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3714-23UNC GUNC GAttack errLuci Lippelgoos·
3815-23UNC GCITDEL×4KillRachel Reiningerset Emerson Hill·
3916-23CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errConnore' Siler-Nixon·
4017-23CITDELCITDEL×4KillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison·
4118-23CITDELCITDEL×4Attack errKendall Lanclos+0.1
4218-24CITDELUNC GAttack errCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.1
4319-24UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison·
4420-24CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.1
4520-25CITDELUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.2
Set 3
10-1CITDELUNC G×3Serve errThe Citadel+0.6
20-2UNC GUNC G×3BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Siena Smiejek, Izora Gragg+0.6
30-3UNC GUNC G×3AceUNC Greensboroaced Jess Martin+0.5
41-3UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.4
51-4CITDELUNC GServe errThe Citadel+0.4
62-4UNC GCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.5
72-5CITDELUNC GServe errThe Citadel+0.4
82-6UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.4
93-6UNC GCITDELKillCameron Reese+0.4
104-6CITDELCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.6
114-7CITDELUNC GAttack errCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.5
124-8UNC GUNC GAceUNC Greensboroaced Jess Martin+0.4
135-8UNC GCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.4
146-8CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.6
156-9CITDELUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.5
166-10UNC G
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
176-11UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.4
187-11UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.3
197-12CITDELUNC GServe errThe Citadel+0.3
208-12UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.3
218-13CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
229-13UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.3
2310-13CITDELCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.6
2410-14CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
2511-14UNC GCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Jordyn Sims+0.5
2611-15CITDELUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
2711-16UNC GUNC G×5KillSiena Smiejek+0.4
2811-17UNC GUNC G×5BlockedCameron Reeseblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+0.3
2911-18UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweet+0.2
3011-19UNC GUNC G×5Attack errCameron Reese+0.1
3112-19UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.1
3213-19CITDELCITDELAttack errHailey Clifton+0.1
3313-20CITDELUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3414-20UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.1
3514-21CITDELUNC GServe errThe Citadel+0.1
3615-21UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.1
3715-22CITDELUNC GServe errThe Citadel+0.1
3816-22UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison·
3916-23CITDELUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.1
4017-23UNC GCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison·
4117-24CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg·
4217-25UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg·
Set 4
10-1UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.5
20-2UNC GUNC GKillIzora Gragg+0.4
31-2UNC GCITDELServe errUNC Greensboro+0.4
41-3CITDELUNC G×3Serve errThe Citadel+0.3
51-4UNC GUNC G×3Attack errEmma Pastusic+0.3
61-5UNC GUNC G×3Attack errKarlie Vogelheim+0.3
72-5UNC GCITDELAttack errAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
82-6CITDELUNC GKillIzora Graggset Chloe Nussbaum+0.2
92-7UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.2
103-7UNC GCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.2
113-8CITDELUNC G×3KillAllie Sweet+0.2
123-9UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Clifton+0.2
133-10UNC GUNC G×3BlockedEmma Pastusicblk Hailey Clifton, Siena Smiejek+0.1
144-10UNC GCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.1
154-11CITDELUNC G×3KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+0.1
164-12UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.1
174-13UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg·
185-13UNC GCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss·
196-13CITDELCITDEL×3KillEmerson Hillset Greta Pleuss+0.1
207-13CITDELCITDEL×3KillKarlie Vogelheim+0.1
217-14CITDELUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+0.1
228-14UNC GCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Greta Pleuss+0.1
238-15CITDELUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.1
248-16UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.1
259-16UNC GCITDELAttack errAllie Sweetset Gwen Berry·
269-17CITDELUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.1
279-18UNC GUNC G×3Attack errJordyn Sims·
289-19UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg·
2910-19UNC GCITDELAttack errIzora Graggset Greta Pleuss·
3010-20CITDELUNC G×4KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg·
3110-21UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum·
3210-22UNC GUNC G×4KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg·
3310-23UNC GUNC G×4Attack errLuci Lippelgoos·
3411-23UNC GCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Greta Pleuss·
3511-24CITDELUNC GKillAllie Sweet·
3611-25UNC GUNC GAceUNC Greensboro·

Score shown after each rally, The Citadel first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).