Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026

Furman def. UNC Greensboro 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UNC Greensboro 56.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Furman beat visiting UNC Greensboro 3-1 (20-25, 25-20, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Izzy Castelloe led Furman with 16 kills; UNC Greensboro's Allie Sweet had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
UNC G252022221
FURMAN202525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Furman trailed 7–13 in the third and still took the set, then the match.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Furman's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, UNC Greensboro was RallyIQ's 56% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · UNC Greensboro 17–15 Furman

    Furman scored 4 straight to turn a 15–17 deficit into a 19–17 lead. The match swung to Furman.

    Furman 36% → 57%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · UNC Greensboro 21–22 Furman

    Furman closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1.

    Furman 56% → 72%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · UNC Greensboro 21–22 Furman

    Furman won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and win the match 3–1.

    Furman 81% → >99%

Furman above 50UNC Greensboro belowMax swing 9.4%

UNC GreensboroFurman

Sideout %
UNC Greensboro 56.4·Furman 60.0
Break %
UNC Greensboro 40.0·Furman 43.6
Hitting
UNC Greensboro .106·Furman .170
Longest run
UNC Greensboro 5·Furman 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Furman above 50 · UNC Greensboro below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.4% FURMANrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Furman — set 4, UNC G 21-22 FURMAN. Allie Sweet stuffed by Kacie Moore & Campbell Woods. FURMAN win probability 72% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC G 54.6%45.4% FURMAN

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
14.5%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
19.4%

Furman wins

3-0
10.7%
3-1
16.8%
3-2
17.9%
UNC G break %
43.8% vs this opp
FURMAN break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Allie Sweet stuffed by Kacie Moore & Campbell Woods

    Set 4 · UNC G 21-22 FURMAN · FURMAN 72% → 81%

  2. 02

    Allie Sweet stuffed by Kacie Moore & Campbell Woods

    Set 4 · UNC G 21-23 FURMAN · FURMAN 81% → 90%

  3. 03
    Kacie MooreKill+8.4%

    Kill by Kacie Moore (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 4 · UNC G 22-24 FURMAN · FURMAN 85% → 94%

  4. 04
    Lauren HaynesAttack error+8.0%

    Attack error by Lauren Haynes

    Set 4 · UNC G 21-20 FURMAN · UNC G 26% → 34%

  5. 05

    Kill by Izzy Castelloe (set by Kennedy Seekford)

    Set 4 · UNC G 19-20 FURMAN · FURMAN 72% → 79%

  6. 06
    Lauren HaynesKill+6.8%

    Kill by Lauren Haynes (set by Morgan Baldridge)

    Set 3 · UNC G 21-23 FURMAN · FURMAN 56% → 63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Izzy Castelloe (set by Ashley Stein)

    Set 3 · UNC G 21-24 FURMAN · FURMAN 63% → 69%

  8. 08
    Ashley SteinKill+6.4%

    Kill by Ashley Stein (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 4 · UNC G 22-25 FURMAN · FURMAN 94% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4211167.14900010114324
46421.09500000094.510.5
45312.16701120132.58.5
44724-.125111110031.56.5
4003.00036211001224
4001.0000001620000
410522.22700010031.511.5
4001.0005011200000
Team totals4630151.10642446233241589
Furmanhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416637.2700000012218
411224.3750124028618
49825.0400003006312
43621-.143411110052.56.5
4003.000250150010.50.5
1314.50000002010.53.5
410627.1480007002111
46217.23510120031.57.5
4001.0003112400001
4000–001410000
4000–2400700000
Team totals5831159.17057376743281795

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UNC Greensboro vs Furman

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UNC G · FURMAN 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 UNC GFURMAN 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 UNC GFURMAN 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 UNC GFURMAN 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 UNC GFURMAN 3

Bars above the line = Furman leads, below = UNC Greensboro leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
44%8/18
2
50%10/20
55%12/22
3
44%8/18
47%9/19
4
62%8/13
20%2/10
5
62%8/13
33%4/12
6
67%8/12
11%1/9
All
56%53/94
40%36/90

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%11/26
29%4/14
2
56%10/18
50%10/20
3
64%9/14
61%14/23
4
67%8/12
33%4/12
5
89%8/9
43%6/14
6
73%8/11
27%3/11
All
60%54/90
44%41/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#UNC G-FURMANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FURMANUNC G×3BlockedAshley Steinblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+1.8
22-0UNC GUNC G×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+2.3
33-0UNC GUNC G×3Attack errIzzy Castelloe+2.2
43-1UNC GFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
53-2FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedSiena Smiejekblk Amber Watson, Tennyson Gorman+2.3
63-3FURMANFURMAN×3KillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+2.5
74-3FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.0
84-4UNC GFURMAN×5KillAmber Watsonset Ashley Stein+2.0
94-5FURMANFURMAN×5BlockedAllie Sweetblk Kacie Moore, Morgan Baldridge+2.7
104-6FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errHailey Clifton+2.7
114-7FURMANFURMAN×5BlockedAllie Sweetblk Izzy Castelloe+2.6
124-8FURMANFURMAN×5KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.5
135-8FURMANUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+1.7
145-9UNC GFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+2.0
156-9FURMANUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Chloe Nussbaum+1.7
167-9UNC GUNC G×3BlockedAmber Watsonblk Hailey Clifton, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.5
178-9UNC GUNC G×3AceSiena Smiejekaced Amber Watson+2.8
188-10UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.3
199-10FURMANUNC GServe errAshtan Dodson+2.2
209-11UNC GFURMANAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.4
219-12FURMANFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+3.0
2210-12FURMANUNC GBlockedTennyson Gormanblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.1
2311-12UNC GUNC GBlockedAshley Steinblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.0
2411-13UNC GFURMANAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.6
2512-13FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Morgan Baldridge+2.4
2612-14UNC GFURMANAttack errSiena Smiejek+2.7
2713-14FURMANUNC G×4Serve errAshley Stein+2.5
2814-14UNC GUNC G×4AceIzora Graggaced Amber Watson+3.5
2915-14UNC GUNC G×4BlockedTennyson Gormanblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+3.7
3016-14UNC GUNC G×4AceIzora Gragg+3.6
3116-15UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.6
3217-15FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.9
3318-15UNC GUNC GAttack errLauren Haynes+3.4
3418-16UNC GFURMANAttack errKendall Lanclos+2.2
3518-17FURMANFURMANBlockedHailey Cliftonblk Kacie Moore, Lauren Haynes+3.6
3619-17FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.3
3719-18UNC GFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Campbell Woods+2.9
3820-18FURMANUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+3.5
3920-19UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+3.1
4021-19FURMANUNC GAttack errCampbell Woods+3.8
4122-19UNC GUNC GAceKendall Lanclosaced Ashtan Dodson+4.1
4222-20UNC GFURMANKillAshley Steinset Emily Navarro+2.2
4323-20FURMANUNC G×3Serve errMorgan Baldridge+3.3
4424-20UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+2.4
4525-20UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.7
Set 2
10-1UNC GFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Ashley Stein+1.8
20-2FURMANFURMAN×4KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
30-3FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+2.3
40-4FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+2.2
51-4FURMANUNC GBlockedLauren Haynesblk Izora Gragg+1.5
62-4UNC GUNC GAttack errLauren Haynes+2.2
72-5UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
82-6FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+2.2
93-6FURMANUNC G×3KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+1.5
104-6UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Allie Sweet+2.2
115-6UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+2.4
125-7UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+2.0
136-7FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.9
146-8UNC GFURMANBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Lauren Haynes, Kacie Moore+2.1
156-9FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.6
167-9FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.8
177-10UNC GFURMANKillAshley Steinset Emily Navarro+2.1
188-10FURMANUNC GServe errKacie Moore+1.9
198-11UNC GFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+2.1
208-12FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Ashley Stein, Tennyson Gorman+2.5
218-13FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errKendall Lanclos+2.2
229-13FURMANUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.4
239-14UNC GFURMANBlockedAllie Sweetblk Ashley Stein, Tennyson Gorman+1.7
249-15FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.8
2510-15FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.0
2610-16UNC GFURMAN×3KillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+1.4
2710-17FURMANFURMAN×3KillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
2810-18FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errAllie Sweet+0.9
2911-18FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.4
3011-19UNC GFURMANAttack errHailey Clifton+0.6
3112-19FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.3
3212-20UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.5
3312-21FURMANFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+0.4
3413-21FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
3514-21UNC GUNC GBlockedAshley Steinblk Hailey Clifton, Connore' Siler-Nixon+0.3
3614-22UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.4
3714-23FURMANFURMANKillTennyson Gorman+0.2
3815-23FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg·
3915-24UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+0.1
4016-24FURMANUNC G×5KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg·
4117-24UNC GUNC G×5Attack errTennyson Gorman·
4218-24UNC GUNC G×5Bad setMorgan Baldridge+0.1
4319-24UNC GUNC G×5KillConnore' Siler-Nixon+0.2
4420-24UNC GUNC G×5Attack errIzzy Castelloe+0.4
4520-25UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
Set 3
11-0FURMANUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.5
22-0UNC GUNC GBlockedIzzy Castelloeblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+3.1
32-1UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+2.4
43-1FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.5
54-1UNC GUNC GAttack errLauren Haynes+3.1
64-2UNC GFURMANServe errIzora Gragg+2.2
75-2FURMANUNC GBlockedCampbell Woodsblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+2.4
85-3UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.3
95-4FURMANFURMANBlockedHailey Cliftonblk Kacie Moore, Ashley Stein+3.3
106-4FURMANUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.6
117-4UNC GUNC GBlockedAshley Steinblk Hailey Clifton, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.3
127-5UNC GFURMANServe errSiena Smiejek+2.4
138-5FURMANUNC GAttack errTennyson Gorman+2.6
148-6UNC GFURMANBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Campbell Woods, Tennyson Gorman+2.4
159-6FURMANUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.6
169-7UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+2.5
1710-7FURMANUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.7
1811-7UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.2
1912-7UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweet+2.7
2013-7UNC GUNC G×4BlockedTennyson Gormanblk Siena Smiejek+2.2
2113-8UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
2213-9FURMANFURMANAceKennedy Seekfordaced Mia Nicklas+2.3
2314-9FURMANUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.1
2415-9UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.2
2515-10UNC GFURMAN×5KillLauren Haynesset Ashley Stein+1.3
2615-11FURMANFURMAN×5BlockedSiena Smiejekblk Kacie Moore+2.2
2715-12FURMANFURMAN×5KillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+2.9
2815-13FURMANFURMAN×5Attack errAllie Sweet+3.6
2915-14FURMANFURMAN×5KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+4.3
3016-14FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.7
3116-15UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+3.5
3217-15FURMANUNC GAttack errAshley Stein+3.9
3317-16UNC GFURMAN×4KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+3.6
3417-17FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Ashley Stein, Tennyson Gorman+5.5
3517-18FURMANFURMAN×4KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+6.0
3617-19FURMANFURMAN×4AceKacie Mooreaced Allie Sweet+6.0
3718-19FURMANUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+4.1
3818-20UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+5.0
3919-20FURMANUNC GBlockedTennyson Gormanblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+4.3
4019-21UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+5.4
4119-22FURMANFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+6.0
4220-22FURMANUNC GBlockedIzzy Castelloeblk Allie Sweet, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.1
4321-22UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+6.2
4421-23UNC GFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Morgan Baldridge+6.8
4521-24FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Ashley Stein+6.5
4622-24FURMANUNC GServe errKennedy Seekford+2.0
4722-25UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+4.7
Set 4
11-0UNC GUNC GAttack errTennyson Gorman+3.4
21-1UNC GFURMANAttack errAllie Sweet+2.6
32-1FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.7
42-2UNC GFURMANBlockedAllie Sweetblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+2.7
53-2FURMANUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Kendall Lanclos+2.7
64-2UNC GUNC G×3Attack errKacie Moore+3.5
75-2UNC GUNC G×3BlockedLauren Haynesblk Allie Sweet+3.3
85-3UNC GFURMANKillLauren Haynesset Kennedy Seekford+2.4
95-4FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+3.5
106-4FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.8
116-5UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+2.7
126-6FURMANFURMANAttack errKendall Lanclos+3.8
137-6FURMANUNC GServe errKacie Moore+3.0
147-7UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+3.0
157-8FURMANFURMANAttack errHailey Clifton+4.1
168-8FURMANUNC GServe errCampbell Woods+3.1
179-8UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+4.1
189-9UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+3.2
1910-9FURMANUNC GBlockedTennyson Gormanblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.3
2011-9UNC GUNC GAttack errIzzy Castelloe+4.2
2111-10UNC GFURMANServe errKendall Lanclos+3.1
2211-11FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+4.4
2312-11FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.5
2413-11UNC GUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+4.5
2513-12UNC GFURMANBlockedAllie Sweetblk Kacie Moore, Izzy Castelloe+3.3
2613-13FURMANFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+4.8
2714-13FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+3.8
2814-14UNC GFURMANBlockedAllie Sweetblk Kacie Moore+3.8
2915-14FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+4.0
3016-14UNC GUNC GAttack errAshley Stein+5.1
3116-15UNC GFURMANAttack errKendall Lanclos+3.7
3217-15FURMANUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+4.1
3317-16UNC GFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+3.8
3418-16FURMANUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+4.4
3518-17UNC GFURMANBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Ashley Stein, Tennyson Gorman+4.0
3618-18FURMANFURMANAceAshley Steinaced Mia Nicklas+6.2
3719-18FURMANUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+5.1
3819-19UNC GFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+5.1
3919-20FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+7.4
4020-20FURMANUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+5.6
4121-20UNC GUNC GAttack errLauren Haynes+8.0
4221-21UNC GFURMAN×3Serve errChloe Nussbaum+6.1
4321-22FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedAllie Sweetblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+9.4
4421-23FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedAllie Sweetblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+9.3
4522-23FURMANUNC GAttack errKacie Moore+5.2
4622-24UNC GFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+8.4
4722-25FURMANFURMANKillAshley Steinset Emily Navarro+6.4

Score shown after each rally, UNC Greensboro first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).