Rider vs Niagara Volleyball: Rider Wins 3-0 (Oct 30, 2026)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Rider 72.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rider won at Niagara 3-0 (25-19, 25-12, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Rider's Rylah Robinson led with 13 kills, and Simone Langford added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 7:15 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RIDER	25	25	25	3
NIAGRA	19	12	15	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.550 and 13 kills for Rylah Robinson as Rider rolled past Niagara.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.4 points. Niagara peaked at 34% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Rider went in as RallyIQ's 73% pick.

RiderNiagara

Break %+27.0 pts
56.829.8
42 of 74 on serve vs 14 of 47, so Niagara's sideout was 43.2%.
Hitting+.292
.395.103
41 kills, 7 errors vs 28 kills, 18 errors.
Longest run+2
64
6 straight Rider points in the second set broke a 2–2 tie and made it 8–2. That set ended 25–12.

Niagara above 50Rider belowMax swing 2.4%

RiderNiagara

Aces: Rider 9·Niagara 2
Serve err: Rider 9·Niagara 5
Blocks: Rider 8·Niagara 55 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Rider 43·Niagara 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Niagara above 50 · Rider below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Niagara — set 1, RIDER 12-11 NIAGRA. Kill by Ashley Moreland (set by Makenna Mason). NIAGRA win probability 23% → 25%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RIDER 78.2%21.8% NIAGRA

Rider wins

3-0

29.8%

3-1

29.7%

3-2

18.7%

Niagara wins

3-0

3.6%

3-1

7.3%

3-2

10.8%

RIDER break %: 46.7% vs this opp
NIAGRA break %: 40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ashley MorelandKill+2.4%
Kill by Ashley Moreland (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 12-11 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 23% → 25%
02
Payton Lee&Jakayla BrownBlock+2.3%
Aubrey Baker stuffed by Payton Lee & Jakayla Brown
Set 1 · RIDER 1-4 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 31% → 34%
03
Payton Lee&Jakayla BrownBlock+2.3%
Aubrey Baker stuffed by Payton Lee & Jakayla Brown
Set 1 · RIDER 1-3 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 29% → 31%
04
Paisley Ka’ahanuiBad set+2.3%
Bad set by Paisley Ka’ahanui
Set 1 · RIDER 14-11 NIAGRA · RIDER 77% → 79%
05
Aubrey BakerKill+2.2%
Kill by Aubrey Baker (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 6-5 NIAGRA · RIDER 72% → 74%
06
RiderAce+2.2%
Rider ace
Set 1 · RIDER 4-4 NIAGRA · RIDER 70% → 72%
07
Anja KellyKill+2.2%
Kill by Anja Kelly (set by Makenna Mason)
Set 1 · RIDER 3-4 NIAGRA · RIDER 68% → 70%
08
Payton LeeKill+2.2%
Kill by Payton Lee (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)
Set 1 · RIDER 1-2 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 27% → 29%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Rideraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Tori BonacciMB	3	10	0	16	.625	0	3	3	2	0	1	1	1.5	14.5
0Aubrey BakerOH	3	9	3	20	.300	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	10
22Anja KellyOPP	3	7	1	18	.333	0	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	9.5
6Molly RohdeMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3
9Makenna MasonS	3	1	0	3	.333	34	0	0	6	0	1	0	1	2
4Olivia DeSaroL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
7Rylah RobinsonOH	3	13	2	20	.550	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	13
17Simone LangfordL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	2	1	11	1	0	0	0	2
10Carly AllenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	2
14Katie CookS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		41	7	86	.395	37	9	9	43	2	5	6	8	75

Niagarahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Karlotta KattaiOH	3	9	7	34	.059	0	1	2	12	0	0	0	0	10
17Payton LeeOH	3	7	1	11	.545	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
7Taylor JenkinsMB	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
18Katelynn RottmanOH	3	1	5	18	-.222	3	0	1	6	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
3Paisley Ka’ahanuiS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
10Jakayla BrownMB	2	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
8Kadence GoolsbyOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
2Ashley MorelandL/DS	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	1
14Noel PerkinsOH	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
6Sole RancyMB	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	2
9Elyannah SonzaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	18	97	.103	25	2	5	36	9	1	8	5	46

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rider vs Niagara

Season series · Rider leads 2-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026Niagara at Rider · Rider won 3-1Result →
Fri, Oct 30, 2026Rider at Niagara · Rider won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 RIDER · NIAGRA 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 RIDERNIAGRA 4

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 6 RIDERNIAGRA 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 RIDERNIAGRA 2

Bars above the line = Niagara leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rider

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	50%6/12
2	60%6/10	50%6/12
3	86%6/7	65%11/17
4	71%5/7	58%7/12
5	63%5/8	62%8/13
6	80%4/5	50%4/8
All	70%33/47	57%42/74

Niagara

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	17%1/6
2	43%6/14	42%5/12
3	29%5/17	25%2/8
4	83%5/6	38%3/8
5	38%5/13	0%0/5
6	40%4/10	38%3/8
All	43%32/74	30%14/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#	RIDER-NIAGRA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	Rider	aced Ashley Moreland	+2.0
2	1-1	RIDER	NIAGRA×4	Serve err	Rider		+1.6
3	1-2	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×4	Kill	Payton Lee	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+2.2
4	1-3	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×4	Blocked	Aubrey Baker	blk Payton Lee, Jakayla Brown	+2.3
5	1-4	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×4	Blocked	Aubrey Baker	blk Payton Lee, Jakayla Brown	+2.3
6	2-4	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+1.6
7	3-4	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+2.2
8	4-4	RIDER	RIDER×3	Ace	Rider		+2.2
9	4-5	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Payton Lee	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+1.8
10	5-5	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Blocked	Karlotta Kattai	blk Anja Kelly, Tori Bonacci	+1.7
11	6-5	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+2.2
12	7-5	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+2.1
13	7-6	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Noel Perkins	+1.6
14	8-6	NIAGRA	RIDER	Attack err	Jakayla Brown		+1.6
15	8-7	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Jakayla Brown	set Noel Perkins	+1.6
16	9-7	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+1.7
17	10-7	RIDER	RIDER×3	Attack err	Kadence Goolsby		+2.0
18	11-7	RIDER	RIDER×3	Ace	Rider		+1.7
19	11-8	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+1.2
20	11-9	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Kill	Katelynn Rottman	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+1.9
21	12-9	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+1.6
22	12-10	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Payton Lee	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+1.5
23	12-11	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Kill	Ashley Moreland	set Makenna Mason	+2.4
24	13-11	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Blocked	Karlotta Kattai	blk Anja Kelly, Molly Rohde	+1.9
25	14-11	RIDER	RIDER×3	Bad set	Paisley Ka’ahanui		+2.3
26	15-11	RIDER	RIDER×3	Attack err	Payton Lee		+1.9
27	15-12	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Taylor Jenkins	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+1.2
28	16-12	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+1.5
29	16-13	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+1.3
30	16-14	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Kill	Kadence Goolsby	set Noel Perkins	+2.2
31	17-14	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+1.9
32	17-15	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+1.7
33	18-15	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+2.0
34	19-15	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	Rider	aced Katelynn Rottman	+2.1
35	19-16	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Kadence Goolsby	set Noel Perkins	+1.2
36	20-16	NIAGRA	RIDER×5	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+1.6
37	21-16	RIDER	RIDER×5	Attack err	Katelynn Rottman		+1.4
38	22-16	RIDER	RIDER×5	Attack err	Katelynn Rottman		+0.8
39	23-16	RIDER	RIDER×5	Attack err	Kadence Goolsby		+0.3
40	24-16	RIDER	RIDER×5	Ace	Rider	aced Ashley Moreland	+0.1
41	24-17	RIDER	NIAGRA×3	Serve err	Rider		·
42	24-18	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		·
43	24-19	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×3	Ace	Paisley Ka’ahanui	aced Rylah Robinson	+0.1
44	25-19	NIAGRA	RIDER	Serve err	Paisley Ka’ahanui		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+1.2
2	2-0	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	Rider		+1.5
3	2-1	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+1.2
4	2-2	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Elyannah Sonza	+1.7
5	3-2	NIAGRA	RIDER×6	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+1.3
6	4-2	RIDER	RIDER×6	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+1.6
7	5-2	RIDER	RIDER×6	Ace	Rider		+1.4
8	6-2	RIDER	RIDER×6	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+1.3
9	7-2	RIDER	RIDER×6	Blocked	Karlotta Kattai	blk Makenna Mason	+1.1
10	8-2	RIDER	RIDER×6	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Olivia DeSaro	+0.9
11	8-3	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+0.6
12	9-3	NIAGRA	RIDER×5	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+0.7
13	10-3	RIDER	RIDER×5	Attack err	Jakayla Brown		+0.7
14	11-3	RIDER	RIDER×5	Kill	Tori Bonacci		+0.5
15	12-3	RIDER	RIDER×5	Attack err	Karlotta Kattai		+0.4
16	13-3	RIDER	RIDER×5	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.2
17	13-4	RIDER	NIAGRA×3	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Noel Perkins	+0.1
18	13-5	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×3	Kill	Jakayla Brown	set Katelynn Rottman	+0.2
19	13-6	NIAGRA	NIAGRA×3	Ace	Karlotta Kattai	aced Simone Langford	+0.4
20	14-6	NIAGRA	RIDER	Serve err	Karlotta Kattai		+0.4
21	14-7	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Kadence Goolsby	set Noel Perkins	+0.3
22	15-7	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.3
23	15-8	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Kadence Goolsby	set Noel Perkins	+0.2
24	16-8	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.3
25	17-8	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Simone Langford	+0.3
26	18-8	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
27	18-9	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Taylor Jenkins	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+0.1
28	19-9	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
29	20-9	RIDER	RIDER×3	Bad set	Katelynn Rottman		+0.1
30	21-9	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	·
31	21-10	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Payton Lee	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	·
32	21-11	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Katelynn Rottman	·
33	22-11	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	·
34	22-12	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Payton Lee	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	·
35	23-12	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	·
36	24-12	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	·
37	25-12	RIDER	RIDER×3	Ace	Rider		·
Set 3
1	1-0	RIDER	RIDER	Blocked	Karlotta Kattai	blk Molly Rohde, Anja Kelly	+0.9
2	1-1	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Payton Lee	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+0.7
3	2-1	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.7
4	2-2	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+0.7
5	2-3	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Kill	Kadence Goolsby	set Noel Perkins	+1.0
6	3-3	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+0.7
7	4-3	RIDER	RIDER×3	Attack err	Katelynn Rottman		+0.9
8	5-3	RIDER	RIDER×3	Blocked	Karlotta Kattai	blk Aubrey Baker	+0.9
9	5-4	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Taylor Jenkins	set Noel Perkins	+0.7
10	6-4	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Tori Bonacci	set Makenna Mason	+0.7
11	6-5	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+0.7
12	7-5	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Kill	Makenna Mason	set Simone Langford	+0.7
13	8-5	RIDER	RIDER×3	Ace	Rider	aced Ashley Moreland	+0.8
14	9-5	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.7
15	9-6	RIDER	NIAGRA	Blocked	Rylah Robinson	blk Sole Rancy, Kadence Goolsby	+0.5
16	10-6	NIAGRA	RIDER×4	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.6
17	11-6	RIDER	RIDER×4	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.6
18	12-6	RIDER	RIDER×4	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.5
19	13-6	RIDER	RIDER×4	Blocked	Katelynn Rottman	blk Molly Rohde	+0.4
20	13-7	RIDER	NIAGRA	Blocked	Anja Kelly	blk Katelynn Rottman, Sole Rancy	+0.2
21	14-7	NIAGRA	RIDER	Serve err	Katelynn Rottman		+0.3
22	14-8	RIDER	NIAGRA	Blocked	Molly Rohde	blk Sole Rancy	+0.2
23	15-8	NIAGRA	RIDER	Blocked	Karlotta Kattai	blk Anja Kelly	+0.3
24	15-9	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	+0.2
25	16-9	NIAGRA	RIDER×3	Serve err	Noel Perkins		+0.3
26	17-9	RIDER	RIDER×3	Attack err	Kadence Goolsby		+0.2
27	18-9	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Aubrey Baker		+0.1
28	18-10	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+0.1
29	18-11	NIAGRA	NIAGRA	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.1
30	19-11	NIAGRA	RIDER	Serve err	Karlotta Kattai		+0.1
31	19-12	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+0.1
32	20-12	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
33	20-13	RIDER	NIAGRA	Serve err	Rider		+0.1
34	21-13	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
35	22-13	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
36	22-14	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Payton Lee	set Katelynn Rottman	·
37	23-14	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	·
38	23-15	RIDER	NIAGRA	Kill	Karlotta Kattai	set Paisley Ka’ahanui	·
39	24-15	NIAGRA	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	·
40	25-15	RIDER	RIDER	Blocked	Katelynn Rottman	blk Tori Bonacci	·

Score shown after each rally, Rider first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Rider def. Niagara 3–0

.550 and 13 kills for Rylah Robinson as Rider rolled past Niagara.