FinalTue, Sep 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Canisius def. Niagara 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Canisius 54.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Sep 29, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Canisius won at Niagara 3-0 (25-17, 26-24, 25-21) on Tue, Sep 29, 2026. Canisius' Emma Isroff led with 10 kills, and Brenda Reynaga added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 29

Set123Sets
CANISI2526253
NIAGRA1724210

Win probability

Niagara above 50 · Canisius below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.0% CANISIrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.0% to Canisius — set 2, CANISI 26-24 NIAGRA. Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Anna Rich). NIAGRA win probability 17% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CANISI 61.4%38.6% NIAGRA

Canisius wins

3-0
17.9%
3-1
23.5%
3-2
20.0%

Niagara wins

3-0
8.3%
3-1
14.0%
3-2
16.3%
CANISI break %
45.5% vs this opp
NIAGRA break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Azoria DavisKill+8.0%

    Kill by Azoria Davis (set by Anna Rich)

    Set 2 · CANISI 26-24 NIAGRA · CANISI 83% → 91%

  2. 02
    Emma IsroffKill+6.7%

    Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 2 · CANISI 24-23 NIAGRA · CANISI 77% → 83%

  3. 03

    Kill by Chloe Moreland (set by Ashley Moreland)

    Set 2 · CANISI 24-24 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 17% → 23%

  4. 04
    NiagaraService error+6.7%

    Niagara service error

    Set 2 · CANISI 25-24 NIAGRA · CANISI 77% → 83%

  5. 05
    Emma IsroffKill+5.2%

    Kill by Emma Isroff (set by Kenslie Warmbrodt)

    Set 2 · CANISI 23-22 NIAGRA · CANISI 77% → 82%

  6. 06

    Kill by Chloe Moreland (set by Paisley Ka’ahanui)

    Set 2 · CANISI 23-23 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 18% → 23%

  7. 07
    NiagaraService error+4.4%

    Niagara service error

    Set 2 · CANISI 22-21 NIAGRA · CANISI 77% → 81%

  8. 08
    CanisiusService error+4.3%

    Canisius service error

    Set 2 · CANISI 22-22 NIAGRA · NIAGRA 19% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310321.33304220212.516.5
39322.27313380010.512.5
38224.250004400008
3026-.33301220313.54.5
3205.400000201224
3000–1910200001
34215.13301110212.57.5
3011-1.0001111120001
3000–900500000
1000–001000000
Team totals331394.213301114373861176
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38520.150000100008
3205.400000002024
3204.500001100002
3002.0001720800002
2159-.444001120001
1239-.111000600002
38627.074012310009
34213.154000200004
3001.0002011430000
3000–000400000
3000–1000200000
2228.000001200002
1112.000000000001
Team totals3024100.0602936441120262

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Canisius vs Niagara

Season series · Canisius leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 CANISI · NIAGRA 5

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 CANISINIAGRA 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 3 CANISINIAGRA 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 9 CANISINIAGRA 3

Bars above the line = Niagara leads, below = Canisius leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Canisius

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
45%5/11
2
67%8/12
38%5/13
3
78%7/9
46%6/13
4
60%6/10
50%6/12
5
56%5/9
71%12/17
6
45%5/11
38%3/8
All
61%39/64
50%37/74

Niagara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
56%9/16
2
64%7/11
33%4/12
3
55%6/11
13%1/8
4
35%6/17
33%3/9
5
42%5/12
45%5/11
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
50%37/74
39%25/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#CANISI-NIAGRASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKatelynn Rottmanset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.4
20-2NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.4
30-3NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagaraaced Brenda Reynaga+2.4
41-3NIAGRACANISI×5Attack errPayton Lee+1.8
52-3CANISICANISI×5Attack errPayton Lee+2.4
63-3CANISICANISI×5Attack errKatelynn Rottman+2.4
74-3CANISICANISI×5KillEmma Isroff+2.4
85-3CANISICANISI×5AceCanisiusaced Katelynn Rottman+2.4
95-4CANISINIAGRA×3KillKarlotta Kattaiset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.8
105-5NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errAzoria Davis+2.5
115-6NIAGRANIAGRA×3Bad setKenslie Warmbrodt+2.6
126-6NIAGRACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.1
137-6CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenik+2.6
147-7CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+2.1
158-7NIAGRACANISI×4BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Emma Isroff, McKenna Corcoran+2.1
169-7CANISICANISI×4AceCanisius+2.6
1710-7CANISICANISI×4BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Emma Isroff+2.4
1811-7CANISICANISI×4KillJulia Lenik+2.2
1911-8CANISINIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.6
2012-8NIAGRACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.8
2112-9CANISINIAGRAKillKarlotta Kattaiset Noel Perkins+1.6
2213-9NIAGRACANISIKillHannah Kosset Julia Lenik+1.8
2314-9CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Ashley Moreland+1.9
2414-10CANISINIAGRA×3Serve errCanisius+1.2
2514-11NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errEmily Helmers+2.0
2614-12NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+2.5
2715-12NIAGRACANISI×5KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+2.2
2816-12CANISICANISI×5KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+2.4
2917-12CANISICANISI×5BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Hannah Kos+1.9
3018-12CANISICANISI×5AceCanisius+1.4
3119-12CANISICANISI×5Attack errKatelynn Rottman+0.9
3219-13CANISINIAGRAAttack errEmily Helmers+0.5
3319-14NIAGRANIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.9
3420-14NIAGRACANISIBlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Hannah Kos+1.0
3521-14CANISICANISIAceCanisius+0.8
3621-15CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+0.3
3722-15NIAGRACANISI×3Serve errNiagara+0.5
3823-15CANISICANISI×3BlockedPayton Leeblk Julia Lenik, McKenna Corcoran+0.3
3924-15CANISICANISI×3BlockedKarlotta Kattaiblk Emma Isroff+0.1
4024-16CANISINIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui·
4124-17NIAGRANIAGRABlockedEmma Isroffblk Jakayla Brown·
4225-17NIAGRACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt·
Set 2
10-1CANISINIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.7
21-1NIAGRACANISIAttack errKatelynn Rottman+1.6
31-2CANISINIAGRAKillTaylor Jenkinsset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.7
42-2NIAGRACANISI×3Serve errNiagara+1.7
53-2CANISICANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.1
64-2CANISICANISI×3BlockedKatelynn Rottmanblk Emily Helmers+2.1
74-3CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+1.6
85-3NIAGRACANISI×3KillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.7
96-3CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Ashley Moreland+2.0
107-3CANISICANISI×3Bad setKatelynn Rottman+1.8
117-4CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+1.3
127-5NIAGRANIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Noel Perkins+1.9
138-5NIAGRACANISIServe errNiagara+1.6
149-5CANISICANISIAceCanisiusaced Katelynn Rottman+1.9
159-6CANISINIAGRAAttack errBrenda Reynaga+1.4
1610-6NIAGRACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+1.5
1710-7CANISINIAGRA×5Serve errCanisius+1.4
1810-8NIAGRANIAGRA×5AceNiagaraaced Brenda Reynaga+2.0
1910-9NIAGRANIAGRA×5KillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.3
2010-10NIAGRANIAGRA×5Attack errHannah Kos+2.6
2110-11NIAGRANIAGRA×5KillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.8
2211-11NIAGRACANISIAttack errKaitlyn Doyle+2.1
2312-11CANISICANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+2.7
2412-12CANISINIAGRAAttack errHannah Kos+2.2
2513-12NIAGRACANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.3
2613-13CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+2.3
2714-13NIAGRACANISIKillMcKenna Corcoranset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.4
2814-14CANISINIAGRAKillJakayla Brownset Paisley Ka’ahanui+2.4
2914-15NIAGRANIAGRABlockedEmma Isroffblk Jakayla Brown+3.3
3015-15NIAGRACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+2.5
3116-15CANISICANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+3.3
3216-16CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+2.6
3316-17NIAGRANIAGRABad setAnna Rich+3.6
3417-17NIAGRACANISI×3KillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+2.8
3518-17CANISICANISI×3Attack errKadence Goolsby+3.7
3619-17CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+3.6
3719-18CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+2.6
3819-19NIAGRANIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins+4.0
3920-19NIAGRACANISIAttack errKadence Goolsby+3.5
4020-20CANISINIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+3.5
4121-20NIAGRACANISIKillHannah Kosset Anna Rich+3.8
4221-21CANISINIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Paisley Ka’ahanui+3.8
4322-21NIAGRACANISIServe errNiagara+4.4
4422-22CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+4.3
4523-22NIAGRACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+5.2
4623-23CANISINIAGRAKillChloe Morelandset Paisley Ka’ahanui+5.1
4724-23NIAGRACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+6.7
4824-24CANISINIAGRAKillChloe Morelandset Ashley Moreland+6.7
4925-24NIAGRACANISIServe errNiagara+6.7
5026-24CANISICANISIKillAzoria Davisset Anna Rich+8.0
Set 3
11-0NIAGRACANISIAttack errPayton Lee+1.0
21-1CANISINIAGRAKillTaylor Jenkinsset Paisley Ka’ahanui+1.0
32-1NIAGRACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.0
43-1CANISICANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.2
53-2CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+1.0
64-2NIAGRACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.0
74-3CANISINIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Ashley Moreland+1.0
85-3NIAGRACANISI×9KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+1.0
96-3CANISICANISI×9Bad setKaitlyn Doyle+1.2
107-3CANISICANISI×9AceCanisiusaced Kaitlyn Doyle+1.1
118-3CANISICANISI×9BlockedChloe Morelandblk Emily Helmers+1.0
129-3CANISICANISI×9KillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.8
1310-3CANISICANISI×9AceCanisius+0.7
1411-3CANISICANISI×9Attack errKaitlyn Doyle+0.5
1512-3CANISICANISI×9AceCanisius+0.4
1613-3CANISICANISI×9Attack errChloe Moreland+0.3
1713-4CANISINIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.1
1813-5NIAGRANIAGRAAttack errJulia Lenik+0.3
1914-5NIAGRACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Anna Rich+0.3
2014-6CANISINIAGRAKillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins+0.2
2115-6NIAGRACANISIServe errNiagara+0.3
2215-7CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+0.2
2316-7NIAGRACANISIBlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk McKenna Corcoran+0.2
2416-8CANISINIAGRA×3KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.2
2516-9NIAGRANIAGRA×3AceNiagara+0.3
2616-10NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errEmma Isroff+0.4
2717-10NIAGRACANISIKillAzoria Davisset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.5
2817-11CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+0.3
2918-11NIAGRACANISIKillEmma Isroffset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.4
3018-12CANISINIAGRA×3KillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.3
3118-13NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillMaille Maloneset Noel Perkins+0.5
3218-14NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errJulia Lenik+0.8
3319-14NIAGRACANISIKillJulia Lenikset Kenslie Warmbrodt+0.8
3419-15CANISINIAGRA×3Attack errJulia Lenik+0.6
3519-16NIAGRANIAGRA×3KillKaitlyn Doyleset Noel Perkins+1.1
3619-17NIAGRANIAGRA×3Attack errAzoria Davis+1.5
3720-17NIAGRACANISI×3BlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Emily Helmers+1.5
3821-17CANISICANISI×3KillAzoria Davisset Brenda Reynaga+1.5
3922-17CANISICANISI×3AceCanisiusaced Ashley Moreland+0.9
4022-18CANISINIAGRAServe errCanisius+0.4
4123-18NIAGRACANISIBlockedKaitlyn Doyleblk Emily Helmers, Hannah Kos+0.7
4223-19CANISINIAGRAKillKadence Goolsbyset Noel Perkins+0.3
4323-20NIAGRANIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Paisley Ka’ahanui+0.7
4424-20NIAGRACANISIAttack errPayton Lee+1.0
4524-21CANISINIAGRAKillPayton Leeset Ashley Moreland+0.3
4625-21NIAGRACANISIAttack errMaille Malone+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Canisius first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).