Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Rice def. Tulsa 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tulsa 78.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Rice won at Tulsa 3-1 (26-24, 25-19, 24-26, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Rice's Sydnee Peterson led with 19 kills.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
RICE262524253
TULSA241926161

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sydnee Peterson's 19 kills led Rice past Tulsa in a tight one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Rice's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Tulsa was RallyIQ's 78% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Rice 22–24 Tulsa

    Rice's low point. Rice then won 4 of the next 4 rallies and the set 26–24.

    Rice 14% → 41%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Rice 19–16 Tulsa

    Down 16–19, Tulsa scored 5 straight to lead 21–19.

    Rice 89% → 64%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Rice 2–1 Tulsa

    Rice scored 7 straight to stretch a 2–1 lead to 9–1.

    Rice 63% → 92%

Tulsa above 50Rice belowMax swing 10.6%

RiceTulsa

Sideout %
Rice 53.5·Tulsa 45.5
Break %
Rice 54.5·Tulsa 46.5
Hitting
Rice .253·Tulsa .173
Longest run
Rice 7·Tulsa 6

Sydnee Peterson
5 kills inside the turning points, 19 K and .231 for the match (20.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tulsa above 50 · Rice below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.6% RICErally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.6% to Rice — set 3, RICE 24-24 TULSA. Campbell Hague stuffed by Arissa Smith & Amalia Simmons. TULSA win probability 37% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RICE 32.8%67.2% TULSA

Rice wins

3-0
6.5%
3-1
11.6%
3-2
14.6%

Tulsa wins

3-0
21.4%
3-1
25.8%
3-2
20.0%
RICE break %
38.9% vs this opp
TULSA break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Campbell Hague stuffed by Arissa Smith & Amalia Simmons

    Set 3 · RICE 24-24 TULSA · RICE 63% → 73%

  2. 02
    Jill HansonAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Jill Hanson

    Set 1 · RICE 26-24 TULSA · RICE 31% → 41%

  3. 03
    Lexi DahlKill+9.6%

    Kill by Lexi Dahl (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 3 · RICE 24-26 TULSA · TULSA 34% → 43%

  4. 04
    RiceAce+8.5%

    Rice ace

    Set 1 · RICE 25-24 TULSA · RICE 23% → 31%

  5. 05
    Jill HansonAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Jill Hanson

    Set 1 · RICE 24-24 TULSA · RICE 16% → 23%

  6. 06

    Kill by Isabella Ocampo (set by Brittany Bacorn)

    Set 3 · RICE 24-25 TULSA · TULSA 27% → 34%

  7. 07

    Kellen Dorotik stuffed by Campbell Hague & Olivia Vance

    Set 3 · RICE 19-20 TULSA · TULSA 25% → 31%

  8. 08

    Kellen Dorotik stuffed by Campbell Hague & Olivia Vance

    Set 3 · RICE 19-19 TULSA · TULSA 19% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Riceaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419752.23100292031.520.5
411220.45000020073.514.5
412121.5240005002113
47620.050000000429
4001.00043201700002
4000–7231110002
4000–2201720002
4000–010400001
37318.22200011010.57.5
32214.00000040010.52.5
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals5821146.25353757070189100
Tulsahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415143.32600131132.517.5
413226.4231033016417
44417.00000000132.56.5
44416.00010030031.55.5
4103.333300180010.51.5
24515-.067011610005
43213.077041620007
4000–4031410000
2439.111000100215
21011.000020400003
2027-.286000200000
2000–600100000
2000–000400000
2000–000100000
1106.167100100001
Team totals5023156.173437105773181285

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rice vs Tulsa

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 RICE · TULSA 6

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 RICETULSA 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 7 RICETULSA 6

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 6 RICETULSA 5

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 7 RICETULSA 3

Bars above the line = Tulsa leads, below = Rice leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
46%6/13
2
53%9/17
65%17/26
3
40%8/20
47%7/15
4
70%7/10
46%6/13
5
58%7/12
42%5/12
6
60%6/10
65%13/20
All
53%46/86
55%54/99

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%9/24
33%4/12
2
35%8/23
61%14/23
3
80%8/10
47%7/15
4
54%7/13
47%7/15
5
47%7/15
46%6/13
6
43%6/14
25%2/8
All
45%45/99
47%40/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#RICE-TULSASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TULSARICEBlockedMaegan Millsblk Arissa Smith, Kellen Dorotik+1.4
21-1RICETULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
31-2TULSATULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
42-2TULSARICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+1.3
53-2RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+2.1
63-3RICETULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+1.3
73-4TULSATULSAAttack errSydnee Peterson+2.0
84-4TULSARICE×3Serve errTulsa+1.4
95-4RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+2.2
106-4RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
116-5RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Kat Cooper+1.4
127-5TULSARICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.7
138-5RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.5
149-5RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.5
159-6RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+1.4
169-7TULSATULSABlockedSydnee Petersonblk Campbell Hague+2.3
1710-7TULSARICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.8
1811-7RICERICE×4Attack errMaegan Mills+2.6
1912-7RICERICE×4KillArissa Smith+2.4
2013-7RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.1
2113-8RICETULSAKillMaegan Millsset Campbell Hague+1.0
2214-8TULSARICEServe errTulsa+1.4
2314-9RICETULSAKillMaegan Millsset Lauren Patterson+1.0
2414-10TULSATULSAAttack errKellen Dorotik+1.9
2515-10TULSARICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.7
2615-11RICETULSAServe errRice+1.2
2715-12TULSATULSABlockedArissa Smithblk Jill Hanson+2.3
2816-12TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.0
2916-13RICETULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.4
3016-14TULSATULSA×3KillCampbell Hague+2.7
3116-15TULSATULSA×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Kat Cooper, Campbell Hague+3.1
3217-15TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.5
3317-16RICETULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
3417-17TULSATULSA×3KillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+3.5
3517-18TULSATULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+3.5
3618-18TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.4
3718-19RICETULSAServe errRice+2.4
3819-19TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.5
3919-20RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+2.7
4020-20TULSARICEAttack errMaegan Mills+2.8
4120-21RICETULSAKillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+3.0
4220-22TULSATULSABlockedAshlyn Seayblk Jill Hanson, Kat Cooper+4.1
4321-22TULSARICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+2.1
4422-22RICERICEBlockedJill Hansonblk Arissa Smith, Kellen Dorotik+5.0
4522-23RICETULSAServe errRice+4.0
4622-24TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Sydnee Peterson+5.2
4723-24TULSARICE×4Serve errTulsa+1.8
4824-24RICERICE×4Attack errJill Hanson+7.3
4925-24RICERICE×4AceRice+8.5
5026-24RICERICE×4Attack errJill Hanson+9.9
Set 2
11-0RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
22-0RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Maegan Mills+3.2
33-0RICERICE×3Attack errOlivia Vance+3.3
43-1RICETULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
53-2TULSATULSABlockedKellen Dorotikblk Olivia Vance+3.1
64-2TULSARICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+2.3
75-2RICERICEAttack errKat Cooper+3.5
85-3RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
96-3TULSARICEBlockedAva Steffeblk Sydnee Peterson, Stephanie Gutierrez+2.4
106-4RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.1
116-5TULSATULSAAceTulsaaced Ashlyn Seay+3.3
127-5TULSARICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.5
138-5RICERICE×4Bad setMeg Goodwin+3.8
149-5RICERICE×4BlockedAva Steffeblk Ashlyn Seay, Arissa Smith+3.7
1510-5RICERICE×4Attack errMaegan Mills+3.5
1610-6RICETULSAKillMaegan Millsset Brittany Bacorn+1.8
1711-6TULSARICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.4
1812-6RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Isabella Ocampo+3.1
1913-6RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.6
2013-7RICETULSAKillBrittany Bacornset Mari Furoyama+1.1
2114-7TULSARICE×7KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.7
2215-7RICERICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.9
2316-7RICERICE×7BlockedKat Cooperblk Sydnee Peterson, Arissa Smith+1.3
2417-7RICERICE×7Attack errMaegan Mills+0.8
2518-7RICERICE×7KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.4
2619-7RICERICE×7BlockedKat Cooperblk Kellen Dorotik, Arissa Smith+0.2
2720-7RICERICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+0.1
2820-8RICETULSAKillMikey Freemanset Lauren Patterson·
2921-8TULSARICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal·
3021-9RICETULSA×6KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn·
3121-10TULSATULSA×6KillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson·
3221-11TULSATULSA×6BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Campbell Hague, Kat Cooper+0.1
3321-12TULSATULSA×6KillOlivia Vanceset Mikey Freeman+0.1
3421-13TULSATULSA×6KillCampbell Hague+0.2
3521-14TULSATULSA×6BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+0.4
3622-14TULSARICEServe errTulsa+0.5
3722-15RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+0.1
3823-15TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+0.3
3923-16RICETULSA×4Attack errAshlyn Seay+0.1
4023-17TULSATULSA×4AceTulsaaced Sydnee Peterson+0.2
4123-18TULSATULSA×4Attack errStephanie Gutierrez+0.5
4223-19TULSATULSA×4KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.0
4324-19TULSARICEServe errTulsa+1.4
4425-19RICERICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.5
Set 3
11-0TULSARICE×6BlockedIsabella Ocampoblk Arissa Smith, Kellen Dorotik+2.0
22-0RICERICE×6KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+3.1
33-0RICERICE×6Attack errKat Cooper+3.3
44-0RICERICE×6Bad setBrittany Bacorn+3.3
55-0RICERICE×6KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+3.2
66-0RICERICE×6KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.0
76-1RICETULSA×3KillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+1.5
86-2TULSATULSA×3AceTulsa+2.7
96-3TULSATULSA×3KillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
107-3TULSARICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+2.3
118-3RICERICE×4BlockedEmma Blaineblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+3.3
129-3RICERICE×4Attack errEmma Blaine+3.0
1310-3RICERICE×4KillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+2.6
1410-4RICETULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
1511-4TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.7
1611-5RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.2
1712-5TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.7
1812-6RICETULSA×4Serve errSydnee Peterson+1.2
1912-7TULSATULSA×4KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
2012-8TULSATULSA×4KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.7
2112-9TULSATULSA×4KillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+3.2
2213-9TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.7
2313-10RICETULSAAttack errAshlyn Seay+2.1
2413-11TULSATULSABlockedArissa Smithblk Jill Hanson, Brittany Bacorn+3.7
2514-11TULSARICEServe errTulsa+3.0
2614-12RICETULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
2715-12TULSARICE×4Serve errTulsa+3.1
2816-12RICERICE×4AceMari Furoyamaaced Olivia Vance+4.2
2917-12RICERICE×4Attack errJill Hanson+3.6
3018-12RICERICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+2.8
3118-13RICETULSA×4Serve errMari Furoyama+1.1
3218-14TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
3318-15TULSATULSA×4AceIsabella Ocampoaced Mari Furoyama+3.2
3418-16TULSATULSA×4Bad setSavannah Skopal+4.1
3519-16TULSARICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+3.6
3619-17RICETULSA×5BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Jill Hanson, Emma Blaine+2.7
3719-18TULSATULSA×5KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+5.1
3819-19TULSATULSA×5BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+5.8
3919-20TULSATULSA×5BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Campbell Hague, Olivia Vance+6.0
4019-21TULSATULSA×5KillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+5.4
4120-21TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+3.0
4220-22RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+3.8
4321-22TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.1
4421-23RICETULSAAttack errSydnee Peterson+4.2
4521-24TULSATULSAKillIsabella Ocampo+4.1
4622-24TULSARICE×3Serve errOlivia Vance+1.0
4723-24RICERICE×3Attack errIsabella Ocampo+3.9
4824-24RICERICE×3BlockedCampbell Hagueblk Arissa Smith, Amalia Simmons+10.6
4924-25RICETULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+7.1
5024-26TULSATULSAKillLexi Dahlset Savannah Skopal+9.6
Set 4
11-0RICERICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+4.3
22-0RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Mari Furoyama+4.6
32-1RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.8
43-1TULSARICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+3.2
54-1RICERICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+4.9
65-1RICERICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+4.9
76-1RICERICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+4.7
87-1RICERICE×7KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+4.4
98-1RICERICE×7AceDeclan Eastman+3.9
109-1RICERICE×7Attack errCampbell Hague+3.2
119-2RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
1210-2TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.1
1310-3RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.5
1410-4TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+2.8
1511-4TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.5
1611-5RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.8
1711-6TULSATULSAAttack errAmalia Simmons+3.4
1812-6TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+3.0
1912-7RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
2013-7TULSARICEAttack errEmma Blaine+3.0
2113-8RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.1
2214-8TULSARICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+3.0
2315-8RICERICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+3.5
2415-9RICETULSAAttack errKellen Dorotik+1.5
2516-9TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.3
2617-9RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.3
2717-10RICETULSAKillKat Cooperset Lauren Patterson+0.8
2818-10TULSARICEServe errCampbell Hague+1.4
2918-11RICETULSABad setSavannah Skopal+0.7
3019-11TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.3
3119-12RICETULSAAttack errAmalia Simmons+0.6
3220-12TULSARICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+1.1
3321-12RICERICEAceSavannah Skopalaced Lauren Patterson+0.8
3421-13RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+0.2
3522-13TULSARICE×3Serve errLauren Patterson+0.4
3623-13RICERICE×3AceMari Furoyamaaced Isabella Ocampo+0.2
3724-13RICERICE×3KillSydnee Peterson·
3824-14RICETULSA×3BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Campbell Hague, Emma Blaine·
3924-15TULSATULSA×3AceLexi Dahlaced Jordan Hummel·
4024-16TULSATULSA×3AceLexi Dahlaced Jordan Hummel·
4125-16TULSARICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal·

Score shown after each rally, Rice first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).