Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tulsa def. Rice 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tulsa 53.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tulsa won at Rice 3-1 (25-21, 26-28, 25-23, 25-21) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Tulsa's Olivia Vance led with 20 kills.

Data through · final Oct 25

Set1234Sets
TULSA252625253
RICE212823211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.353 on 51 swings: Olivia Vance and Tulsa edged Rice.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Tulsa's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Tulsa at 54%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Tulsa 19–21 Rice

    4 straight Tulsa points turned a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.

    Tulsa 62% → 83%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Tulsa 23–21 Rice

    Down 21–23, Rice scored 3 straight to lead 24–23.

    Tulsa 83% → 63%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · Tulsa 25–25 Rice

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Rice, enough to take the set 28–26 and level the match at 1–1.

    Tulsa 70% → 53%

Rice above 50Tulsa belowMax swing 10.0%

TulsaRice

Sideout %
Tulsa 66.0·Rice 61.0
Break %
Tulsa 39.0·Rice 34.0
Hitting
Tulsa .240·Rice .244
Longest run
Tulsa 5·Rice 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rice above 50 · Tulsa below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% RICErally 194 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Rice — set 2, TULSA 26-28 RICE. Kill by Ashlyn Seay (set by Declan Eastman). RICE win probability 37% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TULSA 52.5%47.5% RICE

Tulsa wins

3-0
13.6%
3-1
19.8%
3-2
19.1%

Rice wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.7%
3-2
18.3%
TULSA break %
40.8% vs this opp
RICE break %
40.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ashlyn SeayKill+10.0%

    Kill by Ashlyn Seay (set by Declan Eastman)

    Set 2 · TULSA 26-28 RICE · RICE 37% → 47%

  2. 02
    Kat CooperAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Kat Cooper

    Set 2 · TULSA 23-24 RICE · RICE 27% → 37%

  3. 03
    Olivia VanceKill+9.2%

    Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Brittany Bacorn)

    Set 3 · TULSA 25-23 RICE · TULSA 67% → 76%

  4. 04
    Sydnee PetersonAttack error+8.6%

    Attack error by Sydnee Peterson

    Set 3 · TULSA 23-21 RICE · TULSA 60% → 68%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sydnee Peterson (set by Savannah Skopal)

    Set 2 · TULSA 23-23 RICE · RICE 20% → 27%

  6. 06
    Ava SteffeKill+7.2%

    Kill by Ava Steffe (set by Meg Goodwin)

    Set 3 · TULSA 20-19 RICE · TULSA 51% → 58%

  7. 07
    Olivia VanceKill+7.0%

    Kill by Olivia Vance (set by Brittany Bacorn)

    Set 3 · TULSA 24-22 RICE · TULSA 64% → 71%

  8. 08
    Mikey FreemanKill+6.8%

    Kill by Mikey Freeman (set by Lauren Patterson)

    Set 2 · TULSA 24-24 RICE · TULSA 63% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Tulsaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420251.35303120200023
48215.40000010233.511.5
46321.14320120010.56.5
4001.00028211300002
2000–000000000
12310-.100001100002
48317.2940001022311
4001.00025201100002
41011.0006011700001
37623.04310020010.57.5
37220.250000000007
3127-.143001700001
2508.62500000010.55.5
1000–001000000
Team totals6523175.2406277753488101
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418656.214211191132.521.5
412230.33300020010.512.5
48121.33301120233.512.5
4107.1434203100010.51.5
4000–1011500000
3116.000000200001
411532.18800000010.511.5
4001.0004111530001
37011.63600000132.59.5
3000–100330000
3000–701300000
2238-.125000000002
2000–001000000
Team totals6018172.24457397174121093

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tulsa vs Rice

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TULSA · RICE 5

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 TULSARICE 4

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 TULSARICE 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 TULSARICE 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 2 TULSARICE 3

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Tulsa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tulsa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
44%8/18
2
60%12/20
29%5/17
3
61%11/18
21%3/14
4
77%10/13
39%7/18
5
90%9/10
40%6/15
6
57%8/14
56%10/18
All
66%62/94
39%39/100

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
23%3/13
2
69%11/16
50%12/24
3
73%11/15
31%5/16
4
50%10/20
31%5/16
5
50%9/18
25%3/12
6
62%8/13
31%4/13
All
61%61/100
34%32/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

194 rallies

#TULSA-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0RICETULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+1.8
22-0TULSATULSAAceBrittany Bacornaced Jordan Hummel+2.5
32-1TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+1.7
43-1RICETULSAKillIsabella Ocamposet Brittany Bacorn+1.8
53-2TULSARICEServe errIsabella Ocampo+1.7
63-3RICERICEBlockedCampbell Hagueblk Stephanie Gutierrez+2.6
74-3RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
85-3TULSATULSAKillKat Cooperset Campbell Hague+2.7
95-4TULSARICEServe errCampbell Hague+1.8
106-4RICETULSA×4KillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
117-4TULSATULSA×4AceMeg Goodwinaced Declan Eastman+2.6
128-4TULSATULSA×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Ava Steffe, Jill Hanson+2.4
139-4TULSATULSA×4BlockedStephanie Gutierrezblk Jill Hanson+2.1
149-5TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+1.2
159-6RICERICEAttack errOlivia Vance+2.1
1610-6RICETULSAAttack errEllie Schneider+1.7
1711-6TULSATULSAAttack errAshlyn Seay+2.1
1811-7TULSARICE×4Attack errIsabella Ocampo+1.2
1911-8RICERICE×4KillAmalia Simmonsset Jordan Hummel+2.2
2011-9RICERICE×4KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.6
2111-10RICERICE×4Attack errAva Steffe+3.0
2212-10RICETULSAServe errSavannah Skopal+2.3
2312-11TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.1
2413-11RICETULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+2.3
2513-12TULSARICEServe errBrittany Bacorn+2.2
2614-12RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
2714-13TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+2.3
2815-13RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.5
2915-14TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
3016-14RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.7
3116-15TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.4
3217-15RICETULSA×5KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.8
3318-15TULSATULSA×5AceOlivia Vanceaced Jordan Hummel+3.6
3419-15TULSATULSA×5BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Ava Steffe+2.9
3520-15TULSATULSA×5AceOlivia Vanceaced Declan Eastman+2.0
3621-15TULSATULSA×5Attack errAaliyah Smith+1.2
3721-16TULSARICEKillAaliyah Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.4
3822-16RICETULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+0.7
3923-16TULSATULSAAttack errAmalia Simmons+0.4
4023-17TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Zora Bello+0.1
4123-18RICERICEAttack errIsabella Ocampo+0.3
4224-18RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+0.4
4324-19TULSARICE×3Attack errIsabella Ocampo+0.1
4424-20RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+0.3
4524-21RICERICE×3KillSydnee Peterson+0.7
4625-21RICETULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+1.1
Set 2
10-1TULSARICE×4KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.7
20-2RICERICE×4BlockedKat Cooperblk Sydnee Peterson, Stephanie Gutierrez+2.5
30-3RICERICE×4KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.4
40-4RICERICE×4Attack errMaegan Mills+2.3
51-4RICETULSA×3KillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+1.4
62-4TULSATULSA×3Attack errSydnee Peterson+2.3
73-4TULSATULSA×3KillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+2.5
83-5TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+1.9
94-5RICETULSABlockedSydnee Petersonblk Kat Cooper, Campbell Hague+1.8
104-6TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.9
114-7RICERICEKillAaliyah Smith+2.6
125-7RICETULSAKillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+1.7
135-8TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+1.9
146-8RICETULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+1.7
156-9TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Lauren Patterson+1.9
167-9RICETULSAKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+1.7
177-10TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+2.0
188-10RICETULSAKillMaegan Millsset Meg Goodwin+1.8
199-10TULSATULSAKillKat Cooper+2.9
209-11TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+2.2
219-12RICERICEAttack errMaegan Mills+3.0
2210-12RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+1.8
2311-12TULSATULSAKillKat Cooperset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
2411-13TULSARICEAttack errKat Cooper+2.3
2511-14RICERICEAttack errKat Cooper+3.2
2612-14RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+1.9
2712-15TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Mari Furoyama+2.3
2812-16RICERICEAttack errOlivia Vance+2.8
2913-16RICETULSA×4Attack errAaliyah Smith+1.6
3014-16TULSATULSA×4KillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+2.9
3115-16TULSATULSA×4BlockedAaliyah Smithblk Jill Hanson+3.5
3216-16TULSATULSA×4KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+3.9
3316-17TULSARICEKillSavannah Skopalset Jordan Hummel+2.9
3417-17RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.9
3517-18TULSARICEBlockedJill Hansonblk Maggie Croft+3.1
3618-18RICETULSAServe errSavannah Skopal+3.1
3719-18TULSATULSAKillLauren Pattersonset Meg Goodwin+4.8
3819-19TULSARICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+3.3
3919-20RICERICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+5.3
4019-21RICERICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+5.2
4120-21RICETULSA×4KillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+3.0
4221-21TULSATULSA×4KillMikey Freemanset Lauren Patterson+5.6
4322-21TULSATULSA×4Bad setAmalia Simmons+6.5
4423-21TULSATULSA×4AceBrittany Bacornaced Jordan Hummel+6.2
4523-22TULSARICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.0
4623-23RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+7.3
4723-24RICERICE×3Attack errKat Cooper+9.8
4824-24RICETULSAKillMikey Freemanset Lauren Patterson+6.8
4924-25TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+6.8
5025-25RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Kat Cooper+6.8
5125-26TULSARICEServe errLexi Dahl+6.8
5226-26RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+6.8
5326-27TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+6.8
5426-28RICERICEKillAshlyn Seayset Declan Eastman+10.0
Set 3
11-0RICETULSAKillMikey Freemanset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
21-1TULSARICE×5KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
31-2RICERICE×5BlockedCampbell Hagueblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+3.5
41-3RICERICE×5BlockedKat Cooperblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Sydnee Peterson+3.5
51-4RICERICE×5AceJordan Hummelaced Olivia Vance+3.4
61-5RICERICE×5BlockedKat Cooperblk Sydnee Peterson+3.2
72-5RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Brittany Bacorn+2.0
82-6TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+2.3
93-6RICETULSAAttack errOlivia Vance+2.0
104-6TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+3.3
114-7TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.6
125-7RICETULSA×3KillJill Hansonset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
136-7TULSATULSA×3KillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+3.7
147-7TULSATULSA×3KillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+3.9
157-8TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Meg Goodwin+2.8
168-8RICETULSAServe errStephanie Gutierrez+2.8
178-9TULSARICEServe errOlivia Vance+2.9
188-10RICERICEBlockedMikey Freemanblk Amalia Simmons, Maggie Croft+4.2
199-10RICETULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+2.8
2010-10TULSATULSAAttack errAmalia Simmons+4.3
2110-11TULSARICEServe errLauren Patterson+3.1
2211-11RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Meg Goodwin+3.1
2311-12TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+3.2
2412-12RICETULSAAttack errSydnee Peterson+3.2
2512-13TULSARICE×3KillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+3.4
2612-14RICERICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+4.8
2712-15RICERICE×3Attack errCampbell Hague+4.5
2813-15RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.7
2913-16TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+3.3
3013-17RICERICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+4.0
3114-17RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Lauren Patterson+2.2
3214-18TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+2.9
3315-18RICETULSA×4KillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+2.1
3416-18TULSATULSA×4AceOlivia Vanceaced Declan Eastman+4.1
3517-18TULSATULSA×4KillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+5.2
3618-18TULSATULSA×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Jill Hanson, Ava Steffe+6.1
3718-19TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+4.7
3819-19RICETULSAServe errZora Bello+4.6
3920-19TULSATULSAKillAva Steffeset Meg Goodwin+7.2
4020-20TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+4.9
4121-20RICETULSAKillMikey Freemanset Lauren Patterson+5.6
4221-21TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+5.4
4322-21RICETULSAServe errJordan Hummel+6.3
4423-21TULSATULSAAttack errSydnee Peterson+8.6
4523-22TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+4.2
4624-22RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+7.0
4724-23TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+3.8
4825-23RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+9.2
Set 4
11-0TULSATULSAAttack errSydnee Peterson+3.3
21-1TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+2.3
32-1RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.3
42-2TULSARICEServe errMaegan Mills+2.3
53-2RICETULSAServe errCampbell Love+2.4
63-3TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.4
74-3RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+2.4
85-3TULSATULSABlockedAshlyn Seayblk Ava Steffe+3.5
95-4TULSARICEAttack errAva Steffe+2.3
106-4RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.5
116-5TULSARICEBlockedMikey Freemanblk Savannah Skopal, Maggie Croft+2.4
127-5RICETULSAKillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+2.5
137-6TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Savannah Skopal+2.4
148-6RICETULSAKillMikey Freemanset Lauren Patterson+2.6
158-7TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+2.5
169-7RICETULSAKillCampbell Hagueset Lauren Patterson+2.7
1710-7TULSATULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Brittany Bacorn+3.6
1810-8TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.3
1911-8RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+2.6
2012-8TULSATULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+3.3
2112-9TULSARICE×3KillSydnee Petersonset Zora Bello+2.0
2212-10RICERICE×3AceSydnee Peterson+3.4
2312-11RICERICE×3KillAshlyn Seayset Sydnee Peterson+4.0
2413-11RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Brittany Bacorn+3.0
2513-12TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+2.8
2613-13RICERICEAceStephanie Gutierrezaced Olivia Vance+4.6
2714-13RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+3.3
2815-13TULSATULSAKillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+4.7
2915-14TULSARICEKillMaggie Croftset Zora Bello+3.0
3016-14RICETULSAKillJill Hansonset Meg Goodwin+3.4
3117-14TULSATULSAKillMikey Freemanset Meg Goodwin+4.5
3217-15TULSARICEBlockedAva Steffeblk Ashlyn Seay, Maggie Croft+2.6
3318-15RICETULSAServe errMari Furoyama+3.2
3418-16TULSARICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+2.6
3519-16RICETULSAKillMikey Freemanset Brittany Bacorn+3.4
3619-17TULSARICEKillSydnee Petersonset Savannah Skopal+2.7
3719-18RICERICEKillEllie Schneiderset Zora Bello+5.1
3820-18RICETULSAKillEmma Blaineset Campbell Hague+4.3
3921-18TULSATULSABlockedSydnee Petersonblk Emma Blaine, Jill Hanson+5.3
4021-19TULSARICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Zora Bello+2.6
4122-19RICETULSAServe errSydnee Peterson+3.8
4223-19TULSATULSAAceMeg Goodwinaced Sydnee Peterson+3.5
4323-20TULSARICEBlockedJill Hansonblk Stephanie Gutierrez+1.1
4424-20RICETULSAKillOlivia Vanceset Meg Goodwin+2.1
4524-21TULSARICEKillAshlyn Seayset Zora Bello+0.6
4625-21RICETULSAServe errSavannah Skopal+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Tulsa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).