Liberty vs Jacksonville State Volleyball: Liberty Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Liberty 94.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Liberty won at Jacksonville St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-15, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Liberty's Jenna Otts led with 15 kills, and Melis Ural added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIBRTY	25	25	25	3
JAX ST	17	15	18	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Jenna Otts needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Liberty swept Jacksonville St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.0 points, and Jacksonville St.'s high was 8% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Liberty 94% before first serve.

LibertyJacksonville St.

Break %+21.6 pts
56.234.6
41 of 73 on serve vs 18 of 52, so Jacksonville St.'s sideout was 43.8%.
Hitting+.218
.380.162
48 K / 10 E against 30 K / 13 E.
Longest run+2
64
6 straight Liberty kills in the second set stretched a 15–8 lead to 21–8. Final score of the set: 25–15.

Jacksonville St. above 50Liberty belowMax swing 1.0%

LibertyJacksonville St.

Aces: Liberty 7·Jacksonville St. 0
Serve err: Liberty 8·Jacksonville St. 5
Blocks: Liberty 5·Jacksonville St. 41 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Liberty 52·Jacksonville St. 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Liberty below

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Jacksonville St. — set 1, LIBRTY 10-10 JAX ST. Jenna Otts stuffed by Claire Evans & Taya Nordmann. JAX ST win probability 6% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 96.5%3.5% JAX ST

Liberty wins

3-0

60.2%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

8.1%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.2%

LIBRTY break %: 49.2% vs this opp
JAX ST break %: 35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Claire Evans&Taya NordmannBlock+1.0%
Jenna Otts stuffed by Claire Evans & Taya Nordmann
Set 1 · LIBRTY 10-10 JAX ST · JAX ST 6% → 7%
02
Azavia Thomas&Taya NordmannBlock+1.0%
Jenna Otts stuffed by Azavia Thomas & Taya Nordmann
Set 1 · LIBRTY 0-2 JAX ST · JAX ST 7% → 8%
03
Jenna OttsKill+0.9%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 1 · LIBRTY 12-10 JAX ST · LIBRTY 94% → 95%
04
Paige OvercashAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Paige Overcash
Set 1 · LIBRTY 0-1 JAX ST · JAX ST 6% → 7%
05
Azavia ThomasAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Azavia Thomas
Set 1 · LIBRTY 2-2 JAX ST · LIBRTY 93% → 94%
06
Claire EvansKill+0.8%
Kill by Claire Evans (set by Delaney Moon)
Set 1 · LIBRTY 10-9 JAX ST · JAX ST 5% → 6%
07
Paige OvercashKill+0.8%
Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 1 · LIBRTY 4-3 JAX ST · LIBRTY 94% → 94%
08
Jenna OttsKill+0.7%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 1 · LIBRTY 13-10 JAX ST · LIBRTY 95% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Libertyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jenna OttsOH	3	15	3	31	.387	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	16
25Paige OvercashOH	3	13	3	23	.435	2	0	0	5	0	2	1	14
0Laney DaniellMB	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	8
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	6	0	16	.375	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	7
24Layla CollinsMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
11Alison BierwagenS	3	1	0	1	1.000	25	3	0	9	0	0	0	4
15Charli MorrisS	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	3
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	0	–	16	2	3	5	0	0	0	2
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	1
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	16	0	0	0	0
3VB TrostOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Addison HartOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Kayla O'BrienL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	10	100	.380	47	7	8	52	1	8	5	75

Jacksonville St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Lauren BuchananOH	3	10	5	28	.179	0	0	11	3	0	1	0.5	10.5
1Sophia SchweikertOH	3	10	4	34	.176	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	10
13Taya NordmannMB	3	3	0	14	.214	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
23Sofia VarelaS	3	1	0	2	.500	19	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
6Anna RayOH	2	1	0	2	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
9Azavia ThomasOH	2	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Addison StoneS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
16Delaney MoonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	11	1	0	0	0	0
26Claire EvansOH	2	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
5Izzy WhittakerOH	2	2	0	9	.222	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
17D'Yanna SpicerMB	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
14Chloe MittelstadtOPP	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Mia DuongL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Gemma MorrisDS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	13	105	.162	29	5	39	7	1	6	4	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs Jacksonville St.

Season series · Liberty leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Liberty at Jacksonville St. · Liberty won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Liberty at Jacksonville St. · Liberty won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LIBRTY · JAX ST 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 LIBRTYJAX ST 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 LIBRTYJAX ST 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 LIBRTYJAX ST 3

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	71%10/14
2	44%4/9	60%6/10
3	100%4/4	50%4/8
4	75%3/4	40%2/5
5	60%3/5	57%4/7
6	100%3/3	40%2/5
All	65%22/34	57%28/49

Jacksonville St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	24%4/17	33%2/6
2	44%4/9	50%4/8
3	100%4/4	43%3/7
4	60%3/5	20%1/5
5	38%3/8	25%1/4
6	50%3/6	25%1/4
All	43%21/49	35%12/34

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	LIBRTY-JAX ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.9
2	0-2	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Jenna Otts	blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann	+1.0
3	1-2	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.6
4	2-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.8
5	2-3	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.7
6	3-3	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Blocked	Azavia Thomas	blk Jenna Otts	+0.6
7	4-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.8
8	4-4	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.6
9	5-4	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+0.5
10	5-5	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sofia Varela	set Anna Ray	+0.6
11	6-5	JAX ST	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.6
12	7-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		+0.7
13	8-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	Liberty	aced Lauren Buchanan	+0.6
14	8-6	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Anna Ray	set Addison Stone	+0.4
15	9-6	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Blocked	Lauren Buchanan	blk Layla Collins, Charli Morris	+0.4
16	10-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.5
17	10-7	LIBRTY	JAX ST×4	Serve err	Liberty		+0.3
18	10-8	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Blocked	Layla Collins	blk Taya Nordmann	+0.6
19	10-9	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Claire Evans	set Delaney Moon	+0.8
20	10-10	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Blocked	Jenna Otts	blk Claire Evans, Taya Nordmann	+1.0
21	11-10	JAX ST	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.7
22	12-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.9
23	13-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.7
24	14-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Attack err	Claire Evans		+0.6
25	15-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.4
26	15-11	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		+0.2
27	16-11	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.3
28	16-12	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Attack err	Azavia Thomas		+0.2
29	17-12		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
30	17-13	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	+0.2
31	17-14	JAX ST	JAX ST	Bad set	Carly O'Brien		+0.5
32	18-14	JAX ST	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
33	19-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
34	20-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Alison Bierwagen	set Paige Overcash	+0.2
35	21-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Serve err	Liberty		+0.1
36	21-15	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	·
37	22-15	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
38	22-16	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		·
39	23-16	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		·
40	23-17	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Claire Evans	set Addison Stone	·
41	24-17	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	·
42	25-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	·
Set 2
1	1-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Bad set	Sofia Varela		+0.4
3	3-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
4	3-1	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+0.2
5	4-1	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
6	4-2	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.2
7	4-3	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Laney Daniell		+0.4
8	5-3	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
9	5-4	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.3
10	6-4	JAX ST	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
11	7-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	Liberty	aced Lauren Buchanan	+0.4
12	8-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Sophia Schweikert	+0.3
13	8-5	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Addison Stone	+0.2
14	9-5	JAX ST	LIBRTY×5	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.2
15	10-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
16	11-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Ace	Liberty		+0.2
17	12-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
18	13-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
19	13-6	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	·
20	13-7	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Charli Morris	blk Lauren Buchanan, Taya Nordmann	+0.1
21	14-7	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural	+0.1
22	15-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.1
23	15-8	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone	·
24	16-8	JAX ST	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	·
25	17-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	·
26	18-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	·
27	19-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	·
28	20-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	·
29	21-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	·
30	21-9	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	·
31	21-10	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela	·
32	21-11	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Laney Daniell		·
33	22-11	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Blocked	Sophia Schweikert	blk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell	·
34	23-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Delaney Moon	·
35	23-12	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	·
36	23-13	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash		·
37	23-14	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	·
38	24-14	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	·
39	24-15	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	D'Yanna Spicer	set Sofia Varela	·
40	25-15	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	·
Set 3
1	1-0	JAX ST	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Ace	Liberty	aced Lauren Buchanan	+0.2
3	3-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Ace	Liberty		+0.2
4	4-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
5	4-1	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
6	4-2	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.2
7	4-3	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela	+0.2
8	5-3	JAX ST	LIBRTY×3	Blocked	Sophia Schweikert	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash	+0.1
9	6-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Paige Overcash	+0.2
10	7-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
11	7-4	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	+0.1
12	8-4	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
13	8-5	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		+0.1
14	9-5	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		+0.1
15	9-6	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		+0.1
16	10-6	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
17	11-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	D'Yanna Spicer		+0.1
18	11-7	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.1
19	12-7	JAX ST	LIBRTY×3	Blocked	Lauren Buchanan	blk Layla Collins, Charli Morris	+0.1
20	13-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
21	14-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		+0.1
22	14-8	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Addison Stone	·
23	15-8	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	·
24	16-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	·
25	16-9	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela	·
26	17-9	JAX ST	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	·
27	18-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert		·
28	19-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	·
29	19-10	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		·
30	20-10	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	·
31	20-11	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	·
32	20-12	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela	·
33	21-12	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Serve err	Jacksonville St.		·
34	21-13	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		·
35	21-14	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Gemma Morris	·
36	22-14	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	·
37	22-15	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty		·
38	23-15	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan		·
39	23-16	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Delaney Moon	·
40	23-17	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Jenna Otts		·
41	23-18	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Gemma Morris	·
42	24-18	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Addison Hart	set Charli Crowson	·
43	25-18	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Gemma Morris	·

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Liberty def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

Jenna Otts needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Liberty swept Jacksonville St.