Liberty vs Jacksonville State Volleyball: Liberty Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Liberty 95.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Liberty won at Jacksonville St. 3-0 (25-11, 25-18, 25-14) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Liberty's Carly O'Brien and Paige Overcash led with 11 kills each, and Melis Ural added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIBRTY	25	25	25	3
JAX ST	11	18	14	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Paige Overcash hit .647 with 11 kills as Liberty rolled past Jacksonville St.

Win probability never moved more than 0.5 points on one rally; Jacksonville St. topped out at 5% in Set 1. Liberty went in as RallyIQ's 95% pick.

LibertyJacksonville St.

Break %+30.0 pts
58.928.9
Points won on own serve: 43 of 73 vs 13 of 45. Jacksonville St. sided out 41.1% of the time.
Hitting+.329
.454.125
50 kills, 6 errors vs 24 kills, 13 errors.
Longest run+5
83
Liberty scored 8 straight in the first set to stretch a 10–4 lead to 18–4. The set finished 25–11.

Jacksonville St. above 50Liberty belowMax swing 0.5%

LibertyJacksonville St.

Aces: Liberty 9·Jacksonville St. 3
Serve err: Liberty 9·Jacksonville St. 2
Blocks: Liberty 5·Jacksonville St. 40 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Liberty 46·Jacksonville St. 32

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Jacksonville St. above 50 · Liberty below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Liberty stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 96.5%3.5% JAX ST

Liberty wins

3-0

60.2%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

8.1%

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.2%

LIBRTY break %: 49.2% vs this opp
JAX ST break %: 35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Libertyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	11	2	21	.429	1	3	0	9	0	0	0	14
25Paige OvercashOH	3	11	0	17	.647	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	12.5
0Laney DaniellMB	3	7	3	13	.308	0	3	2	1	0	2	1	11
8Jenna OttsOH	3	10	1	20	.450	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
24Layla CollinsMB	3	4	0	9	.444	1	0	0	1	1	3	1.5	5.5
11Alison BierwagenS	3	0	0	2	.000	18	1	3	9	0	0	0	1
15Charli MorrisS	3	7	0	11	.636	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	1	1	11	2	0	0	1
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	6	0	0	0	1
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	2	.000	18	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
3VB TrostOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Jana ThymesMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	6	97	.454	47	9	9	46	3	10	5	75

Jacksonville St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sophia SchweikertOH	3	11	4	29	.241	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	11
5Izzy WhittakerOH	3	4	2	11	.182	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	5
13Taya NordmannMB	3	1	1	9	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
6Anna RayOH	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
8Lauren BuchananOH	3	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3
23Sofia VarelaS	3	1	0	11	.091	18	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Gemma MorrisDS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
16Delaney MoonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
4Mia DuongL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	9	2	0	0	0	0
10Selin SakirogluOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Azavia ThomasOH	1	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Addison StoneS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
15Riley HuffMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		24	13	88	.125	22	3	2	32	9	2	4	4	43

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Liberty vs Jacksonville St.

Season series · Liberty leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Liberty at Jacksonville St. · Liberty won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Liberty at Jacksonville St. · Liberty won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 LIBRTY · JAX ST 3

Set 1

25-11

Longest run 8 LIBRTYJAX ST 2

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 LIBRTYJAX ST 3

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 8 LIBRTYJAX ST 3

Bars above the line = Jacksonville St. leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

No clean sets to split.

Jacksonville St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

118 rallies

#	LIBRTY-JAX ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen
2	1-1	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan
3	2-1	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Carly O'Brien
4	3-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Melis Ural
5	3-2	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Anna Ray
6	4-2		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
7	5-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen
8	6-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Blocked	Sophia Schweikert	blk Paige Overcash, Layla Collins
9	7-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Ace	Liberty	aced Delaney Moon
10	8-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Carly O'Brien
11	8-3	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
12	9-3	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
13	10-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Serve err	Liberty
14	10-4	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
15	11-4	JAX ST	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Molly Littlefield
16	12-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Charli Morris
17	13-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Charli Morris
18	14-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
19	15-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Layla Collins
20	16-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Blocked	Taya Nordmann	blk Layla Collins, Jenna Otts
21	17-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Blocked	Lauren Buchanan	blk Charli Morris, Layla Collins
22	18-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
23	18-5	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Gemma Morris
24	19-5	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins
25	19-6		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
26	20-6	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
27	21-6		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
28	21-7	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
29	21-8	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	Jacksonville St.	aced Melis Ural
30	22-8	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Attack err	Izzy Whittaker
31	23-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen
32–33	24-9		LIBRTY · JAX ST	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
34	24-10	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
35	24-11	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Laney Daniell	blk Taya Nordmann
36	25-11	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen
Set 2
1	1-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Sophia Schweikert
2	1-1	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
3	2-1	JAX ST	LIBRTY×6	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
4	3-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Blocked	Lauren Buchanan	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash
5	4-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Laney Daniell
6	5-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Serve err	Liberty
7	6-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural
8	7-1		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
9	7-2	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela
10	8-2	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen
11	8-3	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Blocked	Carly O'Brien	blk Azavia Thomas, Taya Nordmann
12	9-3	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen
13	9-4		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
14	9-5	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
15	9-6	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	Jacksonville St.	aced Melis Ural
16	10-6	JAX ST	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson
17	11-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Ace	Liberty	aced Lauren Buchanan
18	12-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
19	13-6		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
20	13-7	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
21	13-8	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert
22	13-9	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela
23	14-9	JAX ST	LIBRTY×3	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
24	15-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural
25	16-9		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
26	16-10	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
27	16-11	JAX ST	JAX ST	Bad set	Charli Crowson
28	17-11	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson
29	17-12	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
30	18-12	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen
31	19-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien
32	19-13		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
33	20-13	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen
34	20-14	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
35–36	21-15		LIBRTY · JAX ST	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
37	22-15	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson
38	22-16	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
39	23-16	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural
40	24-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Mia Duong
41	24-17	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
42	24-18	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Laney Daniell
43	25-18	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Attack err	Azavia Thomas
Set 3
1	1-0	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Bad set	Anna Ray
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash
3	2-1	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Serve err	Liberty
4	3-1	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Sofia Varela
5	3-2	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela
6	4-2	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen
7	5-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Sophia Schweikert
8	5-3	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela
9	6-3	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen
10	6-4	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Carly O'Brien
11	6-5	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert
12	6-6	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Gemma Morris
13	7-6	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson
14	8-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty
15	8-7	LIBRTY	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
16	8-8	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	Jacksonville St.	aced Layla Collins
17	8-9		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
18	9-9	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
19	9-10	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Blocked	Laney Daniell	blk Anna Ray
20	10-10	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
21	10-11	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Anna Ray
22	11-11	JAX ST	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen
23	12-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural
24	13-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
25	14-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Izzy Whittaker
26	14-12	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Attack err	Izzy Whittaker
27	15-12	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen
28	16-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Mia Duong
29	16-13		JAX ST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.
30	17-13	JAX ST	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen
31	17-14	LIBRTY	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela
32	18-14	JAX ST	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Carly O'Brien
33	19-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
34	20-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson
35	21-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural
36	22-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Jenna Otts
37	23-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Charli Morris	set Layla Collins
38	24-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
39	25-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Ace	Liberty

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Liberty def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

Paige Overcash hit .647 with 11 kills as Liberty rolled past Jacksonville St.