FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Marshall def. Morehead St. 3–0

Marshall beat visiting Morehead St. 3-0 (25-16, 25-21, 25-20) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Marshall's Maddie Smith led with 17 kills, and Emma Sayre added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
MOREST1621200
MARSH2525253

Win probability

Marshall above 50 · Morehead St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.8% MORESTrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Morehead St. — set 2, MOREST 17-18 MARSH. Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Courtney Fitzgerald). MARSH win probability 93% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MOREST 17.9%82.1% MARSH

Morehead St. wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.2%

Marshall wins

3-0
33.8%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.6%
MOREST break %
39.4% vs this opp
MARSH break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Courtney Fitzgerald)

    Set 2 · MOREST 17-18 MARSH · MOREST 7% → 9%

  2. 02
    Emma BarnettAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Emma Barnett

    Set 2 · MOREST 13-13 MARSH · MOREST 9% → 10%

  3. 03
    Anna SchiltzKill+1.7%

    Kill by Anna Schiltz (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 2 · MOREST 8-5 MARSH · MOREST 13% → 14%

  4. 04
    MarshallAce+1.6%

    Marshall ace on Ella Warrick

    Set 2 · MOREST 17-20 MARSH · MARSH 93% → 95%

  5. 05
    Maddie SmithKill+1.6%

    Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Emma Sayre)

    Set 2 · MOREST 13-15 MARSH · MARSH 91% → 93%

  6. 06

    Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli

    Set 1 · MOREST 1-2 MARSH · MARSH 82% → 84%

  7. 07
    Morehead St.Ace+1.5%

    Morehead St. ace on Emma Barnett

    Set 2 · MOREST 6-4 MARSH · MOREST 11% → 12%

  8. 08
    Marae ReillyKill+1.5%

    Kill by Marae Reilly (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 2 · MOREST 8-7 MARSH · MARSH 87% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315436.30600021010.515.5
39730.06700082212.511.5
35317.118002100216
3419.33310000010.54.5
3002.0001410500001
1012-.500000100000
32312-.083101000002
3000–1511700001
3000–4021820000
3000–000510000
1124-.250000000001
1001.00000000010.50.5
1000–100200000
Team totals3621113.133362649726557
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317336.3891007100017
39433.1520208100011
34314.071021402239
37414.21411130010.58.5
3103.33328101100213
3219.11100000010.52.5
3000–6111200001
3000–000300000
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4015109.229377348226575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Morehead St. vs Marshall

Season series · Marshall leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MOREST · MARSH 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 MORESTMARSH 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 MORESTMARSH 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 MORESTMARSH 4

Bars above the line = Marshall leads, below = Morehead St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
45%5/11
2
47%7/15
36%4/11
3
40%6/15
50%7/14
4
50%6/12
25%2/8
5
71%5/7
33%3/9
6
63%5/8
0%0/5
All
49%36/74
36%21/58

Marshall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
50%7/14
2
78%7/9
65%13/20
3
50%6/12
54%7/13
4
60%6/10
45%5/11
5
100%5/5
50%5/10
6
71%5/7
17%1/6
All
64%37/58
51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#MOREST-MARSHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MARSHMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+1.3
21-1MORESTMARSH×6KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.2
31-2MARSHMARSH×6KillBeatrice Ciccarelli+1.5
41-3MARSHMARSH×6KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
51-4MARSHMARSH×6AceMarshall+1.3
61-5MARSHMARSH×6Attack errKylie Sharp+1.1
71-6MARSHMARSH×6KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
82-6MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.6
92-7MORESTMARSHServe errMorehead St.+0.7
102-8MARSHMARSHAttack errHollan Everett+0.7
113-8MARSHMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Sydney Sennett+0.5
123-9MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
133-10MARSHMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.6
144-10MARSHMOREST×3Serve errMarshall+0.3
155-10MORESTMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.6
166-10MORESTMOREST×3Attack errMaddie Smith+0.8
176-11MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.7
186-12MARSHMARSHAttack errElla Warrick+0.8
197-12MARSHMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.5
207-13MORESTMARSHAttack errRiley McCloskey+0.6
217-14MARSHMARSHAceMarshallaced Courtney Fitzgerald+0.5
228-14MARSHMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.3
239-14MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Maddie Smith+0.6
249-15MORESTMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.6
259-16MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
269-17MARSHMARSH×3BlockedAmelia Nottblk Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.3
2710-17MARSHMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.2
2811-17MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.3
2912-17MORESTMOREST×3Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+0.5
3012-18MORESTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
3113-18MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.4
3213-19MORESTMARSH×5KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
3313-20MARSHMARSH×5AceMarshallaced Hollan Everett+0.4
3413-21MARSHMARSH×5Attack errHollan Everett+0.2
3513-22MARSHMARSH×5KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.1
3613-23MARSHMARSH×5AceMarshallaced Ella Warrick·
3714-23MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald·
3815-23MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Riley McCloskey·
3915-24MORESTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho·
4016-24MARSHMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa·
4116-25MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre·
Set 2
11-0MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.3
21-1MORESTMARSH×3KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
31-2MARSHMARSH×3KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Amelia Nott+1.2
41-3MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.1
52-3MARSHMORESTAttack errEmma Barnett+0.8
62-4MORESTMARSHServe errMorehead St.+0.8
73-4MARSHMOREST×4KillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+0.8
84-4MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.3
95-4MORESTMOREST×4BlockedLogan Hendersonblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+1.4
106-4MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Emma Barnett+1.5
116-5MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.0
127-5MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.2
138-5MORESTMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Josie Certa+1.7
148-6MORESTMARSH×4Attack errAnna Schiltz+1.1
158-7MARSHMARSH×4KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
168-8MARSHMARSH×4Attack errAnna Schiltz+1.5
178-9MARSHMARSH×4Attack errHaidyn Carter+1.4
189-9MARSHMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+1.1
199-10MORESTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.1
2010-10MARSHMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+1.2
2110-11MORESTMARSH×3BlockedElla Warrickblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Kahea Carvalho+1.1
2210-12MARSHMARSH×3Bad setSydney Sennett+1.4
2310-13MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.2
2411-13MARSHMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+0.9
2512-13MORESTMOREST×3Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+1.4
2613-13MORESTMOREST×3Attack errEmma Barnett+1.7
2713-14MORESTMARSH×4KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
2813-15MARSHMARSH×4KillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+1.6
2913-16MARSHMARSH×4KillKahea Carvalhoset Maddie Smith+1.4
3013-17MARSHMARSH×4KillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+1.1
3114-17MARSHMORESTAttack errLogan Henderson+0.7
3214-18MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
3315-18MARSHMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Haidyn Carter+0.7
3416-18MORESTMOREST×3Bad setKahea Carvalho+1.3
3517-18MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+1.8
3617-19MORESTMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.5
3717-20MARSHMARSH×3AceMarshallaced Ella Warrick+1.6
3817-21MARSHMARSH×3Attack errElla Warrick+1.2
3918-21MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.6
4018-22MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
4119-22MARSHMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.5
4219-23MORESTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
4320-23MARSHMORESTBlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Ella Warrick+0.4
4420-24MORESTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Emma Sayre+0.7
4521-24MARSHMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Sydney Sennett+0.2
4621-25MORESTMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
Set 3
10-1MARSHMARSHAttack errElla Warrick+0.6
21-1MARSHMORESTAttack errEmma Barnett+0.4
32-1MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.6
42-2MORESTMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
53-2MARSHMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+0.5
63-3MORESTMARSHAttack errElla Warrick+0.5
74-3MARSHMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.5
84-4MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
95-4MARSHMORESTAttack errMaddie Smith+0.5
106-4MORESTMORESTAttack errMarae Reilly+0.8
116-5MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+0.5
126-6MARSHMARSHBlockedHollan Everettblk Kahea Carvalho, Marae Reilly+0.7
137-6MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.6
147-7MORESTMARSHAttack errRiley McCloskey+0.5
158-7MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.6
168-8MORESTMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Ella Warrick+0.5
178-9MARSHMARSH×3AceMarshallaced Courtney Fitzgerald+0.7
188-10MARSHMARSH×3BlockedElla Warrickblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Logan Henderson+0.6
199-10MARSHMORESTAttack errEmma Barnett+0.5
209-11MORESTMARSH×4Serve errMorehead St.+0.5
219-12MARSHMARSH×4BlockedAmelia Nottblk Beatrice Ciccarelli+0.6
229-13MARSHMARSH×4AceMarshallaced Tinsley Brown+0.5
239-14MARSHMARSH×4Attack errRiley McCloskey+0.4
2410-14MARSHMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.2
2511-14MORESTMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.4
2612-14MORESTMOREST×3BlockedLogan Hendersonblk Amelia Nott, Ella Warrick+0.6
2712-15MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Sayre+0.5
2812-16MARSHMARSHAttack errAmelia Nott+0.5
2913-16MARSHMORESTServe errMarshall+0.3
3013-17MORESTMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Logan Henderson+0.4
3113-18MARSHMARSH×3Attack errHollan Everett+0.4
3213-19MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.3
3314-19MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.1
3414-20MORESTMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.2
3515-20MARSHMORESTKillHollan Everettset Kennedy Tinch+0.1
3615-21MORESTMARSHServe errMorehead St.+0.2
3716-21MARSHMORESTServe errMarshall+0.1
3817-21MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.2
3917-22MORESTMARSHAttack errElla Warrick+0.2
4018-22MARSHMORESTBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Ella Warrick+0.1
4119-22MORESTMORESTKillElla Warrickset Courtney Fitzgerald+0.3
4219-23MORESTMARSHServe errMorehead St.+0.4
4320-23MARSHMORESTBlockedMaddie Smithblk Reagan Baxter, Amelia Nott+0.2
4420-24MORESTMARSHServe errMorehead St.+0.4
4520-25MARSHMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kylie Wong+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Morehead St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).