Marshall at Morehead St.

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

MARSH 45.7%54.3% MOREST

Marshall wins

3-0

10.8%

3-1

17.0%

3-2

18.0%

Morehead St. wins

3-0

14.4%

3-1

20.5%

3-2

19.4%

MARSH break %: 41.5% vs this opp
MOREST break %: 42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.