Marshall vs Morehead State Volleyball: Marshall Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

3:0

Marshall won at Morehead St. 3-0 (25-19, 25-19, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Marshall's Maddie Smith led with 15 kills, and Emma Sayre added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Sep 19

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MARSH	25	25	25	3
MOREST	19	19	20	0

Win probability

Morehead St. above 50 · Marshall below

Biggest swing: 3.3% to Morehead St. — set 1, MARSH 15-15 MOREST. Morehead St. ace. MOREST win probability 27% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARSH 70.6%29.4% MOREST

Marshall wins

3-0

23.7%

3-1

27.1%

3-2

19.8%

Morehead St. wins

3-0

5.6%

3-1

10.3%

3-2

13.6%

MARSH break %: 45.0% vs this opp
MOREST break %: 40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Morehead St.Ace+3.3%
Morehead St. ace
Set 1 · MARSH 15-15 MOREST · MOREST 27% → 30%
02
Maddie SmithKill+3.2%
Kill by Maddie Smith
Set 1 · MARSH 17-15 MOREST · MARSH 72% → 76%
03
Marae Reilly&Logan HendersonBlock+2.8%
Ella Warrick stuffed by Marae Reilly & Logan Henderson
Set 1 · MARSH 18-15 MOREST · MARSH 76% → 78%
04
Ella WarrickKill+2.8%
Kill by Ella Warrick (set by Josie Certa)
Set 1 · MARSH 15-14 MOREST · MOREST 24% → 27%
05
Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+2.5%
Point Marshall (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · MARSH 14-13 MOREST · MARSH 82% → 85%
06
Morehead St.Service error+2.5%
Morehead St. service error
Set 1 · MARSH 16-15 MOREST · MARSH 70% → 72%
07
Marae ReillyAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Marae Reilly
Set 2 · MARSH 11-12 MOREST · MOREST 17% → 19%
08
Maddie SmithKill+2.4%
Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Emma Sayre)
Set 2 · MARSH 15-13 MOREST · MARSH 85% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Marshallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Maddie SmithOH	3	15	2	24	.542	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	1	16
5Beatrice CiccarelliMB	3	6	3	10	.300	1	1	2	0	0	2	4	4	11
11Emma BarnettOH	3	10	3	26	.269	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
16Marae ReillyMB	3	9	2	14	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	10
15Logan HendersonOPP	3	4	4	10	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	5
23Kahea CarvalhoS	3	2	0	2	1.000	29	0	1	9	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Emma SayreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	1
17Lia BeverlyMB	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
19Addison SaundersL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
3Carys KerrOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Isabella Nieves—	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Kylie WongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Lilly HowellOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Maci GerbothMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Maya HuntS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Peyton SasseMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Shae PearsonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	14	87	.368	42	2	5	35	3	2	12	8	75

Morehead St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Ella WarrickOH	3	10	8	35	.057	0	1	1	4	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
9Amelia NottMB	3	7	1	14	.429	0	1	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
2Haidyn CarterMB	3	3	4	11	-.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	6
22Reagan BaxterMB	3	3	2	6	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
12Josie CertaS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Tinsley BrownDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
14Hollan EverettMB	3	10	2	25	.320	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	12
17Sydney SennettS	3	2	0	2	1.000	18	0	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Courtney FitzgeraldDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	5	1	0	0	0	1
15Anna SchiltzMB	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Jasmine DanielsS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Kennedy TinchDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Kylie SharpMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Mary RindlerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Norah CampbellDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Riley MccloskeyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	18	98	.173	32	3	9	21	2	1	14	8	58

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marshall vs Morehead St.

Season series · Marshall leads 2-0

Fri, Sep 18, 2026Morehead St. at Marshall · Marshall won 3-0Result →
Sat, Sep 19, 2026Marshall at Morehead St. · Marshall won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MARSH · MOREST 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 MARSHMOREST 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 MARSHMOREST 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 MARSHMOREST 2

Bars above the line = Morehead St. leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marshall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	0%0/3
2	75%3/4	25%1/4
3	75%3/4	25%1/4
4	100%2/2	71%5/7
5	67%2/3	0%0/2
6	67%2/3	60%3/5
All	75%15/20	40%10/25

Morehead St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%3/3	33%1/3
2	75%3/4	25%1/4
3	75%3/4	25%1/4
4	29%2/7	25%1/4
5	100%2/2	0%0/2
6	40%2/5	33%1/3
All	60%15/25	25%5/20

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	MARSH-MOREST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Emma Sayre	+2.1
2	1-1	MARSH	MOREST	Blocked	Emma Barnett	blk Haidyn Carter, Reagan Baxter	+1.6
3	2-1	MOREST	MARSH×4	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.6
4	3-1	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Ella Warrick		+2.0
5	4-1	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Sayre	+1.8
6	5-1	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.6
7	5-2	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+1.1
8	6-2	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.2
9	6-3	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Courtney Fitzgerald	+1.2
10	7-3	MOREST	MARSH	Serve err	Morehead St.		+1.3
11	8-3	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Sayre	+1.4
12	8-4	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+1.0
13	8-5	MOREST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+1.6
14	9-5	MOREST	MARSH	Serve err	Morehead St.		+1.3
15	9-6	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Haidyn Carter	set Sydney Sennett	+1.2
16	9-7	MOREST	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Reagan Baxter	+1.9
17	10-7	MOREST	MARSH×4	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Maya Hunt	+1.6
18	11-7	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Marae Reilly		+1.8
19	12-7	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Hollan Everett		+1.5
20	13-7	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Marae Reilly	+1.2
21	13-8	MARSH	MOREST×3	Serve err	Marshall		+0.7
22	13-9	MOREST	MOREST×3	Blocked	Marae Reilly	blk Reagan Baxter, Haidyn Carter	+1.3
23	13-10	MOREST	MOREST×3	Kill	Ella Warrick		+1.7
24	14-10	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Maya Hunt	+1.5
25	15-10	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Haidyn Carter		+1.6
26	15-11	MARSH	MOREST×5	Attack err	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
27–28	15-13		MOREST 2	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.9
29	15-14	MOREST	MOREST×5	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	+2.8
30	15-15	MOREST	MOREST×5	Ace	Morehead St.		+3.3
31	16-15	MOREST	MARSH×3	Serve err	Morehead St.		+2.5
32	17-15	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith		+3.2
33	18-15	MARSH	MARSH×3	Blocked	Ella Warrick	blk Marae Reilly, Logan Henderson	+2.8
34	18-16	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Josie Certa	+1.8
35	19-16	MOREST	MARSH×3	Serve err	Morehead St.		+2.1
36	20-16		MARSH	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.2
37	21-16	MARSH	MARSH×3	Blocked	Amelia Nott	blk Maddie Smith, Beatrice Ciccarelli	+1.5
38	21-17	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Sydney Sennett	+0.7
39	22-17	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Sayre	+1.0
40	22-18	MARSH	MOREST	Serve err	Marshall		+0.5
41	22-19	MOREST	MOREST	Ace	Morehead St.	aced Emma Barnett	+1.3
42	23-19	MOREST	MARSH×3	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.6
43	24-19	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Emma Sayre	+0.9
44	25-19	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Emma Sayre	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	MOREST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Hollan Everett	+1.8
2	0-2	MOREST	MOREST	Attack err	Emma Barnett		+1.9
3	1-2	MOREST	MARSH×4	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.3
4	2-2	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.8
5	3-2	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.8
6	4-2	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Logan Henderson		+1.7
7	4-3	MARSH	MOREST×4	Attack err	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.3
8	4-4	MOREST	MOREST×4	Attack err	Logan Henderson		+1.9
9	4-5	MOREST	MOREST×4	Ace	Morehead St.	aced Emma Sayre	+2.0
10	4-6	MOREST	MOREST×4	Kill	Reagan Baxter		+2.1
11	5-6	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.5
12	6-6	MARSH	MARSH	Ace	Marshall	aced Courtney Fitzgerald	+2.0
13	6-7	MARSH	MOREST	Serve err	Marshall		+1.6
14	7-7	MOREST	MARSH×3	Serve err	Morehead St.		+1.5
15	8-7	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Hollan Everett		+2.0
16	9-7	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.9
17	9-8	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+1.4
18	9-9	MOREST	MOREST	Blocked	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett	+2.1
19	10-9	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett		+1.6
20	10-10	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Josie Certa	+1.7
21	11-10	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.7
22	11-11	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Haidyn Carter	set Josie Certa	+1.7
23	11-12	MOREST	MOREST	Attack err	Marae Reilly		+2.5
24	12-12	MOREST	MARSH	Serve err	Morehead St.		+1.8
25	12-13	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Josie Certa	+2.0
26	13-13	MOREST	MARSH×4	Serve err	Morehead St.		+1.9
27	14-13		MARSH	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.5
28	15-13	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Sayre	+2.4
29	16-13	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Reagan Baxter		+2.1
30	16-14	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+1.4
31	17-14	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.6
32	17-15	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett		+1.4
33	18-15	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.7
34	19-15	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Kahea Carvalho		+1.8
35	19-16	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+1.0
36	20-16	MOREST	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.4
37	21-16	MARSH	MARSH×3	Blocked	Haidyn Carter	blk Kahea Carvalho, Beatrice Ciccarelli	+1.2
38	22-16	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.7
39	22-17	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Haidyn Carter	set Josie Certa	+0.2
40	23-17	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Beatrice Ciccarelli	+0.4
41	24-17	MARSH	MARSH	Blocked	Anna Schiltz	blk Emma Barnett, Marae Reilly	+0.2
42	24-18	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	·
43	24-19	MOREST	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Josie Certa	+0.1
44	25-19	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	MARSH	MOREST	Serve err	Marshall		+0.8
2	1-1	MOREST	MARSH	Serve err	Morehead St.		+0.7
3	1-2	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.8
4	2-2	MOREST	MARSH	Serve err	Morehead St.		+0.7
5	2-3	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Sydney Sennett		+0.8
6	3-3	MOREST	MARSH×4	Blocked	Ella Warrick	blk Logan Henderson, Beatrice Ciccarelli	+0.8
7	4-3	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Ella Warrick		+1.0
8	5-3	MARSH	MARSH×4	Blocked	Morehead St.	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli	+0.9
9	6-3	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
10	6-4	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Sydney Sennett	+0.6
11	7-4	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.7
12	7-5	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.6
13	8-5	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.7
14	9-5	MARSH	MARSH	Ace	Marshall	aced Ella Warrick	+0.8
15	9-6	MARSH	MOREST	Serve err	Marshall		+0.5
16	10-6	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
17	10-7	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.6
18	10-8	MOREST	MOREST	Blocked	Logan Henderson	blk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett	+0.9
19	11-8	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Kahea Carvalho	set Emma Barnett	+0.7
20	11-9	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Sydney Sennett	set Kennedy Tinch	+0.7
21	12-9	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.7
22	12-10	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.7
23	12-11	MOREST	MOREST	Blocked	Maddie Smith	blk Haidyn Carter, Reagan Baxter	+1.1
24	13-11	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
25	13-12	MARSH	MOREST	Blocked	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Ella Warrick, Haidyn Carter	+0.9
26	14-12	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
27	14-13	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Amelia Nott	set Sydney Sennett	+0.9
28	14-14	MOREST	MOREST	Attack err	Beatrice Ciccarelli		+1.4
29	15-14	MOREST	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.1
30	16-14	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.4
31	17-14	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Ella Warrick		+1.2
32	17-15	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Ella Warrick	set Sydney Sennett	+0.8
33	17-16	MOREST	MOREST	Blocked	Emma Barnett	blk Sydney Sennett, Amelia Nott	+1.3
34	18-16	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.1
35	18-17	MARSH	MOREST	Blocked	Logan Henderson	blk Hollan Everett	+1.1
36	19-17	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.2
37	20-17	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Haidyn Carter		+1.4
38	20-18	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Hollan Everett	set Sydney Sennett	+0.8
39	20-19	MOREST	MOREST	Kill	Reagan Baxter		+1.5
40	21-19	MOREST	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.4
41	22-19	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Sayre	+1.5
42	22-20	MARSH	MOREST	Kill	Reagan Baxter	set Sydney Sennett	+0.8
43	23-20	MOREST	MARSH×3	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.2
44	24-20	MARSH	MARSH×3	Blocked	Ella Warrick	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Kahea Carvalho	+0.8
45	25-20	MARSH	MARSH×3	Blocked	Reagan Baxter	blk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Maddie Smith	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Marshall def. Morehead St. 3–0