Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Coastal Carolina def. Marshall 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Coastal Carolina 55.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Coastal Carolina beat visiting Marshall 3-2 (21-25, 20-25, 25-20, 25-15, 15-12) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Coastal Carolina's Talia Johnson led with 19 kills.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set12345Sets
MARSH25252015122
CO CAR21202525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

19 kills from Talia Johnson, and Coastal Carolina got past Marshall.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Coastal Carolina's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Coastal Carolina went in as RallyIQ's 55% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Marshall 20–21 Coastal Carolina

    Down 20–21, Marshall scored 5 straight to lead 25–21. The match swung to Marshall.

    Coastal Carolina 59% → 35%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Marshall 11–8 Coastal Carolina

    From here Coastal Carolina won 17 of 26 rallies to take the set 25–20.

    Coastal Carolina 8% → 27%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Marshall 11–12 Coastal Carolina

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Coastal Carolina, enough to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.

    Coastal Carolina 71% → >99%

Coastal Carolina above 50Marshall belowMax swing 14.8%

MarshallCoastal Carolina

Sideout %
Marshall 54.3·Coastal Carolina 59.2
Break %
Marshall 40.8·Coastal Carolina 45.7
Hitting
Marshall .124·Coastal Carolina .213
Longest run
Marshall 5·Coastal Carolina 6

Talia Johnson
19 kills on .164, 20 points; 7 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Coastal Carolina above 50 · Marshall below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+14.8% CO CARrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.8% to Coastal Carolina — set 5, MARSH 12-14 CO CAR. Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Isabella Loeswick). CO CAR win probability 74% → 89%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARSH 46.0%54.0% CO CAR

Marshall wins

3-0
10.9%
3-1
17.1%
3-2
18.0%

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
14.2%
3-1
20.4%
3-2
19.3%
MARSH break %
42.7% vs this opp
CO CAR break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Anzley RinardKill+14.8%

    Kill by Anzley Rinard (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 5 · MARSH 12-14 CO CAR · CO CAR 74% → 89%

  2. 02

    Beatrice Ciccarelli stuffed by Hatteras Welker & Talia Johnson

    Set 5 · MARSH 11-13 CO CAR · CO CAR 71% → 83%

  3. 03
    Maddie SmithKill+11.9%

    Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 5 · MARSH 11-12 CO CAR · MARSH 17% → 29%

  4. 04

    Carys Kerr stuffed by Hatteras Welker & Talia Johnson

    Set 5 · MARSH 9-12 CO CAR · CO CAR 77% → 88%

  5. 05

    Maddie Smith stuffed by Natalie Hughes & Anna Rita

    Set 5 · MARSH 12-15 CO CAR · CO CAR 89% → 100%

  6. 06

    Talia Johnson stuffed by Beatrice Ciccarelli & Carys Kerr

    Set 5 · MARSH 9-10 CO CAR · MARSH 22% → 33%

  7. 07
    Talia JohnsonKill+10.2%

    Kill by Talia Johnson (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 5 · MARSH 9-11 CO CAR · CO CAR 67% → 77%

  8. 08
    Coastal CarolinaService error+9.2%

    Coastal Carolina service error

    Set 5 · MARSH 12-13 CO CAR · MARSH 17% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515752.15441013300016
5131038.0790018304215
59626.1150001024413
58216.3752012006311
56523.04300030052.58.5
5011-1.0002420500002
5000–1112520001
5000–000000000
4000–1600500000
31011.00000010010.51.5
2000–000000000
1123-.33300000010.51.5
1001.00000000010.50.5
1000–200100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5333161.12449436492221397
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5191055.1640002002120
59319.316023002117.518.5
514439.25602219212218
59317.3531001012211
5408.500481270010.55.5
5000–132910003
55519.000100100849
5000–112900001
5000–5011900000
1117.000000000001
Team totals6126164.2135791267442617106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marshall vs Coastal Carolina

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MARSH · CO CAR 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 MARSHCO CAR 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 MARSHCO CAR 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 MARSHCO CAR 6

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 MARSHCO CAR 4

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 3 MARSHCO CAR 3

Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marshall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
35%6/17
2
63%10/16
57%13/23
3
38%9/24
38%6/16
4
60%9/15
44%7/16
5
60%9/15
36%5/14
6
57%8/14
25%3/12
All
54%57/105
41%40/98

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
47%8/17
2
50%10/20
42%8/19
3
67%10/15
47%9/19
4
56%9/16
50%9/18
5
69%9/13
40%6/15
6
75%9/12
47%8/17
All
59%58/98
46%48/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#MARSH-CO CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MARSHCO CAR×3KillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
20-2CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedEmma Barnettblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+2.4
30-3CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Maddie Smith+2.3
41-3CO CARMARSHServe errIsabella Loeswick+1.6
52-3MARSHMARSHBlockedHatteras Welkerblk Maddie Smith, Beatrice Ciccarelli+2.4
62-4MARSHCO CARBlockedMaddie Smithblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+1.9
72-5CO CARCO CARAttack errLogan Henderson+2.4
83-5CO CARMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Beatrice Ciccarelli+1.7
94-5MARSHMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.5
104-6MARSHCO CARKillIsabella Loeswickset Jonna Spohn+2.0
115-6CO CARMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
125-7MARSHCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.0
136-7CO CARMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+2.0
147-7MARSHMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+2.8
158-7MARSHMARSH×3Attack errAnna Rita+2.9
168-8MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
179-8CO CARMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+2.3
1810-8MARSHMARSHAceEmma Sayreaced Anzley Rinard+3.0
1910-9MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
2010-10CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
2111-10CO CARMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+2.4
2212-10MARSHMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+3.2
2312-11MARSHCO CARAttack errMaddie Smith+2.3
2413-11CO CARMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.5
2513-12MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
2614-12CO CARMARSHAttack errNatalie Hughes+2.6
2714-13MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
2814-14CO CARCO CARAttack errLogan Henderson+3.6
2915-14CO CARMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.9
3016-14MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Emma Barnett+3.8
3117-14MARSHMARSH×3KillMarae Reilly+3.6
3217-15MARSHCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
3317-16CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errMarae Reilly+3.6
3417-17CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Emma Barnett+4.2
3517-18CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errMarae Reilly+4.4
3618-18CO CARMARSHAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.3
3718-19MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.6
3819-19CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+3.6
3919-20MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+3.9
4020-20CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+3.9
4120-21MARSHCO CARKillLogan Hendersonset Maddie Smith+4.3
4221-21CO CARMARSH×5KillEmma Barnettset Beatrice Ciccarelli+4.3
4322-21MARSHMARSH×5KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+6.7
4423-21MARSHMARSH×5KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+6.6
4524-21MARSHMARSH×5Attack errTalia Johnson+4.8
4625-21MARSHMARSH×5AceEmma Barnettaced Anzley Rinard+1.9
Set 2
10-1CO CARCO CARBlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Hatteras Welker, Isabella Loeswick+2.6
21-1CO CARMARSH×4Attack errTalia Johnson+1.9
32-1MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.7
43-1MARSHMARSH×4Attack errTalia Johnson+2.7
54-1MARSHMARSH×4Attack errAnzley Rinard+2.6
64-2MARSHCO CARAttack errMaddie Smith+1.8
74-3CO CARCO CARAttack errLogan Henderson+2.6
85-3CO CARMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Emma Barnett+2.1
96-3MARSHMARSH×3BlockedTalia Johnsonblk Logan Henderson, Marae Reilly+2.7
107-3MARSHMARSH×3BlockedTalia Johnsonblk Logan Henderson, Marae Reilly+2.6
117-4MARSHCO CARBlockedMarae Reillyblk Hatteras Welker+1.7
128-4CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+2.0
138-5MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
148-6CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Emma Sayre+2.6
159-6CO CARMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+2.2
1610-6MARSHMARSH×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Marae Reilly+2.7
1711-6MARSHMARSH×3KillLia Beverly+2.4
1811-7MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
1912-7CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+1.8
2012-8MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
2113-8CO CARMARSHAttack errLogan Henderson+1.9
2214-8MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.0
2314-9MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.1
2414-10CO CARCO CARServe errCoastal Carolina+2.0
2515-10CO CARMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
2616-10MARSHMARSH×3KillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+2.0
2717-10MARSHMARSH×3Attack errIsabele Filardo+1.4
2817-11MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
2917-12CO CARCO CARAttack errMaddie Smith+1.3
3018-12CO CARMARSHBlockedHatteras Welkerblk Logan Henderson, Beatrice Ciccarelli+1.4
3118-13MARSHCO CAR×4KillIsabele Filardoset Jonna Spohn+0.9
3218-14CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedMaddie Smithblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+1.8
3318-15CO CARCO CAR×4KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
3418-16CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedLogan Hendersonblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+3.2
3519-16CO CARMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+3.1
3620-16MARSHMARSHBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Maddie Smith+3.3
3720-17MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welker+1.7
3821-17CO CARMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+2.5
3921-18MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
4022-18CO CARMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+2.5
4123-18MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Emma Sayre+1.9
4223-19MARSHCO CARServe errEmma Sayre+0.6
4324-19CO CARMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+1.2
4424-20MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.3
4525-20CO CARMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+0.7
Set 3
11-0MARSHMARSHAceKahea Carvalho+1.8
22-0MARSHMARSHBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Logan Henderson, Beatrice Ciccarelli+1.8
32-1MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
43-1CO CARMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
53-2MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
64-2CO CARMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.4
75-2MARSHMARSHAttack errHatteras Welker+1.8
85-3MARSHCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
95-4CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Rita+1.9
105-5CO CARCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Abby Bucey+1.9
116-5CO CARMARSH×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+1.5
127-5MARSHMARSH×3Attack errNatalie Hughes+2.0
138-5MARSHMARSH×3Attack errAnna Rita+2.0
148-6MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
158-7CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Emma Sayre+2.0
169-7CO CARMARSHServe errAnzley Rinard+1.6
179-8MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+1.5
1810-8CO CARMARSHBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Lilly Howell, Marae Reilly+1.7
1911-8MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+2.1
2011-9MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
2111-10CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
2212-10CO CARMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.8
2312-11MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
2412-12CO CARCO CARBlockedEmma Barnettblk Natalie Hughes, Hatteras Welker+2.4
2513-12CO CARMARSHAttack errTalia Johnson+1.9
2614-12MARSHMARSHBlockedTalia Johnsonblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Logan Henderson+2.5
2714-13MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
2814-14CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolinaaced Emma Barnett+2.6
2915-14CO CARMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+2.1
3016-14MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
3116-15MARSHCO CAR×3KillIsabella Loeswickset Jonna Spohn+1.9
3216-16CO CARCO CAR×3AceCoastal Carolinaaced Emma Barnett+2.9
3316-17CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errLogan Henderson+3.0
3417-17CO CARMARSHBad setAnzley Rinard+2.3
3517-18MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
3618-18CO CARMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Emma Barnett+2.4
3719-18MARSHMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+3.5
3819-19MARSHCO CAR×6KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.6
3919-20CO CARCO CAR×6KillTalia Johnsonset Anna Rita+3.8
4019-21CO CARCO CAR×6AceCoastal Carolinaaced Maddie Smith+3.7
4119-22CO CARCO CAR×6KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+3.0
4219-23CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errMarae Reilly+2.0
4319-24CO CARCO CAR×6KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
4420-24CO CARMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+0.2
4520-25MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.4
Set 4
10-1CO CARCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+3.4
20-2CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Julia Rivera+3.3
31-2CO CARMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.5
42-2MARSHMARSHAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.5
52-3MARSHCO CARKillIsabella Loeswickset Natalie Hughes+2.7
63-3CO CARMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.7
74-3MARSHMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+3.7
84-4MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
94-5CO CARCO CARBlockedMaddie Smithblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+3.7
105-5CO CARMARSHBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Maddie Smith+2.8
115-6MARSHCO CARKillHatteras Welkerset Isabella Loeswick+2.9
126-6CO CARMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+2.9
136-7MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.9
147-7CO CARMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+3.0
157-8MARSHCO CARServe errBeatrice Ciccarelli+3.0
168-8CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+3.1
178-9MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
189-9CO CARMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+3.1
199-10MARSHCO CAR×3KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+3.2
209-11CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errMarae Reilly+4.2
219-12CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errMaddie Smith+4.0
2210-12CO CARMARSHBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Marae Reilly, Maddie Smith+2.7
2310-13MARSHCO CAR×4Attack errEmma Barnett+3.1
2410-14CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errEmma Barnett+3.6
2510-15CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedKahea Carvalhoblk Hatteras Welker, Anzley Rinard+3.0
2610-16CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
2711-16CO CARMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+1.3
2812-16MARSHMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+2.3
2912-17MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
3013-17CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+1.7
3113-18MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
3213-19CO CARCO CARAceCoastal Carolina+2.1
3314-19CO CARMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.0
3414-20MARSHCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
3514-21CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedEmma Barnettblk Anna Rita+1.1
3614-22CO CARCO CAR×4AceCoastal Carolinaaced Maddie Smith+0.5
3714-23CO CARCO CAR×4KillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
3815-23CO CARMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves·
3915-24MARSHCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.1
4015-25CO CARCO CARBlockedMarae Reillyblk Hatteras Welker+1.1
Set 5
10-1MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+6.4
21-1CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+6.4
31-2MARSHCO CARBlockedMaddie Smithblk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes+6.6
42-2CO CARMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+6.7
52-3MARSHCO CAR×3Attack errEmma Barnett+6.9
62-4CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedCarys Kerrblk Anzley Rinard+9.0
72-5CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedMaddie Smithblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+8.3
83-5CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+5.5
94-5MARSHMARSHBlockedAnna Ritablk Marae Reilly+8.8
104-6MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+7.4
114-7CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+8.9
125-7CO CARMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Emma Barnett+5.8
135-8MARSHCO CARServe errMaddie Smith+7.0
146-8CO CARMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Maya Hunt+5.9
156-9MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+7.3
166-10CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+7.7
177-10CO CARMARSH×3KillEmma Barnettset Maya Hunt+4.1
188-10MARSHMARSH×3AceKahea Carvalhoaced Julia Rivera+7.9
199-10MARSHMARSH×3BlockedTalia Johnsonblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Carys Kerr+10.8
209-11MARSHCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+10.2
219-12CO CARCO CARBlockedCarys Kerrblk Hatteras Welker, Talia Johnson+11.2
2210-12CO CARMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Kahea Carvalho+5.7
2311-12MARSHMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+11.9
2411-13MARSHCO CARBlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Hatteras Welker, Talia Johnson+12.6
2512-13CO CARMARSHServe errCoastal Carolina+9.2
2612-14MARSHCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+14.8
2712-15CO CARCO CARBlockedMaddie Smithblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+11.0

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).