Marshall vs Coastal Carolina Volleyball: Marshall Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 18, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Coastal Carolina 57.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Marshall won at Coastal Carolina 3-0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-10) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Marshall's Maddie Smith led with 14 kills, and Addison Saunders added 14 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 18

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MARSH	25	25	25	3
CO CAR	16	19	10	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.636 and 14 kills for Maddie Smith as Marshall rolled past Coastal Carolina.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.3 points. Coastal Carolina peaked at 55% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Coastal Carolina went in at 57% by RallyIQ.

MarshallCoastal Carolina

Break %+31.0 pts
52.721.7
39 of 74 on serve vs 10 of 46, so Coastal Carolina's sideout was 47.3%.
Hitting+.224
.474.250
50 K / 5 E against 35 K / 12 E.
Longest run+3
63
Marshall scored 6 straight in the second set to go from 15–15 to a 21–15 lead. The set finished 25–19.

Coastal Carolina above 50Marshall belowMax swing 4.3%

MarshallCoastal Carolina

Aces: Marshall 9·Coastal Carolina 2
Serve err: Marshall 2·Coastal Carolina 4
Blocks: Marshall 3·Coastal Carolina 32 BS · 2 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Marshall 38·Coastal Carolina 29

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Coastal Carolina above 50 · Marshall below

Biggest swing: 4.3% to Marshall — set 2, MARSH 17-15 CO CAR. Hatteras Welker stuffed by Maddie Smith. CO CAR win probability 33% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARSH 46.0%54.0% CO CAR

Marshall wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.1%

3-2

18.0%

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0

14.2%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

19.3%

MARSH break %: 42.7% vs this opp
CO CAR break %: 43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maddie SmithBlock+4.3%
Hatteras Welker stuffed by Maddie Smith
Set 2 · MARSH 17-15 CO CAR · MARSH 67% → 72%
02
Emma SayreAce+4.0%
Ace by Emma Sayre on Anzley Rinard
Set 2 · MARSH 18-15 CO CAR · MARSH 72% → 76%
03
Emma BarnettKill+3.9%
Kill by Emma Barnett (set by Isabella Nieves)
Set 2 · MARSH 14-13 CO CAR · MARSH 63% → 67%
04
Julia RiveraAce+3.6%
Ace by Julia Rivera
Set 2 · MARSH 12-13 CO CAR · CO CAR 36% → 40%
05
Maddie SmithKill+3.6%
Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Kahea Carvalho)
Set 2 · MARSH 12-11 CO CAR · MARSH 63% → 66%
06
Beatrice CiccarelliKill+3.4%
Kill by Beatrice Ciccarelli (set by Isabella Nieves)
Set 2 · MARSH 19-15 CO CAR · MARSH 76% → 79%
07
Maddie SmithKill+3.3%
Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Isabella Nieves)
Set 2 · MARSH 16-15 CO CAR · MARSH 64% → 67%
08
Logan HendersonKill+3.2%
Kill by Logan Henderson (set by Kahea Carvalho)
Set 2 · MARSH 9-9 CO CAR · MARSH 60% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Marshallaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Maddie SmithOH	3	14	0	22	.636	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	1	15
11Emma BarnettOH	3	12	2	21	.476	2	3	0	8	0	0	0	0	15
5Beatrice CiccarelliMB	3	9	1	10	.800	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	9
16Marae ReillyMB	3	5	0	10	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
15Logan HendersonOPP	3	6	2	19	.211	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
23Kahea CarvalhoS	3	0	0	1	.000	24	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
4Emma SayreL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	4
3Carys KerrOH	3	3	0	11	.273	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
14Isabella Nieves	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
19Addison SaundersL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	14	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	5	95	.474	42	9	2	38	2	2	2	3	75

Coastal Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Talia JohnsonOH	3	10	2	28	.286	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	10
19Anzley RinardOH	3	7	3	17	.235	0	1	2	2	2	0	0	0	8
10Anna RitaMB	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
1Hatteras WelkerMB	3	3	3	10	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
17Isabella LoeswickS	3	1	0	5	.200	25	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
13Julia RiveraOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	8	2	0	0	0	1
2Natalie HughesOPP	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	9
45Abby BuceyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
4Jonna SpohnL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Viara ParapunovaOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	12	92	.250	32	2	4	29	9	1	4	3	45

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marshall vs Coastal Carolina

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Sat, Oct 17, 2026Marshall at Coastal Carolina · Coastal Carolina won 3-2Result →
Sun, Oct 18, 2026Marshall at Coastal Carolina · Marshall won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MARSH · CO CAR 3

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 MARSHCO CAR 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 MARSHCO CAR 3

Set 3

25-10

Longest run 6 MARSHCO CAR 1

Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marshall

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	46%6/13
2	86%6/7	45%5/11
3	55%6/11	33%3/9
4	86%6/7	60%9/15
5	100%5/5	62%8/13
6	71%5/7	62%8/13
All	78%36/46	53%39/74

Coastal Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	14%1/7
2	50%6/12	0%0/7
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	50%6/12	33%3/9
5	28%5/18	0%0/6
6	45%5/11	29%2/7
All	47%35/74	22%10/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#	MARSH-CO CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.5
2	2-0	MARSH	MARSH	Ace	Kahea Carvalho	aced Julia Rivera	+2.5
3	2-1	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.8
4	3-1	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.9
5	3-2	MARSH	CO CAR	Blocked	Beatrice Ciccarelli	blk Hatteras Welker	+1.8
6	4-2	CO CAR	MARSH×3	Serve err	Abby Bucey		+2.0
7	5-2	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+2.6
8	6-2	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.4
9	6-3	MARSH	CO CAR×3	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.6
10	6-4	CO CAR	CO CAR×3	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.4
11	6-5	CO CAR	CO CAR×3	Blocked	Emma Barnett	blk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita	+2.6
12	7-5	CO CAR	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.1
13	8-5	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Anna Rita		+2.7
14	9-5	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Anna Rita		+2.6
15	9-6	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.7
16	10-6	CO CAR	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+2.0
17	11-6	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Anna Rita		+2.3
18	12-6	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Carys Kerr	set Isabella Nieves	+2.0
19	12-7	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.2
20	13-7	CO CAR	MARSH×4	Serve err	Anzley Rinard		+1.5
21	14-7	MARSH	MARSH×4	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Barnett	+1.5
22	15-7	MARSH	MARSH×4	Ace	Emma Sayre	aced Anzley Rinard	+1.1
23	16-7	MARSH	MARSH×4	Ace	Emma Sayre	aced Julia Rivera	+0.8
24	16-8	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anna Rita	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.4
25	17-8	CO CAR	MARSH	Serve err	Jonna Spohn		+0.5
26	17-9	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.3
27	18-9	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.5
28	18-10	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.3
29	18-11	CO CAR	CO CAR	Attack err	Logan Henderson		+0.5
30	19-11	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
31	19-12	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.3
32	20-12	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.6
33	20-13	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anna Rita	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.3
34	21-13	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+0.5
35	21-14	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.2
36	22-14	CO CAR	MARSH	Serve err	Anzley Rinard		+0.4
37	22-15	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.1
38	23-15	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Isabella Nieves	+0.3
39	24-15	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.1
40	24-16	MARSH	CO CAR	Bad set	Beatrice Ciccarelli		·
41	25-16	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	·
Set 2
1	1-0	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.0
2	1-1	MARSH	CO CAR	Blocked	Emma Barnett	blk Hatteras Welker, Natalie Hughes	+2.0
3	2-1	CO CAR	MARSH	Attack err	Anzley Rinard		+2.1
4	2-2	MARSH	CO CAR×3	Kill	Anna Rita	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.0
5	2-3	CO CAR	CO CAR×3	Kill	Isabella Loeswick	set Julia Rivera	+2.7
6	2-4	CO CAR	CO CAR×3	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.7
7	3-4	CO CAR	MARSH×3	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.0
8	4-4	MARSH	MARSH×3	Blocked	Anzley Rinard	blk Carys Kerr, Marae Reilly	+2.8
9	5-4	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+2.9
10	5-5	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.2
11	5-6	CO CAR	CO CAR	Ace	Anzley Rinard	aced Maddie Smith	+2.9
12	6-6	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Carys Kerr	set Isabella Nieves	+2.2
13	6-7	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anna Rita	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.2
14	7-7	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+2.3
15	7-8	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.3
16	7-9	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Hatteras Welker	+3.0
17	8-9	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Carys Kerr	set Isabella Nieves	+2.2
18	9-9	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.2
19	9-10	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.5
20	10-10	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.5
21	10-11	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+2.5
22	11-11	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.6
23	12-11	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+3.6
24	12-12	MARSH	CO CAR	Serve err	Beatrice Ciccarelli		+2.7
25	12-13	CO CAR	CO CAR	Ace	Julia Rivera		+3.6
26	13-13	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+2.8
27	14-13	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+3.9
28	14-14	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Julia Rivera	+2.9
29	15-14	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+3.1
30	15-15	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Jonna Spohn	+3.0
31	16-15	CO CAR	MARSH×6	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+3.3
32	17-15	MARSH	MARSH×6	Blocked	Hatteras Welker	blk Maddie Smith	+4.3
33	18-15	MARSH	MARSH×6	Ace	Emma Sayre	aced Anzley Rinard	+4.0
34	19-15	MARSH	MARSH×6	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Isabella Nieves	+3.4
35	20-15	MARSH	MARSH×6	Ace	Emma Sayre		+2.5
36	21-15	MARSH	MARSH×6	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+1.6
37	21-16	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.6
38	21-17	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes		+1.4
39	22-17	CO CAR	MARSH×3	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+1.7
40	23-17	MARSH	MARSH×3	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.2
41	24-17	MARSH	MARSH×3	Attack err	Talia Johnson		+0.4
42	24-18	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.1
43	24-19	CO CAR	CO CAR	Kill	Anzley Rinard	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.2
44	25-19	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.3
Set 3
1	0-1	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Anna Rita	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.4
2	1-1	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.4
3	2-1	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Beatrice Ciccarelli		+1.9
4	2-2	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Isabella Loeswick	set Anzley Rinard	+1.4
5	3-2	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.5
6	3-3	MARSH	CO CAR	Attack err	Logan Henderson		+1.5
7	4-3	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.5
8	5-3	MARSH	MARSH	Attack err	Hatteras Welker		+2.0
9	5-4	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Hatteras Welker	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.5
10	6-4	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Marae Reilly	set Isabella Nieves	+1.6
11	7-4	MARSH	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+2.0
12	7-5	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Jonna Spohn	+1.4
13	8-5	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+1.6
14	8-6	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Isabella Loeswick	+1.4
15	9-6	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Isabella Nieves	+1.6
16	9-7	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Natalie Hughes	set Jonna Spohn	+1.5
17	10-7	CO CAR	MARSH×5	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Emma Barnett	+1.7
18	11-7	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Emma Barnett		+2.0
19	12-7	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Maddie Smith	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.8
20	13-7	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.5
21	14-7	MARSH	MARSH×5	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+1.2
22	14-8	MARSH	CO CAR	Serve err	Maddie Smith		+0.6
23	15-8	CO CAR	MARSH	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.9
24	15-9	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Jonna Spohn	+0.6
25	16-9	CO CAR	MARSH×4	Kill	Logan Henderson	set Kahea Carvalho	+0.8
26	17-9	MARSH	MARSH×4	Ace	Isabella Nieves		+0.8
27	18-9	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Talia Johnson		+0.5
28	19-9	MARSH	MARSH×4	Attack err	Hatteras Welker		+0.3
29	19-10	MARSH	CO CAR	Kill	Talia Johnson	set Isabella Loeswick	+0.1
30	20-10	CO CAR	MARSH×6	Kill	Emma Barnett	set Isabella Nieves	+0.2
31	21-10	MARSH	MARSH×6	Ace	Emma Barnett		+0.1
32	22-10	MARSH	MARSH×6	Ace	Emma Barnett	aced Viara Parapunova	·
33	23-10	MARSH	MARSH×6	Kill	Isabella Nieves	set Isabella Nieves	·
34	24-10	MARSH	MARSH×6	Blocked	Natalie Hughes	blk Marae Reilly	·
35	25-10	MARSH	MARSH×6	Ace	Emma Barnett	aced Talia Johnson	·

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Marshall def. Coastal Carolina 3–0

.636 and 14 kills for Maddie Smith as Marshall rolled past Coastal Carolina.