Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

App State def. Marshall 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: App State 68.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

App State beat visiting Marshall 3-1 (23-25, 25-19, 25-22, 25-19) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. App State's Bella Hutchens led with 17 kills, and MeMe Davis added 18 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
MARSH251922191
APP ST232525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Raegan Richardson had 50 assists, and App State outlasted Marshall.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are App State's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. App State went in as RallyIQ's 68% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Marshall 19–14 App State

    Down 14–19, App State scored 5 straight to tie it at 19. The match swung to App State.

    App State 41% → 61%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Marshall 14–13 App State

    6 straight App State points turned a 13–14 deficit into a 19–14 lead.

    App State 79% → 98%

App State above 50Marshall belowMax swing 7.6%

MarshallApp State

Sideout %
Marshall 61.9·App State 70.9
Break %
Marshall 29.1·App State 38.1
Hitting
Marshall .132·App State .265
Longest run
Marshall 4·App State 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

App State above 50 · Marshall below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.6% MARSHrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Marshall — set 1, MARSH 25-23 APP ST. Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Kahea Carvalho). APP ST win probability 55% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MARSH 30.0%70.0% APP ST

Marshall wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.5%
3-2
13.8%

App State wins

3-0
23.3%
3-1
26.9%
3-2
19.9%
MARSH break %
39.6% vs this opp
APP ST break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddie SmithKill+7.6%

    Kill by Maddie Smith (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 1 · MARSH 25-23 APP ST · MARSH 45% → 53%

  2. 02
    Logan HendersonBad set+7.3%

    Bad set by Logan Henderson

    Set 3 · MARSH 20-21 APP ST · APP ST 61% → 68%

  3. 03

    Ace by Raegan Richardson on Maddie Smith

    Set 3 · MARSH 20-22 APP ST · APP ST 68% → 75%

  4. 04
    Maddie SmithAttack error+6.4%

    Attack error by Maddie Smith

    Set 3 · MARSH 22-24 APP ST · APP ST 73% → 79%

  5. 05

    Beatrice Ciccarelli stuffed by Molly Teague & Nevaeh Hays

    Set 3 · MARSH 19-19 APP ST · APP ST 55% → 61%

  6. 06

    Kill by Logan Henderson (set by Kahea Carvalho)

    Set 1 · MARSH 24-22 APP ST · MARSH 42% → 48%

  7. 07
    Emma BarnettService error+5.5%

    Service error by Emma Barnett

    Set 3 · MARSH 21-23 APP ST · APP ST 71% → 77%

  8. 08
    Beatrice CiccarelliAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Beatrice Ciccarelli

    Set 3 · MARSH 19-18 APP ST · APP ST 50% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410427.2220112012213
49014.6430012022312
48930-.03301081010.59.5
44827-.148000200215
41011.0001912400002
41217-.059102900001
412328.32100000010.512.5
4000–010700001
4000–1900800000
3000–100910000
2000–000100000
Team totals4526144.132404652538785
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417336.389115130031.519.5
413728.21401220031.515.5
49217.4120000026514
49230.23301150233.513.5
410424.2500012004212
41211-.0915013800213
4000–4121800001
4000–000610000
2001.000000700000
2000–000200000
1000–00000010.50.5
Team totals5920147.265555146344221598

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Marshall vs App State

Season series · App State leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MARSH · APP ST 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 MARSHAPP ST 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 MARSHAPP ST 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 MARSHAPP ST 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 MARSHAPP ST 6

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Marshall leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Marshall

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%12/20
38%6/16
2
60%12/20
25%4/16
3
71%10/14
20%3/15
4
77%10/13
23%3/13
5
47%8/17
31%4/13
6
62%8/13
38%5/13
All
62%60/97
29%25/86

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
29%4/14
2
80%12/15
37%7/19
3
79%11/14
39%7/18
4
64%9/14
23%3/13
5
60%9/15
40%6/15
6
62%8/13
56%10/18
All
71%61/86
38%37/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#MARSH-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0APP STMARSH×3KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
22-0MARSHMARSH×3KillLogan Hendersonset Emma Barnett+2.4
33-0MARSHMARSH×3Attack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.4
43-1MARSHAPP ST×3Serve errKahea Carvalho+1.6
53-2APP STAPP ST×3BlockedEmma Barnettblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+2.3
63-3APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.4
74-3APP STMARSHServe errApp State+1.8
84-4MARSHAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.7
95-4APP STMARSHServe errApp State+1.9
105-5MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.8
115-6APP STAPP STBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Brooke Doherty+2.5
126-6APP STMARSHAttack errBrooke Doherty+1.8
137-6MARSHMARSHAttack errBrooke Doherty+2.7
147-7MARSHAPP ST×4Attack errCarys Kerr+1.9
157-8APP STAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.6
167-9APP STAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.5
177-10APP STAPP ST×4AceApp State+2.3
188-10APP STMARSH×3KillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+1.5
199-10MARSHMARSH×3BlockedRaegan Richardsonblk Marae Reilly+2.5
2010-10MARSHMARSH×3Attack errBella Hutchens+2.8
2110-11MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2211-11APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+2.1
2312-11MARSHMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+3.2
2412-12MARSHAPP STServe errMarshall+2.2
2513-12APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+2.4
2613-13MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.3
2714-13APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+2.5
2814-14MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.4
2915-14APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Emma Barnett+2.7
3015-15MARSHAPP STBlockedMaddie Smithblk Chelsea Gilmore, Delanie Grevengoed+2.5
3116-15APP STMARSHKillKahea Carvalhoset Raegan Richardson+2.8
3216-16MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.7
3316-17APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.8
3417-17APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+2.8
3518-17MARSHMARSHAceMarshall+4.3
3618-18MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.0
3719-18APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+3.4
3820-18MARSHMARSHAceMarshallaced Caroline Farthing+4.8
3920-19MARSHAPP STBlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Nevaeh Hays, Raegan Richardson+2.9
4021-19APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+3.8
4121-20MARSHAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+3.1
4222-20APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+4.2
4323-20MARSHMARSHBlockedNevaeh Haysblk Beatrice Ciccarelli+4.8
4423-21MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.9
4523-22APP STAPP STBlockedMaddie Smithblk Chelsea Gilmore, Delanie Grevengoed+4.6
4624-22APP STMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+5.6
4724-23MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+3.1
4825-23APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+7.6
Set 2
10-1MARSHAPP STAttack errMaddie Smith+1.9
21-1APP STMARSHAttack errNevaeh Hays+2.0
31-2MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.0
41-3APP STAPP STAttack errLogan Henderson+2.6
52-3APP STMARSHServe errApp State+1.9
62-4MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.9
72-5APP STAPP STAceApp State+2.5
83-5APP STMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+1.7
93-6MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+1.8
103-7APP STAPP STBlockedMaddie Smithblk Brooke Doherty+2.3
114-7APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.5
124-8MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.7
135-8APP STMARSHServe errApp State+1.5
145-9MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.7
156-9APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+1.6
166-10MARSHAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.7
176-11APP STAPP ST×4KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.0
186-12APP STAPP ST×4KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.6
196-13APP STAPP ST×4BlockedMaddie Smithblk Nevaeh Hays, Bella Hutchens+1.2
207-13APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+0.7
217-14MARSHAPP STBad setKahea Carvalho+0.8
227-15APP STAPP STAceApp State+0.8
238-15APP STMARSHServe errApp State+0.4
249-15MARSHMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
259-16MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.8
2610-16APP STMARSHAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+0.5
2711-16MARSHMARSHBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Carys Kerr, Beatrice Ciccarelli+1.1
2811-17MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.1
2912-17APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+0.8
3012-18MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.0
3113-18APP STMARSHAttack errBella Hutchens+0.7
3213-19MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.0
3314-19APP STMARSHServe errApp State+0.6
3414-20MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.9
3515-20APP STMARSHServe errApp State+0.6
3615-21MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.9
3716-21APP STMARSHKillLogan Hendersonset Kahea Carvalho+0.5
3816-22MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.7
3917-22APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Kahea Carvalho+0.3
4018-22MARSHMARSHAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+0.9
4118-23MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.1
4218-24APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Addison Saunders+0.6
4319-24APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Isabella Nieves+0.1
4419-25MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.2
Set 3
10-1APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.0
20-2APP STAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.9
31-2APP STMARSHServe errApp State+2.1
41-3MARSHAPP STServe errMarshall+2.1
51-4APP STAPP STBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Brooke Doherty, Nevaeh Hays+2.7
62-4APP STMARSHAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+1.9
72-5MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.0
83-5APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+1.9
93-6MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.1
104-6APP STMARSHServe errApp State+2.0
114-7MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.1
125-7APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+2.0
136-7MARSHMARSHAttack errChelsea Gilmore+3.2
146-8MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.4
156-9APP STAPP STBlockedMaddie Smithblk Nevaeh Hays+3.1
167-9APP STMARSH×4KillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+2.1
178-9MARSHMARSH×4BlockedBella Hutchensblk Beatrice Ciccarelli, Logan Henderson+3.3
189-9MARSHMARSH×4KillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+3.8
1910-9MARSHMARSH×4AceMarshall+4.1
2010-10MARSHAPP STServe errMarshall+2.9
2111-10APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Kahea Carvalho+3.1
2211-11MARSHAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+3.0
2312-11APP STMARSHAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+3.2
2412-12MARSHAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+3.1
2513-12APP STMARSHServe errApp State+3.4
2614-12MARSHMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+4.8
2714-13MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset MeMe Davis+3.1
2815-13APP STMARSH×3Serve errApp State+3.7
2916-13MARSHMARSH×3Attack errRaegan Richardson+4.8
3017-13MARSHMARSH×3BlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Marae Reilly+4.3
3117-14MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Bella Hutchens+2.4
3218-14APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+3.3
3319-14MARSHMARSHAttack errRaegan Richardson+3.5
3419-15MARSHAPP ST×5KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.7
3519-16APP STAPP ST×5Attack errCarys Kerr+3.2
3619-17APP STAPP ST×5BlockedMaddie Smithblk Nevaeh Hays, Bella Hutchens+4.3
3719-18APP STAPP ST×5Attack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+5.4
3819-19APP STAPP ST×5BlockedBeatrice Ciccarelliblk Molly Teague, Nevaeh Hays+6.3
3920-19APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Isabella Nieves+5.2
4020-20MARSHAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+4.9
4120-21APP STAPP ST×3Bad setLogan Henderson+7.3
4220-22APP STAPP ST×3AceRaegan Richardsonaced Maddie Smith+6.8
4321-22APP STMARSHServe errRaegan Richardson+4.0
4421-23MARSHAPP STServe errEmma Barnett+5.5
4522-23APP STMARSHServe errBella Hutchens+4.0
4622-24MARSHAPP STAttack errMaddie Smith+6.4
4722-25APP STAPP STBlockedLogan Hendersonblk Brooke Doherty, Chelsea Gilmore+4.6
Set 4
11-0MARSHMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+2.8
21-1MARSHAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.0
32-1APP STMARSH×3KillCarys Kerrset Raegan Richardson+2.1
43-1MARSHMARSH×3KillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+3.0
54-1MARSHMARSH×3AceBeatrice Ciccarelli+3.0
64-2MARSHAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+2.0
75-2APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho+2.3
85-3MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.0
95-4APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.0
106-4APP STMARSHKillMaddie Smithset Addison Saunders+2.4
116-5MARSHAPP STAttack errLogan Henderson+2.2
127-5APP STMARSHAttack errChelsea Gilmore+2.4
137-6MARSHAPP STAttack errBeatrice Ciccarelli+2.2
148-6APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+2.5
158-7MARSHAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+2.3
169-7APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+2.6
179-8MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.3
189-9APP STAPP STAttack errCarys Kerr+3.4
1910-9APP STMARSHServe errBella Hutchens+2.6
2010-10MARSHAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.5
2110-11APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.5
2211-11APP STMARSHBlockedDelanie Grevengoedblk Maddie Smith, Marae Reilly+2.6
2311-12MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.6
2412-12APP STMARSHBlockedBrooke Dohertyblk Marae Reilly, Logan Henderson+2.7
2512-13MARSHAPP STAttack errLogan Henderson+2.7
2613-13APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Isabella Nieves+2.8
2714-13MARSHMARSHKillEmma Barnettset Isabella Nieves+4.2
2814-14MARSHAPP ST×6BlockedLogan Hendersonblk Chelsea Gilmore, Bella Hutchens+2.9
2914-15APP STAPP ST×6KillNevaeh Hays+4.1
3014-16APP STAPP ST×6BlockedMaddie Smithblk Nevaeh Hays+3.9
3114-17APP STAPP ST×6Attack errEmma Barnett+3.4
3214-18APP STAPP ST×6KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.7
3314-19APP STAPP ST×6Attack errLogan Henderson+2.0
3415-19APP STMARSHKillBeatrice Ciccarelliset Isabella Nieves+1.0
3515-20MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.4
3616-20APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+0.9
3716-21MARSHAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+1.3
3817-21APP STMARSHKillCarys Kerrset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
3917-22MARSHAPP ST×3Serve errBeatrice Ciccarelli+1.2
4017-23APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Kahea Carvalho+0.8
4117-24APP STAPP ST×3KillBrooke Dohertyset MeMe Davis+0.3
4218-24APP STMARSHKillMarae Reillyset Kahea Carvalho·
4319-24MARSHMARSHAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+0.1
4419-25MARSHAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Marshall first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).