New Mexico State def. Jacksonville State 3-0 (Oct 16)

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: New Mexico St. 97.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Mexico St. beat visiting Jacksonville St. 3-0 (25-11, 25-14, 26-24) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. New Mexico St.'s Tess Fuqua led with 12 kills, and Makayla Martinez added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 6:30 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
JAX ST	11	14	24	0
NM ST	25	25	26	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Maggie Lightheart in a New Mexico St. rout.

Win probability never moved more than 0.7 points on one rally; Jacksonville St. topped out at 2% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had New Mexico St. at 98%.

Jacksonville St.New Mexico St.

Break %+23.5 pts
33.356.8
42 of 74 on serve vs 17 of 51, so Jacksonville St.'s sideout was 43.2%.
Hitting+.239
.127.366
41 K / 11 E against 25 K / 15 E.
Longest run+1
45
New Mexico St. scored 5 straight in the first set to open the set 5–0. Final score of the set: 25–11.

New Mexico St. above 50Jacksonville St. belowMax swing 0.7%

Jacksonville St.New Mexico St.

Aces: Jacksonville St. 4·New Mexico St. 12
Serve err: Jacksonville St. 6·New Mexico St. 8
Blocks: Jacksonville St. 6·New Mexico St. 52 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Jacksonville St. 28·New Mexico St. 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Mexico St. above 50 · Jacksonville St. below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: New Mexico St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JAX ST 2.0%98.0% NM ST

Jacksonville St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.3%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0

67.2%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

5.8%

JAX ST break %: 36.1% vs this opp
NM ST break %: 51.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Jacksonville St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Sophia SchweikertOH	3	8	7	22	.045	0	2	1	3	3	0	3	1.5	11.5
8Lauren BuchananOH	3	9	2	22	.318	0	0	3	3	2	0	0	0	9
13Taya NordmannMB	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
6Anna RayOH	3	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
23Sofia VarelaS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	0	0	6	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
5Izzy WhittakerOH	2	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2Addison StoneS	3	0	0	0	–	3	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
9Azavia ThomasOH	3	1	2	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Gemma MorrisDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
4Mia DuongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0
14Chloe MittelstadtOPP	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Delaney MoonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
11Reese TiesingDS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17D'Yanna SpicerMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1
Team totals		25	15	79	.127	24	4	6	28	12	2	8	6	49

New Mexico St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Tess FuquaOH	3	12	5	27	.259	1	1	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
2Maggie LightheartOH	3	6	1	12	.417	0	5	2	6	1	1	0	1	12
8Ashley HermanOH	3	8	0	14	.571	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
11Jaelynn KohliOH	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Mia FoxMB	3	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
12Paige NelsonS	3	0	0	0	–	23	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
16Kate SinclairMB	3	4	1	6	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
5Makayla MartinezL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	3	3	2	15	2	0	0	0	4
10Katrina CatalanS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
22Ava ArchibaldOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
30Jacqueline CorcoranOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Bella CastroL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Izzy MenesesDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Katie FunkMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Mia MendozaS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	11	82	.366	39	12	8	37	4	2	6	5	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Jacksonville St. vs New Mexico St.

Season series · New Mexico St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026Jacksonville St. at New Mexico St. · New Mexico St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 17, 2026Jacksonville St. at New Mexico St. · New Mexico St. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 JAX ST · NM ST 5

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 JAX STNM ST 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 4 JAX STNM ST 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 3 JAX STNM ST 4

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Jacksonville St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Jacksonville St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%7/20	25%2/8
2	33%6/18	42%5/12
3	50%6/12	33%3/9
4	50%5/10	40%4/10
5	50%4/8	17%1/6
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	43%32/74	33%17/51

New Mexico St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	50%5/10
2	64%7/11	63%12/19
3	50%6/12	65%11/17
4	86%6/7	54%7/13
5	80%4/5	50%4/8
6	67%4/6	43%3/7
All	67%34/51	57%42/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#	JAX ST-NM ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	JAX ST	NM ST×5	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Paige Nelson
2	0-2	NM ST	NM ST×5	Ace	New Mexico St.	aced Mia Duong
3	0-3	NM ST	NM ST×5	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Makayla Martinez
4	0-4	NM ST	NM ST×5	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Makayla Martinez
5	0-5	NM ST	NM ST×5	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
6	1-5	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela
7	2-5	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Mia Duong
8	2-6	JAX ST	NM ST×5	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
9	2-7	NM ST	NM ST×5	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
10	2-8	NM ST	NM ST×5	Attack err	Lauren Buchanan
11	2-9	NM ST	NM ST×5	Ace	New Mexico St.	aced Sophia Schweikert
12	2-10	NM ST	NM ST×5	Ace	New Mexico St.	aced Sophia Schweikert
13	3-10	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela
14	3-11	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson
15	3-12	NM ST	NM ST	Blocked	Lauren Buchanan	blk Kate Sinclair, Ashley Herman
16	4-12	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela
17	4-13	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Kate Sinclair	set Katrina Catalan
18	5-13	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Addison Stone
19	5-14	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan
20	6-14	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Anna Ray	set Addison Stone
21	6-15	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Kate Sinclair	set Katrina Catalan
22	6-16	NM ST	NM ST	Blocked	Sophia Schweikert	blk Mia Fox, Jaelynn Kohli
23	7-16	NM ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Tess Fuqua	blk Taya Nordmann, Sophia Schweikert
24	7-17	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson
25	7-18	NM ST	NM ST	Ace	New Mexico St.	aced Lauren Buchanan
26	8-18	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	New Mexico St.
27	8-19	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson
28	8-20	NM ST	NM ST	Blocked	Izzy Whittaker	blk Mia Fox, Tess Fuqua
29	9-20	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Izzy Whittaker	set Sofia Varela
30	9-21	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Paige Nelson
31	9-22	NM ST	NM ST×3	Attack err	Izzy Whittaker
32	9-23	NM ST	NM ST×3	Attack err	Izzy Whittaker
33	10-23	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Anna Ray	set Sofia Varela
34	11-23	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Gemma Morris
35	11-24	JAX ST	NM ST	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
36	11-25	NM ST	NM ST	Ace	New Mexico St.
Set 2
1	0-1	NM ST	NM ST	Ace	New Mexico St.
2	1-1	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela
3	1-2	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
4	1-3	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Makayla Martinez
5	1-4	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	New Mexico St.
6	2-4	NM ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Tess Fuqua
7	2-5	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson
8	2-6	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	New Mexico St.	aced Sophia Schweikert
9	2-7	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Paige Nelson
10	3-7	NM ST	JAX ST×4	Serve err	New Mexico St.
11	4-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Addison Stone
12	5-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Ace	Addison Stone	aced Maggie Lightheart
13	6-7	JAX ST	JAX ST×4	Ace	Addison Stone
14	6-8	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
15	6-9	NM ST	NM ST	Blocked	Sophia Schweikert	blk Kate Sinclair
16	7-9	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	New Mexico St.
17	7-10	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Makayla Martinez
18	7-11	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Azavia Thomas
19	8-11	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Reese Tiesing
20	8-12	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Katrina Catalan
21	8-13	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Tess Fuqua
22	9-13	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	New Mexico St.
23	9-14	JAX ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Kate Sinclair	set Katrina Catalan
24	9-15	NM ST	NM ST×4	Bad set	Sofia Varela
25	9-16	NM ST	NM ST×4	Bad set	Sofia Varela
26	9-17	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson
27	10-17	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Taya Nordmann	set Sofia Varela
28	11-17	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Mia Fox	blk Sophia Schweikert, Taya Nordmann
29	11-18	JAX ST	NM ST	Serve err	Jacksonville St.
30	11-19	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
31	12-19	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
32	12-20	JAX ST	NM ST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
33	13-20	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	New Mexico St.
34	13-21	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
35	13-22	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Kate Sinclair	set Katrina Catalan
36	13-23	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	New Mexico St.
37	14-23	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
38	14-24	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Mia Mendoza
39	14-25	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Ava Archibald	set Mia Mendoza
Set 3
1	1-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Mia Fox	blk Sophia Schweikert, Anna Ray
2	2-0	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Mia Fox
3	2-1	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Paige Nelson
4	3-1	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	Maggie Lightheart
5	3-2	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson
6	4-2	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Paige Nelson
7	5-2	JAX ST	JAX ST	Kill	Azavia Thomas	set Sofia Varela
8	5-3	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
9	5-4	NM ST	NM ST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
10	6-4	NM ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Kate Sinclair
11	6-5	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Katrina Catalan
12	6-6	NM ST	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan
13	7-6	NM ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Maggie Lightheart	blk Taya Nordmann, Sofia Varela
14	7-7	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan
15	8-7	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
16	9-7	JAX ST	JAX ST	Blocked	Jaelynn Kohli	blk Sofia Varela
17	9-8	JAX ST	NM ST	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
18	10-8	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Delaney Moon
19	10-9	JAX ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Paige Nelson
20	10-10	NM ST	NM ST×4	Kill	Mia Fox	set Paige Nelson
21	10-11	NM ST	NM ST×4	Ace	Maggie Lightheart
22	10-12	NM ST	NM ST×4	Attack err	Azavia Thomas
23	11-12	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
24	12-12	JAX ST	JAX ST	Ace	Sophia Schweikert	aced Makayla Martinez
25	12-13	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Jaelynn Kohli	set Paige Nelson
26	12-14	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
27	12-15	NM ST	NM ST×3	Attack err	Sophia Schweikert
28	13-15	NM ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela
29	14-15	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Attack err	Tess Fuqua
30	15-15	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela
31	15-16	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Paige Nelson
32	16-16	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Lauren Buchanan	set Sofia Varela
33	16-17	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Katrina Catalan
34	17-17	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	Tess Fuqua
35	18-17	JAX ST	JAX ST	Attack err	Tess Fuqua
36	18-18	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Serve err	Lauren Buchanan
37	18-19	NM ST	NM ST×3	Ace	Jacqueline Corcoran	aced Lauren Buchanan
38	18-20	NM ST	NM ST×3	Blocked	Taya Nordmann	blk Maggie Lightheart
39	19-20	NM ST	JAX ST	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
40	20-20	JAX ST	JAX ST	Bad set	Katrina Catalan
41	20-21	JAX ST	NM ST	Serve err	Taya Nordmann
42	21-21	NM ST	JAX ST	Serve err	Paige Nelson
43	21-22	JAX ST	NM ST	Kill	Maggie Lightheart	set Paige Nelson
44	21-23	NM ST	NM ST	Ace	Maggie Lightheart
45	22-23	NM ST	JAX ST×3	Kill	Sophia Schweikert	set Sofia Varela
46	23-23	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Ace	Sophia Schweikert	aced Makayla Martinez
47	24-23	JAX ST	JAX ST×3	Blocked	Tess Fuqua	blk D'Yanna Spicer
48	24-24	JAX ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson
49	24-25	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Ashley Herman	set Makayla Martinez
50	24-26	NM ST	NM ST×3	Kill	Tess Fuqua	set Paige Nelson

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

New Mexico St. def. Jacksonville St. 3–0

5 aces from Maggie Lightheart in a New Mexico St. rout.